丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨轻工制造 [Table_Title] Glo Hilo 登陆日本市场在即，核心供应商思摩尔 国际成长空间广阔 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 日本是全球 HNB 最大单一市场，若 Glo Hilo（思摩尔国际代工）在日本取得较好反馈，市场预 期或映射至全球。1）市场规模，2024 年日本 HNB 销量 645 亿支，占全球比例达 36%；2）品 类渗透率，近年日本市场 HNB 逐步实现对传统卷烟替代，2024 年 HNB 渗透率提升 4.6pcts 至 43%；3）竞争格局，日本 HNB 竞争格局与全球类似。考虑到当前 IQOS 全球 70%+市占率， Glo Hilo 份额提升空间大，且 HNB 行业仍持续增长（预计年化双位数以上增长）、渗透率提升 潜力足（当前全球渗透率约 6%），期待后续进入核心市场如意大利、美国等，成长空间广阔。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 蔡方羿 米雁翔 仲敏丽 应奇航 章颖佳 SAC：S0490516060001 SAC：S0490520070002 SAC：S0490522050001 SAC：S049052408 ...

当用户按下传统加热烟启动键时，设备需要15-30秒预热才能输出稳定烟雾，这种物理延迟源于电阻丝加热技术的先天缺陷：热传导路径长、能量损耗高、 温度波动大。 而为了彻底解决这些问题，PTH MASTER将底层技术逻辑进行了重构，并通过三大技术突破实现了行业革新：分布式六核温控系统、灵犀气流传感器及 HOP蜂窝片状烟草工艺。 随着全球控烟运动与减害消费升级的两大理念不断深入，新型烟草市场正面临着新的技术和产品突破瓶颈。在这之中，以"加热不燃烧（HTP）"为首的技术 路线，正在成为未来数十年甚至更久时间里，控烟减害的首要研发方向。 目前，市场上的主流加热不燃烧产品均采用"预加热"模式，用户需等待15-30秒，设备升温完成才能使用。这种方式不仅难以还原传统烟草的即时体验，还 会因温度波动、加热不均匀等因素产生口感衰减的问题，让很多希望通过新型烟草替代传统香烟的用户望而却步。 5月30日，合元集团旗下高端技术品牌PTH，于印尼雅加达举行"The Future is Now"为主题的新品发布会，发布首个旗舰产品"PTH MASTER"，以即用即停和 口感恒定性两大突破，宣告新型加热烟进入"零等待时代"。 这场看似单品创新 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The external trade environment is highly uncertain, and traditional domestic consumption is relatively weak, making it difficult to show an overall upward trend [1] - The investment logic suggests a bottom-up approach to select leading companies with differentiated competitive advantages and strong earnings certainty [1] Group 2: New Consumption Sectors - The overall consumption is under pressure, but some sub-sectors show high growth potential; companies are adapting to channel changes and industry opportunities [2] - In the personal care sector, domestic brands are leveraging e-commerce and product upgrades to gain market share, with recommendations for companies like Baiya Co. and Haoyue Care [2] - The AI glasses sector is expected to see accelerated product launches by 2025, with Mingyue Lens recommended for its unique advantages [2] - The emotional consumption sector is gaining traction, with recommendations for companies like Chenguang Co. that are investing in IP resources [2] Group 3: Traditional Consumption Sectors - The home and paper industries face pressure from the overall consumption environment; investment points include the ability of quality stocks to leverage policy support and operational advantages [4] - In the home sector, the expansion of subsidy categories and amounts in 2025 presents opportunities for leading companies like Oppein and Sophia [4] - The paper industry is closely tied to economic cycles, with recommendations for Sun Paper due to its cost control capabilities and upcoming production [4] Group 4: Export Sector - Due to high uncertainty regarding tariffs, companies with established overseas production capabilities are at an advantage; some export sectors are highly dependent on U.S. and Vietnamese production [5] - Companies with lower exposure to U.S. exports are considered safer, while certain sub-sectors still show high growth potential due to rigid demand and changing consumption habits [5] - Recommended companies in the export sector include Jiayi Co., Gongchuang Turf, and Deou Technology [5]

Group 1: Consumption Strategy and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-growth new consumption sectors, dividend defensive stocks, and traditional companies transitioning to new consumption [3][13] - High-growth new consumption opportunities include new tobacco products, beauty care, trendy toys, pet products, and tea beverages [3][13] - Dividend defensive stocks are prioritized due to unclear policy signals and ongoing domestic demand impacts, with a focus on white goods [3][13] Group 2: Macroeconomic and Midstream Consumption Tracking - In April, the domestic CPI remained stable with a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, while core CPI increased by 0.5% [4][14] - April's export growth reached 8.1% year-on-year, marking the highest since 2022, although it showed signs of slowing due to a decrease in home appliance exports [4][16] Group 3: Home Appliances - In April, the overall retail sales of home appliances increased by 21.8% online and 18.6% offline, with the national subsidy for 11 major categories growing by 18.2% [7][28] - Specific categories showed varied performance: air conditioners up 34.8%, refrigerators up 1.0%, and washing machines up 10.8% online [7][28][29] Group 4: Light Industry Manufacturing - The new tobacco sector is experiencing upward momentum, with clear growth trends in the HNB industry and potential market share gains for companies like Smoore International [7][30] - The trendy toy market remains robust, with GMV growth of 109% in April year-on-year, driven by new company entries and innovative operational strategies [7][30] Group 5: Textile and Apparel - The easing of US tariffs is expected to boost export and domestic demand, with a focus on new consumption and brands with unique advantages [7][33][37] - The textile manufacturing sector is seeing a recovery in client confidence following tariff reductions, which may lead to increased orders and improved domestic factory utilization [7][37] Group 6: Social Services - The tea beverage sector is benefiting from improved same-store sales and competitive dynamics in the takeaway market, with expectations for further growth [7][35] - Hotel performance showed strong leisure demand during the May holiday, although business travel remains weak [7][35] Group 7: Retail and E-commerce - The competitive landscape in the takeaway market is evolving, with regulatory pressures on major platforms like Meituan and JD, although the overall competition remains intense [7][36] - Meituan's initiatives in instant retail and national subsidies are expected to impact JD's core categories significantly [7][38]

新消费估值中枢提升，新型烟草&智能眼镜产业迎催 化 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 [Table_Title] 新消费估值中枢提升，新型烟草&智能眼镜产 业迎催化 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 本期内容提要: 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | | [Table_Author] 姜文镪 | 新消费行业首席分析师 | 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_S [➢Table_Summary 造纸：ummar浆价企 ...

2、公司在海外市场的新型烟草业务，除了东南亚、中东， 未来是否有计划拓展至欧美等其他潜力市场，具体规划如何？ 答：您好，公司基于自身的核心优势和发展战略，在考虑全 球市场的发展趋势以及遵循当地法律法规的基础上，审慎而有 序地推进新型烟草业务的全球市场的拓展。对于那些具有潜力 的市场，公司将深入分析当地市场特征和消费者偏好，努力发掘 发展机会。谢谢。 3、高端包装市场的份额占比情况如何，未来计划怎样提升 在高端市场的竞争力和市场份额，以应对中低端市场竞争加剧 的压力？ 答：您好，公司在包装行业中具有显著的竞争力，长期为中 高端烟酒、日化品等领域的客户提供优质的包装服务。后续，公 司将持续对市场趋势进行精准预判，进一步增强研发设计能力， 并不断优化生产工艺，努力在中高端市场领域进一步扩大市场 份额。感谢您的关注。 4、彩盒包装业务作为公司传统的优势业务之一，为何会出 现如此大幅度的下滑？ 答：您好，鉴于市场需求的变动和客户订单的减少，公司在 精品纸包装领域的业务有所下滑。后续，公司将主动调整业务战 略，增强新产品研发和市场拓展的力度，以精准把握市场动向； 针对订单流失的问题，我们将强化与客户的沟通，提供更加定制 ...

新消费估值体系抬升，出口链关税缓和预期强化 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 11 日 证券研究报告 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 骆峥 新消费行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525020001 邮 箱： luozheng1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 新消费估值体系抬升，出口链关税缓和预期强 化 行业研究 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 3 ➢ 消费：布鲁可发布变形金刚等新品，卡游推出 EVA 卡牌，润本山姆渠 道增量显著。本周布鲁可发布变形金刚星辰版第 3 弹，创新 ...

华福证券 轻工制造 2025 年 05 月 11 日 轻工制造 4 月出口仍显韧性，Q1 全球 AI 眼镜倍增 投资要点： 【周观点】4 月我国整体出口保持韧性，对美出口开始下滑但转出口效应 明显；25Q1 全球 AI 智能眼镜销量 60 万台，同比增长达 216%，关注智能 眼镜后续新品上市进展催化；持续推荐新消费景气个护和潮玩赛道，布鲁 可 5 月上新名侦探柯南奇迹版梦游童话、英雄无限法相悟空 2.0、变形金刚 传奇版声波、变形金刚星辰版第三弹，IP 矩阵丰富持续扩圈。 强于大市（维持评级） 一年内行业相对大盘走势 -0.30 -0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 5/13 7/24 10/4 12/15 2/25 5/8 轻工制造 沪深300 团队成员 | 分析师： | 李宏鹏(S0210524050017) | | --- | --- | | lhp30568@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 汪浚哲(S0210524050024) | | wjz30579@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 李含稚(S0210524060005) | | lhz3059 ...