Market Overview - After regaining the 3900-point level, the A-share market has returned to a phase of low-volume consolidation, with mixed performances across indices. The ChiNext Index continues to show upward momentum, while the Shanghai Composite Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index have experienced slight pullbacks. Overall trading volume has decreased compared to Monday, reflecting a decline in investor enthusiasm as the year-end approaches, leading to a general trend of low-volume fluctuations [1] Future Outlook - As the year-end approaches, a cautious market sentiment prevails, with fluctuations around the 4000-point level potentially preparing the market for a new upward phase. The market has established conditions for further upward expansion following a period of sideways movement since October. A recovery in the supply-demand situation for the manufacturing sector in 2026 is likely, which could lead to a significant rebound in the earnings growth of A-share listed companies. Key focus areas for November include the impact of the 14th Five-Year Plan on industries, event-driven dynamics in the technology sector, and price increases driven by anti-involution trends, which are expected to catalyze multiple sectors and support a continued upward trend in the market [1] Sector Highlights - In December, sectors benefiting from dividends and price increases are expected to outperform, with short-term attention on banking, public utilities, coal, and non-ferrous metals. Technology will remain a key focus in 2026, with particular attention on AI, lithium batteries, military industry, and robotics. Specific areas of interest include: 1. The established trend in AI hardware, with a continued increase in token usage for major AI models, indicating a peak in AI applications by 2026, presenting opportunities for high growth in AI hardware and the transition from quantitative to qualitative changes in AI applications [2] 2. The trend of robot localization and integration into daily life is expected to continue into 2026, with robot products expanding from humanoid robots to quadrupedal and functional robots, creating recurring opportunities in sensors, controllers, and dexterous hands [2] 3. The trend towards semiconductor localization remains strong, with a focus on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, semiconductor materials, and IC design [2] 4. The military sector is expected to see a continued recovery in orders by 2026, with many sub-sectors such as ground equipment, aviation equipment, and military electronics showing signs of bottoming out as Q3 report declines narrow [2] 5. The innovative drug sector is entering a recovery phase after nearly four years of adjustment, with positive net profit growth for four consecutive quarters since Q3 2024, and an anticipated turning point in fundamentals by 2025, continuing an upward trend into 2026 [2]

到2035年，美国数据中⼼电⼒需求可能达到106吉⽡ 泰勒·德登 2025年12⽉4⽇，星期四，上午8:15 作者： Brian Martucci ， UtilityDive 概括： 彭博新能源财经的这份报告发布之际，⼀些能源⾏业分析师和⾼管警告称，⼈⼯智能泡沫或投机性 数据中⼼提案可能会推⾼负荷增⻓预测。 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-data-center-power-demand-could-reach-106-gw-2035 1/3 更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 彭博新能源财经的数据中⼼项⽬跟踪器显⽰，该⾏业正在从传统的数据中⼼中⼼（如北弗吉尼亚、 亚特兰⼤都会区和 ...

（原标题：汇丰私行：北水流入将会持续 看好中国科技与高息板块） 对于港股市场，内地资金的持续流入构成重要支撑。何伟华指出，北水南下的趋势预计仍将延续。今年 以来，南向资金规模显著，香港市场上市的创新板块企业吸引了大量内地资金配置。汇丰预计，2026年 创新板块企业的盈利增长将持续提升，南向资金加速流入的趋势有望持续。 （汇丰记者会现场 摄/谢巧云） 南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者 张伟泽 香港报道 12月9日，汇丰私人银行及财富管理北亚首席投资总监何伟华在记者会上表示，基于强劲的盈利增长预 期和结构性机遇，该行对中国内地及香港股市给予"偏高配置"的积极看法，并认为北水南下的趋势将会 持续，科技创新与高股息板块将成为市场关注的焦点。 汇丰私人银行及财富管理亚洲首席投资总监范卓云在会上指出，亚洲市场在全球投资组合中的吸引力正 持续提升，主要得益于该地区公司强劲的盈利增长。她提供的数据显示，新兴亚洲市场的每股盈利增长 预计为20%，高于美国标普500指数预计的13%，显示亚洲市场在盈利增速上显著领先。 在亚洲股市中，汇丰私行给予内地和香港市场偏高配置评级。何伟华表示，该行继续看好中国股市中的 创新相关板块，重点关注 ...

Market Overview - On December 8, the Hang Seng Index fell below the 26,000-point mark, closing down 319 points (1.2%) at 25,765 points, with a total market turnover of HKD 206.2 billion[1] - The market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut[1] - The net inflow of Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 1.54 billion[1] Sector Performance - Chinese brokerage stocks rose after the China Securities Regulatory Commission announced a slight easing of regulations, with Huatai Securities up 5.2%, China Merchants Securities up 2.8%, and CITIC Securities up 1.7%[1] - Major Chinese banks saw declines, with China Construction Bank down 4.0%, China Merchants Bank down 3.5%, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China down 3.5%[1] - Pop Mart's stock dropped 8.5% amid concerns over declining sales growth for Labubu products[1] U.S. Market Insights - The Dow Jones Index closed down 215 points (0.4%) at 47,739 points, while the Nasdaq fell 32 points (0.1%) to 23,545 points, and the S&P 500 dropped 23 points to 6,846 points[2] - Investors expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 0.25% on Thursday, supported by a milder core PCE index[2] Macroeconomic Data - China's total import and export value in November was USD 549.03 billion, up 4.3% year-on-year, with exports rising 5.9% and imports increasing by 1.9%[3] - The trade surplus was USD 111.68 billion, exceeding market expectations of USD 103.1 billion[3] - In the real estate sector, new home sales in 30 major cities fell 33.3% year-on-year, with significant declines across all city tiers[3] Industry Trends - The automotive sector anticipates increased lithium battery production in December, leading to improved industry conditions and price increases, with CATL up 3.3% and Ganfeng Lithium up 7.0%[4] - The healthcare sector saw a 1.5% decline in the Hang Seng Healthcare Index, despite the addition of 114 new drugs to the national medical insurance list, benefiting several major pharmaceutical companies[4] - The renewable energy and utility sectors experienced declines, with major utility stocks falling between 1.0% and 2.8%[5]

Group 1 - The overall shareholding ratio of southbound funds in Hong Kong Stock Connect stocks is 19.34%, with 245 stocks having a shareholding ratio exceeding 20% [1] - As of December 8, southbound funds hold a total of 4,919.14 million shares, accounting for 19.34% of the total share capital of the stocks, with a market value of 62,155.08 billion HKD, representing 14.68% of the total market value [1] - The highest shareholding ratio by southbound funds is in China Telecom, with 101.15 million shares held, accounting for 72.88% of the issued shares [1] Group 2 - Southbound funds with a holding ratio exceeding 20% are mainly concentrated in the healthcare, industrial, and financial sectors, with 56, 36, and 34 stocks respectively [2] - The top stocks with high southbound fund holdings include China Telecom (72.88%), Dazhong Public Utilities (69.70%), and Green Power Environmental (69.23%) [2][3] - A significant portion of the stocks with high southbound fund holdings are AH concept stocks, with 128 out of 245 stocks (52.24%) having a holding ratio over 20% being AH stocks [1]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 12 月 9 日 多重合力助推 A 股上行，但仍存结构性隐忧 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 上周五沪深三大指数大涨，沪指成功收复 3900 点整数关口。本周一 A 股延 续强势，其中创业板指在科技股引领下一度大涨超过 3%。盘面上看，市场驱动力 主要以 AI 算力为首的硬科技赛道，CPO、光模块概念强势，资金再次追捧人工智 能产业链。两市成交额重返 2 万亿。 周一市场上行，主要有以下几个方面的利好：一是监管层调低保险公司在沪 深 300、中证红利、科创板股票投资风险因子 10%，这一举措有望为 A 股市场带 来千亿级别的增量资金，进一步充实市场流动性（数据来源：第一财经）；二是 拓宽券商资本空间与杠杆上限，有助于提高券商资本利用效率，相当于为行业适 当加杠杆，增强市场交易活跃度和中介服务能力；三是公募基金强化长期业绩导 向，提高跟投比例并根据业绩基准调整薪资，这一制度优化将显著加强管理人与 ...

Group 1 - The overall A-share market experienced wide fluctuations, with major indices showing slight weekly gains and increased trading volume [5] - The short-term pullback pressure may have been released, indicating a return to a consolidation phase, with a positive outlook for market rebounds [5] - The investment strategy suggested focuses on "dividend + technology" as the main allocation theme, with dividends expected to perform better in terms of volatility [5] Group 2 - The electrolytic aluminum spot price reached its highest level since May 2022, indicating potential recovery in the steel sector's profitability [6] - The copper industry reported a 1% month-on-month increase in China's electrolytic copper production for November, with cable enterprise operating rates rising for five consecutive weeks [6] - The supply-demand dynamics in the copper market are expected to remain tight, supporting a bullish outlook for copper prices [6] Group 3 - China National Petroleum Corporation is recognized as a significant state-owned enterprise and a major global oil and gas producer, benefiting from its integrated operations across various energy sectors [7] - The energy sector is seeing a focus on investment opportunities in hydrogen, ammonia, and energy storage, with expectations for stable domestic bidding levels in 2026 [7] - The lithium battery sector is highlighted for potential investment opportunities, particularly in lithium mines and production processes that are currently under pressure [7] Group 4 - The first commercial insurance innovative drug directory was released, including 24 drugs, with 19 successfully negotiated for pricing, expanding market opportunities for innovative drugs in China [8] - The implementation of this directory is expected to create a broader market space for innovative pharmaceuticals amid the continuous emergence of new global drugs [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles is that the U.S. stock market is anticipating a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is seen as a key factor for the potential "Santa Claus rally" this December [1][3][4] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is approximately 87% according to the CME FedWatch Tool, driven by recent economic data indicating a slowdown in the job market and inflation [3][5] - Historical data shows that December is typically a strong month for U.S. stocks, with an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during the seven trading days following Christmas over the past 70 years [4][8] Group 2 - Investors are closely watching the statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and "shadow Fed chairman" Kevin Hassett regarding future interest rate paths, particularly for indications of further easing in January [4][7] - Analysts suggest that while the December rate cut is largely priced in, the market's interpretation of potential additional cuts in 2026 will be crucial for driving the market higher and enabling the "Santa Claus rally" [7][8] - Various interest rate-sensitive assets are highlighted for potential investment, including real estate, financials, utilities, biotechnology, and technology sectors, which may benefit from lower borrowing costs and improved economic outlook [8][9]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall increase on December 8, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3924.08 points, up 0.54%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 13329.99 points, up 1.39%, and the ChiNext Index at 3190.27 points, up 2.6% [1] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 20,517.44 billion yuan, an increase of 3,126.79 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds in the A-share market was 7.34 billion yuan, with an opening net outflow of 79.7 billion yuan and a closing net outflow of 8.67 billion yuan [2] - The net inflow of main funds in the CSI 300 was 10.55 billion yuan, while the ChiNext saw a net inflow of 7.4 billion yuan, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board experienced a net outflow of 9.19 billion yuan [4] Sector Performance - Among the primary industries, the electronics sector led with a net inflow of 189.28 billion yuan, followed by the communication sector with 76.25 billion yuan, and the electric equipment sector with 30.60 billion yuan [6][7] - The top five industries with net inflows included electronics, communication, electric equipment, computer, and media, while the top five industries with net outflows included biopharmaceuticals, food and beverage, public utilities, and basic chemicals [7] Institutional Activity - The institutional buying activity was notable in several stocks, with Snowman Group (002639) showing a net institutional purchase of 181.63 million yuan, followed by Ruikang Pharmaceutical and Changguang Photonics [9][10] - Conversely, Guangdong Hongda (002683) was among the stocks with significant institutional selling [9]

盘后数据出炉。 12月8日，A股市场整体上涨。截至收盘，上证指数报3924.08点，上涨0.54%；深证成指报13329.99点，上涨1.39%；创业板指 报3190.27点，上涨2.6%；北证50指数上涨1.27%。A股市场合计成交20517.44亿元，较上一交易日增加3126.79亿元。 1.A股市场主力资金净流入7.34亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出79.7亿元，尾盘净流出8.67亿元，A股市场全天主力资金净流入7.34亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | | 2025-12-8 | 7. 34 | -79.70 | -8. 67 | 59. 68 | | 2025-12-5 | 17.75 | -82. 49 | 21.94 | 81. 12 | | 2025-12-4 | -214.71 | -121.97 | -35. 67 | -69.28 | | 2025-12-3 | -452. 50 | -107. 61 | ...