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【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年4月30日-5月6日)
乘联分会· 2025-05-07 08:42
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 1801 字,阅读全文约 6 分钟 一季度我国服务进出口总额同比增长8.7% 一季度我国服务进出口总额同比增长8.7% 2025年4月中国采购经理指数运行情况 2025年一季度,我国服务贸易较快增长,服务进出口总额19741.8亿元(人民币,下同),同比增长 8.7%。 其中,出口8351.5亿元,增长12.2%;进口11390.3亿元,增长6.2%。服务贸易逆差3038.8亿元,比上年 同期减少244.6亿元。主要呈现以下特点: 知识密集型服务贸易保持增长。一季度,知识密集型服务进出口7524.9亿元,增长2.6%。其中,其他商业 服务、电信计算机和信息服务进出口规模较大,金额分别为3204.8亿元、2623.4亿元,增速分别为0.8%、 4.8%。知识密集型服务出口4363.4亿元,增长2.1%;知识密集型服务进口3161.5亿元,增长3.4%。 旅行服务出口增长最快。一季度,旅行服务继续保持高速增长,进出口达5849亿元,增长21.8%,为服务 贸易第一大领域。其中,出口增长97.5%,进口增长14.9%。 (来源:商务部 ) 2025年4月中国采购经理指数运 ...
释放有力信号!全面、精准 一揽子金融政策对经济发展提供多维度支撑 | 解读↓
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-05-07 08:09
央视网消息:5月7日,国务院新闻办公室就"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况举行新闻发布会。这场新闻发布会上所释放的政策信 息,对于未来经济发展有何助力? 对于房地产方面,政策也在加码。从需求端看,下调个人住房公积金贷款利率,减轻居民负担,并刺激购房需求。从供给端来看,加快出台和 房地产发展新模式相适配的系列融资制度,来助力持续巩固房地产市场的稳定态势。 北京师范大学教授、经济学专家万喆表示,发布会释放了一系列金融政策的"组合拳",核心还是围绕稳市场、稳预期展开。政策力度很大、覆 盖范围广,对未来经济发展也具有多维度的支撑作用。 货币政策全面宽松 释放流动性 从主要关注点来看,首先是在宏观经济方面。货币政策调整和流动性支持力度相当大。发布会也明确提及,要通过降准降息等工具来释放流动 性,降低实体经济融资成本,缓解当前的有效需求不足这等问题,提振企业投资和居民消费的信心。 房地产政策精准施策 促进市场企稳 在资本市场方面,资本市场改革和中长期资金引入也是"组合拳"之一,进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围,为市场引入更多的增量资金, 而且也会调整优化监管规则,进一步降低保险公司股票投资风险因子,来支持稳定和 ...
最新发声!关于中国资本市场,证监会吴清说了三个“靠谱”
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-07 03:00
5月7日,在国新办举行的"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"新闻发布会上,中国证监会主席吴清指 出,今年以来,证监会深入贯彻党中央、国务院一系列决策部署,持续推动新"国九条"及系列政策文件 落地见效,市场运行总体稳中有进、稳中向好。 吴清同时强调道,4月25日中央政治局会议强调,要"持续稳定和活跃资本市场",充分体现了党中央对 于稳市场、稳预期的高度重视和殷切期望。我们将全力抓好贯彻落实,坚持"两强两严",坚定不移办好 自己的事,既努力在市场运行上体现"稳",同时在激发市场活力、强化市场功能上体现"进"。 一是全力巩固市场回稳向好势头。强化市场监测和风险综合研判,态完善应对各类外部风险冲击的工作 预案,全力支持中央汇金公司发挥好类"平准基金"作用,中央汇金公司在前方进行强有力操作,中国人 民银行作为后盾,这是全世界最有力有效模式之一。配合中国人民银行健全支持资本市场货币政策工具 长效机制,更好发挥市场各参与方的稳市功能。 采写:南都·湾财社记者 吴鸿森 对于资本市场,吴清指出,我们的底气和信心主要来自四个方面: 一是党中央、国务院的坚强领导和维护市场稳定的坚定决心、有力部署。大家都看到了,这都是扎扎实 实的行动 ...
湖北重塑上市服务体系 目标2030年上市公司总数进入全国第一方阵
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-05-06 23:40
Core Viewpoint - The implementation plan aims to reshape the listing service system for enterprises in Hubei Province, focusing on nurturing multi-level capital market fundraising and enhancing the overall structure and coverage of the market by 2030 [1][2]. Group 1: Goals and Objectives - The plan sets five major goals: significant increase in the number of listed companies, continuous improvement in the proportion of technology-based listed companies, full coverage of New Third Board listed enterprises across cities and counties, and a target of 1,500 provincial-level listing reserve "golden seed" and "silver seed" enterprises [1][2]. - By 2030, over 50% of domestic listed companies are expected to be from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, Growth Enterprise Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. Group 2: Service Mechanism - A comprehensive service mechanism will be established, including value discovery, standardized cultivation, financing connection, and listing support, to enhance the capital market's ability to empower technological innovation [2][3]. - The plan includes 13 key tasks such as optimizing the selection mechanism for listing reserve resources, strengthening dynamic management of the reserve resource pool, and improving the professional level of corporate capital operations [2]. Group 3: Support for Enterprises - The plan proposes a "step-by-step cultivation + customized guidance" service for enterprises at different development stages, focusing on governance standardization and financing support [3]. - It emphasizes the establishment of a dual-direction matching mechanism through the Hubei Provincial Enterprise Listing Government Service Cloud Platform, and encourages financial institutions to innovate business models to support technology-based enterprises [3]. Group 4: Current Landscape - Currently, Hubei has 722 national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprises, 6,151 specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, and 12,000 innovative small and medium-sized enterprises [3]. - In the past three years, Hubei Province has added 28 new listed companies [3].
上市公司重大信息披露机制亟待补漏
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-05-06 09:21
Group 1 - A listed company disclosed an administrative penalty of 195 million yuan due to alleged monopoly agreements in its 2024 annual report, which significantly impacted its net profit of 397 million yuan [1] - The administrative penalty notice was issued by the Tianjin Market Supervision Administration, and the company recognized the expected liabilities and related losses in its financial statements for the 2024 fiscal year [1] - The article highlights the lack of timely disclosure practices among listed companies regarding administrative penalties, suggesting that the current regulatory framework allows for delays in information sharing [1][2] Group 2 - Recommendations include improving the information disclosure rules for listed companies, specifically defining "immediate" disclosure as within 24 hours of an event [2] - The article suggests addressing the issue of information silos among regulatory bodies by enhancing collaboration between securities regulators and other authorities such as market supervision and tax departments [2][3] - A proposal is made to establish a blockchain platform for regulatory information sharing, ensuring that administrative penalty notices are timestamped and shared with relevant parties to prevent delays in disclosure [3]
建邦高科首次递表港交所;维信金科已恢复公司最低公众持股量丨港交所早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-05 16:04
NO.1 银粉生产商建邦高科首次递表港交所 |2025年5月6日星期二| 5月2日,建邦高科向港交所主板提交上市申请。该公司主要研究、开发、生产及销售银粉,其银粉产品主要用于光伏银浆(生产光伏电池的关 键原材料)的生产。2024年,建邦高科收入约39.5亿元,同比增长41.99%;毛利1.31亿元,同比增长21.96%;净利润约0.79亿元,同比增长 31.95%。 点评:建邦高科赴港交所主板递表,彰显其拓展资本版图的决心。近年营收、利润双增长,展现良好发展态势。作为光伏银粉领域头部企业, 有望借上市契机,依托行业发展东风,进一步扩大规模、提升竞争力,开拓更广阔市场空间 。 NO.5新三板创新层企业讯众股份再次递表港交所 4月30日,新三板创新层企业讯众股份(BJ832646,股价5.01元)向港交所主板提交上市申请。2024年7月26日,该公司就曾向香港联交所递交 过招股书。讯众股份定位为智能云通信建设与服务商,按2023年收入排名计,讯众股份是中国最大的全栈式云通信服务提供商,市场份额占 2023年中国云通信服务市场总收入的1.8%。 5月2日,伟鸿集团控股(HK03321,股价0.056港元)宣布,截至 ...
中采PMI|外贸压力进入验证期(2025年4月)
中信证券研究· 2025-05-05 07:59
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI in April 2025 has declined compared to the previous month and the past five-year average, indicating a weakening manufacturing sector under external pressures, particularly from trade tensions with the US [1][3][4] Manufacturing PMI Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month and 1.3 percentage points lower than the five-year average, reflecting a decrease in manufacturing activity due to external trade pressures [2][3] - The production index within the manufacturing PMI is at 49.8%, which is 2.4 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating a decline in production levels [4] - The new export orders index is at 44.7%, significantly lower than the five-year average by 4.8 percentage points, primarily due to reduced exports to the US [4][5] Sector Performance - Among 15 major manufacturing sectors, only 5 have PMIs above the threshold, with 4 sectors showing a month-on-month increase, including non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, which rose by 9.1 percentage points [5] - The gap between PMIs of large, medium, and small enterprises is narrowing, with large enterprises experiencing a more significant decline [5] Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is at 50.4%, which is 3.6 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating weaker domestic demand [6] - The service sector PMI is at 50.1%, and the construction sector PMI is at 51.9%, both reflecting a decline compared to historical averages [6] Policy Response - The Central Political Bureau meeting in April outlined measures to stabilize the economy, including accelerating existing policy implementation, introducing new policies, and preparing contingency plans [7] - Specific actions include expediting the issuance of local government bonds and establishing new financial tools to support infrastructure and industrial investments [7] Market Outlook - Economic fundamentals are expected to support the bond market, with anticipated monetary easing leading to a potential decline in interest rates for medium and long-term bonds [8]
4月全国PMI数据解读:PMI虽有回落,政策积极发力
PMI 虽有回落,政策积极发力 [Table_Authors] 侯欢(分析师) ——4 月全国 PMI 数据解读 本报告导读: 外部冲击影响加大,4 月 PMI 边际回落。接下来,或加力推动既定政策 落地见效,通过增强内需主动力作用应对外部不确定性。 投资要点: 登记编号 S0880525040074 证 券 研 究 报 告 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.04.30 2025-05-02 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 研 究 宏 观 题 021-38676666 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 4 月,制造业 PMI 为 49.0%,比上月下降 1.5 个百分点;服 务业商务活动指数为 50.1%,比上月下降 0.2 个百分点;建筑业商务 活动指数为 51.9%,比上月下降 1.5 个百分点。 关税扰动,制造业 PMI 边际回落。制造业 PMI 由升转降,主因贸易 摩擦导致的外部环境急剧变化。不过,以内销为主的制造业经营相 对稳定,对 PMI 有所支撑。考虑到国内积极政策节奏加快,我 ...
兼评4月PMI数据:关税扰动的2个阶段
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 14:18
| 何宁(分析师) | 陈策(分析师) | | --- | --- | | hening@kysec.cn | chence@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790522110002 | 证书编号:S0790524020002 | 事件:2025 年 4 月官方制造业 PMI 49.0%,预期 49.8%,前值 50.5%;官方非制 造业 PMI 50.4%,前值 50.8%。 制造业:分项普遍走弱,外需与价格降幅较大 1、关税扰动初步显现,叠加此前抢出口抢生产形成的高基数,制造业 PMI 分 项普遍走弱。供需端,PMI 生产年内首次降至荣枯线下,外需降幅大于内需; 分行业来看,纺织、纺织服装服饰、金属制品等行业产需回落,农副食品加工、 食品及酒饮料精制茶、医药相对稍好。 2、工业原材料价格回落,预计 4 月 PPI 同比降幅扩大。4 月 PMI 原材料购进价 格与 PMI 出厂价格分别为 47.0%、44.8%,分别较前值回落了 2.8、3.1 个百分点。 根据高频指标预计 4 月 PPI 环比可能在-0.3%左右,同比在-2.5%左右。 2025 年 04 月 30 日 关税扰动的 2 个阶段 宏 ...
哪些行业更抗冲击?——4月PMI数据解读【陈兴团队 • 财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-04-30 11:03
报 告 正 文 4 月制造业 PMI 回落至线下,供需两端均有走弱。服务业和建筑业商务活动指数均线上回落。 PMI 表现如何? 4 月 全国制造业 PMI 录得 49.0% ,较上月下降 1.5 个百分点。各分项均较上月下降,其中 需求相对供给继续增强,内需相对外需大幅增强,大中小企业均落至线下运行,原材料价格和产成品价格双双 回落。 为何本月制造业 PMI 大幅下降? 主要原因有三: 一是 前期"抢出口"影响下,制造业较快增长,导致 前期基数较高; 二是 外部环境急剧变化, 4 月 2 日美国对全球贸易伙伴强加关税压制抢出口; 三是 季节转 淡,存在一定的季节性影响。当前主要经济体制造业景气度普遍位于收缩区间, 3 月份美国制造业 PMI 为 49.0% , 4 月份欧元区、英国、日本制造业 PMI 初值均低于临界点。 此外,有三点值得关注 : 一是外部环境变化影响下,行业表现分化。 高技术制造业和部分内销为主的行业表 现相对稳定, 4 月高技术制造业 PMI 为 51.5% ,明显高于制造业总体水平;农副食品、酒饮料茶、医药等行 业的生产和新订单指数均位于 53.0% 及以上;服务业和建筑业商务活动预期指 ...