金投网提示：以上报价仅供参考，据此交易，风险自担。 基本面： 2025年10月23日，实物黄金水贝黄金报价1007元/克，相比上一个交易日下跌了6元/克。铂金价格今天 报价375元/克，相比上一个交易日上涨了14元/克。 附表： 水贝黄金 黄金价格 铂金价格 单位 2025年10月23日 1007 375 元/克 2025年10月22日 1013 361 元/克 北约秘书长吕特：如果有必要的话，北约可以击落俄罗斯的飞机，俄罗斯在北约领空的"入侵"行为必须 停止。我们将共同促使普京回到谈判桌前。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - On October 22, the prices of precious metals continued to decline significantly due to factors such as the cooling of risk - aversion sentiment, the strengthening of the US dollar, and investors' concentrated profit - taking. The transfer of silver inventories from the US and China to the London market alleviated the shortage of physical silver in London, further triggering the risk of silver selling [5]. - The sharp decline in precious metal prices indicates that the historic upward trend of this round has temporarily ended. In the short term, with the Fed still having expectations of a rate cut in October, precious metals may enter a wide - range shock. It is recommended that investors participate rationally, avoid short - term chasing up or selling down, and focus on long - term allocation. In the long run, the bullish logic of precious metals remains unchanged, and long - term investors can wait for the adjustment to complete and then go long on dips [5]. - In the long term, factors such as the Fed's potential rate cuts within the year, continuous global geopolitical uncertainties, the unsustainable US debt, intensified great - power competition increasing the risk of US dollar credit, and the continuation of global central bank gold purchases suggest that the long - term center of gold prices is likely to continue to rise [5]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Tracking - **Precious Metal Prices**: On October 22, compared with October 21, London gold spot dropped by 4.3% to $4153.64 per ounce, London silver spot fell by 5.0% to $49.16 per ounce, COMEX gold decreased by 4.3% to $4167.10 per ounce, and CONEX silver declined by 4.4% to $48.47 per ounce. In the domestic market, AU2512 dropped by 4.2% to 952.56 yuan per gram, AG2512 decreased by 3.4% to 11404 yuan per kilogram, AU (T + D) fell by 4.1% to 950.25 yuan per gram, and AG (T + D) declined by 3.4% to 11391 yuan per kilogram [3]. - **Price Spreads and Ratios**: From October 21 to October 22, the spread of gold TD - SHFE active price increased by 120.0% to 2.71 yuan per gram, and the spread of silver TD - SHFE active price increased by - 16.8% to - 1133 yuan per kilogram. The SHFE gold - silver ratio decreased by 0.8% to 83.53, and the COMEX gold - silver ratio increased by 0.1% to 85.98 [3]. Position Data - **COMEX Positions**: As of October 21, compared with October 20, COMEX gold non - commercial long positions increased by 1.85% to 332808 contracts, non - commercial short positions increased by 9.43% to 66059 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions increased by 0.13% to 266749 contracts. CONEX silver non - commercial long positions increased by 0.97% to 72318 contracts, non - commercial short positions decreased by 0.21% to 20042 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions increased by 1.43% to 52276 contracts [3]. - **ETF Positions**: As of October 21, compared with October 20, the gold ETF - SPDR remained unchanged at 1058.66 tons, and the silver ETF - SLV decreased by 0.59% to 15676.6372 tons [3]. Inventory Data - **SHFE Inventories**: On October 22, compared with October 21, SHFE gold inventory increased by 0.52% to 87015 kilograms, and SHFE silver inventory decreased by 7.70% to 691688 kilograms [3]. - **COMEX Inventories**: On October 21, compared with October 20, COMEX gold inventory decreased by 0.03% to 39020901 troy ounces, and COMEX silver inventory decreased by 0.52% to 503832524 troy ounces [3]. Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Data - **Interest Rates**: From October 21 to October 22, the US 2 - year Treasury yield increased by 0.03% to 7.10, and the US 10 - year Treasury yield increased by 0.35% to 3.98 [4]. - **Exchange Rates and Other Data**: The NYMEX crude oil price decreased by 0.29% to 17.87, the US dollar index decreased by 0.50% to 98.97, the VIX decreased by 1.97% to 3.45, the S&P 500 remained unchanged at 6735.35, and the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate increased by 1.14% to 57.58 [4].

Core Viewpoint - Platinum has become the latest precious metal experiencing a price surge and heightened market squeeze concerns, with spot contracts trading at a premium over futures, indicating a rush for physical platinum [1] Group 1: Price Movements and Market Dynamics - The London spot platinum price surged by 6.4% to $1,646.03 per ounce, marking the largest intraday increase since 2020 [1] - Platinum spot prices have risen by 60% since May, reaching a 12-year high in October, significantly outperforming gold and silver [1] - The premium of the spot platinum contract over futures reached $53.45 per ounce, up from $28 the previous day, indicating a rare widening price gap [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The market is experiencing a rush for physical platinum, similar to the recent silver market squeeze, driven by both institutional and retail investors [2] - Despite a record monthly export of approximately 140,000 ounces of platinum products from China, the liquidity in the platinum market is under pressure [2] - Deutsche Bank's strategy team highlighted that platinum and palladium are likely candidates for tariff actions due to concentrated supply chains and geopolitical risks [3] Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Environment - The U.S. Commerce Secretary's overdue report on critical minerals, which includes platinum and palladium, is expected to assess the impact of imports on national security [3] - Potential trade restrictions could exacerbate existing supply tightness in the platinum market, with leasing rates for platinum group metals currently above normal levels [3] - Platinum's industrial applications, including automotive catalytic converters and chemical processing, underscore its critical role beyond investment and decorative uses [3]

Core Viewpoint - The platinum market is experiencing significant price volatility, with potential for a "silver-style squeeze" similar to recent events in the silver market, driven by supply constraints and geopolitical risks related to U.S. tariffs on platinum group metals [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movements - Platinum prices surged by 6.4% to $1,646.03 per ounce, marking the largest intraday increase since 2020 [1]. - In October, platinum prices reached a 12-year high, with a 60% increase since May, outperforming gold and silver [1]. - The premium of platinum spot contracts over futures widened to $53.45 per ounce, a significant increase from $28 the previous day [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - There is a rush for physical platinum, mirroring the recent panic in the silver market, where both institutional and retail investors are aggressively purchasing the metal [2]. - Dan Ghali from TD Securities noted that the platinum market is tightening rapidly, raising concerns about a potential squeeze similar to that seen in silver [2]. - Despite a record monthly export of approximately 140,000 ounces of platinum products from China, liquidity in the platinum market is under pressure [2]. Group 3: Regulatory and Supply Chain Risks - Deutsche Bank highlighted that platinum and palladium are likely candidates for tariff actions due to their concentrated supply chains and geopolitical risks [3]. - The overdue report from the U.S. Commerce Secretary will assess the national security implications of importing key minerals, including platinum and palladium [3]. - Potential trade restrictions could exacerbate existing supply tightness in the platinum market, with leasing rates above normal levels and rising operational costs for industrial users [3].

Core Viewpoint - The platinum market is experiencing significant price volatility, driven by potential changes in U.S. mineral policies and the risk of tariffs under Section 232, which could lead to soaring platinum prices [1][3]. Group 1: Price Movements - Platinum prices surged by 6.4% to $1,646.03 per ounce, marking the largest intraday increase since 2020 [1]. - In October, platinum spot prices reached a 12-year high, with a 60% increase since May, outperforming gold and silver [1]. - The price difference between platinum spot contracts and futures widened unusually, with a premium of $53.45 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - There is a rush for physical platinum, similar to the recent silver market situation, indicating a tightening market [2]. - Dan Ghali from TD Securities noted that the platinum market is becoming "extremely tight," raising concerns about a potential "silver-like" squeeze [2]. - Despite a record export of approximately 140,000 ounces of platinum products from China last month, liquidity in the platinum system is under pressure [2]. Group 3: Policy and Supply Risks - Deutsche Bank highlighted that platinum and palladium are likely candidates for tariff actions due to concentrated supply chains and geopolitical risks [3]. - The overdue report from the U.S. Commerce Secretary will assess the national security implications of key mineral imports, including platinum and palladium [3]. - Potential trade restrictions could exacerbate existing supply tightness in the platinum market, with leasing rates above normal levels and rising operational costs for industrial users [3].

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a significant drop after reaching a historical high, with a decline of over 6% on October 21, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013 [1] - The price of gold futures for December delivery closed at $4109.10 per ounce, down from a previous high of $4381 per ounce [1] - The current market sentiment suggests that the recent sharp adjustment is a natural correction following a rapid increase in prices, rather than a trend reversal [1][2] Group 2 - Analysts attribute the decline to overbought conditions and a decrease in risk aversion among investors, alongside a 0.4% rise in the US dollar index [2] - The World Gold Council noted that this year has seen the largest price increase for gold since 1979, with a cumulative rise of approximately 57% despite the recent drop [2] - Concerns about the sustainability of traditional safe-haven assets are growing, with gold's market value surpassing $27 trillion, making it the second-largest reserve asset globally [2] Group 3 - Domestic gold jewelry prices also fell significantly, with major brands reporting declines of up to 83 yuan per gram [3] - Silver prices mirrored gold's decline, with a drop of 7.6%, marking the largest single-day decrease since 2021 [4] Group 4 - Citigroup has downgraded its overweight recommendation on gold due to concerns over high positions, predicting further consolidation around $4000 per ounce in the coming weeks [4] - Several banks, including Everbright Bank and Industrial Bank, have issued risk warnings regarding the volatility in precious metals markets [4][5] Group 5 - Fund companies are limiting investment amounts due to excessive inflows, with specific caps on individual fund accounts being implemented [6][7] - The World Gold Council reported record inflows into gold ETFs, with total assets under management reaching $472 billion, indicating strong investor interest despite recent price fluctuations [7][8]

北京时间10月21日晚间 国际贵金属市场遭遇剧烈震荡 现货黄金价格单日暴跌5.3% 创下2020年8月以来最大跌幅 白银价格也同步下挫近7%。 今天 "金价银价急跌"话题冲上热搜 在社交媒体上，不少买入黄金的网友心态"崩"了。 这场突如其来的暴跌背后 隐藏着怎样的市场逻辑？ 未来走势如何？ 预计黄金跟白银，长线还是维持上涨态势，一方面是美元在市场上受到信任性的下滑，然后导致避险资金主要流向了黄金资产。另外一方面，是美联储降 息路径的确定性，使得流动性预期向好。白银，它的宏观面影响是跟黄金是类似的，但是白银本身也是一个工业金属，所以说它的基本面也会影响它的走 势，长期以来全球矿山资本支出的减少，使得白银产量在近几年并有并没有上升，而全球光伏产业的扩张，也使得白银的赤字也是愈发严重，进而推升了 白银价格。但是后续仍需要关注美国政府停摆终止的节点，也或许会造成白银跟黄金的一个小幅的回调，但长线仍然是看涨为主。 目前黄金价格的长期上涨趋势没有发生改变。这个阶段性的环境价格下跌主要是市场情绪方面影响，引发的技术性回调。市场风险点在于当下阶段黄金仍 处于绝对高位，投资者在做黄金投资时做好风险管理，避免因黄金的波动性风险造 ...

Group 1 - Recent surge in ordinary investors entering the silver market has led to shortages of silver bars and plates, with some waiting up to two weeks for delivery [1][2] - On October 21, London silver prices experienced a significant drop of over 8%, marking the largest single-day decline since 2021, while still showing a year-to-date increase of nearly 70% [1][8] - The shortage of silver is attributed to a combination of limited supply and increased demand from retail investors and industrial sectors, particularly in photovoltaic and electronic industries [6][7][8] Group 2 - The current market dynamics show that silver bars and plates are in high demand, with some retailers reporting a complete halt in new inventory due to overwhelming orders [5][6] - The processing capacity of domestic silver manufacturers is constrained, leading to tight supply in the market, exacerbated by rising industrial demand [7][8] - The price of silver has attracted significant investment interest, with many investors believing in a potential price rebound despite recent declines [4][14] Group 3 - Companies involved in silver trading are experiencing increased sales, with some reporting daily profits exceeding 10,000 yuan from silver plate sales [9][11] - The market for silver has seen a shift, with ordinary investors becoming more active participants, a trend not observed in the past 15 years [11][12] - The logistics for silver delivery are generally efficient, with typical shipping times ranging from three to seven days, indicating a well-established supply chain despite current shortages [12]

贵金属市场周二遭遇剧烈回调。现货黄金价格盘中跌幅一度达到6.3%，创下自2013年4月以来的最大单 日下跌纪录，最终收跌5.3%。白银同样呈现看空态势，现货价格最终收跌7.11%，同样创12年来最大单 日跌幅。 - 印度对白银的需求增长更为迅猛，供应已陷入"饥荒"状态。印度市场卖家索要的溢价较全球现货价格 高出10%至25%——这一异常溢价凸显了实物短缺的严重性与需求的迫切程度。黄金回调的必然性与金 银估值再平衡 结合两种贵金属近期走势来看，这种分化更具深意。黄金迎来近50年来前所未有的历史性上涨，抛物线 式的价格走势必然引发回调；而白银的上涨则更为稳健有序——这种逐步升值的态势，体现的是可持续 性，而非投机性过热。估值差距与白银供需优势 看待黄金近期回调，需结合其此前的异常涨势：自2023年10月以来，黄金从未经历过"真正的回调"（定 义为跌幅达10%及以上），当时其历史高点约为2500美元。从该时点算起，黄金在未出现两位数百分比 回撤的情况下，累计上涨约2000美元。如此长时间未经历有效整理的上涨，几乎必然会引发最终的剧烈 逆转。 当前市场动态显示，黄金与白银的估值可能迎来再平衡。黄金回调缓解了技术面过度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The new chairman of the London Bullion Market Association, Peter Zoellner, calls for the UK to restart gold futures trading, despite previous unsuccessful attempts in establishing derivative contracts in this $35 trillion global physical gold trading center [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The global gold market would benefit from having "two or three well-liquid trading centers" [1]. - Previous attempts to launch gold futures contracts in London were deemed premature, but the current market conditions may be more favorable [1]. - Concerns among market participants regarding trading on U.S. exchanges have increased due to uncertainties stemming from fluctuating tariff policies [1]. Group 2: Historical Context - The London Metal Exchange launched a gold futures contract in 2017, which was closed five years later due to low trading volumes [2]. - Earlier attempts at establishing a "London Gold Futures Market" from 1982 to 1985 also failed due to insufficient trading activity [2]. Group 3: Pricing and Transparency - The London Bullion Market Association plays a crucial role in determining which gold meets the "good delivery" standards for delivery to London member vaults [2]. - The association is considering whether to disclose more pricing data, including forward contracts and real-time price data, to enhance market transparency [2]. - The association has been collecting forward contract price data and has been publishing the "Gofo" gold forward rate curve for the past 12 years [2]. Group 4: Current Market Trends - Gold prices have surged by 57% this year, currently hovering around $4,100 per ounce [2]. - Central bank purchases of gold are expected to continue driving prices upward, with limited alternative options available [2]. - Concerns regarding government bond markets and trade wars are influencing factors in the gold market [2][3]. Group 5: Market Perception and Innovation - There is a growing concern over the fiscal policies of major economies, with public debt rising dramatically [3]. - The perception of political alliances, trade policies, and fiscal and monetary policies is shifting globally, which may lead to price volatility [3]. - The gold market is defended against claims of being outdated, emphasizing its focus on safety and credibility over convenience [3].