智通财经APP获悉，东鹏饮料(集团)股份有限公司(简称：东鹏饮料)(605499.SH)于4月3日所递交的港股招股书满6个月，于10月3日失效，递表时华泰国际、 摩根士丹利、瑞银集团为联席保荐人。 招股书显示，东鹏饮料是中国第一、全球领先的功能饮料企业，收入增速在全球前20大上市软饮企业中位列第一。根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，按销量计，公 司在中国功能饮料市场自2021年起连续4年排名第一，领先地位持续夯实，市场份额从2021年的15.0%增长到2024年的26.3%。 ...

机构：中邮证券 研究员：蔡雪昱/张子健 （1.03/1.49/1.99元），对应当前股价PE为27/18/14倍，给予 "买入"评级。 风险提示：椰子水行业未来的需求变化仍存在不确定性，行业增速可能慢于预期；行业格局存在竞争加 剧的风险，可能导致公司费用率变化；轻资产业务模式下公司的产品品控、食品安全、渠道分销等环节 可能存在不可控风险。 盈利预测与投资建议：我们预计公司2025-2027年实现营收200.91/271.34/355.23百万美元 （14.28/19.29/25.26亿元） ， 同比增长27.44%/35.06%/30.91%；实现归母净利润38.59/55.93/74.71百万美 元（2.74/3.98/5.31亿元），同比增长15.83%/44.93%/33.58%，对应EPS为0.14/0.21/0.28美元 行业端：中国市场有望继续保持高速增长，IF稳居市场首位。中国内地椰子水行业由2019年的49.7百万 美元（3.54亿元）增长至2024年的1018.1百万美元（72.49亿元），复合年增长率为82.9%，预计未来五 年将按20.2%的复合年增长率保持强劲增长，至2029年时将达2 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform" [6] Core Views - The high-end liquor prices have rebounded, which may temporarily boost market confidence. The current Shenyin Wanguo white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18.66X, which is 3.13% lower than the reasonable level over the past decade. The dividend returns from leading liquor companies are attractive, and consumer spending is expected to gradually recover, suggesting a focus on recovery opportunities in the sector [1][13][19]. Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From September 22 to September 26, the food and beverage sector declined by 2.49%, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.21% and the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.07%. Specific sub-sectors include soft drinks (+0.86%), meat products (-0.02%), beer (-0.77%), snacks (-1.33%), and others [20]. Weekly Updates - **Liquor**: The white liquor sector fell by 3.03%, underperforming the overall food and beverage sector. High-end liquor prices have increased, with Feitian Moutai rising by 90 yuan per bottle over five days. Despite slight pressure on consumption, the price increase may boost market confidence [1][13]. - **Yellow Wine**: Key players like Kuaijishan and Guyuelongshan saw declines of 5.80% and 2.24%, respectively. The sector is entering a verification phase for product distribution and sales [2]. - **Beer**: The beer sector decreased by 0.77%. Notable companies include Qingdao Beer (+0.2%) and Yanjing Beer (+1.7%). Future consumption policies are expected to drive sales recovery [2][14]. - **Soft Drinks**: The soft drink sector showed positive performance, with significant gains from companies like Yangyuan Beverage (+32.49%) and Jinziham (+11.93%). The sector remains attractive due to ongoing trends [3][15]. Investment Recommendations - **White Liquor**: Focus on three main lines: strong beta stocks (e.g., Jiugui Liquor, Shui Jing Fang), recovery concept stocks (e.g., Yingjia Gongjiu), and strong alpha stocks (e.g., Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai) [19]. - **Beer**: Emphasize three main lines: sustained growth stocks (e.g., Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring), potential performance rebound stocks (e.g., Angel Yeast), and category expansion stocks (e.g., Kuaijishan) [19]. Sector and Individual Stock Performance - The food and beverage sector's dynamic PE ratio is 21.0 times, ranking 22nd among primary industries. The soft drink sector has the highest valuation increase this week, while the health product sector saw the smallest decrease [28]. Key Data Tracking - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas is 3.03 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.50%. The decline in prices has been narrowing since the beginning of the year [18].

证券研究报告 IFBH（6603.HK）：椰子水空间广阔，公 司产品市场品牌端持续加码、龙头地位显著 ➢ 行业端：中国市场有望继续保持高速增长，IF稳居市场首位。中国内地椰子水行业由2019年的49.7百万美元（3.54亿元）增长至2024年的 1018.1百万美元（72.49亿元），复合年增长率为82.9%，预计未来五年将按20.2%的复合年增长率保持强劲增长，至2029年时将达2550.4百 万美元（183.63亿元）。行业增长主要由健康意识提升、分销渠道改善、消费群体扩展、定制化产品等因素推动。按零售额计算，公司于2024 年在中国内地椰子水饮料公司中排名第一，市场占有率达33.9%，领先第二大公司逾七倍。国内含糖茶、能量饮料和包装水龙头市占率分别为 29%、39.4%、15.4%；美国椰子水龙头Vitacoco市占率为34.5%，对标其他成熟软饮品类和美国椰子水市场来看，我们预计未来IF市占率提 升空间有限。2024年中国、中国香港和美国的椰子水年人均消费量分别为0.1、0.3、1.2升 。仅从消费量来看，若对标香港，内地椰子水市场 或还有3倍的增长空间。若不考虑IF未来市占率的提升，则IF中远期增长 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the consumer staples sector, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - The wholesale prices of Baijiu have mostly declined, with notable decreases in prices for Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye, while prices for most consumer goods remain stable [4][10]. - The report highlights a significant drop in the discount rates for liquid milk products, indicating a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [6][18]. - Overall, the report suggests that the impact of funds is greater, advising attention to low-position stocks and heavyweight stocks in the consumer staples sector [8]. Summary by Sections Baijiu Pricing - Guizhou Moutai's wholesale prices for Feitian (case and single bottle) are 1790 and 1770 yuan, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 55 and 70 yuan from the previous month [4][37]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price is 895 yuan, down 25 yuan from last month [4][37]. - Luzhou Laojiao's Guojiao 1573 price increased by 10 yuan to 850 yuan [4][37]. Consumer Goods Pricing - The average discount rate for liquid milk products decreased from 74.8% to 69.4% since the end of August [6][21]. - Discount rates for soft drinks, condiments, instant foods, and beer remained stable, with slight variations in average and median values [19][35]. - The report notes that the discount rate for infant formula products also showed a minor decrease from 89.5% to 88.7% [21][35]. Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring low-position stocks and heavyweight stocks due to the greater impact of funds on the market [8].

研究报告 Research Report 30 Sep 2025 中国必需消费 China (Overseas) Staples 中国必选消费品 9 月成本报告：双节前成本指数波动较小 September CGCI: Cost indices fluctuated slightly before the Festivals [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 市盈率 P/E | | 股票名称 | 评级 目标价 | PE(2025E) | PE(2026E) | | 百威亚太 | Neutral 7.90 | 21 | 20 | | 华润啤酒 | Outperform 36.00 | 15 | 14 | | 海底捞 | Outperform 18.22 | 14 | 14 | | 康师傅 | Outperform 17.74 | 14 | 12 | | 中国飞鹤 | Outperform 7.00 | 8 | 8 | | 颐海国际 | Outperform 18 ...

Core Viewpoint - VIVI Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in stock price and financial results, with a notable increase in stock price year-to-date but a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 30, VIVI's stock price increased by 2.12% to 3.37 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 5.45 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, VIVI's stock price has risen by 8.99%, while it has experienced a 2.43% increase over the last five trading days [2]. - The stock has appeared on the "龙虎榜" three times this year, with the most recent net purchase of 52.13 million CNY on April 8 [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, VIVI reported a revenue of 1.52 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 12.76%, and a net profit of 120 million CNY, down 20.14% [3]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.72 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 341 million CNY distributed over the last three years [4]. Group 3: Shareholder and Ownership Structure - As of June 30, 2025, VIVI had 90,400 shareholders, an increase of 1.39% from the previous period, with an average of 17,880 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 1.37% [3]. - The third-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 29.49 million shares, an increase of 21.40 million shares from the previous period [4].

9月30日，李子园盘中上涨2.27%，截至13:56，报12.64元/股，成交4950.41万元，换手率1.02%，总市值 49.31亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入45.25万元，大单买入713.53万元，占比14.41%，卖出668.28万元，占比 13.50%。 李子园今年以来股价涨17.05%，近5个交易日涨1.53%，近20日跌8.27%，近60日跌1.33%。 今年以来李子园已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为4月17日，当日龙虎榜净买入-370.08万 元；买入总计4519.83万元 ，占总成交额比8.25%；卖出总计4889.91万元 ，占总成交额比8.93%。 资料显示，浙江李子园食品股份有限公司位于浙江省金华市金东区丹溪东路1016号李子园科创大楼，成 立日期1994年10月22日，上市日期2021年2月8日，公司主营业务涉及甜牛奶乳饮料系列等含乳饮料和其 他饮料的研发、生产与销售。主营业务收入构成为：含乳饮料93.76%，其他4.86%，乳味风味饮料 0.73%，其他(补充)0.47%，复合蛋白饮料0.17%。 李子园所属申万行业为：食品饮料-饮料乳品-软饮料。所属概念板块包括： ...

IFBH：原料与品牌均具优势，龙头地位难以动摇1）公司上游原料采购与加工均由第三方完成，一般采 集商在2025 年前仅General Beverage 一家，其从2 位当地采集商与33 位居民处采购原料，2025/2027 年 GB 椰子水原料比例预计降至70%/50%以下。 2）2017 年IF 进入中国内地市场时突出"泰国原装进口"，初步建立差异化认知。2022 年IF 抓住时机与 头部主播合作提高产品曝光度，随后官宣知名明星为品牌代言人；产品属性上突出"天然健康"，强化日 常消费场景。 投资建议：短期我们看好IF 保持30%+市场份额，长期展望国标出台后IF份额提升，同时以轻资产模式 高效开拓国际市场。我们预计公司25-27 年归母净利润分别为40/55/69 百万美元，目前股价对应PE 分别 为26/19/15 倍，考虑到公司是高增行业的龙头企业，首次覆盖，给予"增持"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧风险；国标推出较慢风险；宏观环境疲软风险。 市场：对标美国椰子水发展，健康化趋势下快速增长1）2019-2025 年我国椰子水市场规模CAGR 达 55%，我们预计较低基数下天然健康消费属性将驱动其保持20 ...

融资融券数据显示，该股最新（9月26日）两融余额为8961.93万元，其中，融资余额为8961.93万元，本 期筹码集中以来融资余额合计减少1731.58万元，降幅为16.19%。 公司发布的半年报数据显示，上半年公司共实现营业收入7.48亿元，同比下降20.90%，实现净利润 1855.25万元，同比下降77.50%，基本每股收益为0.0444元，加权平均净资产收益率1.69%。（数据宝） （文章来源：证券时报网） 欢乐家9月29日披露，截至9月20日公司股东户数为19467户，较上期（9月10日）减少3839户，环比降幅 为16.47%。 证券时报·数据宝统计，截至发稿，欢乐家收盘价为18.00元，下跌1.32%，本期筹码集中以来股价累计 下跌17.88%。具体到各交易日，4次上涨，9次下跌。 ...