Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of promoting the sustainable, healthy, and high-quality development of the private economy as a major long-term policy of the state [1] - As of July 4, there are 11,842 projects being promoted to private capital with a total investment of 10.19 trillion yuan [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has organized the introduction of over 3,200 new projects to private capital, involving a total investment exceeding 3 trillion yuan, focusing on key areas such as transportation, energy, and new infrastructure [3][4] Group 2 - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" since May 20 aims to ensure fair competition and promote investment financing, allowing private economic organizations to participate equally in various sectors [3] - The number of items in the "Market Access Negative List (2025 Edition)" has been reduced from 117 to 106, further relaxing market access restrictions [4] - Local governments have recently published project lists for private capital, with Beijing releasing 119 key projects totaling approximately 124.4 billion yuan, and Henan Province announcing 75 major projects with a total investment of 33 billion yuan [5][6] Group 3 - The current wave of project promotion signals a deepening of market-oriented reforms and optimization of resource allocation, aiming to attract private enterprises to enhance project construction and operational efficiency [7] - The focus on attracting private capital is particularly significant in areas such as technological innovation and new infrastructure, where private investment is seen as a crucial driver for industrial upgrading and high-quality economic development [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not provide the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Chinese economy is in a marginal de - leveraging process. The growth rate of the real - sector debt is expected to decline, and the government aims to stabilize the macro - leverage ratio. The large - scale debt resolution is beneficial for the overall economy [1][17]. - In the short term, the stock - bond ratio may fluctuate, but in the long run, it tends to favor bonds. The stock style tends to favor value stocks, and the bond configuration window is open, but the trading space is limited [16][22]. - During the de - leveraging cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equities to a limited extent, and value stocks are more likely to outperform. The recommended investment portfolio includes the Dividend Index (40% position), the Shanghai 50 Index (40% position), and the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF (20% position) [7][16][23]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 National Balance Sheet Analysis - **Liability Side**: In May 2025, the real - sector debt growth rate was 8.9%, down from 9.0% previously. It is expected to decline to around 8% by the end of the year. The government debt growth rate is expected to rise to 15.3% in June and then decline to around 12.5% by the end of the year. The money market has been loosening recently, but it is unlikely to remain so [1][17][18]. - **Asset Side**: The physical volume data in May was weaker than in April. The annual nominal economic growth target is around 4.9%. It remains to be seen whether this will be the central target for the next 1 - 2 years [5][19]. 3.2 Stock - Bond Ratio and Stock - Bond Style - Last week, the money market continued to loosen. The stock market was bullish, and the bond market was stable. The stock - bond ratio favored stocks, but the equity style shifted to value stocks. The short - and long - term bond yields were relatively stable [6][21]. - In the long run, during the de - leveraging cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors bonds, and the equity style favors value stocks. Currently, long - term bonds have a slightly higher cost - performance ratio than value - type equity assets [7][22]. 3.3 Industry Recommendation 3.3.1 Industry Performance Review - This week, the A - share market rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.25%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.5%. Among the Shenwan primary industries, steel, building materials, banks, pharmaceutical biology, and comprehensive sectors had the largest increases, while computer, non - bank finance, beauty care, transportation, and commercial retail sectors had the largest declines [28]. 3.3.2 Industry Crowding and Trading Volume - As of July 4, the top five crowded industries were electronics, computer, pharmaceutical biology, power equipment, and machinery equipment, while the bottom five were comprehensive, beauty care, petroleum and petrochemical, coal, and real estate. - This week, the top five industries with increased crowding were pharmaceutical biology, public utilities, electronics, machinery equipment, and building materials, while the top five with decreased crowding were non - bank finance, computer, banks, national defense and military industry, and automobiles. - The average daily trading volume of the whole A - share market slightly decreased compared to last week. Steel, building materials, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, pharmaceutical biology, and coal had the highest trading volume growth rates [30][31]. 3.3.3 Industry Valuation and Earnings - This week, among the Shenwan primary industries, steel, banks, building materials, pharmaceutical biology, and media had the largest increases in PE(TTM), while computer, non - bank finance, beauty care, transportation, and commercial retail had the largest declines. - As of July 4, 2025, industries with high 2024 full - year earnings forecasts and relatively low current valuations compared to history included coal, petroleum and petrochemical, transportation, beauty care, and consumer electronics [35][37]. 3.3.4 Industry Prosperity - **External Demand**: It generally recovered. The global manufacturing PMI rose from 49.5 to 50.3 in June, and most major economies' PMIs increased. The CCFI index decreased by 1.92% week - on - week. Port cargo throughput increased. South Korea's export growth rate rose from - 1.3% in May to 4.3% in June, and Vietnam's export growth rate slightly decreased from 21% in April to 20.7% in May [39]. - **Domestic Demand**: The second - hand housing price remained flat last week, and quantity indicators showed mixed trends. Highway truck traffic increased. The capacity utilization rate of ten industries rebounded in May and continued to rise in June. Automobile trading volume was at a relatively high level in the same period of history, new - home trading volume was at a historical low, and second - hand home trading volume declined seasonally [39]. 3.3.5 Public Fund Market Review - In the first week of July (June 30 - July 4), most active public equity funds underperformed the CSI 300. As of July 4, the net asset value of active public equity funds was 3.55 trillion yuan, slightly down from 3.66 trillion yuan in Q4 2024 [55]. 3.3.6 Industry Recommendation - During the de - leveraging cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equities to a limited extent, and value stocks are more likely to outperform. Dividend - type stocks should generally have three characteristics: no balance - sheet expansion, good earnings, and survival. - Based on these characteristics and the under - allocation situation in the public fund quarterly reports, the recommended A + H dividend portfolio includes 20 A + H stocks, and the A - share portfolio includes 20 A - share stocks, mainly concentrated in industries such as banks, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemical, and transportation [9][59].

Group 1 - The global economic landscape is shifting towards the ocean, with the recent Central Financial Committee meeting emphasizing the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy [1] - The marine economy is a significant part of the national economy, showing strong growth, with a reported 5.7% year-on-year increase in marine GDP in Q1 of this year [1] - The government is prioritizing the development of the marine economy, aiming to establish national marine economic development demonstration zones by 2025 [1] Group 2 - Technological innovation is identified as the core driving force for the development of the marine economy, with a need to enhance independent innovation capabilities in marine technology [2] - Efficient collaboration and industrial upgrading are crucial for high-quality development, requiring improved policy guidance and coordination across sectors [2] - The integration of marine fisheries with land-based food processing is essential for extending industrial chains and increasing added value [2] Group 3 - Harmonious human-ocean relationships are fundamental for sustainable marine economic development, necessitating the protection of marine ecosystems [3] - The construction of a strong marine nation is a strategic task for national rejuvenation, requiring a focus on innovation, collaboration, industrial upgrading, and ecological friendliness [3] - A comprehensive resource allocation through top-level design is necessary to enhance the vitality of the marine economy and contribute to global marine economic development [3]

Group 1 - The North Exchange's 50 Index increased by 2.73% in June 2025, outperforming the Sci-Tech Innovation Board but lagging behind the Growth Enterprise Market [3][6][11] - In the first half of 2025, the North Exchange's 50 Index surged by 39%, significantly outperforming other major indices, while the Specialized and New Index rose by 49% [3][6][11] - The top-performing sectors in June 2025 included oil and petrochemicals, media, and transportation, with notable companies achieving substantial gains [11][15][17] Group 2 - A total of 31 companies saw their stock prices rise by 20% or more in June 2025, with seven companies exceeding 40% growth, primarily in machinery and petrochemical sectors [15][16] - The overall price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for North Exchange A-shares reached 52x as of June 30, 2025, which is 141% of the Growth Enterprise Market's valuation and 91% of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board's valuation [21][30] - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable long-term growth and unique production capabilities, high-end manufacturing, and consumer sectors, as well as recent hot themes like defense and low-altitude economy [27][30] Group 3 - The trading volume on the North Exchange decreased to 269.90 billion shares in June 2025, with a slight drop in daily trading value to around 304 billion yuan [17][18] - The average daily turnover rate for the North Exchange was 69% in June 2025, down from 77% in May [17][19] - The report indicates that the North Exchange's market is expected to maintain a range-bound fluctuation, with a recommendation for investors to adopt a cautious approach [27][30] Group 4 - The report highlights the upcoming earnings disclosures for 23 companies in mid-August 2025, indicating a focus on companies with expected strong Q2 performance [28][30] - The North Exchange is in a normalization process for new stock issuances, with one company scheduled for IPO review next week [45]

证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] ESG 投资评级 —— 上次评级 —— 欧盟委员会提出《欧洲气候法》修订案，设定 2040 年减排目标 [Table_Industry] ESG 周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 07 月 05 日 [Table_Author] [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 郭雪 环保联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030002 邮 箱：guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 环保行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100001 邮 箱：wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 欧盟委员会提出《欧洲气候法》修订案，设定 2040 年减排目标 [T ...

Group 1 - The establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Colombia marks its 45th anniversary, with Colombia officially joining the high-quality co-construction of the "Belt and Road" initiative in May [2] - Bilateral trade between China and Colombia is projected to exceed $19.3 billion in 2024, representing a growth of over 1900 times compared to the initial years of diplomatic relations [2] - Colombia aims to enhance agricultural exports to China and seeks to attract more Chinese investments in agriculture, technology, and ecological protection [2] Group 2 - Chinese companies are involved in constructing the Bogotá Metro Line 1, which is the largest infrastructure project in Colombia's history [3] - A new shipping route connecting Shanghai, Peru's Chancay Port, and Colombia's Buenaventura Port was launched in February, further promoting economic cooperation and job creation in Colombia [3] - There is significant potential for agricultural technology cooperation between China and Colombia, particularly in the processing of specialty agricultural products like coffee and cocoa [3] Group 3 - The China-Latin America Forum, which has been operational for 10 years, serves as a crucial platform for regional integration and cooperation between Latin American countries and China [4] - Strengthening collaboration between Latin America and China can enhance the representation and voice of the Global South in global governance [4] - The relationship between Latin America and China is expected to deepen, with ongoing efforts to promote development agendas and enhance global dialogue [4]

Group 1: Service Consumption Comparison - China's service consumption ratio is not low compared to countries with a GDP below $25,000, averaging 53.8% in 2019, while countries below this threshold average 46.4%[28] - In contrast, China's service consumption ratio is lower than the average of 56.3% for countries with a GDP above $25,000[28] - Overall, China's consumption rate is 39.3%, which is significantly lower than the average of 55.2% for the 43 countries analyzed[5] Group 2: Consumption Structure Insights - China's household consumption rate is composed of 21.1% service consumption and 18.2% goods consumption, both lower than the averages of 28.4% and 26.8% respectively for the 43 countries[5] - The largest discrepancy in consumption structure is in "other goods and services," where China stands at 2.4% compared to the 43-country average of 10.6%[34] - Housing services in China account for 23.4% of total consumption, with self-owned housing rental equivalence at 15.1%, higher than the 12.5% average of the 43 countries[44] Group 3: Education and Healthcare Spending - Education spending in China is significantly higher at 8.4% compared to the 43-country average of 1.4%, indicating a strong emphasis on education[50] - Healthcare spending in China is also elevated at 6.4%, compared to the average of 2.7% for the 43 countries, ranking second globally[63] - Private healthcare expenditure in China is 6.0%, surpassing the 4.6% average of the 43 countries[63] Group 4: Transportation and Entertainment Expenditure - Transportation costs in China are lower, with transportation fees at 1.7% compared to the 2.6% average of the 43 countries, attributed to lower public transport prices[74] - Entertainment consumption is notably low in China, with cultural and entertainment services at only 0.6%, compared to the 3.4% average of the 43 countries[80] - Despite low entertainment spending, tourism consumption in China is relatively high at 1.2%, slightly above the 1.1% average of the 43 countries[80]

| 家用电 | 15.88 | -2.77 | 2.07 | 0.03 | -3.89 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 器 | | | | | | | 社会服 | 13.50 | 11.98 | 2.99 | -0.20 | -4.08 | | 务 | | | | | | | 环保 | 18.96 | 11.58 | 2.12 | -1.03 | -4.59 | | 医药生 物 | 68.04 | -1.48 | 2.49 | 0.39 | -5.73 | | 通信 | 32.51 | 17.15 | 1.87 | -0.85 | -15.10 | | 汽车 | 45.27 | -0.21 | 2.09 | -0.53 | -17.97 | | 基础化 工 | 71.27 | 1.70 | 2.66 | -1.22 | -21.74 | | 机械设 | 65.11 | -6.74 | 2.40 | -0.97 | -28.36 | | 备 | | | | | | | 国防军 | 32.96 | -12.68 | 3.05 | -0.91 | -29.30 | ...

Core Insights - The Shanghai Consumer Protection Committee reported a total of 150,113 consumer complaints in the first half of 2025, representing an 18.2% year-on-year increase [1] - The majority of complaints were related to goods, accounting for 67.1% of the total, with clothing, home goods, and household appliances being the top three categories [1] - Service-related complaints made up 32.9% of the total, with internet services, transportation, and beauty services leading the complaints [1] Complaint Categories - Goods complaints totaled 100,737, with clothing (22,810), home goods (17,572), and household appliances (7,966) being the most complained about [1] - Service complaints reached 49,376, with internet services (8,650), transportation (4,308), and beauty services (3,216) being the most frequent [1] Nature of Complaints - Contract issues constituted 52.09% of complaints, followed by after-sales service issues at 18.57%, and other quality-related problems at 29.34% [1] - Notably, there were 2,749 complaints related to trendy toys, highlighting consumer interest in emotional value, with issues primarily concerning delayed shipments and inadequate after-sales support [1] - The rise of second-hand platforms has led to challenges in verifying the authenticity of products during transactions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hongli Low Volatility ETF (512890) has seen significant inflows and performance, indicating strong investor interest and potential for continued growth in the low-volatility investment space [1][2]. Fund Performance - The Hongli Low Volatility ETF (512890) increased by 0.83% to a latest price of 1.211 CNY, with a turnover rate of 2.36% and a trading volume of 466 million CNY [1][2]. - From June 30 to July 3, the ETF experienced a net inflow of 770 million CNY over four consecutive trading days, bringing its latest circulating scale to 19.622 billion CNY, a new high since its inception [1][2]. Holdings and Investment Strategy - The ETF's top holdings include Chengdu Bank, Yageo, Industrial Bank, and others, with significant weightings in these stocks [3]. - The fund manager, Liu Jun, has positioned the ETF to outperform its benchmark, the CSI Low Volatility Index, with a year-to-date performance exceeding that of the benchmark [2][3]. Market Outlook - According to Xiangcai Securities, the core profitability of banks is improving, and earnings are expected to remain stable, which supports the ongoing appeal of dividend investments in the banking sector [3]. - The strategy of investing in "high dividend + regional growth" is likely to perform well during periods of slowing economic growth [3]. Investment Options - Investors seeking stable returns and low-risk alternatives can consider the Hongli Low Volatility ETF's linked funds, which include various classes such as A, C, I, and Y [4].