央视网消息：1月4日，辽宁召开全省优化营商环境大会，全力打造营商环境最佳口碑省。会后还发布了《辽宁省大力优化营商环境行动方案（2026 版）》。同一天，上海召开2026年全市优化营商环境大会，这是上海自2018年以来，连续9年召开全市营商环境大会，并发布优化营商环境行动方案。从辽 宁到上海，如何持续优化营商环境？ 辽宁决心打破"投资不过山海关"魔咒 辽宁省发展和改革委员会主任 周轶赢：营商环境看似是无形的"软实力"，实则是发展的"硬支撑"。先进地区的经验表明，环境优则人才聚，环境优则事业 兴。良好的营商环境能够集聚各类要素人才，推动产业转型升级。无论是招商引资引来的"金凤凰"，还是培育本土企业成长为"领头雁"，都需要一流的营商 环境作为重要的依托。 我们认为，只有营商环境的大改善，才能有"十五五"辽宁全面振兴的大发展。我们确保短期之内要实现营商环境明显好转、根本好转，也是回应经营主体和 群众的热切期盼。我们也要打破"投资不过山海关"的魔咒。虽然辽宁在优化营商环境方面取得了一些成效，但是对标企业的期盼、对标先进的标准，仍然存 在不少短板和弱项。因此，我们正视差距，把企业和群众的"急难愁盼"作为下一步工作的着力点 ...

Core Viewpoint - The economic growth target for 2026 is likely to be set around 5%, but due to insufficient demand and investment constraints, the projected GDP growth rate is estimated at 4.8% under a neutral assumption [3][4]. Group 1: Positive Factors Supporting Economic Recovery - The first positive factor is the tactical easing of the US-China trade tensions, which is expected to provide resilience for exports in 2026, particularly as the US approaches its midterm elections [4]. - The second factor is the early implementation of major projects in the first year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with infrastructure investment expected to be a primary driver [4]. - The third factor involves the delayed effects of policy deployments from the end of this year, which are anticipated to manifest in early 2026, particularly in fiscal policy [5]. - The fourth factor is the ongoing effects of anti-involution governance, which may lead to a moderate recovery in PPI and CPI [6]. - The fifth factor is the demand potential from the new urbanization initiative, which is expected to release significant consumption and investment opportunities [6]. Group 2: Fiscal and Monetary Policy Directions - Fiscal policy is expected to play a supportive role, with a proposed increase in the deficit ratio to 4.5%-5% for 2026, and a broad deficit scale exceeding 16 trillion [7]. - In terms of monetary policy, a supportive stance is anticipated, with expectations for one interest rate cut and 1-2 reserve requirement ratio reductions in 2026 [8].

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical industry is experiencing fluctuations, with the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index declining approximately 1.1%. However, certain stocks like Bluestar Technology and Tongcheng New Materials are leading gains. The Petrochemical ETF has seen significant net inflows, totaling 17.53 million yuan over the past 10 trading days [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated a project to identify key innovative tasks for fine chemicals by 2025, focusing on critical demand areas such as new energy vehicles, medical equipment, mobile communication devices, rail transportation, and marine engineering [1]. - The project aims to select a batch of units with strong innovation capabilities to tackle 50 advanced and high-value fine chemical products, categorized into three main types: intermediate raw materials, key materials, and critical equipment [1]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The central government has emphasized the need to "comprehensively rectify involution-style competition," with this goal included in the 2025 government work report, indicating a deeper commitment to addressing this issue [1]. - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the ongoing rectification of involution in the chemical industry is expected to improve overall supply and demand, facilitating further quality upgrades within the industry [1]. Group 3: ETF and Sector Composition - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds closely track the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index, with the basic chemical industry accounting for 60.8% and the petroleum and petrochemical industry for 32.2% of the sector distribution [2]. - These sectors are anticipated to benefit significantly from policies aimed at reducing involution, restructuring, and eliminating outdated production capacity [2].

Core Viewpoint - The effectiveness of China's "anti-involution" governance is becoming evident, as indicated by the stabilization of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and improvements in consumer prices, driven by market competition optimization, increased demand in emerging industries, and consumption-boosting policies [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - In August, the PPI ended a consecutive eight-month decline, remaining flat month-on-month and showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, which is a narrowing of 0.7 percentage points from the previous month [1]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year in August, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.9%, marking a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month [1][2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Price Changes - The optimization of market competition order has been a key factor, with government efforts to promote industry self-discipline and curb disorderly competition, leading to gradual improvements in key industries [1][2]. - Demand in emerging industries is on the rise, supported by the ongoing adjustment of China's economic structure towards high-end and intelligent development, which is expanding market demand and driving price increases in related sectors [1][2]. - Consumption-boosting policies have shown positive effects, with initiatives like the trade-in program for consumer goods enhancing demand for upgraded products, contributing to price increases in certain industries [1][2]. Group 3: Future Economic Outlook - The government plans to continue expanding domestic demand and implementing consumption-boosting actions, alongside effective investment expansion and the promotion of a unified national market [2][3]. - Upcoming holidays, such as the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, are expected to further stimulate consumer spending, contributing to the overall expansion and quality improvement of consumption [2].

Group 1 - The core consumer price index (CPI) in China, excluding food and energy, reached a new high since March of last year, indicating a potential turning point in prices [1] - In August, the core CPI increased by 0.9% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking four consecutive months of growth [1] - Factors contributing to the reasonable recovery of CPI include increased food consumption demand due to cooler weather, upcoming holidays like Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, and seasonal clothing price adjustments [1] Group 2 - The recent governance against "involution" has shown positive effects, leading to favorable changes in production prices across related industries, which may help in the transmission of production prices to consumer prices [2] - Despite the positive trends, the overall supply in the domestic market remains ample, and fluctuations in international energy prices could introduce uncertainties affecting domestic price changes [2]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing dual pressures of overcapacity and declining prices, impacting the overall operations of manufacturing enterprises like Haitai New Energy [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - Haitai New Energy achieved a revenue of 1.145 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with the second quarter contributing 705 million yuan, representing a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 60.23% from 440 million yuan in the first quarter [1] - Despite the revenue growth, the company is affected by the industry's supply surplus and chaotic price competition, leading to losses despite increased production [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The global photovoltaic installed capacity continues to grow steadily, with domestic new installations reaching 212.21 GW in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 107% [1] - A "rush to install" occurred in May 2025, with new installations hitting a record high of 92.92 GW, a year-on-year increase of 388.03% [1] - Following the end of the policy transition period, a decline in installation volume is expected [1] Group 3: Industry Response and Future Outlook - National regulatory bodies have initiated comprehensive measures to combat internal competition, encouraging companies to implement capacity integration and price self-discipline [2] - Haitai New Energy plans to strengthen domestic market channels, enhance brand awareness, and expand into emerging international markets [2] - The company aims to diversify its business by developing new profit growth points in areas such as brackets, energy storage, and power station operation and maintenance [2] - A commitment to innovation and increased R&D investment is emphasized to enhance independent innovation capabilities [2]

Group 1 - The report highlights that China's economy is showing steady progress with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, surpassing the annual target [4][5] - The meeting emphasized the need for continuous and stable macro policies, focusing on the effective implementation of existing policies to support economic development [4][5] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding domestic demand, with initiatives to boost consumption and high-quality investment in key projects [4][5] Group 2 - The report indicates a commitment to technological innovation as a driver for new productive forces, aiming to enhance the core position of China's industries in the global supply chain [4][5] - The governance of market competition is highlighted, with a focus on regulating disorderly competition and managing capacity in key industries [5] - The report suggests that the capital market will maintain a positive trend, with reforms aimed at enhancing its attractiveness and inclusivity [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the production industry, attention should be paid to the progress of "anti - involution" governance. The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation have solicited public opinions on the draft amendment to the Price Law of the People's Republic of China, aiming to clarify the standards for identifying improper price behaviors and regulate market price order. Additionally, the automobile replacement subsidy policies in many places have been adjusted [1]. - In the service industry, attention should be paid to the mid - year monetary policy adjustment. On July 25, the central bank conducted a 400 - billion - yuan Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operation, with a net investment of 100 billion yuan, marking the fifth consecutive month of increased MLF roll - overs [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Upstream - In the black sector, the prices of upstream black products have been continuously rising [2]. - In the agricultural sector, egg prices have been on a continuous upward trend [2]. Midstream - In the chemical industry, the operating rates of polyester and PX have remained stable [3]. - In the energy sector, the coal consumption has been increasing recently [3]. Downstream - In the real estate sector, the sales of commercial housing in third - tier cities have slightly rebounded [3]. - In the service sector, the number of summer flight schedules has increased [3]. Industry Credit Spread Tracking - As of July 25, the industry credit spreads of various sectors showed different trends. For example, the credit spread of the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector was 58.97 (previous week: 60.41), and that of the real estate sector was 99.89 (previous week: 101.86) [48]. Key Industry Price Index Tracking - As of July 24, the prices of various products showed different trends. For instance, the spot price of eggs was 6.9 yuan/kg, with a year - on - year increase of 19.24%; the spot price of WTI crude oil was 65.3 US dollars/barrel, with a year - on - year decrease of 1.70% [49].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to show a strong trend, with major indices reaching new highs, while structural differentiation remains evident in the market [1][2][4]. Market Indices Performance - Major A-share indices have been on the rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points, reaching a nearly 9-month high; the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also achieved new highs [2]. - The CSI 2000 Index and CSI 1000 Index reached new highs since their respective launches, while the CSI 500 Index hit its highest level in 8 months [2]. Market Activity and Trading Volume - Market trading volume has significantly increased, with total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets exceeding 1.9 trillion yuan on July 22, marking a 4-month high and an increase of several hundred billion yuan since early July [2]. - Margin trading has become more active, with daily margin purchases reaching 200.9 billion yuan on July 22, the highest in over 4 months, compared to less than 100 billion yuan a month prior [3]. Structural Differentiation in the Market - Despite the overall rise in indices, there is notable structural differentiation, with some sectors and stocks underperforming relative to the indices [4]. - From a longer-term perspective, while major sectors have seen varying degrees of increase since 2024, the banking sector has outperformed with over 60% growth, while sectors like food and beverage, coal, and real estate have seen less than 10% growth [4]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts indicate that the A-share market has exhibited intense volatility and convergence of trends, driven by aggressive capital speculation and market sentiment influencing short-term pricing [5][6]. - The outlook remains optimistic, supported by a 5.3% economic growth rate in the first half of the year, ongoing capital market reforms, and favorable monetary policies, which enhance the attractiveness of A-share investments [6].

Market Overview - A-share market indices have recently reached new highs, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points, marking a nine-month high since October 8, 2024 [2][4] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also achieved significant milestones, with the former reaching an eight-month high since November 14, 2024, and the latter a seven-month high since December 10, 2024 [2][4] Trading Activity - Market trading volume has increased significantly, with total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets exceeding 1.9 trillion yuan on July 22, a four-month high, reflecting a rise of several hundred billion yuan since early July [4][5] - Margin trading has become more active, with daily financing purchases reaching 200.9 billion yuan on July 22, the highest since March 6, 2024, and a notable increase from under 100 billion yuan a month prior [5] Market Structure - Despite the overall upward trend, there is a noticeable structural differentiation within the A-share market, with some sectors and stocks underperforming relative to the indices [6][7] - From a longer-term perspective, various sectors have shown different performance levels, with the banking sector leading with over 60% cumulative gains since the beginning of 2024, while sectors like food and beverage, coal, and real estate have seen gains of less than 10% [7][8] Market Dynamics - The A-share market has exhibited significant volatility and convergence in trends, indicating intense capital competition and emotional trading influencing short-term pricing [8] - The effectiveness of market pricing is gradually improving, as evidenced by the narrowing of cumulative price fluctuations and the survival of quality companies supported by fundamentals [8][9] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain an optimistic trend, supported by a GDP growth rate of 5.3% in the first half of the year, which lays a foundation for achieving annual targets [9] - Ongoing capital market reforms and a favorable monetary policy environment are anticipated to enhance the attractiveness of A-share investments, particularly in value sectors [9]