Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HKD 53.8, down from HKD 65.4 [5][13]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's Q3 2025 performance showed a total revenue increase of 22% year-on-year to RMB 113.1 billion, aligning with expectations, while adjusted net profit surged by 80.9% to RMB 11.31 billion, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 12.6% [1][5]. - The report highlights that the storage super cycle is a significant variable affecting Xiaomi's stock price and performance in 2026. Compared to other smartphone manufacturers, Xiaomi has advantages in smartphone shipment volume (third globally), high-end smartphone ratio, and a robust non-mobile business that is less impacted by storage costs [1][2]. - The report anticipates that storage price increases will affect Xiaomi's smartphone shipment volume, product pricing, and gross margins, leading to a downward revision of the 2026 smartphone shipment forecast to 165 million units from 182 million units, and gross margin to 10.7% from 12% [2][3]. Summary by Sections Smartphone/IoT/Internet Business - In Q3, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments reached 43.3 million units (+0.5% YoY), maintaining a global market share of 13.6%. Gross margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 11.1% amid rising storage costs [2]. - IoT business revenue grew by 5.6% YoY to RMB 27.6 billion, with gross margin improving by 1.4 percentage points to 23.9% [2]. - Internet business revenue increased by 10.8% YoY to RMB 9.4 billion, maintaining a high gross margin of 76.9% [2]. Automotive Business - The automotive segment began to turn profitable in Q3 2025, with deliveries reaching a record high of 109,000 units. Revenue increased by 37% quarter-on-quarter to RMB 25.9 billion, with a gross margin of 25.5%, up 8.4 percentage points YoY [2]. - The report maintains a 2026 automotive shipment forecast of 700,000 units, with expectations for continued profitability and growth driven by the company's high-end strategy and capacity ramp-up [2][3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report revises revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down by 0.3%/2.3%/1.9% and non-GAAP net profit forecasts down by 1.6%/7.6%/4.3% to RMB 43.4 billion, RMB 48.2 billion, and RMB 62.4 billion respectively [3][9]. - Using a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation method, the target price is set at HKD 53.8, corresponding to a 27x PE for 2026 [3][13].

Group 1 - The capital market policies in China have significantly increased in intensity over the past two years, focusing on supporting technological development [1] - The reform direction of the capital market aims to optimize resource allocation and guide orderly flow of factors to serve the development of new productive forces [1] - Recent technological breakthroughs in areas such as large models, robotics, smart vehicles, and quantum computing are driven by top-level policy design that enhances the innovation ecosystem [1] Group 2 - The strategic competition between China and the US has evolved from trade friction to technology, with the US intensifying technology restrictions on China [1] - External pressures have accelerated China's pace of independent innovation, transitioning from a "follower" to a "leader" in technology [1] - Significant breakthroughs have been achieved in key technology fields in China since 2024, including Huawei's Ascend chips nearing international leading performance and domestic humanoid robots breaking foreign monopolies [1] Group 3 - The Chinese technology sector is witnessing a shift from technological catch-up to partial leadership in certain areas, exemplified by iFlytek's large model capabilities surpassing international counterparts and BYD's electric platform technology being exported to international giants [1] - This "pressure-response-breakthrough" innovation paradigm is reshaping the global technology competition landscape [1] Group 4 - The Hong Kong stock market is gathering domestic AI core assets, covering the entire industry chain including computing power, models, software applications, and hardware terminals, positioning itself as a pioneer in the revaluation of Chinese assets [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) covers the entire technology industry chain, while the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) focuses on leading internet companies [3]

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Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's automotive division is expected to face significant challenges in 2026 due to reduced purchase tax subsidies and intensified competition, leading to a potential decline in gross margins next year, although Q4 of this year is anticipated to maintain a "good level" of performance [1][3][4]. Automotive Performance - Xiaomi's automotive division is on track to meet its annual delivery target of 350,000 vehicles, with over 100,000 new cars delivered in Q3 and a total of over 260,000 vehicles delivered in the first three quarters [3][4]. - The company aims to prioritize delivery volume in the short term while maintaining healthy gross margins despite the anticipated impact of reduced purchase tax subsidies on average selling price (ASP) and gross margins [4][15]. Memory Cost Impact - The rising memory costs are expected to significantly affect the gross margins of mobile and other products, driven by increased demand from AI and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) applications [6][9][10]. - Xiaomi has proactively secured supply agreements for 2026 to mitigate the impact of memory cost increases on its mobile business, although price adjustments may be necessary to offset some of the cost pressures [6][10][11]. High-End Market Strategy - Xiaomi is focusing on enhancing its presence in the high-end smartphone market, with a target of achieving 30 million high-end phone sales by 2030, despite the challenges posed by rising memory costs [14][26]. - The company has maintained a market share growth strategy, aiming to increase its share from 15.8% last year to approximately 17% this year [14][26]. AIoT and Smart Home Initiatives - Xiaomi has launched a unified operating system, Xiaomi OS, to enhance its IoT capabilities and improve user experience through deep integration of software and hardware [17][18]. - The company is exploring open-source smart home solutions, such as MI local, to advance its AIoT strategy and maintain ecosystem openness [24]. Overseas Expansion and Retail Strategy - Xiaomi is expanding its retail presence in East Asia and Europe, with plans to enter Latin America and Africa next year, while ensuring that its new retail model remains efficient and profitable [21][32]. - The company aims to open approximately 5,000 new stores in 2024 and 2025, focusing on improving the operational efficiency of existing stores [31][32]. Financial Management and Cost Control - The increase in operating expenses in the mobile and IoT segments is attributed to rising R&D costs and the expansion of the retail network, which requires time to reach optimal operational efficiency [33].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic implications of Seres' significant funding for research and development, particularly in the context of the low-altitude economy and its potential to reshape the company's future growth trajectory [2][10][40]. Group 1: Funding and R&D Allocation - Seres plans to raise a net amount of HKD 140.16 billion through its IPO, with 70% allocated for R&D [6][3]. - The high proportion of R&D funding has surprised the market, indicating Seres' ambition to explore new technological frontiers [3][7]. - The company has maintained a steady increase in R&D spending over the past three years, but this new funding suggests a significant expansion beyond current capabilities [4][10]. Group 2: Low-Altitude Economy Engagement - Seres has begun to engage with the low-altitude economy, although specific directions remain unclear [2][10]. - The company is reportedly in discussions with Xiaopeng Huitian regarding aviation range extenders, aiming to address the short-range issues of flying vehicles [11][13]. - A strategic cooperation agreement has been signed with the China Aerospace Electronic Technology Research Institute to promote technological innovation and project development [14]. Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The low-altitude economy is seen as a strategic opportunity for Seres, aligning with national policies that support this emerging industry [10][20]. - The company’s existing manufacturing capabilities and supply chain integration position it favorably in the eVTOL market, potentially allowing it to transition from traditional automotive manufacturing to aviation [20][22]. - Seres' approach may involve a hybrid model of manufacturing and service provision, similar to its existing automotive business model [29][30]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - The relationship between Seres and Huawei is evolving, with potential new roles as both companies explore the low-altitude economy [31][34]. - The company is preparing for a significant entry into the low-altitude market around 2026, coinciding with a shift from experimental to scalable commercial operations in the industry [21][40]. - If successful, Seres could redefine its business model and become a key player in the low-altitude economy, leveraging its automotive manufacturing expertise [40][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 101.8% year-on-year for Q3 2025, reaching 20.38 billion yuan, with automotive business revenue growing by 105.3% [3][4]. - The gross margin for the automotive business improved to 13.1%, driven by a decrease in costs, although it saw a slight decline from the previous quarter due to product updates [4]. - The company is optimistic about future performance, projecting Q4 2025 automotive sales between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.6% to 44.3% [5]. Revenue and Profitability - Q3 2025 revenue was 20.38 billion yuan, with automotive revenue at 18.05 billion yuan [3][4]. - The total gross profit for Q3 2025 was 4.1 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 20.1% [4]. - Non-GAAP net profit for Q3 2025 was a loss of 150 million yuan, marking a significant reduction in losses of 90.1% year-on-year [3]. Cost Management - R&D expenses for Q3 2025 were 2.43 billion yuan, up 48.7% year-on-year, reflecting increased costs associated with new product launches [5]. - Selling and administrative expenses were 2.49 billion yuan, a 52.6% increase year-on-year, primarily due to higher sales commissions and marketing costs [5]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 78.13 billion yuan in 2025, 110.81 billion yuan in 2026, and 131.64 billion yuan in 2027, with expected net profits turning positive in 2026 [8][9]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on intelligent products, including the launch of Robotaxi and the new generation of IRON humanoid robots, which are expected to enhance its market position [7][8].

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group reported Q3 2025 revenue of 113.12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the quarter was 11.31 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 80.9% [1] Business Segments - Revenue from the mobile and AIoT segment reached 84.11 billion yuan, with a modest year-on-year growth of 1.6% [1] - The smart electric vehicle and AI innovation segment achieved a record revenue of 29.01 billion yuan, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 199.2% [1]

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group reported a total revenue of 113.1 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3%, exceeding the expected 112.5 billion yuan [1] - The "Mobile × AIoT" segment generated revenue of 84.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [1] - The "Smart Electric Vehicles and AI Innovation" segment achieved a record revenue of 29 billion yuan, with a remarkable year-on-year growth of 199.2% [1] - The adjusted net profit for the quarter reached 11.3 billion yuan, marking a historical high with a year-on-year increase of 80.9% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the share reduction plan by Jianghehui, a major shareholder of Qianli Technology, led by Chairman Yin Qi and Vice Chairman Bao Yi, indicating potential changes in shareholder structure without significant impact on company governance [2][5]. Group 1: Share Reduction Details - Jianghehui plans to reduce its holdings by up to 2% (90.42 million shares) through block trading within three months starting from December 8, 2025 [2][5]. - The current market value of the shares held by Jianghehui exceeds 1 billion [2]. - Jianghehui holds 9 billion shares of Qianli Technology, representing a 19.91% stake, making it the second-largest shareholder [5][8]. Group 2: Management and Ownership Structure - Yin Qi is the actual controller of Jianghehui, while Bao Yi is the second-largest shareholder [7]. - Both Yin Qi and Bao Yi hold significant stakes in Jianghehui through their control of Jianghe Anlan Investment Partnership [7]. - Yin Qi directly holds 53% of Jianghe Anlan, while Bao Yi holds 26.1% [7]. Group 3: Company Performance - Qianli Technology reported a revenue of 6.946 billion and a net profit of 53 million for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net loss of 176 million after excluding non-recurring items [8]. - The company produced 64,171 vehicles and sold 81,053 vehicles in the first ten months of 2025 [9]. - Under Yin Qi's leadership, the stock price of Qianli Technology has doubled, increasing from a low of 5.62 to a high of 13.86 per share [10].

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group reported a total revenue of RMB 113.1 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.3% [1] - The "Smartphone × AIoT" segment generated RMB 84.1 billion, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, while the "Smart Electric Vehicles and AI Innovation" segment reached a record high of RMB 29 billion, growing by 199.2% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the quarter was RMB 11.3 billion, marking an 80.9% year-on-year increase [1] Business Performance - Xiaomi's smartphone shipments reached 43.3 million units in Q3 2025, a 0.5% increase year-on-year, maintaining a position among the top three global smartphone vendors with a market share of 13.6% [2] - The number of active users globally reached 741.7 million, an 8.2% increase year-on-year, and the number of connected IoT devices surpassed 1 billion, reaching 1,035.5 million, a 20.2% increase [2] - The company delivered 108,796 new vehicles in Q3 2025, setting a new record [2] Research and Development - Xiaomi's R&D expenditure for Q3 2025 was RMB 9.1 billion, a 52.1% increase year-on-year, with total R&D spending for the first three quarters reaching RMB 23.5 billion [2] - The number of R&D personnel reached a historical high of 24,871 [2] AI and Technology Innovations - Xiaomi launched the Xiaomi-MiMo-Audio voice open-source model in September 2025, achieving significant advancements in voice interaction and natural language processing [3] - The company introduced the Xiaomi Miloco smart home exploration plan, enabling natural language interaction with smart home systems [3] - The new Xiaomi Surge OS 3 was released, enhancing user experience and privacy features [4] Market Strategy and Sales - Xiaomi's high-end smartphone sales in mainland China accounted for 24.1% of total smartphone sales, a 4.1 percentage point increase year-on-year [4] - The company launched a customization service for Xiaomi cars, offering various personalized options [4] - Xiaomi's retail strategy expanded with over 18,000 stores in mainland China and approximately 300 overseas [5] - During the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival, Xiaomi achieved over RMB 29 billion in total payment amounts, with its smartphones ranking first in sales [5] - Capital expenditure for the first three quarters reached approximately RMB 13 billion, an 86.7% increase year-on-year [5]