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摩根大通刘鸣镝最新发声!
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market has entered the initial phase of a slow bull market, with corporate earnings expected to be the main driving factor in 2026, and multiple sectors showing potential for returns [2][8]. Group 1: Slow Bull Market Formation Logic - The institutionalization of A-shares is a key reason for the current slow bull market, contrasting with the retail-driven market of 2014-2015 [4]. - Corporate earnings are gradually improving, providing crucial support for market growth, with the MSCI China Index expected to see a 2%-3% year-on-year growth in 2025 [5]. - The "PBOC put" mechanism introduced by the People's Bank of China has provided essential support to the market, alongside a narrowing of market volatility due to the dominance of institutional funds [5][6]. Group 2: Industry Performance in 2025 - Positive return sectors include materials, benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy and demand for precious metals, achieving returns of over 100%; the healthcare sector has seen returns exceeding 60% [6]. - The insurance sector performed well due to growth in new premiums and a favorable stock market, while AI-related sectors such as gaming, media, and semiconductors have become market favorites [6]. - Conversely, sectors linked to macroeconomic recovery, such as food and beverage, electricity, and delivery services, have underperformed due to weak consumer recovery and excessive competition [6]. Group 3: Outlook for 2026 - The main themes for 2026 include exports, AI, "anti-involution," and consumption, with corporate earnings being the most critical factor for stock performance [8][9]. - The MSCI China Index is projected to reach a target of 100, the CSI 300 Index at 5200, and the MSCI Hong Kong Index at 16000, all expected to achieve double-digit returns in 2026, supported by earnings growth [8]. - Key sectors to watch include export-related industries benefiting from global fiscal and monetary easing, AI-related sectors with recovery potential, and the consumer sector showing a "K"-shaped recovery [9].
九号公司:2026年将全面铺开快速补能网络 华东、华南双基地将同步运营
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-23 06:10
九号公司CEO王野以"从电动车新势力,到全球两轮车产业颠覆者"为引,回顾了九号公司的蜕变之路。 他坚定地表示,九号公司始终坚持"做增量,不做存量;做创新,不搞内卷"的发展理念,成功在红海市 场中开辟了全新的智能化赛道。 王野明确提出,九号公司的未来是广阔的"星辰大海",其核心航向聚焦于智能化、电动化、全球化三大 战略支柱。 在智能化层面,九号公司致力于通过网络化和生态化建设,引领行业进入"全民智驾"新时代。2026年, 九号公司新品将全系标配先进的智驾系统和自主研发的Nimble OS操作系统,让更安全、便捷、优越的 智能驾驶体验触手可及。 在电动化层面,王野强调"油转电"是不可逆转的浪潮,九号公司将通过先进的电池技术、智能底盘和正 在快速建设的30分钟补能快充网络,彻底解决用户续航焦虑,加速电动两轮车对内燃机两轮车的替代。 本报讯(记者李乔宇)12月22日,九号有限公司(以下简称"九号公司")2026经销商大会在江苏常州举办, 吸引了来自全国各地的千余名经销商伙伴齐聚一堂。九号公司CEO王野、九号公司电动车事业部总经理 张珍源、九号公司中国经营事业部总裁何飞龙分别发表了重磅演讲,分享了过去一年九号公司取得的 ...
九号公司:2026年新品将全系标配智驾系统
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-23 04:28
Core Insights - The core strategy of the company focuses on intelligence, electrification, and globalization [1] - The product plan for 2026 includes equipping all new products with an intelligent driving system and the self-developed Nimble OS operating system [1] - By September 2025, the cumulative shipment of the company's electric vehicles in the Chinese market is expected to exceed 9 million units [1] - The company announced the launch of a dual-brand synergy strategy with "Ninebot" and "Segway," with plans for simultaneous operation of its East China and South China bases in 2026 [1]
未来十年聚焦三大战略 九号公司发布Fz系列新国标电动车
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-23 03:16
在全场景协同升级方面,九号公司电动车事业部总经理张珍源提到,2026年,九号公司将全面铺开快速 补能网络,依托8000多家门店,实现"人-车-桩"的智能联动。 中证报中证网讯(记者王婧涵)12月23日,记者从九号公司了解到,九号公司CEO王野于12月22日召开的 九号公司2026经销商大会上提出,未来十年公司将以智能化、电动化、全球化为发展方向。 王野表示,九号始终坚持"做增量,不做存量;做创新,不搞内卷",在红海市场中开辟了全新的智能化 赛道。未来,公司将聚焦于智能化、电动化、全球化三大战略支柱,以"引领电动车产业,革新摩托车 产业"为发展战略,九号两轮电动车"Ninebot九号"与"Segway赛格威"通过双品牌配合,面向不同用户群 体协同发力,向全球市场进军。此外,九号公司2026年华东、华南双基地将同步运营,实现总产能大幅 提升。 同日,九号公司还发布了Fz系列新国标电动车,其中包含Fz1、Fz2、Fz3三款车型。公司表示,自12月 中旬部分产品开放预约以来,九号Fz系列产品热度不减,截至目前,整体预约量已突破1万台。 ...
涛涛车业(301345):高尔夫球车空间广阔+格局优化 涛涛厚积薄发
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 00:38
投资建议:高尔夫球车应用场景正由球场内向球场外延伸,市场空间和潜力巨大,并且双反和关税促使 产能出清和格局优化。涛涛车业一方面受益于东南亚+北美多地产能布局领先,另一方面凭借高品质产 品、经销商网络完善、品牌影响力和口碑提升,快速抢占市场,长期空间巨大,有望实现数十万台销量 和百亿级别收入规模。此外,对比春风等行业巨头,涛涛全地形车仍有较大成长空间,人形机器人和无 人驾驶业务也能复用公司渠道、生产、品牌能力。预计公司2025-2027年实现归母净利润 8.03/11.14/14.29亿元,EPS为7.38/10.22/13.10元,当前股价对应PE为34.29/24.72/19.28倍,维持"买入"评 级。 风险提示:海外需求和渗透率提升不及预期、市场竞争加剧风险、产能爬坡及本土化推进不及预期、品 牌建设与产品质量风险。 竞争格局会如何变化?供给端由三巨头稳定产能走向多极扩张,中国厂商在双反与关税背景下加速海外 建厂以贴近美国市场。球场内客户关系与品牌粘性强,仍是寡头格局;球场外渠道高度分散、门店销量 门槛低,多品牌共存为新品牌进入提供机会。美国对华低速车双反并追溯征税后,中小企业出清,具有 海外产能与渠道能 ...
破解辅助性就业难题,徐州丰县打通残疾人就业“最后一公里”
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2025-12-22 12:43
调配中心的建设意义深远。从乡村发展维度,中心立足电动车产业优势,将产业资源转化为就业岗位,实现产业升级与民生改善双向赋能;从社会价值层 面,填补了当地残疾人辅助性就业服务专业空白,让社会温暖精准触达;从个体发展角度,为残疾人提供技能培训、岗位适配等支持,帮助他们实现自我 价值。 在运作模式上,该中心构建了"政府指导、企业运营、社会参与"的多元协作机制,由江苏省委驻丰县乡村振兴工作队统筹协调,丰县残联全程指导监督, 丰县悦光残疾人之家与江苏悦光科技集团联合运营。中心建成七大功能区域,并创新"对接洽谈—实时调配—跟踪服务—统筹结算"闭环工作流程:采集20 余个适配加工项目,根据"残疾人之家"需求和残疾人能力差异动态调配,开展技能培训与质量跟踪,统一负责物流协调和费用结算。 扬子晚报网12月22日讯(记者徐昇)"以前只能做些简单的冰糕棒组装,收入不稳定,现在在中心调配的电动车配件加工项目上做工,每月能多赚几百块, 生活更有奔头了!"徐州丰县欢口镇残疾人就业者王师傅的感慨,道出了当地残疾人辅助性就业者的心声。作为江苏省委驻丰县乡村振兴工作队援建的重 点民生项目,丰县残疾人辅助性就业项目调配中心以精准调配破解就业难题, ...
让城市通勤更加安全便捷,九号发布Fz系列新国标电动车
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 12:08
Core Insights - The two-wheeled electric vehicle industry is undergoing significant transformation with compliance becoming a basic entry threshold and smart technology emerging as a consensus for development [1][4] - Ninebot is intensifying its focus on the smart technology sector, aiming to advance the industry towards an "intelligent driving era" [1][6] Product Launch and Market Response - Ninebot officially launched the Fz series of new standard electric vehicles on December 22, which includes models Fz1, Fz2, and Fz3, with prices set at 2999 yuan and 4899 yuan for Fz1 and Fz3 respectively [1][3] - The Fz series has seen a surge in market interest, with over 10,000 units pre-ordered since mid-December, establishing a solid market foundation for Ninebot's push towards "universal intelligent driving" [3][4] Smart Features and User Experience - The Fz series incorporates smart driving capabilities as standard across all models, enhancing the user experience with features like the RideyFUN AIR smart driving system and a 5-inch display for navigation and vehicle status [3][4] - The series addresses real-world riding challenges with features such as uphill assistance, traction control, and customizable throttle response, significantly improving user safety and convenience [3][4] Real-World Usage and Performance - Ninebot has introduced a "real-world range" system, with Fz1, Fz2, and Fz3 achieving actual ranges of 56 km, 74 km, and 92 km respectively, providing users with clearer expectations for their usage radius [4][5] - The structural integrity and safety of the Fz series are emphasized through the use of high-strength alloy steel frames and extensive testing, ensuring reliability for frequent commuting [5] Industry Perspective and Future Outlook - Ninebot is positioning itself to lead the transition from merely "smart-looking" electric vehicles to those that offer genuine safety and convenience, aligning with the new national standards [5][6] - The company envisions a future where intelligent driving is a fundamental capability for a broader user base, moving beyond just appealing specifications to real-world validated experiences [6]
吴世春:我投过不少项目,小牛电动最让人刻骨铭心
创业家· 2025-12-22 10:34
Core Insights - The article highlights the investment journey in Niu Technologies, showcasing a remarkable 200x return on investment and the resilience of the team during challenging times [2][35]. Group 1: Investment Journey - In 2014, the founder of Ming Shi Capital introduced a team led by Li Yinan and Hu Yilin, aiming to disrupt the electric vehicle industry with a high-end smart electric scooter [3][4]. - The initial market for electric vehicles was focused on low-end products, characterized by noise and short battery life, while the team aimed to address consumer upgrade needs with a premium offering [8][9]. - The investment of 5 million yuan for a 10% stake was made, with a strong belief that a high-quality product deserves a premium price [10][12]. Group 2: Challenges and Resilience - Following the product launch, Li Yinan was detained for insider trading, leading to a withdrawal of initial investors and a critical financial situation for the company [17][18][19]. - The company faced a near-collapse, but the investment firm provided 100 million yuan to stabilize operations and secure the supply chain [20][21]. - This support attracted other major investors, resulting in a successful A+ round financing of 30 million USD, allowing Niu to survive [23]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Success - In 2016, the company was advised to enter the European market, where high-end products had better acceptance, leading to a selling price of 18,000 yuan per unit and significant profitability [26][28]. - By 2018, as Niu prepared for an IPO, additional investments were made to support its growth, culminating in a successful listing on NASDAQ [29][30]. Group 4: Investment Philosophy - The experience with Niu reinforced the belief in long-term investment strategies and the importance of supporting entrepreneurs through challenges [35][39]. - The article emphasizes that successful investment is not just about financial backing but also about providing resources, trust, and time to entrepreneurs [38][40]. - The firm has managed over 10 billion yuan in funds and invested in over 600 companies, with many approaching IPO readiness [41][42].
天臣控股与时代星云、中汇智慧达成战略合作落地香港
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 10:07
本此战略合作旨在将时代星云全球首创的光储充检一体化零碳微电网先进储能应用商业模式引入香港, 建设拥有全球领先技术的电池服役性能检测技术的大功率充电设施,并建立香港城市级零碳园区产业互 联网生态服务平臺。此举将为香港电动车发展提供最强的安全与技术保障,并从电池安全、电池使用效 率及电池资产管理等多个维度逐步建立电池资产大数据和动力电池后市场服务体系。 天臣控股(01201)发布公告,公司已与福建时代星云科技有限公司(时代星云),一间在中国专注于新型储 能应用研发与产业化的公司,以及中汇智慧科技有限公司(中汇智慧),一间在香港主要运营电动车超快 速充电站的公司,签订战略合作协议。 电池检测技术的引入,预计能为香港带来动力电池梯次利用的产业发展机会。公司计划首先透过中汇智 慧在香港的充电站,投入具备先进检测技术和功能的高速充电桩,实现充电时同步完成电池检测。同 时,公司亦将投资建立电池拆除及安全存放的相应设施,并投资建设完整的动力电池后市场服务体系。 动力电池梯次利用是指从电动车回收的动力电池不直接进入电池降解工厂,而是透过拆解、筛选、打 磨、分选、重组、均衡及检测等工序,重新应用于各种储能设施、低速电动车及电动工 ...