Group 1 - On May 27, Paige Biopharma-B listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange at a price of HKD 11.56, experiencing a significant drop of 25.90% by the end of the trading day, indicating market concerns over its valuation and growth prospects despite its focus on innovative therapies for chronic diseases [1] - Muyuan Foods submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 27, positioning itself as a global leader in the pig farming industry with a complete industry chain covering breeding, farming, feed production, slaughtering, and meat processing, and has been the world's largest pig producer for four consecutive years [2] - Zijin Mining announced plans to spin off its subsidiary, Zijin Gold International, for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which involves restructuring and integrating several overseas gold mining assets, enhancing its market competitiveness and global resource layout [3] - Shanghai Topway CNC Technology Co., Ltd. submitted an IPO prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 26, focusing on high-end intelligent manufacturing equipment, particularly five-axis CNC machine tools, with projected revenues of CNY 136 million, CNY 335 million, and CNY 532 million for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [4] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,381.99 with a gain of 0.43% on May 27, while the Hang Seng Tech Index and the National Enterprises Index also saw increases of 0.48% and 0.38% respectively [5]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) has submitted an application for H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as part of its international expansion strategy, aiming to raise funds for further internationalization, innovation, and operations [1] - Muyuan Foods is the world's largest pig farming company by production capacity and output since 2021, with a market share increase from 2.6% in 2021 to 5.6% in 2024 [2] - The company has also entered the pig slaughtering and meat processing business since 2019, ranking fifth globally and first in China by slaughter volume in 2024 [2] Group 2 - In 2024, Muyuan Foods achieved total revenue of 137.947 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.43%, and a net profit of 17.881 billion yuan, marking a significant turnaround with a growth of 519.42% [2] - In Q1 2025, the company sold 22.658 million pigs, with a total of 5.32 million pigs slaughtered, representing an 81% year-on-year increase [3] - The global pork consumption is steadily increasing, projected to rise from 95.2 million tons in 2020 to 115.3 million tons in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.9% [3]

Group 1 - The overall performance of the agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is currently under pressure, with the average pig price showing a decline in several key provinces [1] - The average price of pork is 20.95 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase of 0.05% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets remains stable at 28.00 yuan/kg [1] - The self-breeding profit stands at 48.21 yuan per head, while the profit from purchasing piglets is negative at -16.06 yuan per head, indicating challenges in the market [1] Group 2 - The feed industry is expected to see a recovery in its business environment due to falling raw material prices and improving conditions in the breeding sector, with Hai Da Group positioned for potential growth [2] - The current cycle in the pig farming industry is characterized by a focus on reducing debt rather than rapidly increasing production capacity, with expectations for profitability to begin in Q2 2024 [2] - The market may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, potentially overlooking the positive effects of declining raw material costs and anticipated demand recovery in 2025 [2] Group 3 - The poultry industry, particularly the meat chicken sector, may experience performance improvements driven by new demand in 2025, with Saint Agriculture positioned at the bottom of its performance and valuation cycle [3] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be crucial for pet food brands, with a focus on brands that can lead market trends and show profit improvements, recommending domestic brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with joint sponsors including Morgan Stanley, CITIC Securities, and Goldman Sachs [1] - The company's intention for the Hong Kong listing is to further promote its overseas business development [1] - Muyuan Foods has already established a subsidiary in Vietnam to advance its international operations [1] Group 2 - The company plans to leverage its experience in disease prevention, including African swine fever, along with its pig farming technology, intelligent equipment, and digital production management systems to provide comprehensive solutions for pig farming overseas [1]

Core Viewpoint - Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (牧原股份) has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Morgan Stanley, CITIC Securities, and Goldman Sachs as joint sponsors [1] Company Overview - Muyuan Foods is a global leader in the pig farming industry, covering the entire supply chain from breeding, pig farming, feed production, slaughtering, to meat processing [5] - According to Frost & Sullivan, since 2021, the company has been the largest pig farming enterprise globally by production capacity and slaughter volume, maintaining the highest slaughter volume for four consecutive years [5] - The company's global market share in pig slaughtering is projected to grow from 2.6% in 2021 to 5.6% in 2024, surpassing the combined market share of the second to fourth largest competitors [5] Financial Performance - From 2014 to 2024, Muyuan Foods is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48.7% in total revenue, ranking first among the top ten listed pork food companies globally by slaughter volume [5][6] - The net profit CAGR from 2014 to 2024 is projected to be 72.7%, with an average net profit margin of 19.0% [5][6] - The company's EBITDA CAGR during the same period is expected to reach 60%, with an average EBITDA margin of 31%, significantly outperforming other large listed companies in the Chinese pig farming industry [6] Market Trends - Global pork consumption is stable, increasing from 95.2 million tons in 2020 to 115.3 million tons in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.9% [6] - China, as the largest pork consumer globally, is projected to have a per capita major meat consumption of 69.4 kg in 2024, indicating significant growth opportunities compared to the United States' 102.0 kg [6] - The proportion of chilled pork in total pork consumption in China remains lower than in developed countries, suggesting long-term growth potential for overall meat consumption and product upgrades in China [6] Revenue and Profit Data - For the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Muyuan Foods reported revenues of approximately RMB 124.83 billion, RMB 110.86 billion, and RMB 137.95 billion, respectively [7][8] - The net profits for the same years were approximately RMB 14.93 billion, a loss of RMB 4.17 billion, and a profit of RMB 18.93 billion, respectively [7][8]

行业 生猪日报 日期 2025 年 05 月 27 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F0230741 农业产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：王海峰 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：刘悠然 升水修复，重新起航 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源：涌益，建信期货研究中心 生猪行情： 研究员：洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.co m 期货从业资格号：F3076808 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 请阅读正文后的声明 - 2 - 图1：全国生猪出栏价 元/公斤 图2：样本屠宰场屠宰量 头 数据来源：涌益，建信期货研究中心 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][35] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector index has shown a slight decline of 0.36%, ranking 15th among 31 primary industries in the market [4][12] - The pig price has been weak, with an average price of 14.46 CNY/kg as of May 23, 2025, down 1.12% from the previous week [5][16] - The supply pressure in the pig market is increasing due to high historical weights of pigs being marketed and a stable breeding sow inventory [5][18] - The profitability of self-bred pigs is around 48 CNY per head, which has decreased by 32 CNY per head compared to the previous week [17][19] - The white feather chicken market is stable, with chick prices at 3.00 CNY per chick and a slight increase in meat chicken prices [27][28] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The agricultural sector index has decreased by 0.36%, with the overall market indices also showing declines [12][14] - The performance of sub-sectors varies, with the pet sector showing resilience while meat chicken and seed sectors have faced more significant adjustments [13] 2. Livestock Industry Tracking 2.1 Pigs - The average pig price is 14.46 CNY/kg, reflecting a downward trend since mid-May [5][16] - Supply pressures are attributed to high weights of marketed pigs and a stable breeding sow inventory [5][18] - Profit margins for self-bred pigs are decreasing, while external pig purchases are currently unprofitable [17][19] 2.2 White Feather Chicken - Chick prices remain stable, with a slight increase in meat chicken prices [27][28] - The industry is observing a shift towards domestic breeding due to uncertainties in imports caused by avian influenza outbreaks [27][28] 3. Planting Industry Tracking - Sugar prices have shown a slight decline, while soybean prices have increased by 2.1% [30] - Cotton prices have risen slightly, and corn prices have remained stable with minor fluctuations [30][31]

Group 1 - Sichuan Province has drafted ten measures to promote high-quality development in the livestock industry, focusing on supporting leading enterprises and enhancing their capabilities to drive the industry forward [1] - The measures include encouraging the construction of a trillion-yuan livestock industry, modern agricultural industrial parks, and livestock industry clusters, which aim to improve the development capacity of breeding farms [1] - The plan also emphasizes the transformation and upgrading of pig slaughtering, supporting mergers and acquisitions of slaughtering enterprises, with potential subsidies for those passing quality management inspections by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - According to Industrial Securities, the recovery of pig breeding capacity is expected to lead to a new upward cycle in pig prices, with a gradual increase in sow capacity and continued optimization of breeding costs [2] - The poultry industry may benefit from limited overseas breeding stock imports, with a projected increase in domestic breeding stock, particularly in the context of disease affecting U.S. imports [2] - CITIC Securities anticipates a steady increase in pig output by 2025, despite a potential decline in prices, while the poultry sector may face challenges with continued price drops and industry losses [2]

Core Insights - The investment conference in Huixian, Gansu, resulted in the signing of cooperation agreements worth 410 million yuan, focusing on the development of the pig industry chain [1] - Huixian aims to establish a "million heads, ten billion level" pig industry chain, with projected livestock numbers reaching 2.16 million and a total output value exceeding 850 million yuan by 2024 [1] - The county plans to build 11 standardized pig farms with over 10,000 heads by 2025, with 6 already under construction [1] Group 1 - The conference attracted experts and technical personnel from across the country to discuss the development of the pig industry in Huixian [1] - Huixian has 1,341 pig farming households, with 5 leading enterprises and 2 enterprises with over 100 million yuan in output value [1] - The county has established a collaborative development model that integrates leading enterprises and farmers, achieving a win-win situation for industry prosperity and scale expansion [1] Group 2 - Huixian has made significant progress in building its industry chain, including the construction of core breeding farms and feed production facilities, achieving a processing transformation rate of 53% [2] - The county has introduced 15 high-level agricultural technology experts and established 10 "production, learning, and research" bases, along with 18 patent applications [2] - Advanced automation in production has reduced comprehensive breeding costs by 15%, with a sow conception rate of 98%, while promoting resource recycling and green development [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current supply and demand of the pig market are in a stalemate, and the pig price is in a narrow - range shock. The futures market trend depends highly on market sentiment. The supply and demand of the main 09 contract are expected to weaken, and it is recommended to take a short - term bearish view, with the pressure level referring to 13,800 [7][8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Weekly Viewpoints and Strategies - **Fundamental Views**: The spot price of live pigs fluctuated narrowly this week, with the national average live pig slaughter price at 14.46 yuan/kg, a week - on - week decrease of 1.70% and a year - on - year decrease of 8.42%. In the short term, the pig price is in a stalemate. The number of fertile sows decreased slightly in Q1 2025, but the production capacity is still sufficient. If pork consumption does not increase significantly, the upward space of the pig price before September 2025 may be limited. The supply of pork this year is relatively abundant, and the support from the supply and demand sides to the market is still relatively limited [7]. - **Outlook and Strategy**: The supply and demand expectations of the main 09 contract are weakening. It is recommended to take a short - term bearish view, with the pressure level referring to 13,800 [8]. 3.2. Futures and Spot Markets - **Live Pig Futures and Spot Prices**: The spot price of live pigs fluctuated narrowly this week. The national average live pig slaughter price was 14.46 yuan/kg, a week - on - week decrease of 0.25 yuan/kg, a week - on - week decrease of 1.70%, and a year - on - year decrease of 8.42%. The terminal consumption is weakening, but the second - fattening may enter the market to support, and the slaughter enterprises adopt a strategy of reducing volume to support prices [15]. - **Spot - Futures Basis**: Not provided in the content. - **Standard - Fat and Gross - White Price Spreads**: The regional standard - fat price spreads rose and fell this week, with differences between the north and the south. The price of fat pigs in the north was inverted, and the price of standard pigs in the south drove up the price of fat pigs. However, as the weather gets hotter, the standard - fat price spread will continue to narrow [25]. - **Prices of Piglets and Binary Sows**: The national average price of 7 - kg weaned piglets this week was 510.48 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 0.28% and a year - on - year decrease of 9.38%. The piglet market was stable on the surface but declined secretly, and the trading activity was low [29]. - **Price of Culled Sows**: The average price of culled sows this week was 10.97 yuan/kg, a week - on - week decrease of 0.47% and a year - on - year increase of 2.24%. It is expected that the price of culled sows may be weakly stable next week [32]. 3.3. Production Capacity - **Inventory of Fertile Sows**: In late March 2025, the inventory of fertile sows was 40.39 million, a quarterly decrease of 0.96% compared with late December 2024. According to the statistics of 208 sample enterprises, in April, the inventory of fertile sows in 123 large - scale farms increased by 0.36% month - on - month and 4.31% year - on - year; the inventory of 85 small and medium - sized farms increased by 1.61% month - on - month and 10.15% year - on - year. It is expected that the inventory of fertile sows in May will be generally stable with minor adjustments [36][40]. - **Elimination Volume of Fertile Sows**: According to the statistics of 208 sample enterprises, in April, the elimination volume of fertile sows in 123 large - scale farms decreased by 0.11% month - on - month and 3.08% year - on - year; the elimination volume of 85 small and medium - sized farms decreased by 2.94% month - on - month and increased by 9.61% year - on - year. It is expected that the elimination volume in May will be difficult to increase [43]. 3.4. Supply Side - **Inventory of Commercial Pigs**: In April, the inventory of commercial pigs in 123 large - scale farms was 35.4824 million, a month - on - month increase of 0.10% and a year - on - year increase of 6.28%; the inventory of 85 small and medium - sized farms was 1.4321 million, a month - on - month decrease of 0.91% and a year - on - year increase of 10.98%. It is expected that the inventory in May will continue to increase month - on - month [50]. - **Slaughter Volume of Commercial Pigs**: In April, the slaughter volume of commercial pigs in 123 large - scale farms was 10.8565 million, a month - on - month increase of 4.46% and a year - on - year increase of 26.58%; the slaughter volume of 85 small and medium - sized farms was 0.497 million, a month - on - month increase of 4.09% and a year - on - year increase of 74.89%. It is expected that the slaughter volume in May will increase month - on - month [53]. - **Average Slaughter Weight of Commercial Pigs**: The average slaughter weight of national outer - ternary live pigs this week was 124.13 kg, a week - on - week increase of 0.01%. It is expected that the average slaughter weight next week will be generally stable with a slight decrease [58]. 3.5. Demand Side - **Slaughter Volume of Live Pigs**: The terminal consumption is weak, the fresh - sales rate of slaughter enterprises is at a high level, and the frozen - product storage rate is at a low level. The frozen products are in the de - stocking stage, and the impact on the pig price is limited [67]. - **Slaughter Rate and Fresh - Sales Rate of Slaughter Enterprises**: The slaughter rate of slaughter enterprises this week was 28.55%, a week - on - week increase of 0.44 percentage points. It is expected to continue to rise slightly next week [69]. 3.6. Cost and Profit - **Profit of Pig Breeding and Slaughter**: This week, the average weekly profit of self - breeding and self - raising was 104.44 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 17.79 yuan/head; the average weekly profit of purchasing piglets for breeding was 46.41 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 10.28 yuan/head. The cost improvement could not effectively offset the decline in pig prices [82]. - **Pig - Grain Ratio**: This week, the pig - grain ratio was 6.10, a week - on - week decrease of 2.13%. It is expected to fluctuate narrowly and stably next week [89].