1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - In 2025, China's economy achieved a growth target of around 5% despite challenges, but it also faced structural pressures. In 2026, the economy is expected to grow at 4.8%, likely showing a "low - then - high" trend. To achieve the economic growth target in 2026, comprehensive macro - policies are needed, including fiscal, monetary, and various industry - specific policies [3][7][48] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025 Review: A Year of "Reconstruction" Amid Interwoven Multiple Variables - **Growth Trend**: In 2025, China's economy showed a "high - then - low" pattern. The real GDP grew 5.0% year - on - year, with nominal growth at 4.0%. Final consumption contributed over half (52%) to GDP growth, but there is room for improvement. Investment weakened, with capital formation contribution declining [9] - **Economic Structure**: The economy maintained a "strong supply, weak demand" pattern. Industrial production grew at about 6%. "Two - new" policies supported the economy in the first half, but domestic demand lacked momentum in the second half. Investment, especially fixed - asset investment, declined, with real estate and infrastructure investment hitting new lows [10] - **Structural Reconstruction**: - **Macroeconomic Narrative**: DeepSeek's technological breakthrough led to a re - evaluation of Chinese assets, especially technology assets, and changed the economic growth narrative [17] - **Export Resilience**: Exports were affected by US tariffs but remained resilient. The export support shifted from Europe and the US to emerging markets, with high - value - added capital and intermediate goods being the main export items [20] - **New and Old Kinetic Energy Conversion**: The real estate industry continued to adjust, gradually returning to its livelihood nature. New kinetic energy, such as high - tech industries, played an increasing role in economic growth. "Anti - involution" governance promoted the transformation of emerging industries [25][26] 3.2 Four Constraints on the Economy's Path to a "New Equilibrium" - **Global Political and Economic Landscape**: The global political and economic landscape is evolving rapidly. Sino - US competition intensifies in non - trade areas, and geopolitical frictions with non - US countries are increasing [32] - **Micro - entity Behavior**: The behavior of micro - entities has not emerged from the "post - pandemic" paradigm. Residents' preventive savings are likely to be normalized, and enterprises' investment willingness is still low. Local governments face fiscal and debt constraints [32][35][36] - **New and Old Kinetic Energy Conversion**: The transformation from old to new kinetic energy brings downward pressure, fiscal, and employment gaps. New industries are not yet able to fully replace old ones [40] - **High - quality Supply**: The supply of high - quality products and services is insufficient, leading to a mismatch between supply and demand and restricting the release of domestic demand [44] 3.3 2026 Outlook: Expected Economic Growth of 4.8%, with Potential Marginal Improvement in Macro - micro Temperature Difference - **Overall Economic Growth**: In 2026, the economy is expected to show a "low - then - high" trend. Under the neutral scenario, the GDP growth rate is expected to be around 4.8%, with quarterly rates of 4.6%, 4.8%, 4.9%, and 4.9% respectively [7][48] - **Sector - specific Outlook**: - **Production**: Industrial production is expected to remain resilient, with an expected 5.5% increase in industrial added value. The service industry is also expected to grow, with the service production index rising 5.6% [52] - **Exports**: Although there is a base effect, exports are supported by multiple factors. With potential "tactical" easing of Sino - US trade frictions and demand from emerging markets, the export growth rate is expected to be 4.5% [53] - **Investment**: Investment is likely to stop falling and stabilize. Infrastructure and emerging industries will be the main drivers, with overall investment growth expected to reach 2% and narrow - sense infrastructure investment growing by 8% [57] - **Real Estate**: In the short term, the real estate market is still in the inventory - clearing stage, but investment decline is expected to narrow to 10% [58] - **Consumption**: Consumption is expected to have a weak recovery, with total social retail sales growing by 4%. Service consumption has greater growth potential, while commodity consumption is restricted by policy and base effects [60] - **Prices**: The effects of "anti - involution" governance will continue to show, and PPI and CPI are expected to have a mild recovery, potentially improving the macro - micro temperature difference [62] 3.4 Policy Recommendations for Achieving the 2026 Economic Growth Target - **Fiscal and Monetary Policy**: In 2026, the deficit rate should be kept above 4%, and the general fiscal expenditure may reach about 15 trillion yuan. There may be one interest rate cut and 1 - 2 reserve requirement ratio cuts [7][67][69] - **Expanding Domestic Demand**: For consumption, expand subsidies to service consumption, promote full implementation of holidays, and improve the service consumption environment. For investment, play the role of government investment and use the national venture capital guidance fund to attract private capital [70][71] - **Increasing High - quality Supply**: Encourage innovation in products and services, and relax market access to increase high - quality supply [74] - **Cultivating New Kinetic Energy**: Focus on key "choke - point" technologies, strengthen the role of enterprises in innovation, and promote the cluster - based development of strategic emerging industries [74] - **Stabilizing the Real Estate Market**: Improve the "commercial housing + affordable housing" dual - track system, and promote the coordinated development of supply and demand in the real estate market [76] - **Debt Management**: Optimize the debt structure and efficiency, and build a long - term debt management mechanism [77] - **External Response**: Implement a more diversified and in - depth opening - up strategy, expand the foreign trade "circle of friends", and support enterprises to go global [79] - **Reform and System - building**: Promote economic, fiscal, and tax system reforms, and release institutional dividends [81]

Group 1: Market Overview - The structural characteristics of the A-share market in 2026 are becoming increasingly distinct, with changes in sector rotation and investment logic shifting from broad allocation to selective stock picking [1] - Key investment opportunities in 2026 include left-side positioning in the pharmaceutical and cyclical sectors, exploration of new tracks in renewable energy and technology, and the realization of AI applications in media [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to experience a mild rebound, with upcoming 2025 annual reports and 2026 Q1 reports serving as critical windows to validate the industry's recovery pace [2] - Focus areas include contract research organizations (CROs) and medical devices, particularly those with strong technological attributes and competitive R&D expense ratios [2] - The brain-computer interface field is highlighted as a promising area for future growth, with potential applications expected to emerge as market sentiment stabilizes [2] Group 3: Cyclical Sector - The cyclical industry is likely to show significant differentiation, with opportunities in precious metals and high-quality chemicals [3] - Precious metals, particularly silver, are expected to gain investment value if the gold bull market continues, while small metals related to AI and renewable energy may also present opportunities [3] - The chemical sector is currently at a bottoming phase, with expectations for price recovery, and stock selection should focus on industries with favorable competitive dynamics and new growth points [3] Group 4: Renewable Energy Sector - The lithium battery sector is anticipated to wait for quarterly report catalysts, while space photovoltaic and grid export sectors may open new growth avenues [5] - Space photovoltaic has significant market potential, with domestic companies expected to capture market share due to China's competitive advantage in the global photovoltaic industry [6] - The grid export sector is entering a performance realization phase, particularly for companies targeting the North American market, with expectations for order volume to increase this year [6] Group 5: AI and Media Sector - 2026 is expected to be a pivotal year for the realization of AI applications, with the media sector poised to benefit significantly [7] - Key focus areas include AI in marketing and multi-modal content generation, with the potential for substantial market growth in the video content sector [7][8] - The media sector's AI application market is expected to experience continuous upward movement, driven by competition among major internet companies and advancements in multi-modal technology [8] Group 6: Technology Sector - The AI industry is projected to evolve over the next 3-5 years, with a shift towards commercializing AI applications [9] - The robotics sector should focus on companies achieving performance milestones and those with potential to penetrate core supply chains [9]

【导读】拾贝投资投委会主席胡建平：努力在确定的市场中把握节奏，将优势转化为胜势 中国基金报记者任子青 1月21日，拾贝投资举办投资者交流会，拾贝投资投委会主席胡建平以"努力把确定的趋势转化成收 益"为题，回顾2025年的投资得失并展望未来市场机会。 胡建平认为，全球的经济格局正在或者已经发生深刻的变化，但市场定价尚不充分。物价端，PPI、CPI 均存向好趋势，统一大市场建设助力产业提质增效。出海是兼具时代机遇与历史使命的长期投资主线， 医药行业的成长才刚起步，AI领域仍是今年最大的机会所在。 在后续的投资中将始终坚守价值投资的核心逻辑，同时积极拥抱AI技术，努力在确定的市场中把握节 奏，把优势转化成胜势。 全球经济格局已发生深刻变化 市场并未充分反应 过去一年，拾贝投资在全球视野的构建上有所进步，在多空维度的布局上积极探索实践，在周期视角的 研判上不断深耕打磨，同时始终坚守价值投资的核心逻辑。在此基础上，将进一步融入AI工具与技 术，以智能化能力赋能投资决策，让专业判断与科技力量深度结合，AI可以改变投研覆盖的宽度、速 度和深度，进而改变投资的胜率和赔率分布，最后改变投资的模式。 胡建平表示，全球的经济格局正 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in the A-share market, with various sectors showing resilience and potential for growth, particularly in aerospace, telecommunications, and semiconductor industries [9][10][11][12][13][14] - The government is actively supporting sectors such as elderly care, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy through financial initiatives and policy frameworks, which are expected to drive investment and growth [8][5][24][27] - The electric equipment industry is poised for significant growth due to the National Grid's planned investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on green energy transition and technological innovation [24][25][26][27] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,122.58 with a slight increase of 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.50% to 14,327.05 [3] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.88 and 52.98, respectively, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [9][10][11] Industry Analysis - The new energy vehicle market is expected to see record production and sales in 2025, driven by policies encouraging vehicle upgrades and a strong demand for electric vehicles [21][22][23] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust growth, with a 45.07% increase in the sector's performance in 2025, driven by strong demand for AI-related hardware [31][32][33] - The storage battery sector is projected to maintain its dominance, with lithium-ion batteries expected to account for 97.5% of new energy storage technologies by 2024 [15][16] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "stronger than the market" rating for sectors such as AI, electric equipment, and new energy vehicles, emphasizing the importance of technological advancements and policy support in driving growth [19][23][27] - Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with strong positions in the semiconductor and electric equipment sectors, as well as those involved in the new energy vehicle supply chain [19][27][33]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices close higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.50%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.01% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 27,166 billion yuan, an increase of 926 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3,500 individual stocks rose, with a median increase of 0.63% [1] Market Sentiment and Trends - The market remains in a controlled rhythm and emotional state, with mysterious funds becoming active in ETFs during significant index increases [2][3] - The purpose of controlling rhythm and sentiment is to prevent excessive speculation in certain sectors, allowing the market to develop steadily [3] - Some local governments are actively promoting capital and asset securitization, which is essential for a stable capital market [3] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a widespread rebound, with leading stocks showing significant recovery [4] - AI application stocks that had seen declines recently also rebounded, indicating a potential recovery in this sector [5] - Some stocks that had been on consecutive trading halts began to recover, suggesting a thawing of previously low speculative sentiment [6][7] Monetary Policy and Market Confidence - The central bank announced a 9,000 billion yuan MLF operation scheduled for January 23, with a net injection of 7,000 billion yuan for the month [8] - The central bank's governor reiterated the importance of monetary policy tools, which may help stabilize market confidence [8] AI and Robotics Sector Insights - The AI hardware sector saw a rebound, with significant gains in second-tier stocks [8] - Morgan Stanley analysts have doubled their forecast for humanoid robot sales in China for 2026, indicating growing optimism in this segment [11] Commercial Aerospace Developments - SpaceX plans to launch a second-generation "Starlink" satellite communication system by 2027 and is actively pursuing an IPO [12] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a rotation of funds, with various core sectors like non-ferrous metals, storage, and semiconductor showing strength [12] Investment Strategy - It is suggested to focus on mainstream sectors with smaller recent gains for potential low-entry opportunities, particularly in the AI industry chain and humanoid robotics [13]

Core Insights - The article discusses how China's 15th Five-Year Plan will influence its industrial landscape, particularly focusing on AI and semiconductors as national priorities [1][5]. AI and Semiconductor Industry - AI is being integrated with manufacturing and energy systems, emphasizing the development of industry-specific large models rather than being treated as a standalone growth sector [6]. - Demand for computing power has shifted from being a discretionary choice to a foundational demand, benefiting sectors like optical communications, where companies like Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink Technology have seen share price increases of 389.7% and 320% respectively over the past year [7][8]. - In semiconductors, the focus has shifted from comprehensive substitution to deployable capabilities, with SMIC's shares rising about 80% over the past year due to demand for mature-node processes and automotive chips [8][9]. AI Platforms and Market Dynamics - The competition in AI large models is transitioning from startups to major internet platforms, with Baidu and Alibaba facing investor skepticism despite their technological visibility [11][12]. - Tencent has shown stable market performance by embedding AI across its services, resulting in a share price increase of over 50% in the past year, indicating a preference for AI narratives that enhance cash flow quality [13]. Emergence of AI Agents - AI agents are evolving from general-purpose models to specific applications, marking a shift towards embedding AI in real-world workflows, as seen with ByteDance's Doubao [14][15]. - The U.S. tech giants focus on frontier model capabilities, while China emphasizes rapid deployment and monetization of AI technologies [16][17]. Robotics and Power Systems - Robotics is increasingly adopting a Robotics-as-a-Service (RaaS) model, which lowers adoption barriers for enterprises, with global installations of humanoid robots expected to reach approximately 16,000 units by 2025 [19][20]. - Companies like Ubtech have seen stock price increases of over 135% in the past year, while other industrial automation firms have also experienced gains of around 30% [21]. - Power and energy systems are being re-evaluated, with a focus on stability and efficiency, leading to a resurgence in interest for power electronics and energy storage companies [23][24]. - Share prices for companies like Sungrow Power Supply have more than doubled, reflecting a recovery in demand for energy storage solutions [24][25].

近日，AI陪伴公司自然选择（Nature Select）宣布完成新一轮融资，金额超3000万美元。本轮融资由阿 里巴巴、蚂蚁集团、启明创投、五源资本、创世伙伴创投、云时资本等机构联合投资。 自然选择成立于2024年2月，创始人张筱帆是AI陪伴赛道的连续创业者，其同时也是男性向游戏《奇点时 代》研发商幻境游戏的CEO。 目前，自然选择最重要的产品，是一款女性向在研项目《EVE》。根据官方介绍，这是「全球首款3D AI 智能陪伴应用」，他们想要在游戏中实现的一种长期且深度的情感连接虚拟关系，类似于电影《Her》中 所描绘的体验。 END 如果内容对您有所启发，欢迎在评论区留言 请 点赞 、 转发 、 小心心 ，将公众号设置为 星标 点赞 收藏 分享 在2024年，自然选择团队就提出了128个动态记忆槽位的长时记忆方案，到2025年又给记忆系统加入了 多维graphRAG。Tristan表示"记忆系统的本质是推荐系统"，而他们在按照搜推的方式做记忆。 文章来源：猎云网 商务合作 商务活动｜宣传推广｜转载开白等 联系电话｜18355423366 自然选择通过设置名为"情感交互设计师"的职位来提高AI的情商。他们还在今 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid growth and investment potential of KuaLing AI, a video generation model under Kuaishou, which has seen significant user and revenue increases in recent months [4][11][12]. User Growth and Revenue - KuaLing AI's monthly active users (MAU) surpassed 12 million in January 2023, with a projected revenue of $140 million for 2025, significantly exceeding Kuaishou's initial target of $60 million [5][11]. - The app's paid user base grew by 350% month-over-month as of January 20, 2026, with a single-month revenue exceeding $20 million in December 2025 [11][12]. - Daily revenue in January 2026 is approximately 30% higher than the previous month [11]. Product Features and Market Position - The introduction of new features, particularly the Motion Control function, has driven user engagement and viral content creation, such as the "pet dancing" AI videos [8][10]. - KuaLing targets both professional creators and B2B clients, with nearly 70% of its revenue coming from paid subscriptions by professional users [10][12]. - The app has achieved top rankings in the iOS graphics and design category across nearly 40 countries, including Brazil and Russia [10]. Industry Outlook - KuaLing AI is positioned as a key player in the video model industry, with expectations of reaching a critical point for scalable content generation soon [11][15]. - Analysts from international investment banks have noted that the current market pricing does not fully reflect KuaLing AI's growth potential, suggesting it is undervalued [12].

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] Industry Overview - Wall Street is investing hundreds of billions into AI technologies, but there is a critical question regarding the energy supply needed to sustain this growth [2] - AI technologies, particularly large language models, are extremely energy-intensive, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities [2] - The demand for electricity is expected to rise significantly, leading to strained power grids and increasing electricity prices [2] Company Insights - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the energy infrastructure sector, poised to benefit from the increasing energy demands of AI [3][6] - This company owns critical nuclear energy infrastructure assets and is capable of executing large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors [7] - The company is positioned to profit from the surge in U.S. LNG exports, especially under the current administration's energy policies [7] Financial Position - The company is noted for being debt-free and holding a significant cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8] - It also has a substantial equity stake in another AI-related company, providing investors with indirect exposure to multiple growth opportunities [9] Market Sentiment - There is a growing interest from hedge funds in this company, which is considered undervalued and off the radar compared to other AI and energy stocks [10][11] - The company is trading at less than 7 times earnings, indicating a potentially high upside for investors [10] Future Outlook - The convergence of AI, energy infrastructure, and onshoring trends presents a unique investment opportunity, with the potential for significant returns in the coming years [14][15]

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the AI energy sector, owning critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI technologies [3][7] Investment Opportunity - Wall Street is investing heavily in AI, with hundreds of billions directed towards developing smarter technologies, but there is a looming question regarding the energy supply needed to sustain this growth [2] - The company in focus is positioned to benefit from the surge in demand for electricity driven by AI data centers, making it a potentially lucrative investment [3][8] Company Profile - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports and poised to capitalize on the onshoring trend due to tariffs [5][6] - It possesses significant nuclear energy infrastructure, enabling it to play a crucial role in the U.S. energy strategy and LNG exportation [7][8] Financial Health - The company is noted for being debt-free and having a substantial cash reserve, which is approximately one-third of its market capitalization, providing it with a strong financial position [8][10] - It is trading at a low valuation of less than 7 times earnings, making it an attractive option for investors seeking undervalued stocks in the AI and energy sectors [10][11] Market Trends - The article discusses the broader trends of AI disruption across industries, emphasizing the importance of investing in companies that are adapting to these changes [11][12] - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, further solidifying the importance of investing in this field [12][13] Future Outlook - The potential for significant returns is highlighted, with projections suggesting a possible 100% return within 12 to 24 months for investors who act now [15][19] - The company is positioned to benefit from the convergence of AI, energy infrastructure, and tariff-driven onshoring, making it a unique investment opportunity [14][19]