（来源：大众新闻-大众日报） 当地时间周一，市场对美联储明年多次降息的预期升温，叠加美国和委内瑞拉局势引发避险交易活跃，国 际金价显著上涨，突破每盎司4400美元整数关口，创盘中和收盘历史新高。与此同时，受美联储降息、供 应紧缺、投资需求和工业需求显著增加等因素综合影响，白银期价也延续强劲涨势，周一收盘再创历史新 高。 22日美国三大股指集体收涨 当地时间周一，随着年末的临近，美股受到季节性与技术性因素支撑，三大股指高开高走。随着美国11月 通胀数据意外回落、失业率反弹，市场更多押注美联储明年至少降息两次，同时也看好美国上市企业明年 的盈利增长前景。 受降息预期升温推动，金融、材料和工业等类别的周期股和小盘股领涨美股，同时，此前接连遭抛售的热 门AI概念股被部分投资者逢低买入，七大科技巨头与热门芯片股多数上涨，美国三大股指集体收涨。截至 收盘，道指涨0.47%，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨0.52%。个股方面，特斯拉是美股周一成交额最高的个 股，收涨1.56%，股价创盘中新高；存储芯片股周一集体走高，美光科技预计整个行业供应紧缺的情况可 能持续数年，美光科技周一收涨4.01%。 22日欧洲三大股指集体收 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs predicts that the global stock market will continue its bull market into 2026, but the index returns will be lower than in 2025, with a broader diversification in the market as AI benefits spread from core tech giants to a wider range of industries [1][2] Economic Environment - The global economy is expected to maintain a comprehensive expansion in 2026, supported by further moderate easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, providing solid support for the stock market [2] Return Expectations - According to regional market capitalization weighting, the expected price return for the global stock market in 2026 is 13%, with a total return including dividends reaching 15%, primarily driven by earnings growth rather than valuation expansion [3][8] Market Cycle Stages - The stock market cycle is categorized into four stages: "Despair" (bear market), "Hope" (valuation-driven rebound), "Growth" (longest phase driven by earnings), and "Optimism" (increased investor confidence leading to valuation rises) [4] Market Trends - The report notes a significant broadening trend in the global stock market in 2025, which is expected to continue into 2026, breaking the previous highly concentrated market structure [9][10] Performance of Major Markets - In 2025, for the first time in nearly 15 years, U.S. stocks underperformed, with total returns in Europe, China, and Asia nearly double that of the U.S. market [10][11] Regional Performance Predictions - In 2026, U.S. stocks are expected to slightly underperform compared to global markets, with the MSCI Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) and MSCI Emerging Markets indices projected to achieve total returns of 18%, surpassing the expected 15% for the S&P 500 [12] Investment Styles - The U.S. market remains dominated by growth stocks, while non-U.S. markets are seeing better performance from value stocks, indicating a shift from the past decade's growth stock dominance [13] Sector Performance - The trend of broadening returns is evident, with technology and finance leading in 2025, while real estate and healthcare lagged, reflecting the emergence of quality stocks within both growth and value sectors [14] Concentration of Earnings - The contribution of the top seven tech giants to the S&P 500's earnings is expected to decrease from 50% in 2025 to 46% in 2026, with the earnings growth of the remaining 493 companies increasing from 7% to 9%, indicating a further decline in industry concentration [15] AI Benefits Expansion - In 2026, the benefits of AI are expected to spread from core tech giants to a broader range of industries and companies, particularly those that can leverage AI and related technologies to enhance profitability and productivity [16][20] Market Dynamics - The current tech stock enthusiasm is not seen as a bubble, as today's tech giants possess stronger balance sheets and cash flows compared to the 2000 internet bubble [17] Investor Behavior - The correlation of stocks among the five major AI hyperscalers has dropped from 80% to 20%, indicating that investors are becoming more selective about which companies to invest in within the tech sector [18] Cross-Industry Growth - The spillover effects of tech capital expenditures are expected to drive growth in non-tech sectors such as industrials, materials, and finance, creating a cross-industry growth wave termed "AI + Industry" [21]

泛亚微透（688386.SH）12月19日在投资者互动平台表示，铜缆高速连接主要用于数据中心内部服务器 与交换机之间、存储器与交换机之间以及交换机与交换机之间的短距离互联传输场景。近年来AI算力 集群的规模化需求直接推动铜缆连接增长，机柜内服务器数量增加激发铜缆连接需求。而ePTFE电缆绕 包带凭借超低介电损耗、卓越机械强度和极端环境适应性，成为5G、数据中心及工业自动化领域高频 高速线缆的核心材料，公司也积极拓展ePTFE材料在该领域的应用，目前公司的ePTFE电缆绕包材料正 在下游客户验证测试中，公司致力于为客户提供优质的产品和服务。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司控股子公司凌天达在铜缆高速链接产品上有没有 相关布局？ 以及其他铜缆相关产品布局如何？ ...

与此同时，衍生品市场的定价信号显示，2026年美股个股相关性将降至历史低点，标志着该年度将主要 由"选股"策略主导。 高盛分析师强调，市场风格切换的迹象已经显现，周期性股票已连续14个交易日跑赢防御性股票，创下 逾15年来的最长连胜纪录。尽管宏观乐观情绪升温，市场目前的定价仍仅反映了接近2%的增长预期， 远低于高盛预测的2.5%，这意味着投资者尚未充分计价2026年经济加速带来的上行潜力。 高盛在最新发布的报告中指出，随着美国经济增长预期在2026年加速，美股市场将迎来一轮盈利繁荣， 投资机会的核心将从人工智能巨头转向周期性板块。 在这一长期前景之下，美股短期走势同样值得关注。尽管标普500指数近期因市场对AI需求的担忧而连 续四个交易日下跌，但高盛指出，年底最后两周历史上是"压倒性的积极季节性时期"。历史数据显示， 12月17日至31日的平均回报率为1.77%，这为股市在年底前反弹提供了空间。 就短期行情而言，由Gail Hafif领导的高盛分析团队指出，美股正进入一个季节性极佳的时间窗口。尽 管标普500指数近期受挫，距离历史高点仍有2.6%的差距，且市场仍在争论AI热潮是否导致了投机性泡 沫，但历史数据 ...

从铜价反弹到股市周期性板块领涨，从债券收益率攀升到美元汇率重获动能——全球金融市场正在经历一轮广泛而深刻的重新定 价，核心逻辑指向对美国经济增长前景的重新评估。 据追风交易台，高盛Andrea Ferrario团队最新报告显示，该行风险偏好指标上周四达到0.75，创下今年1月以来最高水平。这一轮 市场重估的驱动力来自更乐观的增长预期，高盛PC1"全球增长"因子在过去三周录得2000年以来最大幅度的反弹之一。 在这轮重估中，周期性资产表现尤为突出。材料和金融板块领涨全球股市，而美国增长定价开始赶上世界其他地区，此前美国市 场年内表现相对滞后。与此同时，大部分债券市场出现抛售，实际利率上升成为推动收益率走高的主要因素。 高盛策略师认为，美股目前的定价水平反映2026年美国实际GDP增长接近市场共识的2.0%，但仍低于高盛预测的2.5%。这意味 着如果经济数据持续超预期，资产重估进程可能延续。 债券市场方面，美国和德国10年期国债收益率的上升主要由实际利率推动，通胀定价相对滞后于顺周期资产的反弹。英国国债表 现相对较好，主要因英国经济数据不及预期。虽然多个G10国家央行政策预期从降息转向加息有基本面支撑，但高盛利率 ...

从铜价反弹到股市周期性板块领涨，从债券收益率攀升到美元汇率重获动能——全球金融市场正在经历一轮广泛而深刻的重新定 价，核心逻辑指向对美国经济增长前景的重新评估。 据追风交易台，高盛Andrea Ferrario团队最新报告显示，该行风险偏好指标上周四达到0.75，创下今年1月以来最高水平。这一轮 市场重估的驱动力来自更乐观的增长预期，高盛PC1"全球增长"因子在过去三周录得2000年以来最大幅度的反弹之一。 在这轮重估中，周期性资产表现尤为突出。材料和金融板块领涨全球股市，而美国增长定价开始赶上世界其他地区，此前美国市 场年内表现相对滞后。与此同时，大部分债券市场出现抛售，实际利率上升成为推动收益率走高的主要因素。 高盛策略师认为，美股目前的定价水平反映2026年美国实际GDP增长接近市场共识的2.0%，但仍低于高盛预测的2.5%。这意味 着如果经济数据持续超预期，资产重估进程可能延续。 增长预期重估创多年新高 据高盛数据，其风险偏好指标上周四达到0.75，为1月以来最高水平。这一轮风险资产的强势表现主要由增长预期改善驱动，PC 1"全球增长"因子在三周内的涨幅创下2000年以来最大规模之一。 值得注意的是， ...

Valuation of Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) and Hang Seng Index (HSI) are key indicators of market valuation[8][12] - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) reflects the valuation trends in the tech sector[16][18] Industry Valuation Levels - The PE (TTM) valuation shows that the utilities sector is undervalued, with a percentile below 20%[23] - Consumer discretionary, consumer staples, healthcare, information technology, and utilities are below the 50th percentile in PE valuation[23] - High valuation sectors (above 50%) include energy, materials, industrials, financials, and telecommunications[23] - No sectors are currently undervalued based on PB (LF) valuation, with consumer staples, information technology, utilities, and real estate below the 50th percentile[27] - Energy, materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, healthcare, financials, and telecommunications are above the 50th percentile in PB valuation[27] AH Share Premium/Discount Levels - The Hang Seng AH Share Premium Index shows fluctuations in premium levels over time, with historical averages and standard deviations noted[33]

Core Viewpoint - Changsha aims to establish itself as a global research and development center city by 2030, enhancing its overall innovation capabilities to rank among the world's leading innovative cities [1][2] Group 1: Innovation and Development Goals - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Changsha will focus on the "three highs and four new" blueprint to drive innovation [1] - The city plans to create a high-quality innovation space and accelerate the construction of the Xiangjiang Science City as a key driver for scientific innovation [1] Group 2: Research and Development Infrastructure - Changsha will enhance the proportion of R&D institutions with "four global" attributes and establish high-level R&D institutions in cutting-edge fields [1] - The city aims to attract more national key laboratories and innovation centers, as well as large-scale scientific facilities [1] Group 3: Industry and Technology Focus - The city is focusing on modern industrial systems, aligning innovation chains with industrial chains to strengthen technological support in key areas such as equipment manufacturing, materials, and seed industry [1] - Changsha seeks to develop unique advantages in key fields like brain-computer interfaces, quantum technology, and embodied intelligence [1] Group 4: Technology Transfer and Ecosystem - The city is working to create an efficient technology transfer system and aims to establish the Chang-Zhu-Tan National Technology Transfer Demonstration Zone [2] - Efforts will be made to promote the growth of technology-based enterprises and ensure comprehensive coverage of R&D institutions in large-scale industrial enterprises [2] Group 5: Talent and Global Integration - Changsha is committed to fostering a high-level open innovation ecosystem by deepening collaboration with regions like the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and promoting "technology going global" [2] - The city emphasizes investment in human resources and aims to build a vibrant and well-structured innovation talent pool [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the performance comparison between A-shares and U.S. stocks, indicating that A-shares may not underperform U.S. stocks as commonly perceived [4][6]. - From 2005 to December 5, 2025, the S&P 500 and CSI 300 indices increased by 748.25% and 574.74% respectively, translating to annualized returns of 10.72% and 9.52%, showing that the performance gap is not as significant as believed [7][9]. - The overall growth rate of A-share listed companies from 2005 to present is higher than that of U.S. stocks when excluding valuation changes [11]. Group 2 - The industry distribution of listed companies in both markets is gradually converging, with A-shares showing increasing exposure to technology sectors [12][18]. - The combined weight of Information Technology and Communication Services in the CSI 300 is 22%, while in the broader Chinese equity market, it reaches 30.2%, indicating a shift towards technology [16][18]. - The industry distribution in the Chinese market has evolved significantly since 2011, reflecting the rapid transformation of the Chinese economy [18]. Group 3 - The volatility of A-shares is notably higher than that of U.S. stocks, which affects investor behavior and overall investment experience [21][22]. - To improve the investment experience in A-shares, reducing market volatility is deemed essential, rather than solely focusing on enhancing the fundamentals of listed companies [23][24]. - Recent regulatory measures aim to lower the volatility of A-shares, indicating a potential for improved investor experience in the future [25]. Group 4 - Overall, the long-term performance of A-shares is not significantly inferior to that of U.S. stocks, but the volatility in A-shares has historically led to varied investor experiences [27]. - The trend towards decreasing volatility in A-shares is expected to continue, potentially leading to better investment outcomes for broad market indices [27].

证券时报·数据宝统计显示，国瓷材料今日收盘价为28.55元，上涨1.96%，日换手率为13.49%，成交额 为32.35亿元，全天主力资金净流出8902.44万元，近5日该股累计上涨24.67%，近5日资金合计净流入 1.49亿元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为8.79亿元，近5日增加1.41亿元，增幅为19.07%。 据天眼查APP显示，山东国瓷功能材料股份有限公司成立于2005年04月21日，注册资本99704.8299万人 民币。（数据宝） 国瓷材料12月15日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量374.31万股，成交金额1.07亿元，大宗交易成交 价为28.55元。该笔交易的买方营业部为中国银河证券股份有限公司北京安贞门证券营业部，卖方营业 部为广发证券股份有限公司深圳科苑路证券营业部。 12月15日国瓷材料大宗交易一览 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生6笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为1.74亿元。 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 成交价 | 相对当日收盘 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万 | （万元） | 格 | 折溢价（%） | 买方营业 ...