Core Viewpoint - The biodiesel sector experienced a notable increase of 2.74% on August 18, with Shandong Hi-Speed Energy leading the gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3728.03, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11835.57, up 1.73% [1] - Key stocks in the biodiesel sector showed significant price increases, with Shandong Hi-Speed Energy rising by 6.70% to a closing price of 7.49 [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The biodiesel sector saw a net inflow of main funds amounting to 28.55 million yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 11.12 million yuan [1] - The trading volume for Shandong Hi-Speed Energy reached 278,300 shares, with a transaction value of 205 million yuan [1] Group 3: Individual Stock Analysis - COFCO Technology had a main fund net inflow of 24.61 million yuan, but also saw retail outflows of 14.67 million yuan [2] - Pengyao Environmental reported a main fund net inflow of 9.15 million yuan, with retail outflows of 4.95 million yuan [2] - International Industry experienced a main fund net inflow of 1.22 million yuan, while retail funds saw a slight inflow of 0.19 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 45.60 CNY as of August 12 [1]. Core Views - The company, Zhuoyue New Energy, is a leading domestic producer of ester-based biodiesel, with a focus on expanding production capacity and enhancing overseas sales channels. The growth is driven by the increasing output of fatty alcohols and the establishment of new projects [7][8]. Company Overview - Zhuoyue New Energy was established in 2001 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2019. It is the first company in China to industrialize the production of biodiesel from waste oils and has maintained the largest production and sales scale in the domestic biodiesel market. The company has been exporting products since 2009, with significant sales to South Korea and Taiwan, and has achieved ISCC certification for direct sales to the EU [7][12]. - The company has a total production capacity of 500,000 tons of biodiesel and 140,000 tons of bio-based materials as of 2024. New projects include a 50,000-ton natural fatty alcohol project expected to start production in April 2025 and a 100,000-ton hydrocarbon biodiesel project set to begin construction in Q3 2023, with a planned production start in December 2025 [7][22]. Industry Perspective - The report highlights that the demand for biodiesel in the EU is expected to increase due to the RED III policy, which mandates a higher share of renewable energy in total energy consumption. In China, the biodiesel consumption is currently low, but there is significant market potential if the B5 policy is implemented nationwide [8][26]. - The company is adapting to changes in the export landscape, with a shift towards Southeast Asian markets and a focus on establishing self-operated sales networks in key trade ports [8][26]. Financial Forecast and Investment Suggestions - The revenue projections for Zhuoyue New Energy are 44.61 billion CNY, 54.69 billion CNY, and 68.55 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding net profits are expected to be 3.57 billion CNY, 4.69 billion CNY, and 5.81 billion CNY [6][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's robust financial health, with a low debt ratio of 21.51% and a net asset value of 23.79 CNY per share [1].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" by the U.S. is reshaping global trade dynamics into a more pronounced zero-sum game, with significant implications for ASEAN countries and the broader multilateral trade system [1][8]. Group 1: Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs - The U.S. has established a framework for "reciprocal tariffs" that allows for unilateral adjustments, replacing the multilateral agreements advocated by the WTO, thus granting the White House substantial discretionary power [2]. - ASEAN countries face challenges in forming a unified response due to their diverse political and economic structures, leading to individual negotiations with the U.S. [1][2]. - The new tariff structure has resulted in varying tax rates for ASEAN countries, with Vietnam facing a 20% tariff, which could significantly impact its export sectors and employment [3][4]. Group 2: Economic and Political Repercussions - The tariffs are not merely a tax adjustment but a strategic tool for the U.S. to compel concessions from other nations, creating a dynamic balance rather than mutual reductions in trade barriers [2][8]. - The tariffs have led to increased tensions in the region, as seen in the military conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which was influenced by U.S. trade policies [5]. - The RCEP agreement is seen as a potential counterbalance to U.S. tariffs, with expectations of increased intra-regional trade and reduced tariffs over time, although immediate benefits may be limited due to varying levels of development among ASEAN members [6][7]. Group 3: Long-term Considerations - The long-term outlook suggests that the U.S. may continue to rely on tariffs as a tool for trade negotiations, creating a prolonged period of uncertainty for global trade and investment [8]. - ASEAN countries must enhance internal coordination and develop resilient supply chains to mitigate the adverse effects of U.S. tariffs and maintain competitiveness in the global market [8].

Core Viewpoint - Fengbei Biotechnology Co., Ltd. is set to raise 1 billion RMB through its IPO, focusing on the comprehensive utilization of waste resources, particularly waste oils, to produce biofuels and biobased materials [1] Company Overview - Fengbei Biotechnology is a high-tech enterprise in the waste resource utilization sector, primarily converting waste oils into resource products [1] - The company has developed a production chain from waste oils to biodiesel and biobased materials, leveraging its core technology and channel advantages [1] Production Capacity and Market Position - As of the end of 2024, the company has a biodiesel production capacity of 105,000 tons, ranking sixth in China's biodiesel industry [1] - The company's biodiesel production is projected to be 80,100 tons, capturing approximately 4.68% of the market share based on the estimated national biodiesel production of 1.71 million tons in 2024 [1] Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of approximately 1.709 billion RMB, 1.728 billion RMB, and 1.949 billion RMB for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [2] - Net profits for the same years were approximately 133 million RMB, 130 million RMB, and 124 million RMB [2] - Total assets increased from approximately 937.82 million RMB in 2022 to 1.2368 billion RMB in 2024, with equity attributable to shareholders rising from approximately 513.42 million RMB to 755.79 million RMB [4] Partnerships and Collaborations - The company has established long-term collaborations with leading firms in the agricultural chemical sector, including Fengle Seed Industry, Jiuyi Co., and others [2] - In the biofuel sector, Fengbei has passed supplier assessments from major clients like Trafigura, Glencore, and Shell, indicating strong market relationships [2] Research and Development - The company allocates approximately 2.75% of its revenue to research and development, reflecting its commitment to innovation in the waste resource utilization field [4]

生物柴油是由天然油脂，包括植物油、动物脂肪和微生物油脂等生产的一种新型柴油燃料，是典型的绿 色能源。今年以来，福建省生物柴油产业凭借完整的产业链和政策支持，紧抓国际市场机遇,积极开拓 海外市场。其中，对共建"一带一路"国家的出口表现亮眼，出口额达4.12亿元，同比增长10.26倍，占全 省出口总值的41.32%。荷兰依然是福建最大出口市场，出口额达5.71亿元，占比57.27%;对马来西亚、 新加坡的出口也分别达2.08亿元和1.66亿元，呈现多元化趋势。 中化新网讯 7月30日，据福建省厦门海关统计，2025年上半年福建省生物柴油出口总额达9.97亿元，位 居全国首位。 ...

Group 1: Investment Highlights - Key recommendations include companies such as Conch Venture, Hanlan Environment, Green Power, Yongxing Co., and others, indicating a strong focus on the environmental sector [2] - Suggested companies for attention include Green Power Environmental, Deyu Water, and others, highlighting potential investment opportunities in the environmental industry [2] Group 2: Policy Tracking - The first revision of pricing regulations in 27 years aims to promote market-oriented pricing, enhancing ROE and cash flow in sectors like water, waste, and energy [3] - Strengthened environmental inspections signal a more systematic and effective regulatory approach to environmental protection in China [3] Group 3: Industry Insights - The water operations sector is expected to experience a cash flow turning point, similar to the garbage incineration sector, with significant increases in free cash flow anticipated from 2026 [4] - Price reforms are expected to reshape growth and valuation in the water sector, with potential for 2-3 times valuation increases as the market matures [4] Group 4: Company-Specific Analysis - Xingrong Environment shows a current PB of 1.16, with a projected PE of 9.8 for 2025, indicating potential for dividend increases [5] - Yuehai Investment has a PB of 1.08 and a projected PE of 10.6 for 2025, with a dividend yield of 6.2%, suggesting strong market positioning [5] - Hongcheng Environment is committed to maintaining a dividend payout of no less than 50% from 2021 to 2026, with a projected PE of 9.6 for 2025 [5] Group 5: Market Trends - The environmental sanitation equipment sector saw a 7.24% increase in new energy penetration, with a total of 38,164 sanitation vehicles sold in the first half of 2025 [5] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, with a net profit per ton showing a significant decline [5] - In lithium battery recycling, metal prices showed mixed trends, with lithium carbonate at 71,300 (down 2.2% week-on-week) and cobalt at 276,000 (up 11.3% week-on-week) [5]

Group 1: Vili Medical (维力医疗) - Vili Medical's overseas production costs are slightly higher than domestic, but savings on shipping and storage are expected to keep gross margins stable [1] - The gross margin for urology products exceeds 70%, driven by domestic brand effects, import substitution, and expansion into overseas markets [1] - The company has significantly increased its export efforts for urology products since 2023, resulting in sustained high growth in export revenue over the past two years [1] - Production capacity is concentrated in five cities, with plans to establish factories in Indonesia and Mexico to mitigate geopolitical risks and enhance automation levels [1] Group 2: Shandong Huangan Energy (山高环能) - Shandong Huangan Energy's performance improved significantly in the first half of the year, primarily due to rising UCO prices, increased capacity utilization, and cost reductions [2] - The company anticipates that UCO prices will remain high due to stable supply and increasing demand [2] - Future plans include focusing on core business, expanding kitchen waste project capacity, and considering the extension of the oil fat industry chain [2] - The company has a strong competitive advantage with its franchise model, collection network, digital platform, and technology, primarily serving domestic clients with some exports [2] - The second quarter saw a decline in performance due to seasonal factors, but the solid waste sector showed significant improvement [2] - Plans to increase kitchen waste project capacity to 8,000-10,000 tons per day are underway, although the company currently has negative undistributed profits and is not in a position to distribute cash dividends [2] - Domestic demand for bio-jet fuel is expected to rise significantly, supported by favorable policies [2] - The company aims to enhance project operation management and absorb quality projects to consolidate its capacity advantage in the face of competition [2] Group 3: GF Fund Management (广发基金) - GF Fund Management, established in 2003, has an asset management scale of 1,453.114 billion yuan, ranking 3rd out of 210 [3] - The scale of non-monetary public funds is 927.061 billion yuan, also ranking 3rd out of 210 [3] - The company manages 812 public funds, ranking 2nd out of 210 [3] - There are 92 fund managers under the company, ranking 9th out of 210 [3] - The best-performing public fund product in the past year is the GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (QDII), with a latest net asset value of 1.44 and a growth of 131.15% over the past year [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - SAF is identified as a key pathway for carbon reduction in the aviation industry, with the potential to reduce carbon emissions by up to 85% compared to traditional aviation fuels. Its physical properties are similar to conventional jet fuel, eliminating the need for significant modifications to existing infrastructure and aircraft engines [3][8]. - The report anticipates that 2025 will mark the beginning of substantial progress in SAF blending policies across multiple countries, with mandatory blending ratios set to be implemented in regions such as the EU, UK, and Indonesia [4][24]. - The demand for SAF is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting an increase from 50,000 tons in 2020 to 6.3 million tons by 2025, and further to 18.35 million tons by 2030, representing a rise in its share of total aviation fuel consumption from 2% in 2025 to 5% in 2030 [4][28]. Summary by Sections SAF as a Key Pathway for Carbon Reduction - SAF is recognized as a feasible solution for achieving carbon neutrality in aviation, with various production methods available, including HEFA, ATJ, FT, and PtL. HEFA is currently the most mature and cost-effective method, although it faces limitations due to the availability of feedstock [8][9][11]. - The report highlights that the production cost of SAF varies significantly based on the yield from feedstock, with estimates ranging from $1,940 to $3,200 per ton. The profitability of SAF production is contingent on achieving higher yields and reducing costs through technological advancements [20][21]. Global Policy and Market Dynamics - The report outlines that several countries have established clear timelines for SAF blending ratios, with the EU and UK implementing mandatory blending policies starting in 2025. This is expected to catalyze demand and support SAF prices [4][24]. - The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has mandated that all member countries participate in the CORSIA mechanism for carbon offsetting starting in 2027, further driving the adoption of SAF [25]. Regional Developments - In China, the demand for SAF is projected to reach 2.81 million tons by 2030, with several airlines actively pursuing SAF pilot projects. The country is expected to become a major supplier of SAF globally [4][36]. - The EU aims to reduce the price gap between SAF and traditional jet fuel through carbon credit allocations and subsidies, with consumption expected to reach approximately 910,000 tons by 2025 [4][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are leading in SAF production and have received necessary certifications, such as嘉澳环保, 海新能科, and 鹏鹞环保, as they are well-positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in SAF demand [4][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the collaboration between Jinko Environment and Kunheng International to issue RWA, enhancing the market value of quality assets [9] - Huanlan Environment's internal growth and acquisition performance exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in net profit [12] - The report emphasizes the decline in capital expenditure in waste incineration, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends, while also noting the efficiency improvements in heating and IDC that boost ROE and valuation [16] - The water service sector is positioned as the next growth area similar to waste incineration, with a focus on marketization and cash flow improvements [19] Summary by Sections Jinko Environment - Jinko Environment has reached a cooperation intention for RWA issuance with Kunheng International, aiming to enhance the market value of its quality assets through digital asset management [9][10] Huanlan Environment - Huanlan Environment reported a net profit of 9.67 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.00%, with a significant internal growth rate of 18% in Q2 2025 [12][14] - The integration of Yuefeng has contributed positively to the company's performance, with a monthly profit contribution exceeding previous levels [14][15] Waste Incineration - The report notes a decrease in capital expenditure in the waste incineration sector, leading to a substantial improvement in free cash flow and increased dividends for companies like Junxin and Green Power [16][17] - The sector is transitioning into a mature phase, with a focus on efficiency improvements and cost reductions to enhance ROE [16][18] Water Services - The water service sector is highlighted as a stable and low-valuation area with high dividend potential, with companies like Xingrong and Hongcheng Environment expected to see significant cash flow improvements [19][21] - The report anticipates a shift in water pricing policies that will support sustainable growth and valuation increases similar to trends observed in the US water industry [20][21] Environmental Equipment - The report indicates a 90.56% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles, with a penetration rate of 15.86% [28] - The overall sales of sanitation vehicles increased by 3.59%, indicating a positive trend in the environmental equipment sector [28][34] Biodiesel and Lithium Battery Recycling - Biodiesel prices remained stable, but profit margins have decreased, with the average profit per ton dropping to 130 yuan [42] - The lithium battery recycling sector is experiencing an upward trend in metal prices, leading to slight improvements in profitability [44]

Core Viewpoint - Indonesia is researching the B50 biodiesel plan, with studies expected to be completed by the end of the year [1] Group 1 - Indonesia's Energy Ministry is preparing to increase the biodiesel blending ratio to 50% [1] - The completion of the B50 testing work is anticipated by the end of the year [1] - The implementation of B50 by 2026 is still uncertain, pending calculations on palm oil demand and funding support [1]