Market Overview - The market experienced a day of volatility with all three major indices declining. Local stocks in Fujian surged, with companies like Fujian Expressway and Pingtan Development hitting the daily limit. The pharmaceutical sector also saw gains, with stocks like Renmin Tongtai and Haiwang Biological reaching the limit. The consumer sector was active, with stocks such as Maoye Commercial and Huifa Food also hitting the limit. Conversely, the consumer electronics sector fell, with Yunzuka Technology hitting the limit down, and the lithium battery sector adjusted, with Shida Shenghua dropping over 7% [1] Hot Topics Fujian Free Trade Zone - The Fujian Free Trade Zone concept saw a significant rise, with stocks like Hefuchina and Pingtan Development hitting the limit again. Hai Xin Food achieved a five-day limit increase, and several other stocks also reached the limit. The catalyst for this surge includes the recent formulation of policies by Fujian Province to implement the Central Government's directives on cross-strait integration development, comprising 12 measures across three areas. Additionally, major projects such as the second water supply channel to Kinmen and the Quanjin Expressway have been approved for planning and construction [4][13] Aerospace Sector - The aerospace sector remained active, with Tongyu Communications achieving a four-day limit increase, and companies like Aerospace Development, Leike Defense, and Shunhao Co. also seeing three-day limit increases. Analysts predict that with a clear policy framework, commercial aerospace will enter a phase of high-frequency launches starting in 2026. From 2027, the proportion of reusable rockets is expected to rise annually, with projections indicating that by 2030, the market size for China's rocket launches could exceed 110 billion yuan [6][8][14] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector showed strength, with stocks like Dream Home, Shilian Hang, and Haolaike hitting the limit. The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced the pilot program for commercial real estate investment trusts (REITs), which is expected to enhance asset liquidity and promote value reassessment for related enterprises. Recent policies in various regions are also being developed to support the sale of existing homes, indicating a shift towards new development models in real estate [9][11][10]

Group 1 - China's outbound direct investment continues to grow steadily, solidifying its position as a major investor globally, despite a decline in global cross-border direct investment [1] - Chinese enterprises are distributed across 190 countries, with nearly half of the top 20 investment destinations in 2024 being developed countries [1] - Investment in countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 234.15 billion RMB in the first ten months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.3% [1] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector saw its highest investment flow in 2024, increasing by 45.3% compared to 2020 [1] - The service industry, characterized by light assets, has flourished, with investments in logistics, R&D, business, and finance growing, extending the investment value chain [2] - In 2024, outbound investments contributed to $211 billion in goods exports, 1.2 times that of 2020 [2] Group 3 - Chinese outbound investments have improved infrastructure in host countries, enhancing employment and tax revenues, and accelerating their green and digital transformation [2] - In 2024, Chinese enterprises paid a total of $82.1 billion in various taxes to host countries, employing 5.021 million people, with 3.304 million being local employees [2] - The focus on localization in investment strategies is emphasized, aiming to enhance sustainable development capabilities in host countries [3]

证券研究报告|固收研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 01 日 [Table_Title] 信用利差低位还能持续多久 [Table_Title2] 2025 信用月报之十一 [Table_Summary] 11 月，信用债收益率普遍上行，高评级品种、3Y 和 10Y 表现相对 较弱。信用利差走势分化，1Y 利差基本持平，3Y 利差走扩 3- 6bp，AA+及以下 5Y 利差则收窄 5-8bp。 信用债买盘力量由强转弱，1 年以内成交占比持续上升。分机构 看，11 月基金净买入信用债规模仍较大，而理财、其他资管产品、 货基净买入信用债规模均同比下降。其中，基金净买入 3-5 年信用 债 208亿元，占比达19%，背后或有摊余债基的配置需求推动，11 月摊余债基封闭期 63 个月、60 个月产品打开规模约 364 亿元。 2025年 7月中旬以来，信用利差整体呈现低位震荡格局。往后看， 信用利差低位还能维持多久、哪些因素可能触发信用利差走扩、信 用利差低位震荡期如何配置，都是市场关心的问题。我们以史为 鉴，以期为信用债投资提供指引。 第二，信用利差低位震荡阶段，各品种表现分化，性价比较高且 ...

Economic Trends - The WEI index decreased to 4.62% as of November 23, down from 5.42% the previous week, indicating a downward trend in economic activity[3] - Passenger car retail sales showed a slight improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 7% as of November 23, compared to a previous decline of 9%[2] - Port container throughput rebounded significantly, with a month-on-month increase of 5.4% as of November 23, and a year-on-year increase of 10% over the past four weeks[2] Real Estate and Construction - Residential sales continued to decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 35% in transaction area across 67 cities as of November 29[3] - The average land premium rate across 100 cities was 0.88% as of November 23, indicating low volatility[14] - Cement dispatch rates remained low, at 33.4% in the third week of November, unchanged from the previous week and down from 36.5% year-on-year[18] Commodity Prices - Precious metals and agricultural product prices increased, with COMEX gold rising by 3.4% to $4223.9 per ounce and LME copper increasing by 2.7% to $10,985 per ton[2] - Domestic agricultural prices generally rose, with vegetable prices up 1.9% and egg prices up 1.2%, while pork prices fell by 0.4%[49] Trade and Exports - New export orders index for China's manufacturing sector rose to 47.6% in November, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the previous month[25] - The number of outbound container ships from China to the U.S. showed a year-on-year decline of 7.4% as of November 29, an improvement from a decline of 16.9% in October[25] Interest Rates and Debt - As of November 28, the yields on 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year government bonds were 1.4017%, 1.6183%, and 1.8412%, respectively, with slight increases from the previous week[71] - The issuance of local government bonds reached 504 billion yuan in the week ending December 1, with 390 billion yuan in special bonds[54]

红利板块今日震荡上行，截至收盘，中证红利价值指数上涨1.0%，中证红利指数、中证红利低波动指数上涨0.8%，恒生港股通高股息低波动指数上涨 0.4%。资金布局态势明显，Wind数据显示，恒生红利低波ETF（159545）和红利ETF易方达（515180）上周分别获7.2亿元和2.9亿元资金净流入。 据悉，易方达基金是目前唯一一家红利类ETF全部实行低费率的基金公司，恒生红利低波ETF（159545）、红利ETF易方达（515180）、红利低波动ETF （563020）、红利价值ETF（563700）、A500红利低波ETF（563510）等产品的管理费率均为0.15%/年，可助力投资者低成本布局高股息资产。 每日经济新闻 | 该指数由50只股息率高且价值特征 | 今日 该指数涨跌 | 该指数 | 该指数自2014年 以来估值分位 | 该指数股息率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 突出的股票组成,反映分红水平高 | | 滚动市盈率 | | | | 且价值特征突出股票的整体表现, | | | | | | 银行、煤炭、交通运输行业合计占 | 1.0% | 8.0倍 | 75. ...

12月1日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3914.01点，上涨0.65%；深证成指收报13146.72点，上涨1.25%；创业板指收报3092.5点，上涨 1.31%。两市合计成交18739.38亿元，较上一交易日增加2881.42亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超3亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出9.06亿元，尾盘净流入10.36亿元，全天净流出3.43亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2025-12-1 | -3. 43 | -9.06 | 10. 36 | 40. 37 | | 2025-11-28 | 68. 25 | -61.72 | 40. 10 | 92. 02 | | 2025-11-27 | -186. 22 | -37.77 | -49. 42 | -81. 47 | | 2025-11-26 | -110. 12 | -71. 22 | -15. 41 | 20. 13 | | ...

Core Points - The Changshen Expressway Hehui Section expansion project has successfully passed acceptance inspection, enabling 8-lane traffic throughout the route, which connects Heyuan and Huizhou, enhancing traffic efficiency and regional development [1] - The project is a key engineering initiative under Guangdong's 14th Five-Year Plan, spanning approximately 116.6 kilometers, starting from Dongyuan County in Heyuan City and ending in Huiyang District of Huizhou City, upgraded to a dual 8-lane expressway standard [1] Infrastructure Improvements - The project features upgraded median green belts to a neat and simple anti-glare net, improving driving comfort and focusing on optimizing the dismantling structure and anti-corrosion technology to reduce maintenance risks [1] - PA-13 drainage noise-reducing pavement has been laid in key sections to enhance rainwater drainage efficiency and reduce driving noise, ensuring driving safety [1] - An active warning system has been established with integrated radar and intelligent luminous road studs in special sections, which change light color and frequency to send warning signals upon detecting traffic events [1] Economic Impact - Since its opening, the Yuegan and Huizhou Expressways have become a "golden corridor" driving local economic development, with green agricultural product supply bases and aquaculture parks established along the route [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Hong Kong stocks are expected to continue a wide range of fluctuations in December, driven by three main factors: potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, narrowing US-China interest rate differentials boosting the valuation of RMB assets, and the gradual improvement of the domestic economy under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is likely to enhance market liquidity in Hong Kong [1] - The narrowing of US-China interest rate differentials is expected to elevate the valuation of RMB assets, supporting the upward movement of Hong Kong stock valuations [1] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to gradually clarify and improve the fundamentals, potentially enhancing profit expectations for Chinese enterprises listed in Hong Kong [1] - Long-term prospects for 2026, as the starting year of the "14th Five-Year Plan," indicate that developments in new productivity sectors and easing US-China trade tensions will support the resilience of Hong Kong stocks [1] - The high-dividend sector is recommended for attention, particularly the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331), which tracks the high-dividend index of Hong Kong stocks [1]

今日早盘，红利板块震荡上行，截至午间收盘，中证红利价值指数上涨0.7%，中证红利低波动指数、中证红利指数均上涨0.6%，恒生港股通高股息低波动 指数上涨0.1%，恒生红利低波ETF（159545）半日净申购超1000万份。Wind数据显示，该ETF11月获近20亿元资金净流入，居全市场红利类ETF第一。 据悉，易方达基金是目前唯一一家红利类ETF全部实行低费率的基金公司，恒生红利低波ETF（159545）、红利ETF易方达（515180）、红利低波动ETF （563020）、红利价值ETF（563700）等产品管理费率均为0.15%/年，可助力投资者低成本布局高股息资产。 该指数由50只流动性好、连续分红、 红利支付率适中、每股股息正增长 以及股息率高目波动率低的股票组 成,反映分红水平高且波动率低的A 股上市公司股票的整体表现,银行、 交通运输、建筑装饰行业合计占比 超65% 截至午间收盘 该指数涨跌 恒生红利低波ETF 跟踪恒生港股通高股息低波动指 该指数由港股诵范围内50只流动性 较好、连续分红、红利支付率适中 且波动率较低的股票组成,反映分 红水平高且波动率低的港股通范围 内上市公司整体表现,金融、工 ...

◼ 2025 年 12 月最新持仓行业为：医药生物、交通运输、银行、非银金融、 机械设备。 证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20251201 从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪 202512 2025 年 12 月 01 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 证券分析师 高子剑 执业证书：S0600518010001 021-60199793 gaozj@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 凌志杰 执业证书：S0600525040007 lingzhj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟 踪 202511》 2025-11-03 东吴证券研究所 1 / 8 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 模型多空对冲绩效：以 2015/01/01-2025/11/30 为回测区间，五维行业轮 动模型在申万一级行业中，六分组多空对冲的年化收益率为 21.31%，年 化波动率为 10.79%，信息比率为 1.98，月度胜率为 72.80%，历史最大 回撤为 13.30%；多头对冲全市场行业等权组合的年化收益率为 10.48%， 年化波动率为 ...