机械设备行业 标配 （维持） 机械设备行业双周报（2025/07/04-2025/07/17） 机器人板块催化不断，25H1 挖机销量同比增速保持增长 2025 年 7 月 18 日 投资要点： 机械设备个股涨跌情况：截至2025年7月17日，机械设备板块双周涨幅前三个 股分别为德固特、三川智慧、中大力德，涨幅分别为52.22%、44.50%、37.66%。 机械设备板块双周跌幅前三个股分别为东威科技、伟隆股份、威马农机，跌 幅分别为14.99%、14.52%、12.80%。 分析师：谢少威 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523010003 电话：0769-23320059 邮箱： xieshaowei@dgzq.com.cn 相关报告 机械设备本周估值：截至2025年7月17日，申万机械设备板块PE TTM为27.86 倍。通用设备、专用设备、轨交设备Ⅱ、工程机械、自动化设备PE TTM分别 为35.77倍、26.85倍、17.37倍、20.43倍、47.11倍。 ◼ 机械设备行业周观点： 机器人：受智元机器人收购事件、宇树科技和智元机器人中标1.24亿元大订 单等催化近期机器人板块行情向上。我们认为随 ...

7月16日，"智联世界·路启新程"首届三一路机全球大客户峰会在湖南长沙盛大开幕，向全球传递产品实 力与全球化决心。来自近40个国家和地区的600余位全球客户齐聚三一，实地探访三一路机的研发实力 与智能制造水平。 转自：新华财经 59台路机展示创新成果 无人摊压机群凸显"黑科技" 7月16日上午，全球客户代表来到三一泵送新城。现场59台三一路面机械设备（含配件）组成宏大矩 阵，全面展示三一在路面机械领域的创新成果。电动压路机、电动铣刨机、单钢轮压路机、平地机等明 星产品吸引了众多客户试乘试驾。 图为全球 客户参观三一18号灯塔工厂 在无人摊压机群现场演示区，"黑科技"盛宴震撼上演。三一无人摊压机群是行业领先的高端成套智能化 施工解决方案，具有"一键"施工、质量可靠、安全高效的特点。工作人员设定参数后，一台无人驾驶摊 铺机精准铺设出长约100米的黑色沥青路面，紧随其后的两台双钢轮压路机与两台轮胎压路机默契配 合，完成初压和复压工作。全程无人驾驶，高效协同，令全球客户连连惊叹。"Amazing，Just like watching a sci-fi blockbuster(就像看科幻大片）。"一位来自沙特阿拉伯的客 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, SANY Heavy Industry, is intensifying its efforts in the international market by acquiring 16 DHC-8-300 aircraft from Qantas Airways for a total price of $51.14 million, aiming to capitalize on the recovery of the global aviation industry and the growth of the regional aviation market [1][2]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition involves 16 DHC-8-300 turboprop aircraft, with a total price of $51.14 million excluding tax, and $56.26 million including tax, which translates to over 400 million RMB at the current exchange rate [2]. - The aircraft will be delivered in batches by December 31, 2025, at designated airports in Australia [3]. - The payment structure includes a 15% deposit and 85% to be paid upon delivery [2][3]. Strategic Rationale - The acquisition is aimed at enhancing the company's competitiveness in the global regional aviation leasing market, with a focus on short-haul routes in the Asia-Pacific and North American markets [1][3]. - The company plans to introduce new generation environmentally friendly aircraft to meet the demand for short-haul routes in emerging markets [1][3]. Market Context - The global aviation industry is gradually recovering, with a sustained growth in the regional aviation market driven by increasing middle-class demand in emerging markets and environmental policies promoting turboprop aircraft [5]. - The current supply of aircraft is tight due to production constraints and aging fleets, which has increased the demand for aircraft leasing and purchases [5]. Business Performance - The aviation segment's revenue share has been recovering, reaching 14.24% in 2024, up from a low of 5.41% in 2021 [7]. - The company aims to expand its aviation business by enhancing its fleet and diversifying its operations, including aircraft leasing, maintenance, and parts supply [7][8]. International Expansion - Since acquiring Avmax in 2016, the company has seen a significant increase in its overseas revenue share, which exceeded 60% in 2024 [8]. - The company plans to maintain growth in North America and Europe while expanding into emerging markets in Africa and Latin America [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.18 billion to 1.28 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20% to 30% [5] - The company's strong performance is driven by both domestic and international markets, with significant growth in its earthmoving machinery business due to favorable equipment renewal policies and recovering industry demand [5] - The management transition has not affected the company's market-oriented reforms, and ongoing incentive mechanisms are expected to drive long-term development [6] - The company's overseas business has shown high-quality growth, with revenue from international operations reaching 13.76 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.05% [7] - The company forecasts revenues of 34.86 billion, 39.66 billion, and 44.45 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.01, 1.43, and 1.94 yuan [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.18 billion to 1.28 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a growth rate of 20% to 30% compared to the same period in 2024 [5] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 2.04 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 53.7% [11] Market Dynamics - The domestic market benefits from equipment renewal policies and recovering demand, while the international market is supported by a comprehensive globalization strategy [5][7] - The company's overseas revenue accounted for 45.77% of total revenue in 2024, indicating a significant contribution from international operations [7] Management and Strategy - The management transition is expected to maintain the company's strategic direction and market-oriented operations, with a focus on enhancing profitability and shareholder returns [6] - The company has implemented a dual-track incentive mechanism combining market-based compensation and equity incentives to boost core team performance [6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued revenue growth, with projected revenues increasing from 34.86 billion yuan in 2025 to 44.45 billion yuan in 2027 [9] - The expected EPS growth reflects the company's strong operational performance and market positioning [9]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Bubble Mart's H1 2025 performance significantly exceeded market expectations, with revenue expected to grow by no less than 200% year-on-year, reaching at least 13.673 billion yuan, and profit expected to increase by no less than 350%, amounting to at least 4.489 billion yuan [4][3] - The increase in performance is attributed to the global recognition of the company's IP, a diverse range of product categories driving revenue growth across cities, and a continuous rise in overseas revenue share, which has higher gross and profit margins compared to domestic sales [4][5] - The company has accelerated its overseas store expansion, with a total of 160 stores by the end of H1 2025, and notable growth in TikTok live-streaming sales, indicating a strong global influence of its IP [5][6] Group 2 - The report on XCMG Machinery indicates that the domestic demand for construction machinery is showing signs of recovery, with excavator sales in the first five months of 2025 increasing by 26% year-on-year [9][10] - XCMG's proactive internal reforms and diverse product lines are expected to help the company maintain its leading position in the industry, with projected revenues of 101 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 131.8 billion yuan by 2027 [10][9] - The report emphasizes the potential for XCMG's mining machinery segment to become a second growth curve due to increased capital expenditure from overseas mining companies and improved technology [10] Group 3 - The energy sector report notes that coal production in June 2025 increased by 3% year-on-year, but the growth rate has slowed compared to May, with total coal production for the first half of 2025 reaching 2.4 billion tons, a 5.4% increase year-on-year [12][14] - Electricity generation in June 2025 was 796.3 billion kWh, a 1.7% increase year-on-year, with thermal power generation showing a slight increase of 1.1% [13][15] - The report concludes that while supply is contracting, demand remains stable, leading to a significant reduction in coal inventories at northern ports, which is expected to stabilize coal prices [19][20] Group 4 - Wanda Film's H1 2025 net profit is projected to be between 500 million and 560 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 340.96% to 393.87%, despite a forecasted loss in Q2 2025 due to a weak film market [21][22] - The company is focusing on transforming its cinemas into comprehensive entertainment spaces, with a 10% increase in merchandise gross margin in H1 2025 [23][22] - Wanda Film has a robust content pipeline with multiple films and series set to release, alongside strategic investments in new business lines such as trendy toys and interactive experiences [24][26]

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery market in China is showing signs of recovery in the first half of 2025, with both domestic and international sales of major products increasing year-on-year, leading to performance upgrades from several leading companies [1][2][3]. Industry Performance - The engineering machinery industry has experienced a revival, with major products achieving a "double increase" in both domestic and export sales in the first half of 2025. The China Construction Machinery Industry Association reported that excavator sales reached 120,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, with domestic sales at 65,600 units (up 22.9%) and exports at 54,900 units (up 10.2%) [3][4]. - Sales of loaders totaled 64,800 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.6%, with domestic sales of 35,600 units (up 23.2%) and exports of 29,100 units (up 3.71%). Forklift sales reached 739,300 units, up 11.7%, with domestic sales of 476,400 units (up 9.79%) and exports of 263,000 units (up 15.2%) [3]. Company Performance - LiuGong expects a net profit of approximately 1.18 to 1.28 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20% to 30%. The company attributes this growth to the domestic equipment renewal cycle and improved downstream demand [2]. - Hailin Zhe anticipates a net profit of 78 to 88 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.35% to 71.88%, driven by steady growth in sales orders and a 50% increase in revenue compared to the previous year [2]. - Weichai Heavy Machinery forecasts a net profit of 132 to 151 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40% to 60%, due to favorable industry policies and demand from emerging industries [3]. Future Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is expected to continue its recovery in the second half of 2025, with companies like LiuGong and Sany Heavy Industry expressing optimism about market demand and growth opportunities in infrastructure investment and new urbanization [5][6]. - The industry is also anticipated to benefit from government support for infrastructure projects and the ongoing internationalization and electrification of engineering machinery, which could lead to simultaneous increases in volume and profit for leading companies [1][7].

欧美参展商达到境外参展商半数 7月16日上午10时许，链博会的展馆还未开放，《每日经济新闻》记者已经在展馆外看见一辆辆大巴车排成长队。尽管天气炎热，不同国家、不同肤色的参 会人员穿着西装在展馆外提前排队等候。 "中国的供应链是一个奇迹。" 7月16日，美国英伟达公司创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋身着一身唐装，在第三届中国国际供应链促进博览会（以下简称链博会）开幕式上如是说。 这是黄仁勋第一次参加链博会。而在此前一天，他曾表示，中国市场规模庞大且充满活力。美国企业扎根中国市场至关重要。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到，今年链博会的新面孔不止英伟达，空中客车中国公司不仅首次亮相链博会，还带来十多家中国供应链伙伴。而宇树科技等国 内新锐企业也是首次参加链博会。据了解，本次链博会来了230多家首次参展的"新伙伴"。 链博会第一天就表现出超高的人气，展馆外的大客车排起了长队，展馆内人山人海，不同国家、不同肤色的参会人员络绎不绝。据悉，本届链博会境外展商 占比达35%，创历届之最。 除了展商外，记者在现场还看到了多个省份的地方团前来参观。在一些热门企业展台前，甚至出现排队看展的火爆场景。 总部位于美国洛杉矶的新蛋集团工作人员向记者 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changsha is positioning itself as a vibrant hub for young talent and innovation, emphasizing the importance of youth in driving the city's future development and economic growth [2][5][9]. Group 1: Youth Talent Initiatives - The city has launched the "Small Lotus" youth talent innovation project, targeting individuals under 35 years old, with an annual selection of about 20 projects, each receiving 200,000 yuan in support [9]. - Changsha has established 20 youth talent stations across the city, offering free 14-day accommodation and "Star Lotus Gift Packs" to assist young talents in their transition [6][8]. - The "Double Backpack" action plan aims to create better conditions for young entrepreneurs, ensuring that their dreams resonate with the city's development [5][9]. Group 2: Economic and Innovation Growth - Changsha aims to become a global research and development center, with a focus on attracting young innovators and entrepreneurs [4][7]. - The city has seen significant advancements, ranking 32nd in the global technology cluster list and 23rd among global research cities in 2024, with nearly 4,000 research institutions established [13]. - Innovative projects led by young talents have resulted in substantial economic benefits, such as a technology that generates over 68 million yuan annually for companies [6][12]. Group 3: Supportive Ecosystem for Young Talent - Changsha has developed a comprehensive support network for youth innovation and entrepreneurship, providing a full-cycle support system from accommodation to housing subsidies [8][11]. - The city actively engages with top universities to attract talent, promoting its policies and opportunities for young innovators [7][8]. - The local government emphasizes the importance of creating a youth-friendly environment, which includes various support programs and initiatives to nurture young talent [10][14].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese construction machinery industry has achieved significant export growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a 1.5 times increase in exports, showcasing its product, research, and manufacturing capabilities [1][2]. Export Growth - From 2021 to 2024, the export value of construction machinery products is expected to grow rapidly for four consecutive years, with a projected export value of $52.859 billion in 2024, marking an 8.87% year-on-year increase [2]. - In 2020, the overall export value of China's construction machinery was $21 billion, indicating a growth of 1.5 times over four years [2]. Global Market Presence - Asia accounts for 43% of the export destinations, followed by Europe at 20%, Africa at 13.5%, and South America at approximately 11% [4]. - Countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative represent nearly 50% of total exports, highlighting their importance as key markets [4]. Competitive Landscape - In the Middle East, Chinese companies captured 40% to 50% of new orders in a highly competitive market dominated by European and American firms [4]. - The overseas revenue share of A-share listed construction machinery companies increased from 11.38% in 2020 to 47.48% in 2024, with leading companies like SANY and Zoomlion deriving over half of their revenue from international operations [5]. Technological Advancements - Chinese construction machinery companies have developed a competitive edge through years of investment in electrification and intelligent technology [6]. - In 2024, the penetration rates for electric lifting platforms and forklifts are expected to reach 92.5% and 73.6%, respectively [7]. Localization Strategy - The industry is shifting from large-scale acquisitions to establishing independent production capacities overseas, reflecting a transition from "going out" to "going in" [10]. - SANY's "lighthouse factory" in Indonesia began operations in 2020, with plans for a second phase investment of $150 million, aiming for an annual output value of 5 billion yuan [10]. Future Outlook - The construction machinery sector is poised for continued growth, driven by increasing demand in regions with rich mineral resources and strong infrastructure needs, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - The successful completion of the "Genting Tunnel," the longest railway tunnel in Southeast Asia, marks a significant achievement for the Malaysia East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) project, showcasing advanced engineering capabilities and contributing to regional economic development [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Genting Tunnel is a key control project of the ECRL, measuring 16.39 kilometers in length and reaching a maximum depth of 750 meters, recognized as the longest and highest coverage railway tunnel in Malaysia [1]. - The tunnel traverses the Titiwangsa mountain range, characterized by extremely challenging geological conditions, including 200 MPa ultra-hard granite and high quartz content in schist, presenting significant construction difficulties [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The "Genting Twins," the open-type TBMs "Genting No. 1" and "Genting No. 2," were developed by China Communications Construction Company (CCCC) to address major construction challenges, featuring a cutter head diameter of 8.98 meters and a total weight of 2,500 tons, with a domestic production rate of 98% [1]. - The TBMs incorporate advanced technologies, including a comprehensive support system and over 70 innovative techniques, ensuring effective tunneling through complex geological formations [1][2]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The completion of the Genting Tunnel lays a solid foundation for the full operation of the ECRL, which is expected to significantly boost the economic development of Malaysia's East Coast and facilitate the transformation of logistics along the "Land Bridge" [2].