Group 1 - The market is entering a critical window for cross-year layout, with expectations for A-shares to resonate upward with global markets by 2026, focusing on "technology + overseas expansion" as a continuing theme [1][2] - Current market conditions are characterized by narrow fluctuations, influenced by external factors such as concerns over the AI bubble in the US and interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan [2][3] - Investor sentiment has recently dropped below 70, indicating a pessimistic outlook that may lead to a slight recovery in sentiment and upward market fluctuations [2] Group 2 - Industry allocation strategies include focusing on high dividend stocks, cyclical sectors, and thematic hotspots such as Hainan's duty-free shopping and nuclear power [2][4] - The anticipated "cross-year-spring" market rally is supported by early policy implementation and increased institutional investment in broad-based ETFs [4][5] - The potential for a structural outperformance in sectors like brokerage and technology is expected, driven by upcoming monetary policy changes and market liquidity improvements [7][8] Group 3 - The ongoing appreciation of the RMB is expected to influence asset allocation, with approximately 19% of industries likely to see profit margin improvements due to currency appreciation [3] - Key sectors benefiting from policy support include AI, aerospace, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while cyclical sectors like chemicals and energy metals may also see positive impacts [6][9] - The market is expected to experience a "spring rally" driven by favorable valuation levels, liquidity conditions, and catalysts that enhance risk appetite [6][12] Group 4 - The outlook for 2026 suggests a shift from a single narrative to a broader focus on physical demand and domestic policy benefits, with sectors like AI and consumer services poised for recovery [10][13] - Non-bank financials are highlighted as having significant earnings elasticity, while sectors like electric equipment and machinery are expected to benefit from AI investments and export demand [13][14] - The market is currently in a phase of adjustment before the anticipated cross-year rally, with a focus on structural opportunities aligned with policy directions and industry trends [11][14]

Group 1 - The article highlights significant announcements in the stock market, including "suspensions and resumption of trading, shareholding changes, investment wins, acquisitions, performance reports, unlocks, and high transfers" [1] - Important announcements are marked in red to assist investors in identifying investment hotspots and preventing various black swan events, providing ample time for analysis and selection of suitable listed companies [1] Group 2 - The company is involved in commercial aerospace, storage chips, autonomous driving, third-generation semiconductors, and CPO, with its chip products already applied in low-orbit satellite constellations [1] - Another company focuses on controllable nuclear fusion, commercial aerospace, satellite navigation, military industry, and nuclear power, with successful applications in manned space engineering (Tianhe core module of the space station) and orders in the nuclear fission power plant sector [1] - The company is also engaged in autonomous driving and drones, supplying humanoid robot joint modules [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that a classic "cross-year-spring" market trend is brewing, with significant signals indicating its commencement [3] - Factors driving the appreciation of the RMB are increasing, and investors should adapt their asset allocation accordingly, focusing on industries that may benefit from this trend [1] - The market is expected to see a structural shift with a focus on cyclical sectors, particularly industrial metals, non-bank financials, and sectors related to domestic consumption [3][4] Group 2 - The investment strategy should consider three key clues: dividend value, layout of prosperous industries, and thematic hotspots [4] - The anticipated spring market in 2026 is expected to be driven by a combination of fundamental cyclical improvements and new technological trends [2] - The current market is characterized by a narrow range of fluctuations, influenced by external factors such as U.S. monetary policy and investor sentiment [4][6] Group 3 - The focus on AI and advanced manufacturing is expected to dominate the market, with a potential shift towards value and cyclical styles in the first half of 2026 [2] - The market is likely to experience a "value on stage, growth in action" dynamic, particularly as the Lunar New Year approaches [9] - There is a notable expectation for structural opportunities in sectors like AI, new energy, and controlled nuclear fusion, which are aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6][10]

电力 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 2025 年 12 月 21 日 数据来源：聚源 -14% -7% 0% 7% 14% 22% 29% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 电力 沪深300 相关研究报告 《日本首份聚变供电协议签署，BEST 订单持续释放—可控核聚变行业周 报》-2025.12.13 《九院中标 5 亿氚工厂项目，NIF 完 成第十次点火—可控核聚变行业周 报》-2025.12.7 《BEST 研究计划首次发布，美国启动 创世纪计划—可控核聚变行业周报》 -2025.11.30 TMTG 并购 TAE 打造全球首家商业聚变上市公司 ——行业周报 风险提示：商业化进度不及预期、资金投入不及预期、技术路线变化风险。 | 周磊（分析师） | 黄懿轩（联系人） | | --- | --- | | zhoulei1@kysec.cn | huangyixuan1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790524090002 | 证书编号：S0790125070014 | 板块回顾：多数细分环节下跌，个股跌多涨少，回吐月内涨幅 本周（20251215-20251219）可控核聚变 ...

短期关注防御性板块配置机会，同时布局明年政策红利与产业景气方向。（1）主线一：全球百年未遇 之大变局加速演进，国内经济底层逻辑转向新质生产力，人工智能、具身智能、新能源、可控核聚变、 量子科技、航空航天等"十五五"重点领域值得关注。（2）主线二：反内卷政策温和推进，供需结构优 化叠加价格回升预期带动下，制造业、资源板块盈利修复路径清晰。（3）辅助线一：扩大内需政策导 向下消费板块迎来布局窗口。（4）辅助线二：出海趋势将带动企业盈利空间进一步打开。 ②光大证券：市场有望震荡上行，关注成长及消费两个方向 光大证券指出，历史来看，A股市场中几乎每年都存在"春季躁动"行情。本周三市场的强力上涨或许标 志着2026年跨年行情已经开启。一方面，政策有望持续发力，经济增长有望保持在合理区间，进一步夯 实资本市场繁荣发展的基础。另一方面，政策红利释放，有望提振市场信心，进一步吸引各类资金积极 流入。政策有望持续发力，叠加各类资金有望积极流入，市场有望震荡上行。 A股后市怎么走？看看机构怎么说。 沪指本周累计涨0.03%，深证成指累计跌0.89%，创业板指跌2.26%。A股后市怎么走？看看机构怎么 说： ①银河证券：市场进入跨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is expected to experience a structural bull market in 2026, driven by factors such as policy support, domestic demand stabilization, and industrial upgrades [4][8][11]. Group 1: Market Performance in 2025 - The A-share market showed a volatile upward trend in 2025, with significant contributions from the technology sector and companies expanding overseas [4][5]. - Key sectors that exceeded expectations included Chinese companies going global and the commercialization of AI, with notable growth in overseas AI demand [4][5]. - The overall market sentiment was influenced by improved liquidity and a shift in policy, leading to a bullish outlook for the A-share market [5][6]. Group 2: Outlook for 2026 - A-share earnings growth is anticipated to show a pattern of low-to-high progression, while the Hong Kong market may see a style shift towards core assets [8][11]. - The "New Four Bulls" logic is expected to drive the market, focusing on capital inflows, technological innovation, institutional reforms, and consumption upgrades [8][11]. - The overall economic growth is projected to remain within a reasonable range, with a gradual reduction in the negative impact of real estate on the economy [11][12]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The primary investment themes for 2026 include "Technology + Going Global," with a focus on AI applications and companies expanding overseas [12][13]. - Key sectors to watch include high-end manufacturing, new energy, and industries benefiting from global market growth, such as machinery and electronics [13][14]. - The market is expected to transition from a liquidity-driven bull market to one driven by earnings improvement, with a more balanced sector performance anticipated [19][20]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Trends - The market is likely to see a convergence of performance across sectors, moving from a phase of significant differentiation to a more balanced approach [18][19]. - The focus will shift towards sectors with high growth potential, as the market transitions from a "淘汰赛" (elimination race) to a "竞速赛" (speed race) [18][19]. - The structural characteristics of the market will continue to be influenced by technological advancements and policy support, with a gradual reduction in the impact of traditional sectors [19][20].

从核心参数来看，BEST主机直径18米、高19米，总重6000吨，重量仅为国际热核聚变实验堆（ITER） 的四分之一左右，但核心性能毫不逊色。其等离子体大半径3.6米、小半径1.1米，拉长比控制在1.7—1.9 之间，通过优化的磁场构型让能量更集中；环向磁场最大强度达6.15特斯拉，相当于地球磁场的12万 倍，能将上亿度的氘氚等离子体牢牢约束在真空室中，避免高温触碰装置内壁；等离子体电流可达到4 —7MA，聚变功率预计在20—200MW之间，足以支撑商业化发电的技术验证。尤为关键的是，BEST通 过高温超导混合磁体、精密控制技术的深度融合，实现了长脉冲持续运行能力——规划脉冲持续时间超 过1000秒，远超同类装置的短时放电模式，为聚变能商业化所需的"稳定供电"提供了关键实验基础。 技术内核 可控核聚变行业资深观察员，合肥太阿聚变科技有限公司 刘芳 翁竑 "把太阳的能量装进18米直径的'容器'，让上亿度等离子体稳定燃烧并转化为电能——这不是科幻，而 是合肥紧凑型聚变能实验装置BEST正在攻克的核心任务。"2025年5月1日，紧凑型聚变能实验装置 （BEST）项目的工程总装启动仪式在聚变堆主机关键系统综合研究设施 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is transitioning from a "trend-based broad rise" to a "structural rotation" phase, indicating a shift in investor sentiment and strategy [3]. Market Overview - The three major stock indices closed higher, with a significant increase in trading volume by over 60 billion, reflecting a warming market sentiment [1]. - Despite the overall positive index performance, high-profile stocks experienced a sharp decline towards the end of the trading session, highlighting a cautious approach from investors towards overvalued stocks [1]. Active Sectors - Active sectors include retail, dairy, and controllable nuclear fusion, characterized by either relatively low positions in the consumer sector or emerging themes with moderate recent gains [3]. - There is a noticeable shift of funds from crowded, high-valuation sectors to lower-positioned sectors and new stories, indicating a "high-low switch" in market dynamics [3]. Future Market Predictions - The market is expected to maintain a volatile consolidation pattern, with pressure from above and support from below. Key observation points include the performance of newly rising low-position sectors and themes, which need to attract more funds to offset the pressure from high-position stocks [3]. - Monitoring changes in trading volume is crucial; a rapid decline in volume could hinder the active rotation of funds [3]. Operational Strategies - Investors holding high-position stocks are advised to reassess their portfolios, particularly those stocks driven by sentiment rather than solid fundamentals, and consider reducing positions to lock in profits [4]. - For investors seeking opportunities, the focus should be on lower-position sectors with potential policy or industry catalysts, as well as quality growth sectors that may attract funds from high-position tech stocks after sufficient adjustment [4]. - A neutral stance on overall positions and mindset is recommended during this period of significant style rebalancing, avoiding blind chasing of hot stocks and premature bottom-fishing in high-position stocks [4].

12月19日，A股主要股指震荡上扬，市场整体活跃；港股亦走高，恒生科技指数涨超1%。 具体来看，沪指盘中震荡走高，一度收复3900点；创业板指盘中涨超1%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.36%报 3890.45点，深证成指涨0.66%，创业板指涨0.49%，北证50指数涨约1%，沪深北三市合计成交17489亿 元，较此前一日增加逾700亿元。 全A近4500股飘红，地产板块走高，中天服务斩获3连板；乳业股集体上扬，庄园牧场连续3日涨停；海 南自贸概念午后爆发，中国中免盘中触及涨停；可控核聚变概念崛起，理工光科、雪人集团等涨停。此 外，多只热门股持续飙升，胜通能源、浙江世宝分别收获6连板和4连板，西部材料近11日斩获6板。但 部分牛股尾盘突然异动，如平潭发展（000592）、合富中国（603122）、东百集团（600693）等直线跳 水。 另外，今日登陆科创板的优迅股份表现亮眼，收盘大涨346.6%报230.7元/股，盘中最高攀升至289元/股 涨近460%，以盘中最高价计算，该股单签最高盈利达11.87万元。 海南自贸概念爆发 平潭发展、合富中国、东百集团等多只近期的强势股尾盘突然跳水。 海南自贸概念午后大幅飙升，截至 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The bidding for the plasma project has accelerated, with over 5.6 billion yuan in bids since 2025, and over 3.7 billion yuan in November alone, indicating a speed-up in project construction [1][10] - The focus of the industry is shifting from "scientific feasibility verification" to "engineering verification," as evidenced by the launch of the tritium fuel self-sustaining cycle system bidding, totaling over 1.3 billion yuan [2][12] - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is seen as the ideal ultimate energy source, with a resonance of "policy-industry-capital" expected to accelerate commercialization [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: Acceleration of Bidding for the BEST Project - The bidding for the BEST project has seen significant acceleration, with a total of over 3.7 billion yuan in November 2025 alone, compared to 1.6 million yuan and 2.4 million yuan in September and October respectively [10] - Key components have been awarded, including projects won by Hangyang Co., Ltd. for low-temperature systems and by Wangzi New Materials for magnetic power storage systems, enhancing certainty in the supply chain [1][11][12] Section 2: Launch of Tritium Factory Bidding - The tritium factory bidding was initiated on November 12, with a total amount exceeding 1.3 billion yuan, marking a critical phase in the BEST project [2][12] - Tritium self-sustaining is crucial for the commercial operation of fusion reactors, indicating a shift in focus towards solving core engineering challenges necessary for future fusion power plants [2][13] Section 3: Policy-Industry-Capital Resonance - The industry is entering the engineering feasibility verification stage, with a Q value greater than 1 indicating potential energy gain, and a Q value greater than 30 suggesting the possibility of commercialization [3] - The policy framework for controlled nuclear fusion is strengthening, with significant support from national planning and legislative measures, including its inclusion in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3][25] - Capital inflow is diversifying, with significant investments in the fusion sector, including the establishment of the China Fusion Energy Company with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan [3][26] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - Focus on core suppliers and flexible targets, particularly in the midstream equipment sector, including companies like Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Xuguang Electronics, and Hangyang Co., Ltd. [3][30] - Upstream material companies such as Yongding Co., Ltd. and Western Superconducting Technologies are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3][30]