♨博时基金市场异动陪伴 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ ‼ 今日A股三大指数继续走强，沪指上涨至近十年高点，创业板涨超2.8%。一方面，地缘风险缓和与外 部流动性宽松降低资金避险需求。美俄元首会晤推进安全谈判，叠加美联储9月降息概率升至九成以 上，推动全球资金转向新兴市场及成长板块。另一方面，增量资金持续入场成为间接助力。银行理财等 资金出现转向股市迹象，两融余额、两市成交额均重返2万亿量级，融资买入占比也触达10.5%，杠杆 资金对科技、券商等高弹性板块形成较强支撑。政策托底与新动能显现增强市场信心，AI算力、科技 自主可控等主线业绩兑现预期强化，与流动性宽松环境形成正向循环。 ‼ 央行二季度货政报告释放"稳物价、重结构"的审慎信号。其中，物价目标权重提升，将"促进物价合 理回升"列为政策重要考量，结合PPI低基数及"反内卷"政策对大宗商品价格的托底作用，年内PPI同比 触底回升可期。报告删除"降准降息"表述，强调"落实落细存量政策"，货币政策维持"量宽价稳"，重心 或转向存量工具效能释放而非增量宽松。尽管7月经济数据部分指标回落，但后续政策重点或在于中长 期效能与物价回升的协同性，而非短期过度刺激 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the development and positioning of the asset management industry, particularly focusing on the role of bank wealth management in providing stable, low-volatility investment options that aim for absolute returns [1][2]. - As of mid-August, the asset management scale of浦银理财 reached 1.45 trillion, having served 13 million clients, with all products this year achieving positive returns [1]. - The current market volatility is seen as a norm, leading to the belief that multi-asset allocation capabilities will become a core competitive advantage for asset management institutions [1]. Group 2 - The positioning of bank wealth management is defined as relatively low volatility and stable, with a focus on absolute returns, catering to the demand for low-volatility asset allocation [2]. - The asset management industry's mission remains to serve the real economy and preserve and increase the value of people's wealth, especially in the context of accelerating green transformation and deepening industrial upgrades [2].

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector has seen a significant rise in stock prices, leading to substantial returns for bank wealth management products that have invested in technology assets [2][3]. Group 1: Performance of Technology Wealth Management Products - As of August 13, among 49 wealth management products with "technology" in their names, the highest yield since inception exceeded 20%, with 10 products yielding over 10% and 24 products yielding over 5% [2]. - The "全鑫权益" product from ICBC Wealth Management achieved an annualized yield of 20.3% over the past month and 10.97% over the past year as of August 14 [3]. - The "招银理财招卓专精特新" product has a cumulative yield of 13.55% since its inception, with a one-year volatility of 32.17% as of August 14 [3]. Group 2: Market Trends and Product Offerings - The technology sector has been bolstered by supportive policies, prompting wealth management firms to increase the creation and investment in technology-themed products [5]. - As of August 14, there are 49 existing products with "technology" in their names and 34 with "科创" (innovation) in their names, indicating a growing focus on technology investments [5]. - Most of the 83 existing products are fixed-income products, with a focus on investing in assets related to technological innovation while controlling risks [5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Risk Considerations - Wealth management products are increasingly focusing on ESG-compliant technology-related assets and high-grade bonds to mitigate credit risk [6]. - Investment managers emphasize that products with equity components tend to have higher net value volatility compared to pure fixed-income products, requiring investors to have a certain level of investment discipline and timing ability [4][6]. - Investors are advised to prioritize products with transparent underlying asset investments and strategies, focusing on high-credit-rated technology bonds or those clearly investing in leading technology firms [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the declining interest in gold investments amid a strong stock market performance, highlighting a significant reduction in gold ETF sizes and prices due to easing global trade tensions and shifting investor sentiment towards riskier assets [5][6][11]. Summary by Sections Gold ETF Performance - As of August 12, seven gold ETFs in China have seen a reduction of approximately 6.9 billion yuan in size over the past month, with notable declines in major ETFs such as Huaan and E Fund [4][5][11]. Market Sentiment and Price Trends - The COMEX gold futures contract fell below $3,400 per ounce, marking a significant drop of nearly 2.5% on August 11, the largest decline since May [5][12]. - The London spot gold price also decreased, closing at $3,348.02 per ounce on August 12, down 1.4% from its August high [5][12]. Investor Behavior - Investors are reallocating funds from gold to equities, driven by rising stock markets in China and the U.S., with the Shanghai Composite Index up approximately 4.8% in July [6][12][14]. - Despite the recent downturn, some financial institutions are increasing their allocations to "gold+" products, which include a minimum of 5% gold in their asset mix [7][15]. Long-term Outlook for Gold - Analysts from UBS and Goldman Sachs maintain a bullish long-term outlook for gold prices, projecting targets of $3,500 to $4,000 per ounce by 2026, supported by ongoing central bank demand and potential geopolitical tensions [7][18][20]. - The World Gold Council reports that a significant majority of central banks plan to increase or maintain their gold reserves, indicating a stable demand outlook [19]. Challenges for Retail Investors - Ordinary investors face challenges in gold investment, including decision-making, timing, and holding strategies, which could be mitigated by professional management through "gold+" products [8][16].

Group 1 - High-net-worth investors are actively entering the market, with significant inflows from private equity, leveraged funds, and speculative trading [1][11][14] - Private equity has seen a notable increase in institutional account openings, while individual account growth remains limited [14] - Leveraged funds have averaged daily inflows of 5.5 billion since July, with the current financing balance exceeding 2 trillion, a record high since 2015 [14][16] - Speculative trading has become active, with net inflows ranking just below the levels seen in 2015 [14][16] Group 2 - Resident funds have not significantly entered the market through public funds, with limited expansion in actively managed equity fund issuance and net subscriptions [2][18] - The issuance of actively managed equity funds remains at historical lows since the market shift in September 2022 [18] - Passive index funds are experiencing outflows, contrasting with the previous market conditions where funds flowed into equity ETFs [19][21] Group 3 - Retail investor participation is low, with current engagement levels not matching those of previous bull markets [3][27] - Retail fund inflows are limited, significantly weaker than the previous market conditions in September 2022 and February 2023 [27] - Recent data indicates a marginal decline in the balance of bank-to-securities transfers, suggesting that retail investors have not significantly entered the market [27][28] Group 4 - There is a growing trend of residents seeking higher returns through bank wealth management products due to excess savings and declining deposit rates [4][12][33] - The one-year fixed deposit rate has fallen below 1%, and the yield on popular wealth management products is only 1.05%, prompting a shift towards wealth management and fixed-income funds [4][33][34] - The combination of abundant funds and a scarcity of attractive assets is expected to accelerate the flow of resident funds into wealth management products, indirectly entering the equity market [4][12][34] Group 5 - Recent data shows a net outflow of 8.591 billion from foreign investments, particularly in financial, non-essential consumer goods, and industrial sectors [37][38] - Speculative trading saw a net inflow of 4.831 billion, primarily into the pharmaceutical, electronics, and machinery sectors [43][46] - Leveraged funds recorded a net inflow of 31.563 billion, focusing on electronics, machinery, and pharmaceuticals [48][53]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple banks have recently announced early profit-taking on their "target profit" products due to achieving target yield rates, indicating a trend of declining yields in these financial products [2][3][4]. Group 1: Product Performance and Trends - Since July, several banks, including Bank of China Wealth Management and China Merchants Bank Wealth Management, have reported early profit-taking on multiple "target profit" products, with at least 31 products successfully achieving profit-taking this year [2][3]. - The average annualized yield for these products that have achieved profit-taking is around 3%, which is a decline compared to previous years where yields often reached 4% to 5% [2][6][7]. - The majority of the "target profit" products that have achieved profit-taking this year are linked to indices, gold, and U.S. Treasury bonds [2][4]. Group 2: Product Characteristics and Market Dynamics - "Target profit" products are designed to terminate and pay out once a pre-set yield target is reached, which can help investors avoid losses from market volatility [4][6]. - The issuance of "target profit" products has surged since their introduction, with the number of products increasing from 2 in 2022 to an expected 294 in 2024, and the total fundraising amount rising significantly [4][5]. - Currently, 214 "target profit" products are active, with a majority having a duration of 1-3 years [5]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Yield Expectations - The decline in yield rates for "target profit" products is attributed to lower risk-free interest rates and a general decrease in asset yields, leading to a downward trend in performance benchmarks [2][6][7]. - Recent profit-taking targets for these products have also been adjusted downward, reflecting the overall market conditions, with some products seeing target yields drop from 3.25% to 2.40% [7].

Market Overview - The bond market continued to experience fluctuations, with an overall balanced and loose liquidity environment. The weighted average of DR007 on August 8 was 1.425%, and the yield on 10-year government bonds closed at 1.69% [2] - In the stock market, major A-share indices saw gains, with the CSI 1000, Shanghai Composite Index, and CSI 500 increasing by 2.51%, 2.11%, and 1.78% respectively. The defense, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment sectors led the weekly gains [2] Product Performance - The number of underperforming products remains low, with 25,003 public wealth management products in existence as of August 10, 2025, of which 179 had a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive underperformance rate of 0.72% for bank wealth management [3] - The underperformance rates for equity and mixed wealth management products were 38.1% and 5.46%, respectively, while fixed income public wealth management products had an underperformance rate of 0.4% [3] - Fixed income products with 1-2 year and over 3-year terms had slightly higher underperformance rates of 0.9% and 1.12%, respectively [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 443 wealth management products were issued by 31 wealth management companies from August 4 to August 8, with joint-stock banks leading in issuance. Xinyin Wealth Management and Huaxia Wealth Management each issued 36 products, while Everbright Wealth Management issued 32 [4] - The newly issued products were primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products, with only 8 mixed products issued, accounting for 1.8%, and no new equity products [6] Pricing Trends - Pricing for different term products varied, with 1-2 year and 2-3 year products seeing an increase, particularly the 2-3 year products which rose by 24 basis points to 2.86%. In contrast, products with terms of 1-3 months, 3-6 months, 6-12 months, and over 3 years saw declines, with the latter dropping by 36 basis points to 2.15% [6] Yield Performance - Fixed income wealth management products showed signs of recovery, with an average net value growth rate of 0.0718% over the past week. Mixed and equity products had average net value growth rates of 0.091% and 0.8529%, respectively. The highest average net value growth rate among fixed income products was for those with over 3-year terms at 0.1075% [8] - Cash public wealth management products in RMB, USD, and AUD had annualized yields of 1.364%, 3.91%, and 2.83%, respectively [12] - The proportion of negative yield products decreased, with 5.19% of RMB public wealth management products yielding negative returns over the past week. The negative yield proportions for fixed income, mixed, and equity products were 4.02%, 23.3%, and 33.33%, respectively [12] Industry Trends - Since the opening of offline IPO participation for wealth management subsidiaries in March, only two companies, Everbright Wealth Management and Ningyin Wealth Management, have attempted this, with Ningyin participating more frequently [14] - In the first half of 2025, 36 out of 69 city commercial banks without wealth management subsidiaries saw their asset management business scale decrease by over 10%, indicating ongoing pressure for rectification [15] - Conversely, some city commercial bank wealth management subsidiaries experienced significant growth, with Ningyin Wealth Management's scale exceeding 600 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of over 25% compared to the beginning of the year [16]

Market Overview - The bond market continued to experience fluctuations, with an overall balanced and loose funding environment. The weighted average of DR007 on August 8 was 1.425%, and the yield on 10-year government bonds closed at 1.69% [2] - In the stock market, major A-share indices saw gains, with the CSI 1000 index, Shanghai Composite Index, and CSI 500 index increasing by 2.51%, 2.11%, and 1.78% respectively. The defense, non-ferrous metals, and machinery equipment sectors led the weekly gains [2] Product Performance - The number of underperforming products remains low, with 25,003 public wealth management products in existence as of August 10, 2025, of which 179 had a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive break-even rate of 0.72%. The break-even rates for equity and mixed wealth management products were 38.1% and 5.46%, respectively, while fixed income products had a break-even rate of 0.4% [3] - Fixed income products with 1-2 year and over 3-year terms had slightly higher break-even rates of 0.9% and 1.12%, respectively [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 443 wealth management products were issued by 31 companies from August 4 to August 8, 2025. The leading issuers were Xinyin Wealth Management and Huaxia Wealth Management, each issuing 36 products, followed by Everbright Wealth Management with 32 products [4] - The newly issued products were primarily R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products, with only 8 mixed products (1.8% of total) and no new equity products [4] - Pricing varied across different term products, with 2-3 year products seeing a rise of 24 basis points to 2.86%. In contrast, longer-term products (over 3 years) saw a decline of 36 basis points to 2.15% [4] Yield Performance - Fixed income wealth management products showed signs of recovery, with an average net value growth rate of 0.0718% over the past week. Mixed and equity products had average growth rates of 0.091% and 0.8529%, respectively. The highest growth rate among fixed income products was for those with over 3-year terms at 0.1075% [5] - The average annualized yield for cash public wealth management products in RMB, USD, and AUD was 1.364%, 3.91%, and 2.83%, respectively [5] - The proportion of negative yield products decreased, with 5.19% of RMB public wealth management products reporting negative returns over the past week. The negative yield rates for fixed income, mixed, and equity products were 4.02%, 23.3%, and 33.33%, respectively [5] Industry Trends - Since the opening of offline IPO participation for wealth management subsidiaries in March, only two companies, Everbright Wealth Management and Ningyin Wealth Management, have attempted this, with Ningyin being more active [6][7] - In the first half of 2025, 36 out of 69 city commercial banks without wealth management subsidiaries saw their asset management business scale decrease by over 10%, reflecting ongoing regulatory pressure [8] - Conversely, some city commercial bank wealth management subsidiaries experienced significant growth, with Ningyin Wealth Management's scale exceeding 600 billion RMB, marking a growth of over 25% compared to the beginning of the year [9]

本课题组成员： 研究员：黄桂煊 薛茹云 陈子卉 数据分析师：张稆方 数据来源：粤港澳大湾区（广东）财经数据中心、南财理财通 编者按：《机警理财日报》作为南财集团、21世纪经济报道、南财理财通的金牌理财专栏，目前细分了现金、纯固收、固收+期权、固收+权益、混合、权 益、衍生品七大类，已实现对银行理财市场的每日追踪。为了进一步反映银行理财行业发展现状，南财理财通课题组特开设银行理财月报独家专题，力求及 时准确研判理财行业趋势、洞悉理财产品表现，以期为银行理财行业转型发展带来参考价值。 本期，南财理财通课题组发布7月份银行理财行业运作报告，对理财产品破净情况、新发情况、到期情况和存续情况进行分析。 摘要： 破净情况：7月理财产品破净率破净比例为1.23%，环比6月上升0.69个百分点。其中固收类理财产品破净率上升至0.97%；混合类理财产品破净率4.69%，环 比下降0.89个百分点；权益类理财产品破净率从6月末的15.65%升至17.81%。 新发情况：2025年7月，理财公司加快产品新发，产品发行量环比涨超25%。此外，理财公司加大了产品在渠道端的营销力度，产品募集规模较为可观，募 集规模均值达到3.12亿元， ...

Market Performance - The A-share market showed overall recovery from August 4 to August 8, 2025, with the CSI 300 index rising by 1.23%, the ESG 300 index increasing by 1.06%, and the STAR Market ESG index up by 1.31%[5] - The average daily trading volume across the A-share market was approximately 1.70 trillion RMB, indicating a contraction in liquidity compared to previous periods[5] ESG Fund Issuance - No new ESG fund products were issued in August 2025; however, a total of 241 ESG public funds were launched in the past year, with a total issuance of 171.41 billion units[7] - As of August 10, 2025, there are 910 existing ESG fund products, with the largest share being ESG strategy funds at 50.33% of the total net asset value of 1,022.06 billion RMB[9] Fund Performance - The top-performing fund for the week of August 4 to August 10, 2025, was the Zhonghai Charm Yangtze River fund, achieving a weekly return of 6.14% and a year-to-date return of 29.00%[10] - Other notable funds included the Robeco Resource Selection and Yongying New Energy Selection, which also performed well during the same period[10] Green Bond Issuance - A total of 23 new green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets from August 4 to August 8, 2025, with a planned issuance scale of approximately 18.64 billion RMB[13] - In August 2025, 33 ESG bonds were issued, amounting to 15.3 billion RMB, with a total of 1,034 ESG bonds issued in the past year, totaling 1,227.7 billion RMB[13] Green Bond Trading - The total trading volume of ESG green bonds for the week was 562.58 billion RMB, with the interbank market accounting for 77.45% of the total trading volume[17] - Repo transactions dominated the trading methods, comprising 94.96% of the total trading volume, while cash transactions accounted for only 0.07%[20] Bank Wealth Management Products - In August 2025, 30 ESG bank wealth management products were issued, with a total of 1,049 existing products in the market as of August 10, 2025[18] - The largest share of existing products is pure ESG-themed products, which account for 54.53% of the total[18] Risk Factors - Potential risks include insufficient policy support for ESG initiatives, lack of standardized data reporting, and lower-than-expected product issuance scales[19]