Core Viewpoint - Major global stock markets experienced significant declines due to cooling expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, leading to global liquidity concerns and investor worries about an artificial intelligence bubble, compounded by a sharp drop in Bitcoin [1] Market Performance - Hong Kong's three major indices saw substantial declines, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping as much as 3.8% and ultimately closing down 3.21%. The Hang Seng Index and the China Enterprises Index fell by 2.38% and 2.45%, respectively, marking new lows for the period [1] - Large-cap technology stocks, major financial stocks (including banks, insurance, and brokerage firms), and state-owned enterprises collectively pressured market sentiment, with Baidu down nearly 6% and Alibaba down 4.65% [1] Sector Performance - Concerns over the artificial intelligence bubble led to significant declines in the semiconductor chip sector, while solar, gaming, biotechnology, gold, lithium battery, Apple concept, automotive, and coal stocks also fell [1] - Conversely, certain retail stocks showed gains, and some real estate stocks rose due to rumors, with R&F Properties, Country Garden, and Longfor Group bucking the trend [1] - Despite the overall market downturn, over 40 stocks still saw gains of more than 10%, with the small-cap stock Rongtai Group experiencing a doubling in intraday gains [1]

受美联储降息前景的疑虑，加之比特币大跌影响风险市场情绪，导致亚太股市集体下挫。港股同样大幅 走低，恒生科技指数跌幅最大，午间收跌3.11%，恒生指数跌2.07%下挫超500点报25300点，国企指数 跌2.14%，三者均创阶段新低；大型科技股、 大金融股( 银行、 保险、券商)、中字头等权重集体低迷大 市承压十分明显， 半导体芯片股、 生物医药股、 锂电池股、 黄金股等纷纷下跌。另外，惟 军工股、 内房股部分逆势上涨，龙湖集团、 中船防务涨超3%。(格隆汇) ...

金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 11 月 21 日 外部压力对 A 股影响有限，市场中期向好逻辑未变 英大证券研究所证券研究报告 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周三呈现企稳迹象的 A 股市场，周四再度陷入疲软态势。早盘一度高开上行， 然而午后行情再度走弱，最终全线收跌。可能与外部压力有关（美联储 12 月降 息不确定性及地缘政治因素发酵等），不过，我们认为，其对 A 股的整体影响预 计相对有限。A 股定价核心仍锚定国内基本面，中国经济持续恢复的态势没有改 变，内生增长动力不断增强。同时，政策层面继续保持积极，为市场提供了有力 支撑。 因此，尽管面对短期调整与多方压力，我们认为指数短期调整已近尾声，中 期向好逻辑未变。操作上，踏准板块轮动节奏，采取均衡配置、高抛低吸或是占 优策略。无论是科技成长方向（半导体芯片、泛 AI 主题及机器人行业等），还是 顺周期行业（光伏、电池、储能、化工、煤炭、有色等），亦或是红利股（银行、 公用事业、"大象股"等），尽量选 ...

Core Insights - The A-share market shows signs of short-term stabilization after a period of decline, with significant rebounds in sectors such as shipbuilding and precious metals, while large-cap stocks like banks and oil companies provide support [2][9][10] - The market's trading volume has decreased to below 1.8 trillion yuan, indicating reduced selling pressure and an increased holding sentiment among investors [2][9][10] - External negative factors are having a diminishing marginal effect on A-share sentiment, suggesting that the risks have been largely released [2][9][10] A-share Market Overview - On Wednesday, the A-share market experienced a collective rebound after three consecutive days of decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3946.74 points, up 0.18% [5] - The trading volume for the day was 17,259 billion yuan, with individual stocks showing more declines than gains, reflecting a general market sentiment of caution [5][9] - Key sectors that performed well included shipbuilding, precious metals, and banking, while sectors like gas, cultural media, and automotive services saw declines [4][5] Sector Analysis - The shipbuilding and military sectors have shown strong performance, with a notable increase of 25.46% in the first half of 2025, driven by government support and geopolitical tensions [6][9] - Precious metals have also surged due to factors such as the onset of a Federal Reserve rate cut cycle, increased geopolitical tensions, and strong demand from central banks [7][8] - The report suggests that while the prices of precious metals are expected to remain high, investors should be cautious about chasing prices and consider short-term trading strategies [8] Investment Strategy - The report recommends a balanced investment approach, focusing on sectors with strong earnings support, including technology growth (semiconductors, AI themes), cyclical industries (solar, batteries, chemicals), and dividend stocks (banks, utilities) [3][9][10] - Investors are advised to adopt strategies such as high selling and low buying, or to focus on sectors that are expected to outperform in the current market environment [3][9]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continues to decline, with the Hang Seng Index dropping 1.47% and falling below 26,000 points, marking three consecutive days of losses [1] - The technology sector remains under pressure, with major companies like Xiaomi, JD.com, and Kuaishou hitting new lows [1] - Bitcoin has fallen below $91,000, erasing over 30% of its gains for the year, leading to a decline in cryptocurrency-related stocks [1] Group 2 - Semiconductor stocks are performing well despite the overall market downturn, with leading company SMIC rising by 1.5% due to increased demand from downstream expansion trends [1] - Other sectors such as steel, coal, automotive, gold, and copper are also experiencing declines [1]

Market Overview - The total scale of equity ETFs in the market reached 48,557.73 billion yuan, with a decrease of 44.35 billion yuan in total scale over the past week, while total shares increased by 22.63 billion shares, resulting in a net inflow of 283.21 billion yuan [1] - Industry and thematic sector ETFs saw a net inflow of 185.41 billion yuan, primarily driven by inflows into the artificial intelligence sector, with all four major categories experiencing net inflows this week [2] Fund Inflow and Outflow Directions - In the broad-based and strategy ETF categories, the top three inflow sectors were: Sci-Tech 50 (+35.32 billion yuan), Strategy-Dividend (+33.98 billion yuan), and Free Cash Flow (+10.38 billion yuan). The top three outflow sectors were: Shanghai Stock 50 (-10.86 billion yuan), CSI 300 (-26.40 billion yuan), and CSI A500 (-40.55 billion yuan) [3][4] - In the industry and thematic sector ETFs, the top five inflow sectors were: Artificial Intelligence (+49.38 billion yuan), Non-Bank Financials (+30.57 billion yuan), Robotics (+15.81 billion yuan), Semiconductor Chips (+14.81 billion yuan), and Chemicals (+13.94 billion yuan). The top five outflow sectors were: Coal (-8.62 billion yuan), Non-Ferrous Metals (-6.70 billion yuan), New Energy Vehicles (-5.90 billion yuan), Banks (-5.28 billion yuan), and Traditional Chinese Medicine (-2.33 billion yuan) [5] Key Focus Areas - OPEC+ reported a decrease in oil production for October, averaging 43.02 million barrels per day, down by 73,000 barrels per day from September, impacting oil and gas ETFs positively with a four-week consecutive rise [6] - The ongoing regional tensions led to a suspension of exports from Russian Black Sea ports, affecting approximately 2% of global supply, equivalent to 2.2 million barrels per day [7] - The A-share IPO market has seen a significant increase in acceptance, with a year-on-year surge of over 400% in the first ten months of the year, indicating a robust market environment for securities ETFs [9] - The securities industry is expected to experience rapid growth in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year increase of 42.55% in operating income and 62.38% in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [10][11]

更多最新消息： | 创 | 富满微 | 36.60 | +5.45% | +1.89 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 300671 | | | | | 科 | 明微电子 | 45.99 | +11.79% | +4.85 | | | 688889 | | | | | SZ | 大为股份 | 30.28 | +9.99% | +2.75 | | | 002213 | | | | | SZ | 北方华创 | 421.55 | +5.21% | +20.87 | | | 002371 | | | | | 科 | 灿芯股份 | 118.93 | +4.77% | +5.42 | | | 688691 | | | | | 科 | 东芯股份 | 107.33 | +11.26% | +10.86 | | | 688110 | | | | | 科 | 龙迅股份 | 79.86 | +20.00% | +13.31 | | | 688486 | | | | 11月18日早盘，半导体芯片股逆势拉升。截至09:59， 龙迅股份触及涨停，明微电子、东芯股份涨超 10%，大为股份、富满微、 ...

Group 1 - Semiconductor stocks experienced a significant rally on November 18, with several companies reaching their daily limits [1] - Longxin Co. saw a 20% increase, while Mingwei Electronics and Dongxin Co. rose over 10% [1][2] - Other companies such as Daway Co., Fuman Micro, Beifang Huachuang, and Canxin Co. also showed strong performance [1] Group 2 - Fuman Micro's stock price increased by 5.45% to 36.60 [2] - Mingwei Electronics rose by 11.79% to 45.99 [2] - Daway Co. increased by 9.99% to 30.28, while Beifang Huachuang rose by 5.21% to 421.55 [2] - Canxin Co. saw a 4.77% increase to 118.93, and Dongxin Co. rose by 11.26% to 107.33 [2] - Longxin Co. reached a price of 79.86, marking a 20% increase [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the overheating demand for AI has led to a structural supply-demand imbalance in the global storage chip market, particularly with increased demand for DRAM from data centers [1] - Samsung Electronics has suspended DDR5 contract pricing, prompting other manufacturers like SK Hynix and Micron to follow suit, resulting in a disruption of the DDR5 supply chain and an increase in spot prices [1] - TrendForce indicates that DDR5 pricing has become passive with limited transactions, shifting to a monthly pricing model [1] Group 2 - The four major CSP companies in the U.S. have raised capital expenditures, driving demand for high-end storage chips, while manufacturers are reallocating production capacity towards more profitable DDR5 and HBM products [1] - The expansion of production capacity is costly and time-consuming, making it difficult to alleviate the supply-demand gap in the short term [1] - In Q3 2025, global smartphone revenue is projected to grow by 5% year-on-year, reaching a historical high, with the trend towards high-end models pushing the average selling price to $351 [1] Group 3 - The chip ETF (512760) tracks the China Semiconductor Chip Index (990001), which focuses on the Chinese semiconductor industry by selecting listed companies involved in materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing [1] - This index includes no more than 40 constituent stocks, emphasizing the information technology sector and reflecting the overall performance of listed companies related to semiconductor chips [1]

很多人质疑"人均亏损2.1万"是不是自媒体炒作，其实这是沪深交易所2025年11月联合发布的真实数 据，计算方式很透明：用1-8月A股散户总亏损额，除以参与交易的个人投资者总数（约1.2亿人），得 出人均亏损约2.1万元 。 这里要澄清两个误区：一是亏损率不是网传的98.7%，那是方正证券研报的错误数据，官方确认散户亏 损率是81.1%，还有18.9%的人实现了盈利；二是亏损和资金量强相关，深交所数据显示，1万元以下账 户亏损率近99.9%，10万元以下账户亏损率较高，但100万以上账户盈利比例达90%，500万以上账户更 是高达99% ，说白了就是"小散易亏，大户易赚"。 中国结算2025年10月末数据显示，A股投资者总数已突破2.45亿，其中个人投资者占比超99%。而沪深 交易所2025年11月权威披露，1-8月A股散户盈利比例仅18.9%，81.1%的人都在亏损，人均亏损约2.1万 元。更让人纳闷的是，同期A股总市值较去年底增加超22万亿元，突破108万亿元 ，一边是股民大面积 亏损，一边是市场总市值暴涨，这巨额资金到底流去了哪里？ 一、先核实：2.1万亏损数据靠谱吗？官方给出明确答案 二、资金去向一： ...