锂矿开采与加工

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研报掘金丨华福证券:维持盛新锂能“买入”评级,锂价下跌业绩承压,海外布局初显成效
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-11 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huafu Securities indicates that Shengxin Lithium Energy reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -840 million yuan for the first half of the year, with a significant decline in performance due to falling lithium carbonate prices and inventory impairment losses [1] Financial Performance - Shengxin Lithium Energy's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2024 was -187 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 650 million yuan [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -686 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 530 million yuan [1] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was -693 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 490 million yuan [1] - Asset impairment losses amounted to 438 million yuan, accounting for 43% of the total profit for the first half of the year [1] Project Development - The Indonesian Shengtuo lithium salt project, with an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons, commenced trial production in June 2024, making it the largest overseas lithium extraction project by capacity [1] - The project primarily supplies overseas markets, and as of the mid-year report, certification work for some core customers has been completed, with bulk supply already initiated [1] Competitive Advantage - In the context of export restrictions on lithium product production technology, the company has strategically positioned itself with overseas lithium salt plants, enhancing its competitive advantage [1] - The company is rapidly improving its ability to ensure and service global customers [1] - With the upcoming ramp-up of overseas smelting capacity and the potential future output from low-cost wood wool mines, the company maintains a "buy" rating [1]
碳酸锂:供需双增,偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-08 02:30
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The report focuses on the lithium carbonate market, indicating that both supply and demand are increasing, and the market is in a weakly oscillating state. The trend strength of lithium carbonate is -1, suggesting a relatively bearish outlook [1][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Contracts**: For the 2509 contract, the closing price was 73,880 yuan, with a change of 880 yuan compared to T - 1. The trading volume was 50, and the open interest was 3,467. For the 2511 contract, the closing price was 74,260 yuan, the trading volume was 802,006, and the open interest was 364,002 [1]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipt volume was 36,631 hands, an increase of 1,683 hands compared to T - 1 [1]. - **Basis**: The basis of spot - 2509 was 870 yuan, and spot - 2511 was 490 yuan. The basis of 2509 - 2511 was -380 yuan [1]. - **Raw Materials**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 871 yuan, and the price of lepidolite (2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,865 yuan [1]. - **Lithium Salts**: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 74,750 yuan, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 72,500 yuan. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) was 80,520 yuan [1]. - **Industry Chain Related Data**: The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was 33,930 yuan, and the price of ternary materials 523 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 113,450 yuan [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 74,655 yuan/ton, a decrease of 214 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day. Kodal Minerals obtained approval from the Malian government to export 125,000 tons of spodumene concentrate from the Bougouni lithium project [2]. 3.3 Trend Strength - The trend strength of lithium carbonate is -1, with the value ranging from -2 to 2, indicating a relatively bearish view [3].
碳酸锂日报-20250905
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 07:54
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On September 4, 2025, the 2511 contract of lithium carbonate futures rose 1.05% to 73,420 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 900 yuan/ton to 75,000 yuan/ton, the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 900 yuan/ton to 72,700 yuan/ton, and the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) decreased by 150 yuan/ton to 75,850 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 830 tons to 34,948 tons [3]. - Regarding the policy inspection of the compliance of mining rights for salt - lake lithium extraction in Qinghai, Salt Lake Co., Ltd. (000792) stated that the company's mining business is fully compliant and its production and operation are stable [3]. - In terms of supply, the weekly output increased by 389 tons to 19,419 tons. In September, the lithium carbonate output is expected to increase by 1.7% to 86,730 tons, mainly from lithium - spodumene extraction and a small amount from lithium recycling. In terms of demand, the output of ternary materials in September decreased by 1.5% to 72,330 tons, while that of lithium iron phosphate increased by 6% to 335,250 tons. In terms of inventory, the total inventory continued to decline significantly, with the weekly inventory decreasing by 1,044 tons to 140,092 tons [3]. - Affected by market news, the futures price rose rapidly yesterday with an intraday amplitude of 4.57%. There is still great uncertainty in the Jiangxi mining end, and there are many market rumors. The market may still fluctuate in the short term [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract was 73,420 yuan/ton, up 1,540 yuan; the closing price of the continuous contract was 73,000 yuan/ton, up 920 yuan. The price of lithium - spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 874 US dollars/ton, up 2 US dollars [5]. - Lithium ore: The price of lithium mica (Li₂O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,157.5 yuan/ton, down 17.5 yuan; the price of lithium mica (Li₂O: 2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,865 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan [5]. - Lithium carbonate: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5% battery - grade/domestic) was 75,000 yuan/ton, down 900 yuan; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2% industrial zero - grade/domestic) was 72,700 yuan/ton, down 900 yuan [5]. - Lithium hydroxide: The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles/domestic) was 75,850 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) was 80,820 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan [5]. - Other products: The price of hexafluorophosphate lithium remained unchanged at 56,000 yuan/ton. The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 2,300 yuan/ton [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - **Ore prices**: Charts show the price trends of lithium - spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF), lithium mica (1.5% - 2.0%), lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%), and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (6% - 7%) from 2024 to 2025 [6][8]. - **Lithium and lithium salt prices**: Charts display the price trends of metallic lithium, battery - grade lithium carbonate average price, industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price, etc. from 2024 to 2025 [11][14]. - **Price differences**: Charts present the price differences between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, etc. from 2024 to 2025 [17][18]. - **Precursors and cathode materials**: Charts show the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, manganese - acid lithium, and cobalt - acid lithium from 2024 to 2025 [24][26][28]. - **Lithium battery prices**: Charts display the price trends of 523 square ternary battery cells, square lithium - iron - phosphate battery cells, cobalt - acid battery cells, and square lithium - iron - phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [30][33]. - **Inventory**: Charts show the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other links from January 16, 2025, to September 4, 2025 [37][39]. - **Production costs**: The chart shows the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials such as外购三元极片黑粉,外购磷酸铁锂极片黑粉,外购锂云母精矿, and外购锂辉石精矿 from 2024 to 2025 [43].
碳酸锂期货价格半月跌去20%,是否已见底?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-04 11:09
Group 1 - The main contract for lithium carbonate in the domestic futures market has shown signs of recovery, closing up 1.05% at 73,420 yuan/ton after hitting a low of 71,120 yuan/ton, which is approximately a 20% drop from the high of 90,100 yuan/ton two weeks ago [1][2] - The current market prices for high-quality lithium carbonate range from 75,500 to 76,500 yuan/ton, while battery-grade lithium carbonate is priced between 74,000 and 76,500 yuan/ton, and industrial-grade lithium carbonate is between 73,500 and 75,000 yuan/ton, indicating stability compared to the previous working day [1] - Analysts suggest that the recent price movements are influenced by high inventory levels and the market's reassessment of supply disruptions, with a noted decrease in production capacity utilization among lithium carbonate producers [2][4] Group 2 - The demand for lithium carbonate is expected to improve as the traditional peak season approaches, although supply-side disruptions remain a concern [3] - Recent developments regarding mining permits in Jiangxi province are critical, with a deadline for submission of reports by September 30, which may impact future mining operations [3][4] - The overall supply of lithium carbonate has not yet reached a turning point, as production from spodumene sources is compensating for recent supply disruptions [4]
盛新锂能:印尼盛拓产能爬坡情况良好,已开始批量供货
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-09-03 10:36
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing positive progress in ramping up production capacity in Indonesia and has begun bulk supply to core customers after completing certification work [2] Production Capacity and Supply - The company plans to increase the supply of lithium salt products based on customer orders and the progress of other customer certifications, aiming to enhance capacity utilization and achieve full production as soon as possible [2] - In the solid-state battery sector, the company has a planned annual production capacity of 3,000 tons of metallic lithium, with 500 tons already constructed and mass production of ultra-thin and ultra-wide lithium strips underway [2] - The planned new project for 2,500 tons of metallic lithium has completed project filing, and preparations are progressing in an orderly manner, with construction set to begin soon [2] Mining and Project Development - In the first half of the year, the company made progress in the construction of the lithium mine selection and tailing project, obtaining land pre-examination and site selection opinions, as well as approval from the provincial development and reform commission [2] - Other related work for the mining project is also progressing in an orderly manner [2]
研报掘金丨东吴证券:天齐锂业成本优势显著,锂盐盈利将进一步改善,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-03 09:44
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report indicates that Tianqi Lithium's net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of the year was 0.08 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.6% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.02 billion yuan, showing a significant decline of 98.5% year-on-year and 119% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The decline in lithium prices in the first half of 2025 has been noted, but the company maintains a significant cost advantage [1] Production and Sales Outlook - The chemical-grade lithium plant is expected to be completed by the end of the year [1] - The sales volume of lithium salts in 2025 is projected to remain flat year-on-year, while the Kwinana plant is anticipated to continue reducing losses [1] Investment Contributions - The stable investment income contribution from SQM in the first half of the year is highlighted, with expectations for a significant increase in investment income due to higher sales volume in the second half [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Due to the sharp decline in lithium prices in the first half of the year and the current prices remaining at a low range, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.45 billion, 0.86 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan respectively, down from previous expectations of 1.62 billion, 1.86 billion, and 2.40 billion yuan [1] - The revised forecasts still indicate year-on-year growth of 106%, 93%, and 67% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 114x, 59x, and 35x [1] Investment Rating - Given the company's excellent resource endowment and significant cost advantages, it is expected that lithium salt profitability will further improve, leading to a maintained "buy" rating [1]
大越期货碳酸锂期货早报-20250903
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-09-03 03:03
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply - demand imbalance in the lithium carbonate market persists, with over - supply and weak demand due to capacity mismatch, making it difficult to reverse the downward trend [8][9][14]. - The lithium carbonate 2511 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 71,040 - 74,220 [9]. - There are both positive and negative factors in the market. Positive factors include manufacturers' shutdown and production - cut plans, a decline in lithium carbonate imports from Chile, and a decrease in lithium spodumene imports. Negative factors are the high - level supply from ore and salt lake sources with limited decline and the insufficient willingness of the power battery sector to take delivery [12][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Views - **Supply**: Last week, the lithium carbonate production was 19,030 tons, a 0.56% week - on - week decrease, higher than the historical average. In August 2025, the production was 85,240 tons, and the predicted production for next month is 86,730 tons, a 1.75% increase. The August import volume was 17,000 tons, and the predicted import volume for next month is 19,500 tons, a 14.71% increase [8][9]. - **Demand**: Last week, the inventory of lithium iron phosphate sample enterprises was 94,493 tons, a 0.91% week - on - week increase, and the inventory of ternary material sample enterprises was 17,832 tons, a 1.22% week - on - week increase. The demand is expected to strengthen next month, and inventory may be reduced [8][9]. - **Cost**: The cost of purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 76,333 yuan/ton, a 0.89% daily decrease, with a production profit of 50 yuan/ton. The cost of purchased lithium mica is 80,138 yuan/ton, a 0.85% daily decrease, with a production loss of 5,811 yuan/ton. The production cost of the recycling end is close to that of the ore end, with average production scheduling enthusiasm. The quarterly cash production cost of the salt lake end is 31,745 yuan/ton, with sufficient profit margins and strong production scheduling motivation [9]. - **Other Indicators**: - **Fundamentals**: Neutral [9]. - **Basis**: On September 2, the spot price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 77,500 yuan/ton, and the basis of the 11 - contract was 4,880 yuan/ton, with the spot at a premium to the futures, indicating a bullish signal [9]. - **Inventory**: The smelter inventory was 43,336 tons, a 7.49% week - on - week decrease, lower than the historical average. The downstream inventory was 52,800 tons, a 2.51% week - on - week increase, higher than the historical average. The total inventory was 141,136 tons, a 0.28% week - on - week decrease, higher than the historical average [9][11]. - **Market Chart**: The MA20 is upward, and the price of the 11 - contract closed below the MA20, showing a neutral signal [11]. - **Main Position**: The main position is net short, with an increase in short positions, indicating a bearish signal [9]. 3.2 Carbonate Lithium Market Overview - **Price and Basis**: The futures closing prices of various contracts decreased, with a decline range of 2.99% - 3.89%. The basis of various contracts increased, with an increase range of 37.72% - 74.91%. The registered warehouse receipts increased by 2.60% [17]. - **Upstream Prices**: The price of lithium spodumene (6%) decreased by 1.22% to 887 dollars/ton, and the price of lithium mica concentrate (2% - 2.5%) decreased by 1.54% to 1,920 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 1.08% to 77,500 yuan/ton, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 1.12% to 75,200 yuan/ton [17]. - **Supply - side Data**: The weekly operating rate was 66.41%, unchanged from the previous period. The monthly production of lithium carbonate in August 2025 was 85,240 tons, a 4.55% increase from the previous month. The monthly import volume of lithium concentrate was 576,138 tons, a 34.73% increase [19]. - **Demand - side Data**: The monthly production of lithium iron phosphate was 264,720 tons, a 4.96% increase. The monthly production of lithium iron phosphate lithium was 316,400 tons, an 8.84% increase. The monthly production of ternary precursor was 73,440 tons, a 6.99% increase [19]. 3.3 Supply - Lithium Ore - **Price**: The price of lithium ore has shown a certain downward trend, with the price of lithium spodumene (6%) at 887 dollars/ton, a 1.22% decrease [17]. - **Production**: The production of domestic lithium ore has changed, with the production of lithium spodumene and lithium mica showing different trends. The monthly production of lithium concentrate in August 2025 was 533,30 tons, a 19.01% increase, and the production of lithium mica was 13,700 tons, a 23.89% decrease [19]. - **Import**: The monthly import volume of lithium concentrate in August 2025 was 576,138 tons, a 34.73% increase, and the import volume from Australia was 427,301 tons, a 67.24% increase [19]. - **Supply - demand Balance**: The domestic lithium ore supply - demand balance shows a deficit in most months, with the balance in August 2025 at - 2,815 tons [27]. 3.4 Supply - Carbonate Lithium - **Operating Rate**: The weekly operating rate of lithium carbonate has changed, with different trends for different raw material sources. The overall operating rate shows a certain fluctuation [30]. - **Production**: The monthly production of lithium carbonate has increased, with the production in August 2025 at 85,240 tons, a 4.55% increase [19]. - **Import and Export**: The monthly import volume of lithium carbonate in August 2025 was 17,000 tons, and the export volume was 307 tons. The supply - demand balance in August 2025 was - 2,090 tons [36]. 3.5 Supply - Lithium Hydroxide - **Capacity Utilization**: The weekly capacity utilization rate of domestic lithium hydroxide has changed, with different trends for causticization and smelting [38][40]. - **Production**: The monthly production of lithium hydroxide has changed, with the production in August 2025 at 21,820 tons, a 13.31% decrease [19]. - **Import and Export**: The monthly export volume of lithium hydroxide in August 2025 was 4,000 tons, and the import volume was 350 tons. The supply - demand balance in August 2025 was - 6,061 tons [45]. 3.6 Lithium Compound Cost and Profit - **Lithium Spodumene and Lithium Mica**: The cost of purchased lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica has decreased, and the profit situation is different. The production of lithium spodumene has a profit of 50 yuan/ton, while the production of lithium mica has a loss of 5,811 yuan/ton [9]. - **Recycling**: The cost of recycling to produce lithium carbonate is close to that of the ore end, with average production enthusiasm [9]. - **Import and Other Processing**: The import profit of lithium carbonate, the profit of purifying industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and the profit of carbonizing lithium hydroxide to lithium carbonate have all changed [48][50][53]. 3.7 Inventory - **Lithium Carbonate**: The weekly inventory of lithium carbonate has changed, with the smelter inventory decreasing by 7.49% to 43,336 tons, and the downstream inventory increasing by 2.51% to 52,800 tons. The total inventory was 141,136 tons, a 0.28% decrease [9][11]. - **Lithium Hydroxide**: The monthly inventory of lithium hydroxide has changed, with the downstream and smelter inventories showing different trends [55]. 3.8 Demand - Lithium Battery - **Price**: The price of lithium batteries has changed, with different trends for different types of batteries [59]. - **Production and Sales**: The monthly production and sales volume of lithium batteries have changed, with the monthly production of power batteries showing a certain increase, and the export volume also increasing [59]. 3.9 Demand - Ternary Precursor - **Price**: The price of ternary precursor has changed, with different trends for different series [64]. - **Production and Supply - demand Balance**: The monthly production of ternary precursor has increased, with the production in August 2025 at 73,440 tons, a 6.99% increase. The supply - demand balance in August 2025 was - 4,154 tons [19][67]. 3.10 Demand - Ternary Material - **Price**: The price of ternary material has changed, with different trends for different series [70]. - **Production and Inventory**: The monthly production of ternary material has changed, and the weekly inventory has also changed [70][72]. 3.11 Demand - Iron Phosphate/Iron Phosphate Lithium - **Price**: The price of iron phosphate and iron phosphate lithium has changed, with different trends for different types [74]. - **Production and Export**: The monthly production of iron phosphate and iron phosphate lithium has increased, and the monthly export volume of iron phosphate lithium has also increased [74][77]. 3.12 Demand - New Energy Vehicle - **Production, Sales and Export**: The production, sales and export volume of new energy vehicles have changed, with the production and sales showing a certain increase, and the export volume also increasing [82]. - **Penetration Rate and Other Indicators**: The sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles has increased, and the retail - wholesale ratio and inventory warning index have also changed [83][86].
赣锋锂业完成发行4002.56万股新H股及完成发行13.7亿港元可换股债券
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 12:36
Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) has completed a placement of 40.0256 million new H-shares at a price of HKD 29.28 per share, representing 9.02% of the enlarged issued H-shares [1] - The total amount raised from the placement is approximately HKD 1.172 billion, with a net amount of about HKD 1.1685 billion after deducting commissions and estimated expenses [1] - The placement was made to no less than six independent professional or institutional investors, with no major shareholders emerging post-placement [1] Group 2 - The initial conversion price for the bonds is set at HKD 33.67 per H-share, which is subject to adjustment [2] - If the bonds are fully converted at the initial conversion price, they will convert into approximately 40.689 million H-shares, representing about 9.17% of the enlarged issued H-shares and 1.98% of the total issued shares [2] - After full conversion of the bonds, the total number of issued H-shares will increase by approximately 8.40% and the total issued share capital by about 1.94% [2]
碳酸锂日评:波动仍大持仓注意保护-20250902
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 05:09
Report Title - Carbonate Lithium Daily Review 20250902: Still High Volatility, Pay Attention to Protect Positions [2] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - On September 1, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures declined. The spot market trading was okay, and the basis premium widened. In the cost - end, the price of lithium pegmatite concentrate increased, while the mica price decreased. The lithium carbonate production decreased slightly last week, and the production of lithium carbonate from different raw materials changed little. The production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased last week. In September, the production scheduling of lithium cobaltate and lithium manganate increased, and the production of power batteries increased last week. The year - on - year growth rate of new energy vehicle production and sales continued in July, but the sales decreased month - on - month. The 3C shipments were average, and the production scheduling of energy - storage batteries increased in September. The inventory of registered warrants increased, and the social inventory decreased. The short - term supply and demand both strengthened. The fundamentals changed little in the short term, and the market was still easily affected by news. It is expected that the lithium carbonate price will fluctuate within a range. It is recommended to conduct short - term range trading, and buy options to protect positions or buy straddle options [3]. Summary by Related Data Futures Market Data - **Prices**: On September 1, 2025, the closing prices of near - month, continuous - one, continuous - two, and continuous - three contracts were 75,540.00, 75,540.00, 75,420.00, and 75,420.00 respectively, showing a decline compared to August 29. The overall closing price was 75,560.00, down 1,620.00 from the previous day [3]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of lithium carbonate futures was 540,295.00 hands (+50,237), and the open interest of the active contract was 339,133.00 hands (-7,472) [3]. - **Inventory**: The inventory was 31,197.00 tons (+1,310) [3]. - **Spreads**: The spread between near - month and continuous - one was 0.00 (+240), between continuous - one and continuous - two was 120.00 (-200), and between continuous - two and continuous - three was 0.00. The basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) was 2,790.00 (+320) [3]. Spot Market Data - **Lithium Ore**: The average price of lithium pegmatite concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 898.00 dollars/ton (+4.00), while the prices of various types of lithium mica and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone decreased [3]. - **Lithium Compounds**: The average prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 1,300.00 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide in some types decreased, and the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 1,050.00 [3]. - **Other Lithium - Related Materials**: The prices of some ternary precursors increased, while the prices of most ternary materials remained stable or decreased slightly. The prices of different types of lithium iron phosphate decreased, and the price of lithium cobaltate decreased by 400.00 yuan/ton [3]. - **Other Materials**: The prices of some electrolytes remained stable, and the prices of cobalt - related products such as electrolytic cobalt and cobalt sulfate increased [3]. Inventory Data - The SMM lithium carbonate inventory of smelters decreased by 3,510 tons, while that of downstream and other sectors increased by 1,293 tons and 1,810 tons respectively. The total inventory decreased by 407 tons [3]. Company News - On the afternoon of September 1, Tianqi Lithium (002460) stated in its 2025 semi - annual performance briefing that it had completed the industrialization preparation for lithium sulfide, a core raw material for next - generation all - solid - state batteries. Its 50 - ton/year pilot project for lithium sulfide had started construction in Meishan, Sichuan, using self - developed new technologies and equipment [3].
碳酸锂日评:波动仍大,持仓注意保护-20250901
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-09-01 08:23
Report Title - Carbonate Lithium Daily Review 20250901: High Volatility, Protect Positions [2] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - On August 29, the main contract of carbonate lithium futures fluctuated within a range. The spot market trading was weak, and the premium widened. In the short - term, both supply and demand strengthened, the fundamentals changed little, and the market was still easily affected by news. It is expected that the price of carbonate lithium will fluctuate widely. It is recommended to conduct short - term range operations, protect positions by buying appropriate call options, or buy straddle options [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Data - **Futures Prices**: On August 29, the closing prices of near - month, continuous - one, continuous - two, continuous - three contracts and other contracts decreased compared with August 28, with decreases ranging from $780 - 1140$ yuan/ton [3]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of carbonate lithium futures was 490,058 hands (- 315,527), and the open interest of active contracts was 346,605 hands (- 458) [3]. - **Inventory**: The inventory was 29,887 tons, an increase of 930 tons compared with August 28 [3]. - **Price Spreads**: The spreads between different contracts and different types of lithium products changed. For example, the spread between near - month and continuous - one contracts decreased by 140 yuan/ton [3]. - **Raw Material Prices**: The average prices of lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica increased, with increases of $5 - 150$ dollars/ton or yuan/ton [3]. - **Lithium Product Prices**: The average prices of most lithium products decreased, such as battery - grade carbonate lithium (- 350 yuan/ton) and battery - grade hydroxide lithium (- 80 yuan/ton) [3]. 2. Industry News - **IGO and Tianqi Lithium**: After incurring a loss of AUD 955 million (equivalent to USD 622 million) in the fiscal year ending June 2025, Australian producer IGO is negotiating with Tianqi Lithium about the future of their 24,000 - ton/year hydroxide lithium refinery in Kwinana, Australia. The two companies stopped the proposed 24,000 - ton/year refinery expansion project in January. The joint venture plans to produce 9,000 - 11,000 tons of hydroxide lithium in the 2025 - 26 fiscal year, higher than 6,782 tons in 2024 - 25 [3]. - **Codelco and SQM**: Chile's new economy minister Alvaro Garcia said that Codelco and local miner SQM are expected to finalize an important lithium cooperation agreement before the current government's term ends in 2026. The partnership will give Codelco majority control of SQM's lithium production business in the Atacama Salt Flats [3]. 3. Supply and Demand Analysis - **Supply**: Last week, the production of carbonate lithium decreased slightly, and the production of carbonate lithium from different raw materials changed little. The production capacity expansion of Greenbushes lithium spodumene concentrate is approaching completion, and the planned production in the 2025 - 26 fiscal year is 1.5 - 1.65 million tons, higher than 1.48 million tons in the previous year [3]. - **Demand**: Last week, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased. In August, the production schedule of cobalt - acid lithium decreased, and the production of manganese - acid lithium increased. The production of power batteries increased last week. In July, the year - on - year growth rate of new energy vehicle sales continued, but the month - on - month sales declined. The 3C shipments were average, and the production schedule of energy - storage batteries increased in August [3]. 4. Inventory Situation - The registered warehouse receipts were 29,887 tons (+ 930 tons), and social inventory was destocked. Refineries destocked, while downstream and other inventories were tight [3].