Core Viewpoint - The EU is facing significant challenges in its trade relations, highlighted by China's imposition of temporary anti-subsidy taxes on EU dairy products and Brazil's threat to withdraw from the EU-Mercosur trade agreement, exposing the EU's internal divisions and external trade policy contradictions [1][27]. Group 1: China's Anti-Subsidy Measures - On December 23, 2025, China began collecting temporary anti-subsidy tax deposits on EU dairy products, with rates ranging from 21.9% to 42.7% [2][12]. - This action followed a year-long anti-subsidy investigation initiated by Chinese dairy associations, targeting the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) for exceeding WTO limits and distorting global market prices [5][11]. - The investigation was conducted transparently, with a clear evidence chain leading to the conclusion that EU subsidies caused substantial harm to China's domestic dairy industry [10][11][39]. - The tax rates were determined based on the level of subsidies received by the sampled companies, with non-cooperative firms facing the highest rate of 42.7% [13][12]. Group 2: Brazil's Trade Negotiation Stalemate - Brazilian President Lula expressed frustration over the EU's delay in signing the long-negotiated EU-Mercosur trade agreement, threatening to withdraw from negotiations if no progress is made [17][22]. - The agreement, which would open a market of 770 million people, has faced internal opposition from EU member states like France and Italy, concerned about agricultural impacts [19][28]. - Brazil views the agreement as crucial for its agricultural exports, and the EU's insistence on monitoring mechanisms is perceived as a restriction on actual export volumes [22][24]. Group 3: EU's Internal and External Trade Policy Conflicts - The simultaneous crises with China and Brazil reveal fundamental contradictions in the EU's trade strategy, where internal divisions hinder unified external negotiations [27][28]. - The EU's frequent use of trade remedies against China, including 36 cases in 2025 alone, contrasts with its claims of supporting multilateralism [30][32]. - The EU's reliance on outdated protectionist policies, such as the CAP, is increasingly at odds with the realities of global supply chains, leading to potential retaliatory measures from trading partners [32][41]. Group 4: Future Implications for EU Trade Strategy - The ongoing tensions may force the EU to make structural adjustments, either by reforming its agricultural policies or by offering greater concessions in industrial exports [41][43]. - The current situation underscores the need for the EU to rebuild trust with its trading partners, as unilateral rule-setting is becoming less viable in a multipolar trade environment [43]. - The outcomes of these trade disputes could set precedents for future negotiations in various sectors, including digital taxes and carbon border adjustment mechanisms, where both China and Brazil have shown willingness to respond [43].

Group 1 - China has implemented temporary anti-subsidy taxes on dairy products imported from the EU, including cheese, curd, and butter in containers under 200 liters, marking a response to the EU's previous actions in the electric vehicle sector [1][3] - The investigation that led to this decision began in August 2024, with preliminary findings indicating that the relevant products received subsidies that caused substantial harm to the domestic industry in China [1][3] - This measure directly impacts major EU dairy-producing countries such as France, the Netherlands, and Italy, as the Chinese market is a significant destination for high-end European agricultural products, particularly cheese and cream [3][5] Group 2 - The EU Commission expressed disappointment over China's decision, stating it is detrimental to the stable development of bilateral relations, and France has urged the EU to coordinate a response [5][7] - China's announcement emphasized that the investigation adhered to Chinese laws and World Trade Organization rules, ensuring the rights of all stakeholders were protected, and the measures aim to maintain fair trade practices [5][7] - This trade dynamic is part of a broader context of recent China-EU economic relations, where the EU has imposed tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, prompting China to initiate investigations into EU products, including pork [7][9] Group 3 - The temporary tariff measures are now in effect, and the market is assessing their specific impact on the industry, with ongoing attention to the situation's developments [9] - Experts comment that there are no winners in international trade friction, highlighting the deep interconnection of supply chains between China and the EU, and the need for both parties to seek consensus on trade issues [9]

Core Viewpoint - Inner Mongolia Mengniu Dairy (Group) Co., Ltd., the controlling shareholder of Miaokelan Duo (600882.SH), plans to increase its stake in the company by 0.50% to 1.00% [1] Group 1 - Before the proposed increase, Inner Mongolia Mengniu held 187,569,222 shares of the company, accounting for 36.77% of the total share capital [1] - The increase will involve acquiring no less than 2,550,268 shares and no more than 5,100,536 shares of the company's unrestricted circulating A-shares within three months from the start of the acquisition [1] - The proposed stake increase will not exceed 1.00% of the company's total share capital [1]

每周 一 景 ： 云南长江第一湾 金沙江 点击右上角菜单，收听朗读版 【食饮】白酒探底，乳制品国产替代有望加速 投资建议：成长为主线、重视供需出清下的拐点机会。 1）首选具有价格弹性标的，以及有望陆续出清标的；2）饮料结构性高增，重视低估值高股息；3） 零食及食品原料成长标的；4）啤酒；5）调味品平稳、牧业产能去化，餐供有望恢复。 白酒：加速探底，迈向供需平衡。 25Q3以来白酒行业加速探底，报表出清有助于降低渠道库存压力，展望2026年，龙头茅、五批价下行有望激发动销，从 而实现量价平衡。近期宏观及政策层面对消费板块预期形成积极催化，白酒作为顺周期资产，此前已进入加速调整阶段，板块估值分位偏低、股息率具备一定 吸引力，且对宏观环境变化较为敏感，我们认为在政策预期的引导下，股价有望先于基本面见底。 大众品：乳制品国产替代有望提速。 近期商务部对欧盟乳制品实施临时反补贴措施，涉及品类主要为乳酪和稀奶油，有望加速相关产品的国产替代过程，同 时有望增加耗奶量，加速行业周期反转。 风险提示： 宏观经济波动加大、行业竞争加剧、食品安全风险。 【产业】脑机接口元年：政策先行 临床验证 未来终至 我们认为2025年为国内脑 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the controlling shareholder of Miaokelan Duo, Inner Mongolia Mengniu Dairy (Group) Co., Ltd., has increased its stake in the company by purchasing 322,100 shares for a total amount of 7.8269 million yuan [1] - Inner Mongolia Mengniu plans to further increase its holdings of the company's unrestricted circulating A-shares by no less than 2.5503 million shares and no more than 5.1005 million shares within three months from the date of this announcement [1]

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