北交所策略专题报告 北交所 ESG 信披体系再完善：聚焦绩优股，掘金 ESG 组合领先的超额收益 北交所研究团队 ——北交所策略专题报告 | 诸海滨（分析师） | 余中天（分析师） | | --- | --- | | zhuhaibin@kysec.cn | yuzhongtian@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080007 | 证书编号：S0790525050003 | 事件：北交所增补三项环境议题指南，ESG 披露框架持续完善 2026 年 1 月 30 日，沪深北交易所修订发布《上市公司可持续发展报告编制指南》， 增补《第三号 污染物排放》《第四号 能源利用》《第五号 水资源利用》三项议 题指南。北交所于 2025 年 1 月 17 日首次发布《指南》及其附件《第一号 总体 要求与披露框架》《第二号 应对气候变化》。北交所表示，本次修订在保持原有 框架基础上，新增《第三号 污染物排放》《第四号 能源利用》《第五号 水资 源利用》三个应用指南，进一步细化环境维度披露要求，为上市公司提供更清晰、 可操作的披露指引。三份指南主要内容均分为相关风险和机遇评估、核算、披露 要点三大板块。《第 ...

来源：熊园观察 国盛证券首席经济学家，熊园 博士国盛证券宏观首席分析师，张浩；宏观分析师，薛舒宁 事件：2月20日，美国最高法院判决特朗普IEEPA关税违宪，当天特朗普签署行政令，新增10%的122关 税作为替代措施；2月21日，特朗普称将把新关税税率由10%提高至15%，具体是否落地仍待正式文件 确认。 核心结论：对等关税和芬太尼关税被判违宪，特朗普当即援引122条款新增10%关税（后又宣称将税率 提升至15%）。122条款仅提供临时征税权、最多征收150天、且法理依据不足，同样可能面临司法挑 战，因此122条款仅可作为短期政策过渡，为其他调查争取时间，中期预计转向以301和232为主的关税 框架。资产影响看，美股受益于关税下降后的盈利改善，有所上涨；市场对美国财政状况恶化的担忧加 剧，美债收益率上行，美元走弱；关税不确定性下降压制黄金价格，同时美元走弱支撑黄金价格，黄金 先跌后涨。 1、最高法院宣布特朗普败诉，对等关税和芬太尼关税立即终止征收，符合市场此前预期；已征收关税 是否退还并未明确提及，将由下级法院处理。 2、判决结果公布后，特朗普当即做出回应，新增10%的122关税作为替代措施（针对所有国家、部 ...

Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to experience a low-volatility trend with a long-term decline in market volatility [2] - The upward trend in the stock market is not yet over, indicating further potential for growth [2] - A-shares are anticipated to maintain a fluctuating upward trend, with the importance of fundamentals increasing after a valuation adjustment [2][3] Capital Flow - The demand for asset allocation among domestic residents has been activated by profit effects, with various medium- to long-term funds entering the market, suggesting an active capital flow in 2026 [2][3] - Incremental capital is expected to cover a broader range, driven by increasing motivation among individual investors to enter the market [3] - Public funds and insurance capital are likely to continue increasing their allocation to equity assets, reshaping global capital flow logic [4] Key Investment Sectors - Key sectors to focus on include: - Non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy [2] - Technology growth, manufacturing expansion, cyclical consumption transformation, and U.S. stocks [2] - New energy, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, oil and petrochemicals, non-bank financials, military industry, and machinery [3] - AI, new energy, military industry, innovative pharmaceuticals, price increase chains, and overseas expansion chains [4] - Technology innovation themes and consumption sectors [4] - TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors, with potential shifts towards cyclical and financial sectors [4]

博耳电力中期报告显示，公司作为国内领先的一站式高端综合配电系统及方案供应商，在智能配电领域 已构建深厚技术壁垒。基于自主研发的"慧云"大数据平台，公司为客户提供独创的IEM一站式解决方案 服务，能确保数据中心用电安全性及稳定性，并通过智能化配用电解决方案降低能源消耗，帮助客户实 现数据中心产业可持续发展。 智通财经APP获悉，博耳电力(01685)再涨超46%，月内股价累计涨幅超200%。截至发稿，涨31.34%， 报0.88港元，成交额2159万港元。 爱建证券发布研报称，数据中心已成为电力设备行业核心增量应用场景，其发展趋势直接驱动电力设备 需求增长与技术迭代。从行业数据看，2024年全球数据中心新增装机量已达14GW，且单机柜功率密度 大幅提升，这一变化使得数据中心对电力供给的稳定性、能效性提出更高要求，进而推动电力设备在该 场景的应用规模扩张与技术迭代加速。 ...

踏入马年，我们预期市场一方面有可能像骏马一般快速上涨奔驰，但另一方面，投资回报的来源也可能 出现高度分化。在众多关键驱动因素中，人工智能的快速发展、政府的支持政策以及有效的刺激措施、 再加上人民币汇率的趋于稳定，都可能延续市场去年的强劲势头，并有可能在2026年下半年进一步扩 大。在这样的条件下，投资时选择拥有创新实力、资本纪律和盈利可见度的公司，将带来丰厚的回报。 一马当先：中国人工智能与新能源发展 自2021年以来，受限的产能和较高的准入壁垒导致变压器和开关设备价格大幅上涨。输电升级和老化电 网基础设施的更换仍处于早期阶段，而来自可再生能源以及天然气与核能的新接入预计将加快，相关的 增长前景依然乐观。 我们也看好部分消费板块。尽管消费必需品行业仍处于周期后段，但具备强劲现金流和海外扩张潜力的 龙头企业展现出韧性。当前估值仍比五年均值低17–27%，一旦盈利下调触底，有望出现均值回归。 马运亨通：选择优质企业 下半年市场可能会进一步扩张。如果政策支持力度加大，恢复产能纪律和需求，可能有助于透过改善企 业盈利，促进包括消费在内的传统产业复苏。 尽管如此，"新旧分化"可能会持续存在，宠物食品公司等新兴消费品产业 ...

2月20日，港股迎来马年首个交易日，三大指数集体低开。马年春晚机器人亮相引发市场广泛关注，机 器人概念股逆势走强，成为今日最亮眼的主线。 Wind数据显示，截至午间收盘，恒生指数跌0.6%，恒生科技指数跌2.28%，恒生中国企业指数跌 0.59%。 来源：中国证券报 | < W | 智谱(2513) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02-20 11:59:58 | | | | | | 605.000 ® 18.4亿 | 股本 4.46亿 市容 | | -137 万得 | | | | | | 12 1 | | | 97.000 19.09% 换 1.42% | 市值 2697亿 市净 | -40 | | | | 分时 五日 HK | 周K | | 月K 中文 | | | 營加 | 均价:585.285 | | 盘口 成交 | | | 65.000 | | | 25.00% 卖10 609.500 200(2) | | | | | | 卖9 609.000 1800(9) | | | | | | 卖8 608.500 100(1) | | | | | | 美7 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a rise in electric equipment stocks, indicating positive investor sentiment in this sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Shanghai Electric (02727.HK) has increased by 7.38%, reaching a price of 4.8 HKD [1] - Harbin Electric (01133.HK) has risen by 4.45%, with its stock priced at 23.92 HKD [1] - Dongfang Electric (01072.HK) has experienced a growth of 3.29%, trading at 33.92 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The structural electricity shortage in the U.S. is transforming into a long-term, certain investment opportunity, particularly benefiting gas turbines, power equipment, and energy storage sectors [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Shanghai Electric (02727) shares increased by 7.38%, reaching HKD 4.8 [1] - Harbin Electric (01133) shares rose by 4.45%, reaching HKD 23.92 [1] - Dongfang Electric (01072) shares grew by 3.29%, reaching HKD 33.92 [1] Group 2: Market Insights - According to Everbright Securities, the high market demand for gas turbines is leading to capacity bottlenecks among leading overseas manufacturers, which presents an opportunity for Chinese companies to increase their market share [1] - Companies such as Dongfang Electric and Shanghai Electric are recommended for investment due to their potential to benefit from this trend [1] Group 3: Investment Projections - The State Grid Corporation of China announced that fixed asset investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to reach CNY 4 trillion, representing a 40% increase compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [1] - This investment aims to expand effective investment and promote high-quality development of the new power system industry chain and supply chain [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that a major power equipment manufacturer in Shanghai, with a market capitalization of 160 billion, is preparing for an IPO to supply products to the State Grid [1] Group 2 - The company is positioned as a key player in the power equipment sector, indicating strong growth potential and strategic importance in the energy supply chain [1] - The IPO is expected to enhance the company's financial capabilities and expand its market reach, aligning with national energy goals [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar is driven by factors such as a weakening dollar index, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, steady recovery of the domestic economy, and sustained high trade surpluses [1] Group 1: RMB Appreciation and Market Impact - The RMB has appreciated approximately 1.3% since early February, breaking the 6.89 mark and reaching a three-year high [1] - Analysts from Huatai Securities and Galaxy Securities predict a prolonged appreciation cycle for the RMB, with the current phase marking the beginning of this trend [1][2] - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to enhance the attractiveness of RMB-denominated assets, particularly benefiting the A-share and H-share markets [2] Group 2: Equity Market Insights - The equity market is anticipated to perform well during the RMB appreciation cycle, with Hong Kong stocks being the primary beneficiaries due to higher foreign capital participation [2][4] - A-share market performance is expected to be more differentiated, with growth-oriented sectors likely to outperform [2][3] - Key sectors benefiting from RMB appreciation include real estate, advanced manufacturing, and non-bank financials, which are expected to see improved market risk preferences [2][3] Group 3: Sector-Specific Opportunities - Industries with high foreign debt exposure, such as motorcycles, automotive parts, and photovoltaic equipment, will benefit from reduced debt pressure and exchange rate gains [2][3] - Sectors with high import dependency, like electronic chemicals and steel raw materials, will see improved profit margins due to lower costs from RMB appreciation [2][3] - The technology sector, particularly in Hong Kong, is expected to experience a rebound as foreign capital flows increase [4] Group 4: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market is experiencing mixed influences from RMB appreciation, with downward pressure on short-term yields and upward pressure on long-term yields due to increased risk appetite in the equity market [5] - Analysts predict that the 10-year government bond yield will fluctuate within a narrow range of 1.7% to 2.1% [5] Group 5: Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market is showing significant differentiation, with industrial metals like copper being highlighted as having strong upward potential [6] - Other commodities lack clear trends, and their future performance will depend on the recovery of domestic demand [6] Group 6: Strategic Asset Allocation - Analysts recommend focusing on high-probability sectors during the current weak appreciation phase of the RMB, emphasizing growth-oriented industries such as technology and communication [7][9] - Key investment themes include sectors benefiting from foreign capital inflows, cost improvements, and holding quality RMB-denominated assets like A-shares and government bonds [9]