Core Viewpoint - The demand for consumer goods remains weak in Q2 2025, with limited improvement on a month-over-month basis. The raw material costs for consumer goods companies are mostly at the bottom or in a downward trend, but competition in the industry remains intense, leading to minimal improvement in profitability [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The consumer goods sector is experiencing increased competition, particularly in beverages, where promotional activities are intensifying [1] - There is a noticeable divergence in growth among snack companies, indicating varying performance within the sector [1] - The dairy and catering supply chain segments are facing pressure on both demand and pricing [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The snack sector, characterized by new consumption trends, is identified as having the most potential for investment [1] - Within the beverage sector, tea drinks and functional beverages are expected to maintain high levels of prosperity [1] - The dairy sector shows signs of clear improvement from a profitability bottom [1]

Group 1: Market Competition - The competition in the food delivery market is intensifying, with JD.com reporting nearly 200 restaurant brands achieving over 1 million sales on its platform within four months [1] - JD.com has launched a "Double Hundred Plan," investing over 10 billion yuan to support more brands in reaching 1 million sales [2] - Taobao and Ele.me announced a daily order count exceeding 80 million, with Taobao's flash purchase program starting a 50 billion yuan subsidy plan [3] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The restaurant industry is facing significant challenges, with approximately 46.4% of new restaurants expected to close by 2024 [4] - The average store efficiency has declined across most categories, leading to an increase in the number of closures to 4.09 million in 2024, with a closure rate of 61.2% [4] - Major brands like KFC and Pizza Hut are experiencing a continuous decline in average transaction value [6] Group 3: Pricing Strategies - The current price war is primarily focused on low average transaction value markets, where discounts are more pronounced [8] - A national restaurant brand founder stated that to survive, businesses must prioritize cost-effectiveness, leading to lower average transaction values [7] - The aggressive pricing strategies, while intensifying competition, provide temporary relief to restaurants through subsidies [9]

Group 1 - The completion of the Suichuan to Dayu Expressway, costing 24.45 billion yuan and spanning 127 kilometers, significantly reduces travel time from Ganzhou to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to 4 hours, enhancing personnel movement and trade flow [1][4] - The density of expressways between Guangdong and Jiangxi provinces is the highest in the country, with an average of one expressway every 50 kilometers, facilitating cross-regional collaboration and economic integration [3][4] - The "Bay Area R&D + Jiangxi Manufacturing" development model is gaining momentum, with major companies like Gree and BYD establishing operations along the expressway corridor, while Jiangxi enterprises are setting up R&D centers in Guangdong [1][6] Group 2 - The collaboration between Guangdong and Jiangxi is part of a broader trend where provinces like Guangxi, Hunan, and Guizhou are accelerating their integration with the Greater Bay Area, leveraging improved transportation networks for resource flow and industrial cooperation [2][8] - The establishment of a high-speed rail network, including the Ganshen High-Speed Railway, has integrated the Jiangxi region into the "2-hour economic circle" of the Greater Bay Area, enhancing economic connectivity [4][5] - Jiangxi's agricultural products, such as Gan Nan navel oranges and high mountain tea, benefit from improved logistics, achieving a 30% reduction in transportation costs and enabling rapid supply to the Greater Bay Area [6][7] Group 3 - The electronic information industry in Jiangxi is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected output nearing 1.2 trillion yuan in 2024, supported by deep collaboration with the Greater Bay Area, particularly in sourcing materials and equipment [7] - Companies from the Greater Bay Area are increasingly investing in Jiangxi, with over 140 industrial projects exceeding 100 million yuan in investment, indicating a strong industrial partnership [7][8] - The trend of "R&D/market in the Bay Area, production in other provinces" is emerging, expanding the industrial complementarity between the Greater Bay Area and surrounding provinces [8]

Group 1: Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Industry - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw an overall increase of 3.64% from June 30 to July 4, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.1 percentage points [7] - The sector's year-to-date growth is 10.10%, ranking fourth among 31 industries, with a current PE valuation of 28.44 times, indicating a 127% premium over the CSI 300 [7] - Key sub-sectors that performed well include chemical pharmaceuticals, medical services, and biological products, with respective increases of 5.03%, 4.47%, and 4.40% [7] - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission have introduced measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, emphasizing a full-chain support approach [8] - The approval of innovative drugs like Dize Pharmaceutical's Shuwotini in the U.S. highlights the international competitiveness of domestic innovative drugs [9] Group 2: Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 0.62%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.92 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sectors [11] - The liquor segment, particularly Moutai, showed signs of stabilization with a price increase, while the overall industry is expected to undergo a clearing process due to macroeconomic pressures [12] - The snack segment is experiencing high growth, driven by consumer demand for healthier options and the rise of new retail channels [26] - The dairy sector is expected to improve as raw milk prices stabilize, leading to enhanced profitability for leading dairy companies [26] Group 3: Electronics Industry - The electronics sector is witnessing a mild recovery, with domestic GPU companies like Moer Thread and Muxi Technology receiving IPO approvals, indicating a capital market push for the domestic GPU industry [20] - The easing of EDA sales restrictions from the U.S. is expected to provide short-term relief, but long-term development of domestic EDA remains critical [23] - The sector's overall performance lagged behind the CSI 300 index, with a PE ratio of 52.63 times, indicating a need for cautious investment [24] Group 4: Consumer Goods Industry - The consumer goods sector is facing slow recovery, with traditional food and beverage demands under pressure, but structural opportunities are emerging in high-growth segments like snacks and beer [25] - The beer segment is expected to benefit from improved demand and cost reductions, with leading brands like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing Beer showing strong growth potential [26] - The dairy industry is poised for recovery as supply-demand dynamics improve, with a focus on profitability among leading companies [26] Group 5: Refrigeration Equipment Industry - The household refrigeration equipment market is entering a phase of competition driven by replacement demand, with leading companies leveraging supply chain advantages [28] - The potential for overseas expansion is significant, particularly in emerging markets, as domestic companies adapt to changing global trade policies [29] - The demand for specialized refrigeration solutions in data centers is increasing, necessitating enhanced design and operational capabilities [30]

Core Insights - Kale has transitioned from being an unpopular vegetable in China to a trendy health food, driven by consumer demand for health-conscious products and effective marketing strategies by brands like Heytea [2][3][5] - The introduction of kale-based drinks by Heytea, particularly the "Super Plant Tea," has significantly increased kale consumption, with over 100,000 pounds consumed within a month of launch [5][6] - The rise of kale reflects a broader trend in the food industry towards health-oriented products, with various brands innovating around kale to meet consumer health concerns [8][10] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Heytea's marketing strategy effectively addressed the taste issues associated with kale by incorporating it into familiar beverage formats, thus enhancing consumer acceptance [3][5] - The health trend in China has been amplified by the association of kale with fitness and weight management, appealing to consumers' health anxieties [3][8] - The kale market has seen a significant increase in product offerings, with various brands launching kale-infused beverages and snacks, indicating a shift towards a more diverse product range [10][11] Group 2: Industry Innovations - The introduction of pre-packaged kale products, such as those using NFC technology, has expanded the market beyond fresh beverages, allowing for greater accessibility [6][10] - Innovations in kale cultivation and processing have improved its taste and marketability, with brands investing in quality control and new varieties to enhance consumer experience [13][15] - The success of kale in the beverage sector has led to its application in various food products, indicating a shift from immediate health benefits to regular dietary inclusion [11][26] Group 3: Global Comparisons - The rise of kale in China mirrors its earlier success in Western markets, where it became popular through culinary innovation and celebrity endorsements [15][19] - The commercial trajectory of kale in the U.S. involved a combination of taste improvement, marketing, and scientific validation, which is now being replicated in China [21][25] - The kale trend in China is part of a larger movement towards "superfoods," reflecting changing consumer preferences for health and wellness products [26][27]

Core Insights - The report indicates a stabilization in food and beverage demand, with signs of recovery becoming increasingly clear [1] - The core conclusion emphasizes a transition between old and new market dynamics, prioritizing market share [4] Industry Review - The food and beverage industry faced pressure in Q2 due to seasonal consumption declines and policy impacts, with significant differentiation among segments. Notably, the liquor and beer sectors were most affected, while beverages and snacks continued to show good growth [6] - Alcoholic beverages, particularly high-end liquor, are undergoing adjustments due to policy changes, while lower-alcohol options are experiencing growth. The report suggests monitoring long-term trading opportunities in the liquor sector [6][12] - The beverage sector remains robust, with double-digit growth expected in categories like electrolyte water and coconut water. The report highlights the upcoming IPO of a coconut water brand, projecting an 80% revenue growth for 2024 [6] - The snack industry is transitioning from channel expansion to category-driven growth, with strong momentum expected to continue into 2026 [6] - The restaurant supply chain is experiencing weak demand, but signs of stabilization are emerging, particularly in basic condiments and frozen prepared foods [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors sensitive to policy changes, such as liquor, beer, and dairy products, with specific stock picks including Guizhou Moutai and Yanjing Beer [6] - It suggests selecting strong individual stocks with clear market share gains or strong earnings certainty, such as Dongpeng Beverage and Haitian Flavoring [6] - High dividend yields are highlighted as a significant safety net in the current weak market environment, with Chongqing Beer being a notable example [6] Liquor Sector Analysis - The liquor index has underperformed the broader market, with a 12% decline year-to-date, primarily due to weakening consumer demand and increased competition [12] - The report notes that the performance of individual liquor stocks has diverged, with some brands gaining market share while others struggle [13] - Guizhou Moutai's price has seen a significant decline, with a year-on-year drop exceeding 20%, impacting overall sector valuations [12][19] Profitability Forecasts - The report anticipates that many companies will struggle to meet their growth targets in 2025, with a general downward revision of revenue growth expectations [44] - It highlights that the external environment remains uncertain, putting pressure on demand, and companies are focusing on inventory reduction and sales promotion [45]

Core Viewpoint - The incident of a store employee kneeling to apologize to a customer has sparked intense discussions about customer service and employee dignity in the retail industry, highlighting the challenges faced by frontline workers in maintaining respect while adhering to customer-centric policies [3][21]. Group 1: Incident Overview - A video showing a store employee kneeling to apologize to a customer over a queue dispute went viral, leading to over ten million views before its deletion [3]. - The incident occurred when a cashier was accused of allowing a customer with many items to cut in line, prompting the employee's extreme apology [3][7]. - The aftermath of the incident saw mixed public reactions, with some condemning the customer's behavior and others questioning the appropriateness of the employee's response [3][21]. Group 2: Company Background - The company involved, "好想来," is a brand under 万辰集团 (Wancheng Group), a leading player in the Chinese snack retail industry, boasting 15,000 stores nationwide by March 2025 [8][9]. - Founded by 王健坤 (Wang Jiankun), the company has rapidly expanded through aggressive strategies, including zero franchise fees and a focus on community-based low-cost offerings [9][11]. - Despite impressive growth, the company faces challenges such as inadequate employee training and management issues, leading to numerous complaints about service quality and product standards [11][20]. Group 3: Broader Implications - The kneeling incident raises critical questions about the balance between customer rights and employee dignity in the service industry, suggesting a need for companies to rethink their operational policies [21]. - The rapid expansion of "好想来" has resulted in operational strains, with reports of over 926 complaints on service and product quality, indicating a potential risk to the brand's reputation [11][20]. - The ongoing scrutiny of 万辰集团, including investigations into its founder, adds to the uncertainty surrounding the company's future and its ability to maintain customer trust and employee morale [20][21].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market index [1][57]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of new product categories and channels, highlighting potential alpha opportunities within the food and beverage sector [4]. - The secondary market performance shows a decline of 0.62% in the food and beverage sector, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.92 percentage points, ranking 20th among 31 sectors [7][12]. - The report identifies key trends in various sub-sectors, including the stabilization of liquor prices, improving beer demand, and high growth potential in the snack segment [7][27]. Summary by Sections 1. Secondary Market Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 0.62%, with the liquor sub-sector showing a relative increase of 1.20% [12]. - Top-performing stocks included Huang Shang Huang, Jiu Gui Jiu, and ST Tong Pu, with gains ranging from 5.12% to 11.71% [12][17]. 2. Major Consumer Goods and Raw Material Prices - Liquor prices as of July 7, 2025, show a mixed trend, with the 2024 Flying Moutai price at 1,890 RMB for scattered bottles, down 160 RMB from the previous month [21]. - Beer production in May 2025 reached 3.584 million kiloliters, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.30% [27]. - Dairy prices indicate a stable trend, with fresh milk priced at 3.04 RMB per kilogram, while pork prices are at 20.58 RMB per kilogram, showing a slight increase [29]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that there are currently 65,900 beer-related enterprises in China, predominantly located in East and Northeast regions [54]. - Recent promotional activities, such as the Taobao flash sale, have significantly boosted sales in the liquor and dairy sectors [54]. 4. Core Company Dynamics - Key company updates include Kuozi Jiao's announcement of a cash dividend of 1.30 RMB per share, totaling 778 million RMB [56].

经鉴证的律师事务所主任签字并加盖公章的法律意见书 ? 报备文件 经与会董事和记录人签字确认并加盖董事会印章的股东大会决议 证券代码：603777 证券简称：来伊份 公告编号：2025-061 上海来伊份股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 (一)股东大会召开的时间：2025 年 7 月 7 日 (二)股东大会召开的地点：上海市松江区九新公路 855 号来伊份零食博物馆 (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况： 份总数的比例（%） 61.7554 (四)表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 本次股东大会采取现场记名投票表决与网络投票表决相结合的方式召开。会 议由公司董事会提议召开，本次股东大会由董事长施永雷先生主持。本次股东大 会的召集、召开和表决方式符合《公司法》、 《公司章程》等法律、法规及规范性 文件的规定。 (五)公司董事、监事和董事会秘书的出席情况 二、 议案审议情况 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the liquor sector, particularly Moutai, is stabilizing in price, and attention should be paid to the second-quarter performance of the sector [3][12]. - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.74% this week, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.67 percentage points [2][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer demand and market health, with companies focusing on destocking and promoting sales in the short term while nurturing consumer engagement and internationalization in the long term [14][21]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - Moutai's stock buyback reached 3.3821 million shares, accounting for 0.27% of total shares, with a total expenditure of 5.202 billion yuan [3][12]. - The liquor index increased by 1.2%, indicating a potential valuation recovery driven by incremental policies [14]. - Recommended stocks include Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have demonstrated resilience through multiple cycles [14][21]. Consumer Goods - The report notes that the recent warm weather is favorable for beer consumption, with expectations for slight sales growth among major beer brands [15]. - The snack sector is experiencing a trend of differentiation, with recommendations for companies that are innovating in products and channels [16][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the seasoning industry, such as Yihai International and Haitian Flavoring, as they show resilience [18]. Frozen Foods - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products despite the off-season [19]. - Anji Food's recent IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised 2.302 billion HKD, which will be used to enhance sales networks and optimize supply chains [19]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand, with supply pressures easing and potential policy catalysts on the horizon [20]. - The report recommends focusing on leading dairy companies that are well-positioned for upward elasticity in 2025 [20]. Beverages - The beverage industry is entering a peak season, with expectations for continued growth in segments like sugar-free tea and energy drinks [21]. - The report recommends East Peak Beverage, which is accelerating its national and platform expansion [21].