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可转债周度跟踪:仓位中性,择券为主-20250608
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-06-08 08:19
证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期:2025 年 06 月 08 日 仓位中性,择券为主 ——可转债周度跟踪 核心观点 本周市场震荡上行,主要宽基指数和转债指数震荡上行,市场主线尚不明确,短期市 场依旧在等待增量信息。可转债市场同权益市场共振,同步表现出温和回暖迹象,成 交活跃度有所提升,估值结构继续分化,资金配置重心从极致弹性向高确定性方向回 归,维持 "稳配置+选弹性"双轮驱动策略。债市维度,未来三周同业存单到期压力 仍然偏大,跨季资金面压力不容忽视。债市经历较长的震荡调整后投资者的观望情绪 较浓,若央行 6 月重启买卖国债操作以呵护跨季流动性,投资者对该信号的观测或偏 滞后,因此 6 月或难以迎来利率的流畅下行。 经济基本面改善不足;国内流动性收紧;海外风险事件超预期;历史经验不代表 未来 分析师:沈聂萍 执业证书号:S1230524020005 shennieping@stocke.com.cn 研究助理:章恒豪 zhanghenghao@stocke.com.cn 相关报告 1 《6 月布局,把握三季度债市 做多窗口》 2025.06.07 2 《二永价值好 ...
中国宏观经济专题报告(第105期):财政政策的着力点:投资驱动还是消费驱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-08 03:48
Group 1 - Chinese customers have a significantly higher demand for quality experiences compared to the global average, with 92% choosing brands based on expected experiences, far exceeding the global level of 70% [1] - 87% of Chinese customers are willing to pay a premium for better experiences, nearly double the global average of 46%, indicating that enhancing experience quality is crucial for attracting customers and translating into commercial value [1] - Emotional dependence is a core factor for successful customer experiences, with 73% of customers whose experiences meet or exceed expectations developing emotional ties to brands, compared to only 5% for those with unmet expectations [1][2] Group 2 - The primary driving force for customer experience in China is "pleasure," which is more significant than "certainty" and "fairness," reflecting the emotional value that Chinese customers place on their experiences [2] - Key factors enhancing "pleasure" include clear communication (57%), experiences aligning with brand promises (56%), and delivery quality (58%), while "fairness" relies on clear communication (61%) and promise fulfillment (58%) [2] - There is room for improvement in areas such as "control," "certainty," and personalization, as well as ESG aspects in the Chinese market [2] Group 3 - In terms of industry performance, the mobile phone (62%) and banking (61%) sectors in China excel in establishing emotional ties compared to global averages, while insurance (54%) and mobile operators (56%) lag behind [3] - The recommendation willingness (NPS) across various industries in China is higher than the global average, with mobile phones (53%) and banking (58%) showing particularly strong performance [3] - Chinese customers are more reliant on word-of-mouth recommendations for first-time purchase decisions (37% impact) compared to the global average of 23%, and customers acquired through recommendations are more likely to make subsequent recommendations [3] Group 4 - Brands should prioritize optimizing basic experiences such as communication and delivery quality while focusing on differentiated forces like respect and a sense of belonging [4] - Strengthening the emotional value related to "pleasure" and enhancing consistency across all channels are key to building competitive advantages in the Chinese market [4] - Despite the current low trust in AI applications, reasonable optimization could still become a potential breakthrough for experience upgrades [4] Group 5 - Overall, the Chinese customer experience market is characterized by "high expectations, emotional emphasis, and differentiation-driven" features, with brands needing to base their strategies on experience quality and emotional connections to continuously meet dynamic demands [5]
不确定性下机遇仍存,把握分红的稳定性
BOCOM International· 2025-06-07 13:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to multiple companies in the renewable energy sector, including China Power (2380 HK), China Resources Power (836 HK), and GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK) [2][4]. Core Insights - The renewable energy operators face both challenges and opportunities under new policies, with dividend levels showing relative certainty. The introduction of Document No. 136 in 2025 is expected to shift the long-term strategies of operators significantly [1][7]. - The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry is anticipated to experience a substantial capacity clearance, with stock prices declining, presenting opportunities for leading companies. The demand for solar PV is expected to remain strong in 2024, but a short-term adjustment in demand is likely following the end of the rush to install projects [17][20]. - Wind power installations are projected to grow by 23% in 2025, reaching 98 GW, but a slight decline is expected in 2026 due to adjustments in pricing mechanisms [4][6]. Summary by Sections Operators - Operators are expected to focus on maintaining dividend rates, with an average dividend yield of around 6% across the covered companies. The report highlights that operators with strong technical capabilities and scale advantages will be better positioned to adapt to market changes [11][14]. - The new pricing mechanism will require operators to optimize project management and respond to fluctuations in electricity prices [7][8]. Photovoltaic Industry - The report predicts that the global demand for solar PV will slow down in 2025, with a projected installation of approximately 270 GW in China, a 3% decrease year-on-year [22]. - The solar glass sector is expected to see a rebound in prices after a strong recovery, but future supply may decrease due to regulatory requirements for capacity replacement [37][38]. Wind Power - The report anticipates that the wind power sector will see a significant increase in new installations in 2025, but a potential decline in 2026 due to the new pricing mechanism and market adjustments [4][6]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers will depend on their ability to deliver projects in offshore and international markets [4][6]. Financial Metrics - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, including earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratios, and dividend yields, indicating a generally favorable outlook for operators in the renewable energy sector [2][4][14].
资金积极涌入港股ETF 公募扎堆推出相关产品
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-06-03 23:27
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has seen strong trading activity this year, with southbound capital actively entering the market despite adjustments, leading to a recovery in the Hang Seng Index, which has risen 17.21% year-to-date as of June 3 [1] - Public funds are launching Hong Kong stock ETFs, with significant inflows into innovative drug ETFs, technology ETFs, and dividend ETFs, indicating a strong interest from investors [2] - Analysts suggest that the current market environment favors a structural "barbell strategy," with technology and dividend sectors expected to contribute to excess returns in a rotating manner [3] Group 2 - The number of shares in various Hong Kong stock ETFs has surged, with the ICBC Innovative Drug ETF increasing from under 1.3 billion shares to nearly 3.7 billion shares, a growth of 192% [2] - The market quality of Hong Kong stocks is expected to improve as high-competitiveness technology giants are listed, and policies encourage quality companies to list in Hong Kong [3] - Analysts recommend focusing on leading stocks in cloud computing, new consumption, and pharmaceuticals, as well as opportunities in newly listed companies, which have shown impressive performance [3]
港股6月投资策略:IPO火热给港股投资带来更多选择
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-03 02:25
证券研究报告 | 2025年06月03日 港股 6 月投资策略 优于大市 IPO 火热给港股投资带来更多选择 美国:预计三季度通胀将快速攀升。按照我们的计算,Q3 开始美国核心通 胀将较 Q2 相比快速上升,下半年核心通胀将达到 3.8 左右。主要是因 为关税导致的核心商品价格的上涨加速,而房租、服务即便持平或者稍 有下降也无法对冲。因此我们认为市场目前预期的 3.2-3.3 的核心通胀 水平依然过于保守。 基于此,我们提示三季度美国股票、债券市场都将迎来较大的波动,投 资人应早做规划以应对不确定性的到来。 A 股:一季报后业绩分化,业绩驱动+低估值成为主线。5 月以来,分析师 对各个宽基指数在 2025 年的业绩进行了修正,其中科创 50 下修幅度较 大,上修的板块为红利、中证 500、深证成指与中证 1000。 反弹中,业绩,低估值与股价正相关,这说明 A 股已经从去年 9 月、今 年春节的情绪驱动转向业绩驱动。 港股:IPO 火热给港股投资带来更多选择。 上半年业绩不断上修、南向资金不断加码、美元指数走弱,这些都是支 撑港股中长期走强的理由。另一方面,也要考虑因为通胀带来的美债利 率的超预期上行,以及关 ...
电信运营商行业点评报告:5G-A正式商用,有望提升用户价值
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-05-20 13:52
证券研究报告 | 行业点评 | 通信 5G-A 正式商用,有望提升用户价值 ——电信运营商行业点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 5G-A 开启商用,是对 5G 的增强版本 5G-A(5G-Advanced),是 5G 的网络能力升级版本,是由 3GPP(第三代合作伙 伴计划)组织界定的基于 R18 版本协议的 5G 标准第二阶段,也是 5G 向 6G 过 渡的必经阶段。和 5G 相比,5G-A 在容量、速率、时延、定位、可靠性等方面 实现了大幅提升,可以带来更快、更优质的通信体验。 三大运营商正式开启 5G-A 商用: 中国移动:2025 年 5 月 15 日,中国移动正式推出"三大回馈计划",其中面向 全球通用户推出 5GA 尊享套餐,套餐资费档位 199-999 元/月不等。用户规模方 面,中国移动计划今年发展 5000 万 5G-A 用户。 中国电信于 5 月 17 日宣布,5G-A 套餐正式商用,根据上海电信发布,三款 5G- A 套餐价格档位分别为 199 元、299 元、399 元,同时推出 5G-A 加速包,包括 20 元/月(10GB/月)、30 元/月(15GB/月)。 中国联通发布的 5G-A 套餐 ...
韩国警方将就信息泄露对SK电讯展开调查
news flash· 2025-05-20 07:11
Core Viewpoint - The South Korean police will launch a comprehensive investigation into SK Telecom for failing to promptly address a user mobile card information leak incident, suggesting potential legal violations by the company's leadership [1] Group 1: Investigation Details - The investigation will begin on May 21, as announced by the South Korean police [1] - Police believe that SK Group Chairman Choi Tae-won and others were aware of the information leak but did not report it to the relevant government authorities in a timely manner [1] Group 2: Legal Implications - The actions of SK Telecom may constitute violations of the Personal Information Protection Act and the Information and Communication Network Act [1]
AI浪潮下运营商的算力布局
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 06:50
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 18 年 月 日 通信 AI 浪潮下运营商的算力布局 【Capex:AI 浪潮下的优化方向】 从投资侧来看,运营商将同样跟随目前 AI 快速发展的趋势,结构优化方 向确定性明显。从近三年数据看,国内三大运营商资本开支年降较为明 显,而在此基础上则是结构上的优化。中国电信在业绩说明会上明确 表示,25 年资本开支占收比将有明显下降,但从三大运营商给出的 25 年指引来看,算力投资却保持增长或稳定趋势,均表明其布局 AI 的决 心。 【云计算:AI 催化下的新增长曲线】 云计算作为信息技术领域的基石,在 AI 加速的催化下再次迎来边际变化, 应用潜力显著提升中。在此趋势下,三大运营商角色将被重新定义,目前 三大运营商在云建设方面均有深度布局: 增持(维持) 行业走势 -20% -6% 8% 22% 36% 50% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 通信 沪深300 作者 分析师 宋嘉吉 执业证书编号:S0680519010002 邮箱:songjiaji@gszq.com 分析师 黄瀚 执业证书编号:S068051 ...
5月16日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 10:12
Group 1 - China State Construction signed new contracts totaling 1.52 trillion yuan from January to April, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [1] - Yongpu Medical's subsidiary obtained a medical device business license valid until May 7, 2030, allowing it to engage in medical device retail and wholesale [1] - Ningbo Maritime received a government subsidy of 4.42 million yuan, which will impact its net profit for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 2 - Mingpu Optoelectronics obtained a patent for a magnetic powder core and its preparation method, enhancing its capabilities in magnetic materials technology [1] - Digital Zhitong plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Beijing with a registered capital of 5 million yuan [1] - Zhongmin Energy's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 0.28% of the company's total shares [1][6] Group 3 - Tunnel Holdings' controlling shareholder intends to increase its stake in the company by investing between 250 million to 500 million yuan [1] - China Telecom appointed Liu Guiqing as the new President and COO [1] - Datang Power completed the issuance of 3 billion yuan in medium-term notes, with proceeds aimed at repaying debt and supplementing working capital [1] Group 4 - *ST Weihai won a bid for a flood control project worth 182 million yuan, accounting for 7.35% of its audited revenue for 2024 [1] - Huijin Tong announced a cash dividend of 0.0868 yuan per share, totaling 29.44 million yuan [1] - Xinkai Energy's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by a combined total of 4% of the company's shares [1][39] Group 5 - Xinhuan Group's subsidiary won a 1.02 billion yuan nuclear power project contract [1] - Southern Airlines reported a 12.14% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover for April [1] - Xinjiang Torch plans to acquire 100% equity of Yushan Litai for 125 million yuan [1]
Verizon(VZ.N)将在5年内向美国小型企业供应商投资50亿美元。
news flash· 2025-05-15 19:00
Verizon(VZ.N)将在5年内向美国小型企业供应商投资50亿美元。 ...