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玻璃:厂商库存高位,近月偏空看待
Chang Jiang Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 02:16
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment strategy for the glass industry is to expect a weak and oscillating market [2][4]. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The glass market is currently facing high inventory levels among manufacturers. The recovery of glass production and sales has fallen short of expectations, and the middle - stream is under significant pressure to reduce inventory. The 09 contract of glass is expected to remain weak, with support levels at 990 - 1000 [2][3]. - The real - estate market data shows a year - on - year decline, while the automotive market has seen year - on - year growth in production and sales. The supply of soda ash is increasing, and its futures price is expected to remain weak [2][46][54]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is a weak and oscillating market. The main reasons include the impact of the Qinghai Salt Lake incident on the supply side, subsequent inventory accumulation in glass, a decline in market speculation, high inventory in the middle - stream, and weakening demand from the real - estate market [2]. 3.2 Market Review 3.2.1 Spot Price - As of August 15, the market price of 5mm float glass was 1,150 yuan/ton in North China (-30), 1,110 yuan/ton in Central China (-80), and 1,220 yuan/ton in East China (-50). The futures price of the glass 01 contract closed at 1,211 yuan/ton last Friday, up 15 for the week [12]. 3.2.2 Basis and Spread - As of August 15, the price difference between soda ash and glass was 184 yuan/ton (-85). The basis of the glass 01 contract was -171 yuan/ton (-75), and the 09 - 01 spread was -165 yuan/ton (-32) [13]. 3.3 Profit - For the natural - gas production process, the cost was 1,588 yuan/ton (-4), and the gross profit was -368 yuan/ton (-46). For the coal - gas production process, the cost was 1,175 yuan/ton (-5), and the gross profit was -25 yuan/ton (-25). For the petroleum - coke production process, the cost was 1,102 yuan/ton (-4), and the gross profit was 8 yuan/ton (-76) [17][21]. 3.4 Supply - Last Friday, the daily melting volume of glass was 158,355 tons/day (unchanged). There were 223 production lines in operation, and there was no change in production lines last week [23]. 3.5 Inventory - As of August 15, the national inventory of 80 glass sample manufacturers was 6,342.6 million weight boxes (+157.9). Inventory increased in all regions, with significant increases in North China, Central China, and East China [27][33]. 3.6 Deep - processing - The order days of glass deep - processing increased slightly, showing a situation where the off - season was not as slack as usual. The comprehensive production - sales ratio of float glass on August 14 was 91% (+4%), the operating rate of LOW - E glass on August 15 was 47.59% (+0.49%), and the order days of glass deep - processing in mid - August were 9.65 days (+0.1) [37]. 3.7 Demand 3.7.1 Automotive - In July, China's automobile production was 2.591 million units, a month - on - month decrease of 203,000 units and a year - on - year increase of 305,000 units. Sales were 2.593 million units, a month - on - month decrease of 311,000 units and a year - on - year increase of 331,000 units. The retail volume of new - energy passenger cars in July was 987,000 units, with a penetration rate of 54% [46]. 3.7.2 Real - estate - In July, China's real - estate completion area was 24.6739 million square meters, a year - on - year decrease of 29%. The new construction area was 48.4168 million square meters (-15%), the construction area was 54.0957 million square meters (-16%), and the commercial housing sales area was 57.0945 million square meters (-8%). From August 3 to August 10, the total commercial housing transaction area in 30 large - and medium - sized cities was 1.48 million square meters, a month - on - month decrease of 18% and a year - on - year decrease of 7%. The real - estate development investment in July was 692.24 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 17% [54]. 3.8 Soda Ash 3.8.1 Spot and Futures Prices - As of last weekend, the mainstream market price of heavy soda ash was 1,350 yuan/ton in North China (-50), 1,275 yuan/ton in East China (-75), 1,325 yuan/ton in Central China (unchanged), and 1,500 yuan/ton in South China (unchanged). The soda ash 2509 contract closed at 1,395 yuan/ton last Friday (+63) [56][61]. 3.8.2 Cost and Profit - The cost of the ammonia - soda process for soda ash enterprises was 1,296 yuan/ton (-9), and the gross profit was 34 yuan/ton (-22). The cost of the joint - production process was 1,730 yuan/ton (-60), and the gross profit was 9 yuan/ton (-60) [62][64]. 3.8.3 Production, Inventory, and Consumption - Last week, the domestic soda ash production was 761,300 tons (a month - on - month increase of 16,700 tons), including 429,700 tons of heavy soda ash (a month - on - month increase of 6,300 tons) and 331,600 tons of light soda ash (a month - on - month increase of 10,400 tons). The loss was 110,400 tons (a month - on - month decrease of 16,800 tons). As of August 15, the national in - factory inventory of soda ash was 1.8938 million tons (a month - on - month increase of 28,700 tons), including 1.1338 million tons of heavy soda ash (a month - on - month decrease of 13,700 tons) and 760,000 tons of light soda ash (a month - on - month increase of 42,400 tons). The weekly apparent demand for heavy soda ash last week was 443,400 tons, a week - on - week increase of 64,700 tons; the apparent demand for light soda ash was 289,200 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 7,400 tons. The production - sales ratio of soda ash last week was 96.23% [72][78][86].
大越期货玻璃早报-20250818
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-08-18 02:16
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号:F03105325 投资咨询证号:Z0021337 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-8-18 每日观点 玻璃: 1、基本面:玻璃生产利润修复,行业冷修速度放缓,开工率、产量下降至历史同期低位;深加工 订单不及往年同期,终端需求偏弱;偏空 2、基差:浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货1088元/吨,FG2601收盘价为1211元/吨,基差为-123元,期 货升水现货;偏空 3、库存:全国浮法玻璃企业库存6342.60万重量箱,较前一周增加2.55%,库存在5年均值上方运 行;偏空 4、盘面:价格在20日线下方运行,20日线向上;中性 5、主力持仓:主力持仓净空,空增;偏空 6、预期:宏观利好消退,玻璃基本面疲弱,短期预计震荡运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多: 1、"反内卷"政策影响下,浮法玻璃行业存产能出清预期。 利空: ...
三峡新材(600293.SH):2025年中报净利润为-2699.30万元,同比由盈转亏
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 01:11
公司摊薄每股收益为-0.02元,较去年同报告期摊薄每股收益减少0.05元,同比较去年同期下降166.67%。 公司最新总资产周转率为0.19次,较去年同期总资产周转率减少0.06次,同比较去年同期下降23.81%。最新存货周转率为3.04次,较去年同期存货周转率减 少0.93次,同比较去年同期下降23.50%。 公司股东户数为4.41万户,前十大股东持股数量为4.80亿股,占总股本比例为41.38%,前十大股东持股情况如下: 公司最新资产负债率为43.62%,较上季度资产负债率减少0.78个百分点,较去年同期资产负债率减少2.66个百分点。 公司最新毛利率为-0.65%,较上季度毛利率减少3.67个百分点,较去年同期毛利率减少11.06个百分点。最新ROE为-1.57%,较去年同期ROE减少3.44个百分 点。 2025年8月18日,三峡新材(600293.SH)发布2025年中报。 公司营业总收入为6.25亿元,较去年同报告期营业总收入减少2.43亿元,同比较去年同期下降28.01%。归母净利润为-2699.30万元,较去年同报告期归母净 利润减少5977.91万元,同比较去年同期下降182.33%。经营活 ...
三峡新材: 湖北三峡新型建材股份有限公司2025年半年度报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-17 16:11
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the significant decline in the company's financial performance in the first half of 2025, with a notable drop in revenue and profits due to industry challenges and market conditions [2][3]. Company Overview and Financial Indicators - Company Name: Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Co., Ltd [2] - Stock Code: 600293 [2] - Major Financial Data for H1 2025: - Revenue: 625.46 million yuan, down 28.01% from the previous year [2] - Total Profit: -25.23 million yuan, a decrease of 168.45% [2] - Net Profit attributable to shareholders: -26.99 million yuan, down 182.33% [2] - Net cash flow from operating activities: -68.99 million yuan, a decline of 270.27% [2] - Total assets: 3.30 billion yuan, down 1.29% from the end of the previous year [2] Industry and Main Business Analysis - The company operates in the non-metallic mineral products industry, specifically in glass manufacturing, which is characterized by structural overcapacity and supply-demand imbalance [3][4]. - The glass industry is facing challenges due to a decline in real estate investment, with a 11.2% year-on-year decrease in real estate development investment in H1 2025 [3]. - The company focuses on producing flat glass and special functional glass, with a goal to expand into high-end products such as ultra-thin and ultra-white glass [4][12]. Production and Sales Performance - In H1 2025, the company produced 12.29 million heavy boxes of flat glass, with a sales volume of 10.85 million heavy boxes, achieving a sales rate of 88.28% [12]. - The company also produced 7.5 million square meters of LOW-E glass, with a sales rate of 97.44% [12]. Strategic Directions and Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance its product structure by developing new products like European gray glass and expanding into high-value sectors such as electronic glass and photovoltaic glass [12][16]. - The company is implementing a "small line merging into large line" strategy to optimize cost structures and improve production efficiency [12][14]. - The focus is on technological innovation and enhancing the supply chain to maintain competitive advantages in the market [19].
三峡新材: 湖北三峡新型建材股份有限公司关于取消监事会暨修订《公司章程》的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-17 16:11
Core Points - The company has decided to abolish the supervisory board and amend its articles of association, allowing the audit committee of the board to assume the supervisory functions [1][2] - The current supervisors will be relieved of their duties once the shareholders' meeting approves the proposal, and the company expresses gratitude for their contributions [2] - The amendments to the articles of association are in accordance with relevant laws and regulations, and will include the removal of references to the supervisory board [1][2] Summary of Key Changes - The supervisory board will be abolished, and its functions will be transferred to the audit committee of the board [1][2] - The articles of association will be revised to reflect the changes, including the removal of terms related to the supervisory board [1][2] - The company will ensure that the internal supervision mechanism remains effective despite the changes [1][2]
三峡新材: 湖北三峡新型建材股份有限公司章程(2025年8月)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-17 16:11
Core Points - Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Co., Ltd. was established as a joint-stock company and registered with the Hubei Provincial Administration for Industry and Commerce, obtaining a business license with a unified social credit code [2] - The company issued 55 million ordinary shares to the public on August 28, 2000, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on September 19, 2000 [2] - The registered capital of the company is RMB 1,160,145,046 [2] Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: General Principles - The company is a permanent joint-stock company [3] - The chairman serves as the legal representative of the company, and upon resignation, a new legal representative must be appointed within 30 days [3] - The company's assets are divided into equal shares, and shareholders are liable for the company's debts only to the extent of their subscribed shares [3] Chapter 2: Business Objectives and Scope - The company's business objective is to focus on economic benefits, capital operation, and asset management to ensure sustainable development and maximize shareholder interests [4] - The business scope includes glass manufacturing, technical glass products manufacturing and sales, non-metallic minerals and products sales, and new material technology research and development [5] Chapter 3: Shares - The company's shares are in the form of stocks, with a total of 1,160,145,046 shares, all of which are ordinary shares [6] - The issuance of shares follows principles of openness, fairness, and justice, ensuring equal rights for all shareholders [6] Chapter 4: Company Party Committee - The company establishes a party organization to conduct activities and ensure compliance with the Communist Party's regulations [10] - The party committee plays a leadership role in major company decisions and ensures alignment with national policies [11] Chapter 5: Shareholders and Shareholders' Meeting - Shareholders have rights to dividends, participate in meetings, supervise the company, and request information [15] - The shareholders' meeting is the company's authority body, responsible for electing directors, approving financial reports, and making significant corporate decisions [54]
建筑材料行业周报:基本面疲软,期待更多地产政策-20250817
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 13:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing weak fundamentals, with expectations for more supportive real estate policies [1] - The sector saw a net capital outflow of 517 million yuan during the week, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in municipal engineering projects due to improved government fiscal policies [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of August 15, 2025, the national cement price index is 335.75 yuan/ton, a slight decrease of 0.06% from the previous week [3] - The cement output was 2.608 million tons, down 1.27% week-on-week, with a clinker capacity utilization rate of 51.74%, down 13.01 percentage points [3][16] - The cement industry faces challenges including slowing infrastructure growth, increasing differentiation in housing construction, and intense competition in the civil market [16] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1235.66 yuan/ton, reflecting a decline of 3.08% from the previous week [3] - Inventory levels for float glass have increased, indicating ongoing supply-demand imbalances [6] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass remains stable, with slight fluctuations in demand due to seasonal factors [7] - The report notes a potential recovery in demand for wind power fiberglass as bidding volumes increase [2] Consumer Building Materials - Consumer building materials are benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [2] - The report recommends stocks such as Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials for their long-term market share growth potential [9] Carbon Fiber Market - The carbon fiber market is showing signs of slow recovery, with a production rate of 61.49% and an increase in inventory levels [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring price stabilization in the context of improving economic expectations [2]
行业周报:大基建继续维稳经济,建材反内卷进行时-20250817
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 10:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is benefiting from significant infrastructure projects, such as the establishment of the new Tibet Railway Company with a registered capital of 95 billion yuan, which is expected to drive GDP growth by approximately 0.18 percentage points annually [3] - The report highlights key companies in the consumer building materials segment, including Sankeshu (channel expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproofing leader), Weixing New Materials (high retail business proportion), and Jianlang Hardware [3] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from the National Development and Reform Commission's energy-saving and carbon reduction initiatives, aiming to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025 [3] - The report also notes the positive impact of "equal tariffs" on glass fiber leaders with overseas production bases, enhancing profitability [3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The construction materials index increased by 2.88% in the week from August 11 to August 15, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.51 percentage points [4][13] - Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 8.87%, while the construction materials index increased by 16.67%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 7.80 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 25.61%, and the construction materials index rose by 35.30%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 9.69 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of August 15, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement in China was 275.14 yuan/ton, reflecting a 0.52% increase from the previous period [6][23] - The cement clinker inventory ratio was 66.18%, down by 1.30 percentage points [6][23] - Regional price variations were noted, with Northeast China seeing a 2.64% increase, while North China experienced a 0.75% decrease [6][23] Glass Sector - The average spot price of float glass as of August 15, 2025, was 1209.38 yuan/ton, down by 3.97% [6][77] - The average price of photovoltaic glass was 116.41 yuan/weight box, reflecting a slight increase of 0.13% [6][85] - National float glass inventory increased by 118 million weight boxes, a rise of 2.15% [6][79] Glass Fiber Sector - The market prices for various types of glass fiber remained stable, with some flexibility in transactions [6][4] - The report indicates that the glass fiber sector is also experiencing positive trends, with specific companies highlighted for their performance [6][4] Consumer Building Materials - The report notes that raw material prices for consumer building materials are maintaining a slight fluctuation trend [6][4] - Key companies in this segment are also tracked for their valuation performance [6][4]
三峡新材:2025年半年度净利润约-2699万元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-17 09:21
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Sanxia New Materials (SH 600293) reported a significant decline in its half-year performance for 2025, with a revenue drop of 28.01% year-on-year [2] - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 is approximately 625 million yuan [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company is a loss of approximately 26.99 million yuan, with a basic earnings per share loss of 0.02 yuan [2]
三峡新材:上半年亏损2699.3万元 同比由盈转亏
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-17 08:19
人民财讯8月17日电,三峡新材(600293)8月17日晚间发布2025年半年度报告,上半年实现营业收入 6.25亿元,同比下降28.01%;归母净利润-2699.3万元,同比由盈转亏;基本每股收益-0.02元。 ...