集运
Search documents
中信期货晨报:股债商大部上涨,集运欧线跌幅较大-20251028
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-28 01:24
Report Title - "Stock, Bond, and Commodity Markets Mostly Rise, with a Large Decline in the European Container Shipping Route - CITIC Futures Morning Report 20251028" [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, assets should be evenly allocated. After the Fed cuts interest rates in the October meeting, progresses in China - US tariff talks, and the release of specific details from the 20th Fourth Plenary Session, both domestic and overseas equity sectors (especially the science and technology innovation sector) and non - ferrous metals are expected to benefit. Black commodities with low valuations due to domestic policy improvements also have some rebound opportunities, while precious metals may continue to fluctuate and adjust in the short - term [6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Performance 1.1 Stock Index Futures - The CSI 300 futures closed at 4684.4, with a daily increase of 1.07%, a weekly increase of 1.07%, a monthly increase of 1.44%, a quarterly increase of 1.44%, and a year - to - date increase of 19.47%. The Shanghai 50 futures, CSI 500 futures, and CSI 1000 futures also showed different degrees of increase or decrease [2] 1.2 Bond Futures - Bond futures generally rose. For example, the 30 - year bond futures had a daily increase of 0.34%, a weekly increase of 0.34%, a monthly increase of 1.32%, a quarterly increase of 1.32%, but a year - to - date decrease of 2.89% [2] 1.3 Foreign Exchange - The US dollar index remained unchanged on the day, with a monthly increase of 1.14% and a year - to - date decrease of 8.79%. The euro - US dollar exchange rate and the US dollar - Japanese yen exchange rate also had different trends [2] 1.4 Interest Rates - Interest rates showed different trends. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury yield had a daily increase of 1 bp, a monthly decrease of 0.18 bp, and a year - to - date decrease of 53 bp [2] 1.5 Industry Indexes - Industries such as construction, steel, and non - ferrous metals showed varying degrees of increase, while industries such as food and beverage, and electronics showed varying degrees of decline [3] 1.6 Commodities - Commodities had different performance. For example, COMEX gold had a daily decrease of 0.39%, a monthly increase of 6.16%, and a year - to - date increase of 56.36%. The European container shipping route had a daily decrease of 3.06% and a quarterly decrease of 21.36% [3][4] 2. Macro Analysis 2.1 Overseas Macro - The US government shutdown continued this week. The expectation of China - US tariffs eased, and the CPI in September was lower than expected, strengthening the expectation of monetary easing. There are four reasons: the lower - than - expected CPI in September, the continuous government shutdown, the increasing economic downward pressure after the government shutdown, and the easing expectation of China - US tariffs [6] 2.2 Domestic Macro - The communique of the 20th Fourth Plenary Session was released this week, sending positive signals. The economic and financial data in September showed relative resilience. Consumption and investment growth continued to slow down, but the strengthening of policy expectations is expected to boost physical work volume in the fourth quarter [6] 3. Asset Views - In the short - term, maintain a balanced asset allocation. After the Fed cuts interest rates in the October meeting, progresses in China - US tariff talks, and the release of specific details from the 20th Fourth Plenary Session, equity sectors (especially the science and technology innovation sector) and non - ferrous metals are expected to benefit. Black commodities with low valuations due to domestic policy improvements also have some rebound opportunities, while precious metals may continue to fluctuate and adjust in the short - term [6] 4. Market Outlook for Each Sector 4.1 Financial Sector - Stock index futures are expected to fluctuate and rise due to technology - related event catalysts. Stock index options and bond futures are expected to fluctuate [7] 4.2 Precious Metals Sector - Gold and silver are expected to fluctuate as geopolitical and trade tensions ease [7] 4.3 Shipping Sector - The European container shipping route is expected to fluctuate as the peak season fades and there is a lack of upward momentum [7] 4.4 Black Building Materials Sector - Most varieties in this sector, such as steel, iron ore, and coke, are expected to fluctuate due to various factors such as policy disturbances, inventory pressures, and supply - demand relationships [7] 4.5 Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials Sector - Most non - ferrous metals are expected to fluctuate as they await the clarification of macro - policies [7] 4.6 Energy and Chemical Sector - Most energy and chemical products are expected to fluctuate due to factors such as geopolitical risks, supply - demand imbalances, and cost changes [9] 4.7 Agricultural Sector - Agricultural products are expected to fluctuate due to factors such as weather, trade relations, and supply - demand changes [9]
国内高频 | 生产边际改善,需求保持韧性(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-10-27 14:16
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the overall improvement in industrial production, with specific sectors showing varying performance, particularly in steel and construction industries [1][11][21]. Industrial Production Tracking - The blast furnace operating rate increased by 0.5% week-on-week to 84.7%, remaining stable year-on-year [1][4]. - Apparent steel consumption rose by 2% week-on-week, with a narrowing year-on-year decline of 3.8 percentage points to -0.1% [1][6]. - Social inventory continued to decline, down 2.3% week-on-week [1]. Sector Performance - The petrochemical and consumer sectors showed improvement, with soda ash operating rates stable at 84.9%, and a year-on-year decline narrowing to -2.2% [11]. - PTA operating rates increased by 0.4% to 76.0%, with a year-on-year improvement of 1.3 percentage points to -4.8% [11][14]. - The automotive semi-steel tire operating rate improved by 1% to 73.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 1 percentage point to -5.7% [11]. Construction Industry Insights - Cement production and demand were below last year's levels, with the nationwide grinding operating rate increasing by 1.6% week-on-week to 45.4% [21]. - Cement shipment rates remained stable at 44.8%, with a year-on-year decline of 9.3% [21][24]. - Cement inventory ratio slightly increased, up 1.2% week-on-week, but down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year to 0.7% [21]. Demand Tracking - National commodity housing transactions decreased, primarily due to significant declines in second-tier cities, with a daily average transaction area down 5.7% week-on-week [40]. - National road freight volume increased year-on-year, with rail freight volume up 1.8 percentage points to 1.5% [44]. - Passenger car retail sales decreased by 0.5% week-on-week, with a year-on-year decline of 0.7% to 25.4% [59]. Price Tracking - Agricultural product prices generally fell, with vegetable prices rising by 4.3% week-on-week, while fruit, pork, and egg prices declined [74]. - Industrial product prices showed an overall upward trend, with the South China industrial product price index rising by 0.4% week-on-week [82].
海丰国际(1308.HK):3Q淡季显韧性 4Q环比有望上涨
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 03:43
Core Viewpoint - Hai Feng International reported strong growth in total revenue for the first three quarters, driven by increased container volume and average freight rates, despite a seasonal decline in Q3 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first three quarters increased by 16.6% year-on-year to $2.46 billion [1]. - In Q3 2025, average freight rate per container decreased by 12.0% year-on-year to $712, while total revenue fell by 1.8% quarter-on-quarter to $790 million [2]. - Container volume in Q3 2025 reached 920,000 TEUs, reflecting an 8.9% year-on-year increase, but a decline of 11.0% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The company anticipates a significant rebound in freight rates and container volume in Q4 due to the seasonal peak and demand driven by industry restructuring, projecting a 3.8% year-on-year increase in container volume to 1.06 million TEUs [1]. - The Southeast Asia export container freight index (SEAFI) showed a decline of 28.2% year-on-year, indicating a challenging pricing environment, but the company expects a 6.7% quarter-on-quarter increase in average freight rates to $760 in Q4 [2]. - The supply-demand structure in the Asian container shipping market is improving, with a tightening supply of small to medium-sized vessels, which is expected to benefit the company in the long term [2]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at $1.17 billion, $910 million, and $1.10 billion, respectively, with a dividend payout ratio assumption of 70% [3]. - The target price is set at HKD 31.0, based on a PE ratio of 9.2x for 2025, reflecting a premium over the historical average [3].
集运早报-20251027
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-27 02:54
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Recently, the futures market has been strong due to shipping companies adding sailings and good cargo receipts on multiple routes at the end of October. The valuation of the December contract is currently high, but considering the upcoming price - increase announcements and the upward drive during the long - term contract signing season, the logic of going long on dips for the December contract remains unchanged. There may be short - term downward fluctuations, and attention should be paid to possible price cuts by shipping companies in early November. - Against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainties, the February contract may have more upside potential with the arrival of the peak season, but geopolitical fluctuations also exist. - The April contract maintains a short - selling view, but it may fluctuate strongly following the near - term contracts during the peak season from November to January, and positions can be gradually established [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content EC Futures Contracts | Contract | Yesterday's Price | Change (%) | Volume | Open Interest | Open Interest Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 | 1137.8 | 0.15 | 817 | 4292 | - 526 | | EC2512 | 1831.0 | 2.11 | 35117 | 30249 | 1335 | | EC2602 | 1601.0 | 1.20 | 3971 | 11509 | 971 | | EC2604 | 1179.6 | 0.67 | 1726 | 14224 | 170 | | EC2606 | 1397.9 | 1.68 | 285 | 1377 | - 25 | [2] Month - to - Month Spreads | Spread | Previous Day | Two Days Ago | Three Days Ago | Daily Report | Friday | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | EC2510 - 2512 | - 693.2 | - 657.0 | - 651.7 | - 36.2 | - 111.3 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 230.0 | 211.1 | 205.4 | 18.9 | 70.0 | [2] Spot Freight Indexes | Index | Update Frequency | Announcement Date | Unit | Current Period | Previous Period | Two Periods Ago | Current Change | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | SCFI (Euro - line) | Weekly | 2025/10/20<br>2025/10/24 | USD/TEU | 1140.38<br>1246 | 1031.80<br>1145 | 1046.50<br>1068 | 10.52%<br>8.82% | | CCFI | Weekly | 2025/10/24 | - | 1293.12 | 1267.91 | 1287.15 | 1.99% | | NCFI | - | 2025/10/24 | - | 822.3 | 803.21 | 698.67 | 2.38% | [2] Recent Euro - line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking space for the end of October and early November (Week 44 - 45). In Week 44, offline quotes are PA $1400, GEMINI $1600, and OA $1800. - Shipping companies plan to raise prices in November, with most announcements in the range of $2500 - $2700, and the average converted to the futures price is about 1800 points. On Tuesday, MSK opened at $2350, in line with expectations [3]. Related News - On October 27, US Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that after two - day talks in Kuala Lumpur, the US and China reached a "very substantial framework agreement," and the US "will no longer consider" imposing a 100% tariff on China. - On October 27, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel will maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip [4].
建信期货集运指数日报-20251024
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-24 02:09
Report Overview - Report Type: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: October 24, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - In October, being the traditional off - season with limited capacity control and supply pressure, the container shipping spot freight rates are continuously falling. However, shipping companies are raising rates for the second half of October and November in preparation for the year - end long - term contract season. Although the rate increase may not fully materialize, a bottom - up trend is likely to form, and the bottom of freight rates for the year may have been reached. The December contract has an opportunity for oversold recovery due to the Israel - Hamas conflict affecting the Red Sea route [8]. - The China export container shipping market continued its rebound this week. The overall transport demand was stable, and the freight rates on ocean routes increased, driving up the comprehensive index. China's exports in September showed positive growth, especially to the EU, which was the main growth driver in the export market [9]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 (Market Review and Operation Suggestions) - **Spot Freight Situation**: In October, the traditional off - season, with limited capacity control, the supply pressure remains, and the spot freight rates are falling. Shipping companies are raising rates for the second half of October and November. For example, Maersk's rates for the Shanghai - Rotterdam route increased. Although the rate increase may not fully materialize, the freight rates are likely to bottom out and recover. The December contract has an oversold recovery opportunity due to the Israel - Hamas conflict [8]. 3.2行业要闻 (Industry News) - **Market Rebound**: The China export container shipping market continued to rebound this week. The overall transport demand was stable, and the freight rates on ocean routes increased, driving up the comprehensive index. China's exports in September increased by 8.3% year - on - year, and the export growth rate to the EU reached 14.2% in September, a three - year high [9]. - **Route - specific Situations**: - **European Routes**: The transport demand was stable, and the spot market booking prices continued to rebound. The Shanghai - Europe basic port market freight rate on October 17 increased by 7.2% compared to the previous period [9]. - **Mediterranean Routes**: The market situation was similar to that of European routes, and the freight rates continued to rise. The Shanghai - Mediterranean basic port market freight rate on October 17 increased by 3.5% compared to the previous period [9]. - **North American Routes**: China's exports to the US decreased by 27% in September, with six consecutive months of negative growth since April. However, the transport demand was relatively stable this week, and the spot market booking prices rebounded from the low level. The Shanghai - US West and US East basic port market freight rates on October 17 increased by 31.9% and 16.4% respectively compared to the previous period [10]. - **Israel - Hamas Conflict**: There was a new conflict between Israel and Hamas. Israel is accelerating the resumption of full - scale military operations, and the Red Sea route is unlikely to resume navigation this year [10]. 3.3数据概览 (Data Overview) - **Container Shipping Spot Prices**: - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index for European routes on October 20 was 1140.38, up 10.5% from October 13. - The index for US West routes on October 20 was 863.46, up 0.1% from October 13 [12]. - **Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures Quotes**: The trading data of EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, and EC2608 contracts on October 23, including opening price, closing price, settlement price, change, change rate, trading volume, open interest, and open interest change, are provided [6]. - **Shipping - related Data Charts**: Charts of Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index, container shipping European route futures main and sub - main contracts, European container ship capacity, global container ship order backlog, Shanghai - European basic port freight rate, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rate are provided [13][16][17][21]
建信期货集运指数日报-20251023
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-23 05:23
Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: October 23, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - In October, it is the traditional off - season, with limited capacity control and persistent supply pressure, causing the current spot freight rates to decline. However, shipping companies are raising prices for the second half of October and November to support prices for the year - end long - term contract season. The freight rates are likely to form a bottom - out and rebound trend, and the bottom of the freight rates for the year may have emerged. Also, due to the renewed conflict between Israel and Hamas, the Red Sea is unlikely to resume navigation this year, and there is an opportunity for the December contract to recover from over - decline [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The current spot freight rates are falling due to the traditional off - season in October and limited capacity control. Shipping companies are raising prices for the second half of October and November. For example, Maersk's large container rates for the second half of October on the Shanghai - Rotterdam route reach up to $1911, and $2350 in the first week of November. Although the price increase may not fully materialize, the freight rates are likely to bottom out. The December contract has an over - decline recovery opportunity because of the Israel - Hamas conflict and the unlikelihood of Red Sea resumption this year [8] 2. Industry News - The China Export Container Shipping Market continued its rebound this week. In September, China's exports in US dollars increased by 8.3% year - on - year. On October 17, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index rose by 12.9% from the previous period. For European routes, China's exports to the EU in September increased by 14.2% year - on - year, and the freight rate on October 17 rose by 7.2%. For Mediterranean routes, the market situation was similar to that of European routes, with the freight rate rising by 3.5%. For North American routes, China's exports to the US decreased by 27% in September, but the spot booking prices rebounded, with the freight rates to the US West and East rising by 31.9% and 16.4% respectively. There was a new conflict between Israel and Hamas, and the US warned that Hamas's attacks might violate the cease - fire agreement [9][10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - From October 13 to October 20, 2025, the SCFIS for European routes increased from 1031.8 to 1140.38, a rise of 10.5%. The SCFIS for US West routes increased from 862.48 to 863.46, a rise of 0.1% [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Routes) Futures Market - Data on the trading of container shipping European routes futures contracts on October 22 are provided, including opening prices, closing prices, settlement prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, open interests, and changes in open interests for different contracts such as EC2510, EC2512, etc. [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - There are charts showing European container ship capacity, global container ship orders, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, and Shanghai - Rotterdam spot freight rates [17][21]
程强:市场延续回暖走势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 04:14
Market Overview - The A-share market continued to rebound on October 21, 2025, with over 4,600 stocks rising and trading volume increasing to 1.89 trillion yuan, an 8.1% increase from the previous day [1][2][4]. Stock Market Analysis - The stock market showed a comprehensive upward trend, led by the technology growth sector, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.36% to 3,916.33 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 2.06% to 13,077.32 points, and the ChiNext Index gaining 3.02% to 3,083.72 points [2][4]. - The technology sector, particularly the communications and electronics sub-sectors, saw significant gains, with increases of 4.89% and 3.21% respectively [4]. - The market sentiment was positively influenced by U.S. President Trump's confidence in relations with China and his planned visit to China in early next year [2][4]. Bond Market Analysis - The bond market experienced a comprehensive rise, with the 30-year main contract increasing by 0.16% to 115.59 yuan, and the 10-year main contract rising by 0.05% to 108.145 yuan [6]. - The interbank market maintained a relatively loose funding environment, with the central bank injecting 159.5 billion yuan through a 7-day reverse repurchase agreement [6][7]. Commodity Market Analysis - The commodity futures market displayed a clear divergence, with precious metals and shipping sectors showing strong performance, while the black coal sector experienced a pullback [8][10]. - The European shipping index surged by 5.10%, and gold prices rose by 2.02%, nearing a new annual high [8][10]. - The pig futures market continued its rebound, supported by government interventions aimed at stabilizing prices [10][11]. Recent Trading Hotspots - Key trading varieties include AI, nuclear fusion, and domestic substitutes, driven by increased capital expenditure from global tech giants and domestic breakthroughs in technology [12]. - The market is advised to focus on sectors with clear bottom price ranges, such as the pig market, as it transitions from policy expectations to supply-demand fundamentals [13].
集运早报-20251022
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 01:51
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The EC is currently in a contradiction between weak reality and strong expectations, and fluctuates greatly under the influence of the Middle East geopolitical situation and Sino - US tariff policies. - In the case of high shipping capacity in week 44, it is expected that the price increase announcements in the first half of November will not be well - implemented. However, there are still upward driving forces at multiple price - increase announcement nodes in the future. - The current valuation of the December contract is high, and it may fluctuate with cargo bookings in the near future. Overall, it is recommended to conduct band trading mainly driven by spot prices. - In the case of repeated geopolitical situations, the far - month contracts have more room for increase, but the geopolitical situation has a greater impact on the 2026 contracts [1]. 3. Summary by Related Content Futures Contract Information - **Contract Prices and Changes**: EC2510 closed at 1135.0 with a 3.17% increase, EC2512 at 1769.3 with a 5.19% increase, EC2602 at 1568.0 with a 3.02% increase, EC2604 at 1163.8 with a 0.75% increase, and EC2606 at 1361.0 with a 2.31% increase. The open interest of EC2510 decreased by 2024, while that of EC2512 increased by 2333 [1]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The spread of EC2510 - 2512 was - 634.3, with a month - on - month decrease of 52.4 and a week - on - week decrease of 46.3; the spread of EC2512 - 2602 was 201.3, with a month - on - month increase of 41.3 and a week - on - week decrease of 43.9 [1]. Index Information - **SCHIS**: Updated weekly, announced on 2025/10/20, the current value is 1140.38 points, with a 10.52% increase from the previous period [1]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: Updated every Friday, announced on 2025/10/17, the current value is 1145 dollars/TEU, with a 7.21% increase from the previous period [1]. - **CCFI**: Updated every Friday, announced on 2025/10/17, the current value is 1267.91 points, with a 1.49% decrease from the previous period [1]. - **NCFI**: Updated every Friday, announced on 2025/10/17, the current value is 803.21 points, with a 14.96% increase from the previous period [1]. Shipping Capacity and Market Conditions - **Shipping Capacity**: The average weekly shipping capacity in October, November, and December is 26.9, 31.6, and 350,000 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as suspended sailings, it is 26.9, 30, and 330,000 TEU. The shipping capacity in week 44 and week 45 is 334,000 and 300,000 TEU respectively, indicating high supply pressure [1]. - **Market Conditions**: Currently in the off - season, week 42 had good cargo collection, week 43 had good cargo collection for OA with a small number of cargo roll - overs, and PA and GEMINI had average cargo collection, maintaining a weak supply - demand balance. In week 44, with high shipping capacity, the pressure on cargo collection increased significantly, especially for the PA alliance [1]. Recent European Line Quotation - **Week 42**: The final offline prices were PA at 1500, GEMINI at 1600, and OA at 1800 US dollars, with an average of 1640 US dollars (equivalent to 1150 points on the futures market) [2]. - **Week 43**: The PA alliance further reduced the price by 100 to 1400 US dollars. The offline quotes were PA at 1400, GEMINI at 1600, and OA at 1800 US dollars [2]. - **November Price Increase Announcements**: Shipping companies announced price increases mostly in the range of 2500 - 2700 US dollars, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the futures market. On Tuesday, MSK opened the booking at 2350 US dollars, in line with expectations [2]. Related News - On October 21, US Vice - President Vance arrived in Israel to promote the second phase of the Gaza cease - fire plan. - On the same day, US President Trump stated on his social platform that if Hamas continued to violate the agreement with the US, multiple US allies would "enter Gaza with strong force" at the US request. Trump also asked countries and Israel to hold back and hoped that Hamas would "make the right decision" [3].
《金融》日报-20251022
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 01:40
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. Core Views - The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping industry futures, covering aspects such as price differences, price changes, and related market indicators [1][2][3][5]. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Differences**: The latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical quantiles of price differences (including spot - futures and inter - period price differences) for IF, IH, IC, and IM are provided. For example, the IC spot - futures price difference is - 161.25, with a change of - 15.31 from the previous day, and a 1 - year historical quantile of 80.00% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: The IRR and basis data of TS, TF, T, and TL are presented, along with their changes from the previous trading day and historical quantiles. For instance, the TF basis on 2025 - 10 - 21 is 1.5006, with a change of - 0.0220, and a historical quantile of 38.40% [2]. - **Inter - period and Cross - variety Price Differences**: The inter - period price differences (such as current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety price differences (such as TS - TF) are given, including their latest values, changes, and historical quantiles [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Prices**: The closing prices of domestic and foreign precious metal futures (AU2512, COMEX gold, etc.), spot prices (London gold, etc.), and their changes and price - to - price ratios are reported. For example, the closing price of the AU2512 contract on October 21 is 994.06 yuan/gram, with a price increase of 23.74 and a growth rate of 2.45% [3]. - **Basis and Ratios**: The basis between different precious metal products (such as gold TD - Shanghai gold futures) and price - to - price ratios (such as COMEX gold/silver) are provided, along with their historical quantiles [3]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, Inventory, and Positions**: Data on interest rates (10 - year US Treasury bond yield), exchange rates (US dollar index), inventory (Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory), and positions (SPRD gold ETF position) are presented [3]. Container Shipping Industry Futures - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for shipping routes from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies (MAERSK, CMA, etc.) and their price changes are given. For example, the MAERSK shipping price on October 22 is 2211 US dollars/FEU, with an increase of 367 and a growth rate of 19.90% [5]. - **Shipping Indexes**: The settlement price indexes of shipping routes (SCFIS European route, SCFIS US West route) and Shanghai export container freight rates (SCFI comprehensive index) and their changes are reported [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The futures prices of different contracts (EC2602, EC2512) and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their changes [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on shipping capacity supply, foreign trade - related indicators (Shanghai port on - time rate), overseas economic indicators (eurozone comprehensive PMI), and OECD comprehensive leading indicators are presented [5].
建信期货集运指数日报-20251021
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-21 02:30
日期 2025 年 10 月 21 日 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 宏观金融团队 行业 集运指数日报 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 | | | 表1:集运欧线期货10月20日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算 价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 (%) | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | EC2510 | 1,098.8 | 1,107.8 | 1,100.1 | 1,102.6 | 1.3 | 0. ...