海大集团（002311）公告，2025年第一季度营收为256.29亿元，同比增长10.60%；净利润为12.82亿 元，同比增长48.99%。 ...

数据四舍五入，查看更多财务数据>> 一、主要会计数据和财务指标 | 报告期指标 | 2024年年报 | 2023年年报 | 本年比上年增减(%) | 2022年年报 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益（元） | 0.0400 | -0.8400 | 104.76 | 0.0300 | | 每股净资产（元） | 1.88 | 1.79 | 5.03 | 2.6 | | 每股公积金(元) | 2.5 | 2.45 | 2.04 | 2.45 | | 每股未分配利润(元) | -1.71 | -1.75 | 2.29 | -0.93 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | - | - | - | - | | 营业收入(亿元) | 45.62 | 40.4 | 12.92 | 39.74 | | 净利润(亿元) | 0.3 | -6.6 | 104.55 | 0.2 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 2.01 | -36.51 | 105.51 | 1.03 | 二、前10名无限售条件股东持股情况 前十大流通股东累计持有： 31751.84万股，累计占流通股比： 39.47% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the weak fluctuation of pig prices, with expectations of a downward trend in the short term and a long-term weak operation in 2025 due to increased supply and weak demand [4][14] - The poultry sector may see price improvements due to the impact of tariffs and a shortage of quality breeding stock caused by avian influenza [5][28] - The animal health sector is expected to benefit from improved downstream demand and external expansion opportunities, with rising prices for key products like Tylosin [6][41] - The planting sector is experiencing price fluctuations for major grains, with a focus on the commercialization of genetically modified seeds [8][46] - The feed sector is seeing a decline in prices, with recommendations for companies like Haida Group [8][49] - The pet market continues to grow rapidly, with strong performance from domestic brands and recommendations for companies in the pet food and medical sectors [8][54][57] Summary by Sections Pig Industry - Pig prices are expected to adjust slightly, with a forecast of weak performance in 2025 due to increased supply [4][14] - As of April 10, 2025, the average price of live pigs is 14.6 CNY/kg, with no change from the previous week [14] Poultry Industry - The poultry sector may see price increases due to tariff impacts and a lack of quality breeding stock [5][28] - The average price of broiler chickens is 3.75 CNY/lb, reflecting a weekly increase [28] Animal Health - The animal health sector is experiencing improved profitability, with Tylosin prices rising significantly [6][41] - The report suggests focusing on companies with expected external expansion, such as Reap Bio [6] Planting Sector - Major grain prices are fluctuating, with corn priced at 2199 CNY/ton and wheat at 2422 CNY/ton [8][46] - The report recommends companies involved in genetically modified seed development [8] Feed Sector - Feed prices are declining, with pig feed at 3.35 CNY/kg [8][49] - The report suggests focusing on companies like Haida Group due to expected industry consolidation [8] Pet Industry - The pet market is projected to reach 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.5% [8][54] - Recommendations include companies like Guobao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which are experiencing significant growth [8][57]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the agricultural sector is expected to outperform the overall market [2][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic value of the agricultural sector under the backdrop of unexpected tariff policies and the "internal circulation + self-control" approach, highlighting investment opportunities across various sub-sectors [5][3]. - The report notes a significant increase in online sales of pet food, with March sales reaching 2.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23% and a month-on-month increase of 44% [3][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Agricultural Sector Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural Index rose by 3.3%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 2.9% during the week [3][4]. - Top five gainers included Shen Nong Technology (35.7%), Xin Sai Co. (32.2%), Jin He Biological (28.8%), Wanxiang De Nong (24.9%), and Bei Da Huang (19.7%) [4][12]. Livestock Farming - Swine prices are expected to fluctuate, with the average price for external three yuan pigs at 14.80 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.4% [3][13]. - The report anticipates a potential decline in pig prices due to increased supply in the second quarter, suggesting a left-side investment opportunity in the sector [3][5]. Poultry Farming - The price of white chicken chicks continues to weaken, with the average price at 2.54 yuan/chick, a week-on-week decrease of 7.64% [3][5]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring consumer demand, particularly in the restaurant and catering sectors, as a key factor affecting the poultry market [3][5]. Pet Food Industry - The report indicates that domestic brands are likely to gain market share as the cost-effectiveness of imported pet food declines [5][3]. - Key companies in the pet food sector, such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhong Chong Co., reported significant growth in sales, with Guai Bao Pet achieving a 47% year-on-year increase in March [3][5]. Seed Industry - The necessity for self-control in the seed industry is increasingly evident, with a push towards biological breeding and accelerated industrialization [5][3]. - The report recommends focusing on companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong in the seed sector [5][3].

招商证券发布研报称，猪价整体仍处下行期，但猪企成本方差仍较大，优质龙头猪企或可凭借成本优势 获取可观盈利，持续修复资产负债表。后周期需求维持弱修复趋势，龙头饲企市场份额有望持续提升。 生猪养殖方面，24年母猪产能增长缓慢，对应25年生猪供给增幅相对有限，行业不同养殖主体成本方差 仍较大，优质猪企有望凭借低成本优势获取可观利润、持续修复资产负债表。后周期方面，在下游养殖 端仍有盈利的背景下，行业存栏缓慢恢复，带动后周期的饲料、动保产品需求呈现弱修复趋势。同时， 中美互加关税或加剧玉米、豆粕等饲料原料价格波动，龙头饲企采购端优势或进一步凸显，有望取得市 占率的持续提升。 招商证券主要观点如下： 风险提示：畜禽及粮食价格波动超预期，突发大规模不可控疾病，重大食品安全事件，上市公司销量/ 成本不达预期等。 2)成本方面，受益于饲料原料价格的持续下行，以及猪企内部管理持续精进，25Q1，上市猪企成本改 善明显，但方差仍较大，我们估算，上市猪企养殖完全成本大都降至16.0元/公斤以内，优质猪企完全 成本已降至13.0元/公斤以内。 3)出栏量方面，上市猪企出栏明显放量，25Q1，15家上市猪企生猪出栏量4673万头，同比 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for increased planting area due to the approval of the third batch of genetically modified crops, which includes 97 corn and 2 soybean varieties [5][15] - The report indicates that domestic companies focusing on high-yield genetically modified soybeans may benefit from reduced overseas supply due to trade tensions between China and the U.S. [6][17] - The report emphasizes the recovery potential in the pig farming sector, with rising prices supported by increased demand and reduced imports of meat [20][26] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The third batch of genetically modified crops has been approved, which is expected to increase the planting area significantly, with projections suggesting that the planting area for genetically modified corn may exceed 5 million acres by 2025 [5][15] - The approval of genetically modified crops aligns with national policies aimed at strengthening food security and promoting agricultural innovation [15][35] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig farming sector shows low valuation and recovery potential, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [26] - The pet food market is expected to grow significantly, driven by rising consumer spending and domestic brands gaining market share [29] Market Performance - The agriculture index outperformed the market by 6.38 percentage points, with significant gains in the planting sector [30][33] - Key stocks such as Western Animal Husbandry and Shennong Technology saw substantial increases in their share prices [34] Price Tracking - As of April 11, the average price of live pigs was 14.66 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [37] - The average price of beef also saw an increase, reaching 67.21 yuan/kg [43]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [12] Core Views - The pig sector shows a narrowing increase in breeding sows, indicating a need to focus on the expectation gap in the pig market [1][3] - The poultry sector, particularly broilers, is experiencing low valuations and potential elasticity in prices due to supply and demand dynamics [19][21] - The planting sector emphasizes food security and the strategic importance of biological breeding, with a focus on self-sufficiency [23] - The pet sector is witnessing a rise in domestic brands and exports, indicating a robust growth trajectory [24][25] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to its fundamental turning point and relatively low valuations [26] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of April 12, the average price of pigs in China is 14.70 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week, with a profit of approximately 164 CNY per head for self-breeding farms [1][16] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in average weight of pigs slaughtered, while demand remains weak, leading to a potential seasonal decline in prices [2][17] - The sector is characterized by low valuations, with major companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs trading at historical lows [3][18] Poultry Sector - The broiler market faces uncertainties due to import restrictions and trade tensions, impacting supply [19][20] - Prices for broiler chicks have increased, with the average price for broiler chicks in Shandong at 3.25 CNY per chick [20] - Investment recommendations include Shengnong Development and Yisheng Livestock, with a focus on the potential for price recovery [20][21] Planting Sector - The report highlights the importance of food security, with significant imports of soybeans, corn, and wheat from the US [23] - The government is pushing for advancements in agricultural technology, particularly in biological breeding [23] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [23] Pet Sector - The domestic pet brand market is growing rapidly, with sales on Douyin reaching 818 million CNY in March, a year-on-year increase of 24.32% [24] - Exports of pet food are also increasing, with a total of 52,800 tons exported in the first two months of 2025, reflecting a 17.11% year-on-year growth [24][25] - Key companies to watch include Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [25] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to improving market conditions in aquaculture feed [26] - The report notes a significant recovery in prices for various aquatic products, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [26][27]

Core Viewpoint - Haida Group expects a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, driven by overseas market expansion and effective risk management in pig farming [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 1.2 billion to 1.3 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.42% to 51.04% [1]. - The non-recurring net profit is expected to grow by 57.96% to 71.13% year-on-year [1]. - In 2024, Haida Group achieved a net profit of 4.516 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.73% [4]. Group 2: Sales and Market Expansion - In Q1 2025, Haida Group's feed sales reached approximately 5.95 million tons, a year-on-year increase of about 25% [1][3]. - The company’s total feed sales for 2024 are projected to be around 26.5 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 9% [2]. - The growth in sales is primarily driven by poultry and aquaculture feed, with poultry feed sales increasing by 12% and aquaculture feed sales by 11% [2]. Group 3: Risk Management and Supply Chain - Haida Group has diversified its supply chain by sourcing corn domestically and importing soybeans from multiple countries, reducing reliance on any single country [1][6]. - The company employs a centralized procurement model combined with futures hedging to mitigate raw material price volatility [6]. - The agricultural sector, particularly the livestock breeding segment, has shown resilience amid the ongoing tariff conflicts, with Haida Group positioned as a leading player [6].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 10 年 月 日 海大集团（002311.SZ） 公司发布 2025 年第一季度业绩预告，预计 2025 年第一季度实现归母净 利润 12-13 亿元，同比增长 39.42%-51.04%，扣非净利润 12-13 亿元， 同比增长 57.96%-71.13%，一季度业绩超预期。 业绩表现亮眼，饲料主业销量实现较好增长。一季度公司饲料外销量约 595 万吨，同比增长约 25%，同时公司积极开拓海外市场，通过在越南、 印尼、厄瓜多尔、埃及等目标市场当地建厂，海外业务不断取得进展。展 望未来，公司将坚定不移向短期 2025 年 300 万吨外销增量、中期 2030 年有望达到 5150 万吨，目标清晰，可兑现度高。 生猪利润超预期，养殖业务稳健推进。专业能力持续提升，公司摸索并推 行"外购仔猪公司+家庭农场、锁定利润、对冲风险"的运营模式，生猪 套保业务实现良好利润。在生猪养殖成本逐步下降下，2025 年全年公司 生猪养殖业务有望实现较好利润。 另外，公司饲料行业受关税政策对产业影响较少。近年来，饲料行业供应 链条安全、可控，原材料玉米以国内自产 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.2 to 1.3 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.42% to 51.04% [1] - The feed business has shown strong sales growth, with external feed sales reaching approximately 5.95 million tons in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 25% [1] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence by establishing local factories in countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia, Ecuador, and Egypt [1] - The pig farming business is expected to generate good profits in 2025 due to a decrease in breeding costs and the implementation of a risk-hedging operational model [1] - The company has a clear target for external sales growth, aiming for an increase of 3 million tons in the short term for 2025 and 51.5 million tons by 2030 [1] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 104.715 billion yuan in 2022, with projected revenues of 116.117 billion yuan in 2023 and 127.923 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 21.6%, 10.9%, and 10.2% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.957 billion yuan in 2022, with projections of 4.516 billion yuan in 2024 and 5.229 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 64.8% and 15.8% respectively [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 1.78 yuan in 2022 to 3.14 yuan in 2025 [4] - The company maintains a healthy return on equity (ROE) of 20.3% in 2024, slightly decreasing to 20.2% in 2025 [4] Industry Insights - The feed industry is less affected by tariff policies due to a stable supply chain, with domestic corn production and diversified import channels for soybeans and soybean meal [2] - The company has developed various low-protein formula technologies and raw material substitution techniques, reducing reliance on imported soybeans [2]