Group 1 - The domestic futures market for the chemical sector showed a downward trend, with the main contract for paraxylene (PX) opening at 6698.0 CNY/ton and experiencing a decline of approximately 2.63% [1] - The price of PX is expected to fluctuate in the short term due to a tight supply-demand balance, with recent domestic maintenance units gradually restarting, leading to weaker market sentiment and lack of driving force from crude oil [1] - The supply side remains stable with no significant changes in domestic and international facilities, while the demand side shows a slight increase in PTA processing fees, indicating a balanced supply-demand situation [2] Group 2 - Domestic PX production for the week was reported at 770.98 million tons, with a utilization rate of 84.63%, remaining unchanged from the previous week [2] - PTA production increased to 138.8 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.77 million tons, with a utilization rate of 74.95%, up by 4.30% [2] - Short-term PX prices are anticipated to follow fluctuations in crude oil prices, with resistance around 6850 CNY and support near 6500 CNY [2]

Group 1 - The main contract for rapeseed meal futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 2530.00 yuan, with a current price of 2525.00 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.27% [1] - Domestic supply pressure is reduced due to a decrease in the arrival of rapeseed, while seasonal demand for rapeseed meal in aquaculture is increasing [2][4] - The implementation of temporary anti-dumping measures on rapeseed by China further weakens long-term supply expectations [2] Group 2 - Short-term trends for rapeseed meal are expected to follow soybean meal prices, with limited arrivals of rapeseed impacting inventory levels [3][4] - The current low inventory levels at major domestic ports are attributed to a decrease in the arrival of Canadian rapeseed, although year-on-year levels remain high [4] - The ongoing negotiations between China and Canada regarding tariffs on rapeseed may influence future market conditions, but the impact is considered limited [4]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Corn's short - to medium - term supply - demand structure is turning loose. The short - term supply surge from the new season's harvest is suppressing prices, but with the continued absence of import pressure, the price decline may be limited [1]. - Corn demand remains resilient, and substitution pressure is limited [1]. - CBOT corn is oscillating at a low level to digest the pressure of a bumper harvest. With a sharp reduction in China's imported grains, the transmission of international grain prices to the domestic market is expected to decline [1]. - The domestic corn futures market is digesting the pressure of the new season's harvest in the short term and is operating with a weak oscillation [1]. - Corn starch futures are following the decline of corn. Later, with the expectation of cost reduction and the arrival of the consumption peak season, prices are likely to operate within a range [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Market Data of Corn and Starch Futures - Corn futures prices for different contracts (11, 01, 03, 05, 07, 09) increased on September 18, 2025, compared to September 17, 2025, with the increase ranging from 0.09% to 0.74% [1]. - Corn starch futures prices for different contracts (11, 01, 03, 05, 07, 09) also increased on September 18, 2025, compared to September 17, 2025, with the increase ranging from 0.27% to 0.73% [1]. - The wheat average price increased by 0.08% from September 17 to September 18, 2025 [1]. 3.2 Factors Affecting the Market 3.2.1 Bullish Factors - Pig production capacity remains at a high level, and demand shows resilience [2]. - The import volume of corn and rice has decreased significantly, reducing substitution pressure [2]. - The pressure of domestic corn production increase is limited, and the new - season quotes are mainly high - opened [2]. 3.2.2 Bearish Factors - Corn is in the new - season harvest and listing period, and the temporary supply surplus is pressuring prices [2]. - There are frequent messages about pig production capacity regulation, and there are concerns about medium - term corn demand [2]. 3.3 Spot Prices and Basis - For corn, the spot prices in Jinzhou Port, Shekou Port, and Harbin remained unchanged on the reporting date. The Jinzhou Port main - contract basis decreased by 16 [11]. - For corn starch, the spot prices in Shandong, Jilin, and Heilongjiang remained unchanged on the reporting date. The Shandong main - contract basis decreased by 18 [11]. 3.4 International Market Data - CBOT corn main - contract price was 424.5, down 0.59% [22]. - COBT soybean main - contract price was 1038.75, down 0.5% [22]. - CBOT wheat main - contract price was 525, down 0.66% [22]. - The US Gulf完税 price was 2146.07, down 0.54%, with an import profit of 293.93 [22]. - The US West完税 price was 1994.56, down 0.57%, with an import profit of 445.44 [22].

投教内容总是枯燥难懂，难以引发共鸣？市场信息纷繁复杂，令人无所适从？别担心！这场分享会将为 你带来满满干货！ 9月24日，广东证券期货业协会联合南方都市报社、湾财社举办投教微视频创作分享交流会活动。届 时，将对广东证券期货业首届微视频比赛获奖单位进行表彰，并由获奖单位代表分享创作心得。同时， 南都湾财社还将围绕投资领域热点舆情事件展开深度交流与探讨，帮助投资者增强风险辨识能力，助力 机构投教内容更具针对性和前瞻性。 19部投教微视频作品获奖 为破解"自说自话"的投教视频宣传情况，助力机构投教工作更好地"走出去"，2024年11月，由广东证券 期货业协会、南方都市报社、湾财社主办的广东证券期货业首届微视频比赛在广州启动。活动获得广东 （不含深圳）证券期货业金融机构积极响应，踊跃参与。这些机构围绕服务实体经济、践行投资者保 护、履行社会责任等比赛主题类别创作了近百部微视频作品。 经过专家评审，最终19部作品脱颖而出。其中，《老吴期遇记 陪伴是最好的防范常回家看看》(广发期 货有限公司）获一等奖；《AI算法?人性算法!》(中粮期货有限公司广东分公司)、《学投资，找正规军 投教基地》(广发证券股份有限公司)、《擦亮双 ...

Core Viewpoint - On September 17, COFCO Capital experienced a significant increase in stock price by 10.02%, with a trading volume of 2.714 billion yuan, indicating strong market interest and activity [1]. Financing Summary - On the same day, COFCO Capital had a financing buy-in amount of 336 million yuan, with a financing repayment of 281 million yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of approximately 54.43 million yuan [1]. - As of September 17, the total financing and securities lending balance for COFCO Capital was 892 million yuan, with the financing balance at 884 million yuan, representing 2.63% of the circulating market value, which is above the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. - In terms of securities lending, COFCO Capital had no shares repaid on September 17, with 74,000 shares sold short, amounting to approximately 1.08 million yuan at the closing price, and a remaining short position of 545,900 shares valued at 7.97 million yuan, also above the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. Company Overview - COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd. is located in the Chaoyang District of Beijing and was established on December 29, 2004, with its listing date on June 3, 2010 [1]. - The company's main business activities include trust, futures, insurance, and banking, with revenue composition as follows: insurance segment 72.02%, trust segment 15.30%, futures segment 12.23%, and others 0.46% [1]. Shareholder and Financial Performance - As of August 29, COFCO Capital had 136,000 shareholders, an increase of 7.94% from the previous period, with an average of 16,941 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 7.35% [2]. - For the first half of 2025, COFCO Capital reported operating revenue of 4.893 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 62.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 848 million yuan, down 27.83% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, COFCO Capital has distributed a total of 1.503 billion yuan in dividends, with 850 million yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders included the Southern CSI 500 ETF, holding 13.6631 million shares, an increase of 1.6479 million shares from the previous period, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 13.4116 million shares, an increase of 613.64 thousand shares [2].

《实施方案》提出，打造现代金融体系。积极引进境内外各类金融机构、金融资本，丰富河南省金融业 态和金融产业链。支持郑州商品交易所丰富区域特色期货品种，发展"保险+期货"，延伸期货产业链。 9月17日，河南省人民政府办公厅印发《河南省金融服务"两高四着力"实施方案》（下称《实施方 案》）。《实施方案》提出，未来3至5年，实现金融要素配置与"两高四着力"有机融合，金融"五篇大 文章"提质增效，直接融资占比明显提升，更多长期资本、耐心资本集聚发展，金融机构竞争力和影响 力明显增强，金融风险大幅收敛，现代金融体系更加完善、金融服务实体经济更加高效、金融生态环境 更加优良的金融业发展新格局基本形成。 （文章来源：期货日报网） ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Focus on the central bank's attitude. The bond market was less affected by the strong performance of the A-share index. The better-than-expected issuance of 20-year new bonds in the primary market drove the bond futures up in the afternoon. The market has low expectations for interest rate cuts. If the Fed cuts interest rates by more than 25bp tonight, it may drive the domestic bond market. The trading strategy is to buy on dips and not chase the rise. If the market continues to rise tomorrow, take profit on previous long positions [2][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Review - On Wednesday, bond futures opened lower and closed higher across the board, and spot bond yields declined. The open market conducted 418.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases, with a net injection of 114.5 billion yuan. There was also a 150 billion yuan treasury cash fixed deposit. The funding situation remained tight, and DR001 rose to 1.49% [2] 3.2. Intraday News - The weighted winning bid rate of the 20-year treasury bond issued by the Ministry of Finance was 2.1616%, with an overall multiple of 5.71 and a marginal multiple of 2.16. Former central bank official Sheng Songcheng said that in the current economic situation, reserve requirement ratio cuts are better than interest rate cuts in China, but there is still room for interest rate cuts [3] 3.3. Market Analysis - The A-share index hit a new high today, but the bond market was less affected. The issuance of 20-year new bonds in the primary market was better than expected, and the winning bid rate was lower than the secondary market, driving the bond futures up in the afternoon. The market has low expectations for interest rate cuts. If the Fed cuts interest rates by more than 25bp tonight, it may drive the domestic bond market. The market sentiment is okay. The trading strategy is to buy on dips and not chase the rise. If the market continues to rise tomorrow, take profit on previous long positions [4] 3.4. Daily Data of Treasury Bond Futures | Contract | 2025-09-17 | 2025-09-16 | Today's Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TS2512 | 102.45 | 102.41 | 0.04 | | TF2512 | 105.87 | 105.78 | 0.09 | | T2512 | 108.135 | 108.01 | 0.125 | | TL2512 | 115.82 | 115.52 | 0.3 | | TS Basis (CTD) | -0.0395 | -0.0241 | -0.0154 | | TF Basis (CTD) | -0.0011 | 0.0072 | -0.0083 | | T Basis (CTD) | 0.2948 | 0.3299 | -0.0351 | | TL Basis (CTD) | 0.5555 | 0.3712 | 0.1843 | | TS Contract Position (Lots) | 79034 | 77964 | 1070 | | TF Contract Position (Lots) | 147322 | 144812 | 2510 | | T Contract Position (Lots) | 246189 | 240621 | 5568 | | TL Contract Position (Lots) | 166472 | 168706 | -2234 | | TS Main Contract Trading Volume (Lots) | 38558 | 43740 | -5182 | | TF Main Contract Trading Volume (Lots) | 70704 | 89826 | -19122 | | T Main Contract Trading Volume (Lots) | 101611 | 138741 | -37130 | | TL Main Contract Trading Volume (Lots) | 132135 | 177470 | -45335 | [5]

股指期货日报 2025年9月17日 王映(投资咨询证号：Z0016367) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 关注预期及量能变化，即使乐观不建议急于追仓 市场回顾 今日股指继续小幅放量，规模指数整体偏强，以沪深300指数为例，收盘上涨0.61%。从资金面来看，两市成 交额回升353.36亿元。期指方面，IH放量上涨，其余期指缩量上涨。 重要资讯 核心观点 今日股市走势整体偏强，隔夜美指回落至97下方，关于FOMC议息决议预期交易仍在发力，受此影响，与昨 日类似，今日继续表现为小盘股偏强，行业层面，前期受支撑的电新以及汽车赛道继续领涨。量能延续震荡 之势，显示观望情绪为主，目前市场已经定价美联储九月降息25BP，若会议没有释放更加鸽派的信号，预计 靴子落地后，市场或出现修正后，震荡的行情，整体影响预计持续时间不长。若出现更加鸽派信号，预计也 将在较短时间内反映完成，关注量能是否会再度持续攀升，若交易活跃度没有再升一个台阶，并且维持住， 则不建议追涨。 | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力日内涨跌幅（%） | 0. ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - The domestic soybean market is transitioning from a stage of expected supply loosening to a reality, exerting downward pressure on prices [3]. - Mid - and downstream players are waiting for the large - scale listing of new - season grains, with low acquisition enthusiasm and light current spot trading [3]. - The soybean No. 1 futures maintain a bearish trend under the suppression of supply loosening expectations [3]. - The future import rhythm will affect the demand for domestic soybeans due to the high uncertainty of Sino - US trade relations [3]. - Reducing or suspending the one - way auctions of Sinograin this week is beneficial for alleviating pressure on the spot market, and specific auction arrangements should be monitored [3]. - The consumer market is gradually recovering in September, with an expected rebound in edible demand [3]. - The new - season harvest and listing of domestic soybeans are causing significant pressure on prices, and the passive attitude of the procurement end may lead to price declines [3][4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Bean One Risk Strategy - For inventory management of planting subjects with high new - bean sales demand in autumn and large short - term selling pressure, it is recommended to short the A2511 soybean No. 1 futures with a 30% hedging ratio when the price is between 4000 - 4050 to lock in planting profits [2]. - When there is a large - scale listing and weakening bargaining power of sellers, it is recommended to sell the A2511 - C - 4050 call option with a 30% hedging ratio at 40 - 50 (holding) to increase the grain selling price [2]. - For procurement management, when worried about rising raw material prices and aiming to reduce procurement costs, it is recommended to mainly wait to purchase spot goods in the medium term and focus on forward procurement management, with a long position in A2603 and A2605, waiting for price guidance in autumn [2]. Bean One Futures Price - On September 16, 2025, compared with September 15, the closing prices of all listed soybean No. 1 futures contracts declined, with the decline ranging from 0.25% to 0.38% [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Report's Core View - In the short - term, with the weakening US job market, falling consumer confidence index, and relatively controllable inflation pressure, the market trades on the Fed's rate - cut expectations and anticipates an accelerated pace of rate cuts. The market generally expects the Fed to cut rates three times this year. Geopolitical tensions and concerns about US economic stagflation support precious metal prices at high levels, with silver showing more resilience. Before the September rate cut, precious metal prices are likely to remain strong, but volatility may increase. Attention should be paid to the Fed's September meeting and Sino - US economic and trade talks this week [5] - In the long - term, due to the Fed's rate - cut expectations, continuous global geopolitical uncertainties, intensified great - power competition, and the de - dollarization trend, along with continuous gold purchases by global central banks, the long - term center of gold prices is likely to move up [5] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Price Tracking of Gold and Silver - On September 15, 2025, compared with September 12, 2025, London gold spot price was at $3636.27/ounce (-0.4%), London silver spot price was at $42.12/ounce (0.2%), COMEX gold was at $3674.10/ounce (-0.4%), COMEX silver was at $42.61/ounce (0.0%), AU2510 was at 831.60 yuan/gram (-0.3%), AG2510 was at 10017.00 yuan/kilogram (-0.2%), AU (T + D) was at 828.56 yuan/gram (-0.3%), and AG (T + D) was at 9997.00 yuan/kilogram (-0.1%) [3] 2. Spread/Ratio of Gold and Silver - From September 12 to September 15, 2025, the spread of gold TD - SHFE active price changed from -3.54 yuan/gram to -3.04 yuan/gram (-14.1%), the spread of silver TD - SHFE active price changed from -25 yuan/kilogram to -20 yuan/kilogram (-20.0%), the spread of gold's internal - external market (TD - London) changed from -2.80 yuan/gram to -2.15 yuan/gram (-23.3%), the spread of silver's internal - external market (TD - London) changed from -741 yuan/kilogram to -776 yuan/kilogram (4.8%), the SHFE gold - silver ratio changed from 83.13 to 83.02 (-0.1%), the COMEX gold - silver ratio changed from 86.58 to 86.23 (-0.4%), AU2512 - 2510 changed from 2.48 yuan/gram to 2.50 yuan/gram (0.8%), and AG2512 - 2510 changed from 26 yuan/kilogram to 28 yuan/kilogram (7.7%) [3] 3. Position Data - As of September 12, 2025, compared with September 11, 2025, the gold ETF - SPDR was at 974.8 tons (-0.32%), the silver ETF - SLV was at 15069.6026 tons (0.00%), the non - commercial long position of COMEX gold was 324875 contracts (2.87%), the non - commercial short position was 63135 contracts (-4.72%), the non - commercial net long position was 261740 contracts (4.89%), the non - commercial long position of COMEX silver was 72450 contracts (-2.71%), the non - commercial short position was 18513 contracts (-0.16%), and the non - commercial net long position was 53937 contracts (-3.55%) [3] 4. Inventory Data - On September 15, 2025, compared with September 12, 2025, SHFE gold inventory was 53226.00 kilograms (0.52%), SHFE silver inventory was 1243481.00 kilograms (-0.25%), COMEX gold inventory was 38914491 troy ounces (0.01% compared with September 12), and COMEX silver inventory was 527423230 troy ounces (0.55% compared with September 12) [3] 5. Interest Rate/Foreign Exchange/Equity Market - On September 15, 2025, compared with September 12, 2025, the 10 - year US Treasury yield was 3.56% (0.09%), the 2 - year US Treasury yield was 4.06% (1.25%), the US dollar index was 97.62 (0.05%), the VIX was 14.76 (0.34%), the S&P 500 was 6584.29 (-0.05%), NYMEX crude oil was 62.60 (0.58%), and the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate was 7.11 (1.14%) [4]