Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Xiamen International Trade (600755) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on its core supply chain management business after divesting from real estate and financial services, positioning itself to navigate through economic cycles [8][10] - The domestic bulk commodity supply chain market presents significant growth potential, with the company holding only 0.85% market share as of 2023, indicating room for expansion [9][62] - The investment logic is based on a combination of demand recovery, internal growth, and a high dividend yield, making it a balanced investment option [10] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiamen International Trade has transitioned from a diversified business model to a focus on supply chain management, shedding non-core assets [34][37] - The company has a stable ownership structure backed by local state-owned assets, with 35.82% of shares held by Xiamen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [38] Business Model - The company operates as a midstream circulation organizer with high turnover and low profit margins, leveraging its advantages in credit, capital, operations, and logistics [7][12] - The business model includes both self-operated and agency trading modes, with revenue primarily generated from the sale of goods [18] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue and profit growth rates are positioned in the upper-middle tier of the industry, with stable ROE and net profit margins [55][56] - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are estimated at CNY 389.05 billion, CNY 404.61 billion, and CNY 418.84 billion, with corresponding net profits of CNY 1.22 billion, CNY 1.61 billion, and CNY 2.09 billion [10] Market Position - Xiamen International Trade is a leading player in the domestic bulk commodity supply chain, particularly strong in metals and paper products [42][43] - The company’s market share in key categories like steel, iron ore, and copper ranks among the top in the industry [43] Growth Strategy - The company is pursuing a dual growth strategy of horizontal expansion into new product categories and vertical integration along the supply chain [9][61] - The focus on emerging sectors such as health and renewable energy is part of its strategy to diversify and mitigate demand fluctuations [78]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]