在将韩国打造成全球最火热股市之前，李在明只是一个三十多岁的交易新手，月复一月地亏损。这段"被割韭菜"的痛苦经历，如今成为这位韩 国总统推动金融改革的动力——他坚信当年的亏损被控股股东的不公平交易一再放大。 自去年6月上台以来，李在明推行了一系列激进改革，包括股东权益平等化规则和强化董事会问责制。这些措施引爆了全球最大的股市涨势。23 日，韩国首尔综指涨幅扩大至2%，今年已上涨36%，较李在明就任时累计涨幅达115%，远超他竞选时提出的"Kospi 5000"目标。 这场涨势让李在明在韩国1400万散户投资者中成为"民间英雄"。据盖洛普韩国调查，他的支持率在2月中旬升至63%，创下三个多月来新高。改 革也在重塑韩国人的财富观念——房地产曾占家庭资产近四分之三，KB Securities全球投资策略师Peter S. Kim表示，"房地产相对金融资产的 过度集中即将逆转，这是未来十年韩国最深刻的趋势之一"。 但分析师仅将部分功劳归于李在明的改革。摩根大通韩国股票策略主管Mixo Das指出，全球AI热潮推动三星电子和SK海力士等韩国科技股上 涨，"改革很重要且确实有助于估值，但若说Kospi涨到5000仅因政府政 ...

Group 1 - Gold and silver prices experienced a sharp increase, with spot silver rising over 3% to $86.46 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up over 5% to $86.48 per ounce [3][4] - Spot gold opened with a quick rise, increasing over 1% before stabilizing, while COMEX gold futures rose over 2% to $5187 per ounce [4] - The increase in precious metals is attributed to geopolitical tensions, particularly the potential military actions by the U.S. against Iran, as reported by The New York Times [4][5] Group 2 - The South Korean stock market saw significant gains, with the composite index rising by up to 2%, reaching a new historical high [7] - Major stocks such as Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Motor increased by over 3%, while SK Hynix rose by 2% [8] - Economic analysts from ING noted that the Bank of Korea is likely to maintain its policy interest rate due to persistent inflation around 2% and ongoing financial instability [8][9]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：首席经济学家论坛 李迅雷系中泰国际首席经济学家、中国首席经济学家论坛副理事长 在过去30多年的研究经历中，我一直在与各种数据打交道，因为只有准确的数据及数据之间的相互比 对，得出的结论才能令人信服。在数据面前，所有的形容词、感叹句都显得苍白。 资料来源：Wind，中泰证券研究所（注：2025年为前三季度数据） 为何2025年的外贸顺差超过了1.19万亿美元，而出口金额占全球比重却是下降呢？这是因为我国出口价 格指数（美元）一直在往下走，从2023年至2025年，我国出口价格指数累计下跌了约19%，大大超越其 他发展中国家的跌幅。事实上，我国PPI在过去15年中的涨幅为零，我称之为"失去的十五年"。说明我 国产能过剩的问题在10多年前就非常突出了。 2010年至今：PPI定基指数涨幅为零 市场经济实质上就是供需关系不断变化下的各种交易行为，按我的理解，交易大致可以分两类，一类是 现实经济下商品和服务的交易，另一类是虚拟经济下货币、有价证券及衍生品的交易。透过这些交易行 为和交易数据，可以对国内经济乃至全球经济有一个更深入的认识，或者 ...

Group 1 - ASMPT (02166.HK) shares increased by 6% [1] - SMIC (00981.HK) shares rose by 4% [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) shares also saw a 4% increase [1]

【导读】黄金、白银直线拉升，韩国股市再创新高 今天是春节假期最后一天，一起来看下最新的市场情况及资讯。 黄金、白银直线拉升 2月23日，现货白银一度涨超3%，现报86.46美元/盎司。 现货黄金开盘快速拉升，一度涨超1%，随后震荡调整。 COMEX白银期货日内涨超5%，最新报86.48美元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货涨超2%，现报5187美元/盎司。 消息面上，据《纽约时报》报道，特朗普倾向于在未来几天对伊朗发动首轮打击。若首轮打击效果不佳，特朗普将考虑对伊朗发动更大规模袭击。 伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬当地时间2月21日表示，尽管敌人制造种种问题、给伊朗造成伤害，但伊朗人民绝不会屈服于敌人的霸凌和胁迫。 伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬2月22日在社交媒体平台发文称，近期伊朗与美国的谈判"带来了令人鼓舞的信号"，伊朗正持续密切关注美国的行动，并已针对任何 可能出现的局面做好了一切必要准备。 此外，据央视新闻报道，2月20日拍摄的卫星图像显示，美国在约旦的穆沃费格萨勒提空军基地部署了超过60架军用飞机，这一数字大约是通常部署在那 里的军用飞机数量的三倍。卫星图像还显示，除了在该基地部署的常规机型，还发现了美军F-35隐形战斗机，还可 ...

早上好，明天是 马年 首个交易日，祝大家交易顺利， 马到成功！ 先来关注下国际局势。 俄罗斯莫斯科多个机场限制飞机起降 据央视新闻消息，当地时间22日，俄罗斯联邦航空运输署对俄首都莫斯科的伏努科沃机场、多莫杰多沃 机场、茹科夫斯基机场和谢列梅捷沃机场的飞机起降实施限制。 据悉，这些限制措施对于确保飞行安全是必要的。俄联邦航空运输署并未透露限制措施的具体细节，也 未说明这些措施将持续多久。 另据莫斯科市长索比亚宁当日在社交媒体上发布的消息，俄防空部队击落了11架飞往莫斯科的无人机。 普京：发展"三位一体"核力量是绝对优先事项 据央视新闻消息，当地时间23日是俄罗斯"祖国保卫者日"，俄罗斯总统普京发表视频讲话，表示俄罗斯 将根据国际局势的发展，基于特别军事行动中获得的战斗经验，继续开展大规模加强陆海军的工作。 普京强调，发展"三位一体"核力量依然是俄方绝对的优先事项，核力量作为俄罗斯安全的保障，能够有 效保持战略威慑和世界力量平衡。 分析人士：节后A股有望迎来结构性上涨行情 春节假期期间，全球市场并不平静。美国关税政策升级、地缘冲突持续发酵，A股市场会受到怎样的影 响？ 普京表示，俄还将全面提升各军兵种的力量、战 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has been stagnant, with a slight increase of 1.7% since Q4 of last year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 3.3% during the same period, raising concerns about whether strong earnings will be sufficient to meet market expectations [1][3] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Nvidia is set to release its highly anticipated Q4 and annual earnings report, with Wall Street consensus expecting strong performance that may exceed analyst predictions [1] - Investors are facing a "expectation paradox," as historical data shows Nvidia's stock has faced sell-offs following its last two earnings reports, despite strong earnings [3] - Concerns exist that even if Nvidia's official earnings and guidance are solid, they may not meet heightened expectations, leading to potential stock declines [3] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Competition - The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven," has seen a nearly 1% decline since Q4 of last year, underperforming the S&P 500, reflecting cautious investor sentiment regarding AI capital expenditures translating into actual profits [4] - Nvidia's forward P/E ratio has dropped below 24, nearing a five-year low and significantly lower than its five-year average of 38, which may present a buying opportunity [7] - The competitive landscape is shifting as companies like AMD, Amazon, Broadcom, and Alphabet introduce chips for generative AI models, raising questions about Nvidia's ability to maintain market share [7] Group 3: Macro Environment - The macroeconomic environment for 2026 is uncertain, with geopolitical tensions and mixed economic data contributing to market volatility [5][6] - Recent economic indicators show a slowdown in growth and persistent inflation, leading traders to bet that the Federal Reserve will adopt a cautious stance on further rate cuts [5]

Market Performance During Spring Festival - Major stock indices mostly rose, with South Korea and European markets performing well. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices increased by approximately 1% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region, South Korea's index stood out with a rise of nearly 5.5%, while the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.6% and the A50 index rose by 1.4% [1] - In the Hong Kong market, energy and materials sectors led the gains, both rising over 3%, while industrial, consumer, and technology sectors lagged behind [1] Commodity Market - Commodity performance was mixed, with crude oil and precious metals showing the best results. Silver rose over 10% and oil prices increased by nearly 6% [1][7] - Industrial metals had modest gains, with copper and aluminum slightly up, while natural gas and tin saw significant declines [1] Bond and Currency Markets - U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, maintaining around 4.1%, while the U.S. dollar index rose significantly by 0.86% [1][5] - The Chinese yuan experienced initial appreciation followed by depreciation, fluctuating around 6.9 [1] Domestic Data and News - The Spring Festival box office revenue was 4.924 billion yuan, down 48.24% year-on-year, with total attendance dropping by 45.5% [12] - Cross-regional personnel flow during the Spring Festival increased by 11.2% compared to the previous year, reaching 5.08 billion trips [14] - The tourism market showed continued growth, with long-distance travel orders accounting for 59.6% of bookings, and inbound tourism also seeing significant increases [21] AI and Technology Developments - Major tech companies launched new AI models during the Spring Festival, indicating a competitive landscape in AI infrastructure [23][24] - Notable releases included Alibaba's Qwen3-Max-Thinking and ByteDance's Protenix-v1, showcasing advancements in AI capabilities [24]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a new round of upward momentum after the Spring Festival, driven by improving macroeconomic fundamentals and positive market sentiment [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Trends and Historical Data - Historical data from 2006 to 2025 shows a significant "Spring Festival effect," with the Shanghai Composite Index having an 80% probability of rising in the first five days and a 75% probability in the following five days after the festival [2]. - Research from multiple brokerages indicates that the market typically sees a surge in risk appetite and a transition from emotional-driven rallies to trend continuation in the weeks following the Spring Festival [3][4]. Group 2: Sector Focus and Investment Opportunities - Brokerages recommend focusing on high-quality blue-chip stocks and low-volatility sectors before the festival, while suggesting a shift towards technology growth, small-cap stocks, and policy beneficiaries (such as TMT and consumer sectors) after the festival [6][7]. - The semiconductor and AI-related sectors are highlighted as key areas of interest, with expectations of continued performance due to favorable industry trends [4][8]. Group 3: Economic Indicators and Policy Impact - The upcoming Two Sessions are expected to catalyze policy changes that will positively impact market performance post-festival [4]. - The first two months of the year are typically a data vacuum period, but current trends indicate a positive outlook for performance improvements in various industries [4][5]. Group 4: Risks and Market Dynamics - While there are short-term risks such as overseas market fluctuations and sector rotation, these are viewed as temporary disturbances that are unlikely to alter the overall positive trend for February [5][6]. - The white liquor sector is anticipated to see a valuation recovery as consumer demand rebounds, supported by favorable policies and improving fundamentals [7][8].

Market Performance - Despite high core PCE inflation data, large tech stocks supported the market, leading to gains in major US stock indices: Dow Jones up 0.25%, S&P 500 up 1.07%, and Nasdaq up 1.51% [1][9] Upcoming Events - AI giant Nvidia is set to release its significant earnings report on February 25, which is a focal point for global markets this week [10][17] - Apple will hold its annual shareholder meeting on February 24, focusing on new product development, AI technology implementation, and supply chain adjustments [10][18] - The US January PPI data will be released on February 27, providing insights into inflation trends [6][15] Precious Metals - Gold prices surged to approximately $5,140 per ounce, with silver prices increasing by over 2% [10] - As of February 23, gold was reported at $5,155.77 per ounce, up 0.87%, while silver was at $86.625 per ounce, also showing a significant increase [10] Trade Policy - President Trump announced an increase in the global import tariff from 10% to 15%, following a Supreme Court ruling on tariffs [4][13] - The administration plans to introduce new legally permissible tariff measures in the coming months [5][14] Economic Indicators - HSBC forecasts a 0.3% month-over-month increase in January's PPI, with the annual growth rate expected to slow from 3.0% in December to 2.8% [6][15] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes indicate significant internal disagreement regarding future interest rate paths, with some members suggesting the possibility of rate hikes if inflation remains above target [6][16]