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三一重能:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:24年盈利有所承压,积极拓展海风及海外市场-20250507
EBSCN· 2025-05-07 03:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][14]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 17.79 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.70% to 1.81 billion yuan [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its offshore wind market presence, securing significant orders in both domestic and international markets, with domestic new orders exceeding 20GW in 2024, a historical high [2][3]. - The company is actively pursuing overseas market expansion, with new project contracts signed in Europe, India, Kazakhstan, and the Philippines, totaling nearly 2GW [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 177.92 billion yuan, a 19.10% increase from the previous year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.12 billion yuan, down 9.70% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 21.87 billion yuan, marking a 26.58% year-on-year increase but a 74.93% decrease from the previous quarter [1]. Market Position - The company maintained a stable position in the wind turbine industry, with a market share increase of 1.18 percentage points, ranking fifth in new installed capacity with 9.15GW in 2024 [1][2]. - The wind turbine manufacturing business generated approximately 135.79 billion yuan in revenue, with a gross margin of 10.99% [1]. Order and Project Development - The company has a robust order backlog, with over 24GW of domestic orders as of the end of 2024, supporting future revenue growth [2]. - The company has adopted a "rolling development" strategy for wind farm projects, enhancing economic efficiency through the transfer of project capacities [2]. International Expansion - The company has made significant strides in international markets, including the establishment of subsidiaries in multiple countries and the signing of a technology licensing agreement in India [3]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in India and has commenced operations in Kazakhstan, aiming to strengthen its international business capabilities [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 2.10 billion yuan, 2.51 billion yuan, and 2.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 16% and 14% for 2025 and 2026 [3][4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.71 yuan, 2.05 yuan, and 2.38 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 13, 11, and 10 [3][4].