今天下午，商务部召开例行新闻发布会。新闻发言人就美国和越南达成的贸易协定是否针对 中国一事进行了回应。 商务部新闻发言人 何咏前 ：美国对全球贸易伙伴加征所谓"对等关税"，是典型的单边霸凌做 法，中方一直坚决反对。中方注意到相关情况，正在开展评估。中方的立场是一贯的，我们 乐见各方通过平等磋商解决与美方经贸分歧， 但坚决反对任何一方以牺牲中方利益为手段达 成交易 。如果出现这样的情况，中方将坚决予以反制，维护自身正当权益。 来源 | 央视新闻 本期编辑 金珊 特朗普称美越达成贸易协议！越南所有对美出口商品将面临至少20%关税 SFC 21君荐读 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of economic data and trade negotiations on market dynamics, particularly the rising demand for gold as a safe-haven asset due to economic uncertainties and high tariff threats [1][3][4] - The ADP employment data for June showed a significant decline of 33,000 jobs, marking the largest monthly drop since March 2023, which was far below the expected increase of 98,000 jobs [1] - The Challenger job cuts report indicated that layoffs rose to 47,999 in June, the highest level since December 2024, reinforcing concerns about economic slowdown and aggressive cost-cutting measures by employers [1] Group 2 - The upcoming U.S. tariff negotiations are creating a highly fragmented global trade landscape, with various countries seeking exemptions or reductions in tariffs while facing significant uncertainties [2][3] - The U.S. is employing a "divide and conquer" strategy in negotiations, with the EU seeking exemptions for key industries and Canada having to withdraw a planned digital services tax to restart talks [2] - The potential for a differentiated tariff system and trade conflicts may disrupt global supply chains and increase production costs, further enhancing gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [3][4] Group 3 - The instability in trade policies is providing solid support for precious metal prices, with gold and silver expected to find strong support around $3,300 and $36 respectively [4] - The market is closely watching the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could trigger significant movements in gold and silver prices depending on the employment trends [4] - Analysts suggest a cautious approach before the non-farm data release, with potential for increased positions if key resistance levels are broken [4]

在美越谈判中，如何应对中国产品借道越南向美国"迂回出口"也是重要议题 美国总统特朗普7月2日在社交媒体上宣布，"与越南就贸易谈判达成一致"。继英国之后，越南 成为与特朗普政府签署贸易协定的第2个国家。在亚洲属于首个…… 美国总统特朗普7月2日在社交媒体上宣布，"与越南就贸易谈判达成一致"。据悉，作为美国把对等关税 的税率降至20%的交换，越南将对从美国进口的产品实行零关税。特朗普称，"越南将为美国提供完全 的市场准入"。 特朗普透露，作为应对迂回出口的措施，双方还同意对在越南组装后运往美国的产品征收40%的关税。 美国2024年对越南的货物贸易逆差约为1235亿美元。越南的部长级官员此前多次访美，与美国商务部长 卢特尼克等人进行了磋商。 日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）八十岛绫平 华盛顿 版权声明：日本经济新闻社版权所有，未经授权不得转载或部分复制，违者必究。 日经中文网 https://cn.nikkei.com 继英国之后，越南成为与特朗普政府签署贸易协定的第2个国家。在亚洲属于首个。 越南方面也发布了相关消息。据悉，特朗普和越南最高领导人、越共中央总书记苏林通电话后达成了协 议。 特朗普发帖称，美国将 ...

国际贸易的棋局上，2025年6月末的风云突变令人屏息。当特朗普政府设定的7月9日"对等关税"暂停期步步紧逼，加拿大在最后关头突然转 向，引发了一场牵动全球神经的博弈。这场由美国单边发起的关税风暴，正考验着各国维护自身利益与国际经贸秩序的智慧与决心。 6月27日，美国总统特朗普以加拿大将对美国科技公司征收数字服务税为由，悍然宣布中止与加方的所有贸易谈判，并强硬要求加拿大在七天 内"支持两国贸易的关税"。戏剧性的一幕发生在6月29日深夜——距原定6月30日加拿大对美开征数字服务税仅一步之遥时，加政府宣布取消 这一已立法生效的关键税种。据加财政部发布的信息，总理卡尼与特朗普已达成共识，双方将恢复谈判，力争在2025年7月21日前达成"互惠 的全面贸易安排"。 特朗普（资料图） 加拿大的闪电"变脸"并非孤立事件。特朗普在6月27日录制并于29日播出的福克斯新闻采访中直言不讳地表示，无意延长7月9日到期的90天关 税暂停期。他宣称将根据"友好与否"的标准对各国分类处置："恭喜你们获准购买美利坚合众国商品，需支付25%关税，或35%、50%、10% 关税。"这种将国际贸易伙伴粗暴划分为三六九等、赤裸裸挥舞关税大棒的姿态， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Canada's submission to U.S. trade pressures, highlighting the broader risks for other nations and the potential for a fragmented global economy due to U.S. trade policies [1][22]. Group 1: U.S. Trade Strategy - The U.S. employs a "poison pill" strategy, using tariffs as a tool to create pressure on countries, while the real danger lies in the hidden clauses related to "national security" and "reliable supply chains" [3][5]. - The U.S. has set a deadline for countries to comply with its trade demands, creating a sense of urgency and fear among nations to avoid economic repercussions [5][17]. Group 2: Canada's Economic Vulnerability - Canada is heavily reliant on the U.S. for trade, with 75% of its exports going to the U.S., making it particularly susceptible to U.S. tariffs [8][10]. - The economic strain from U.S. pressures has led to a shrinking GDP and rising unemployment in Canada, further weakening its ability to resist U.S. demands [8][10]. Group 3: China's Response - China has shifted its strategy from reactive measures to proactive warnings, clearly stating that any country compromising Chinese interests for U.S. tariff exemptions will face consequences [12][13]. - China is working on building a new economic system that reduces reliance on the U.S. and strengthens ties with other economies, such as ASEAN and BRICS [15][20]. Group 4: Global Implications - Canada's capitulation serves as a warning to other nations, with countries like Japan, South Korea, and India showing signs of following suit in negotiations with the U.S. [17][18]. - The potential normalization of "poison pill" clauses in global trade agreements could lead to a fragmented world economy, characterized by geopolitical divisions and increased trade costs [20][22].

Group 1: Economic Impact of Tariffs - The direct effect of tariffs may reduce the U.S. economic growth rate by 0.5% to 0.75%, with a negative impact of approximately 0.1% on global economic growth [5] - Tariffs are expected to raise commodity prices and increase the cost of production components, affecting both domestic production and global exports [3][5] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and international relations has led many domestic and foreign companies to postpone significant investments, which may have a more substantial impact on U.S. economic growth than the tariffs themselves [3][5] Group 2: U.S. Trade Policy and Global Trade Dynamics - The U.S. trade policy under the Trump administration is characterized by aggressive unilateral actions, which may lead to long-term damage to global trade relationships [6][8] - The potential for a restructuring of global trade networks is anticipated, similar to past global shocks, although this may slow down globalization rather than reverse it [6][8] - The U.S. may not fully withdraw from the WTO but could adopt a less active role, which might encourage other member countries to push for rule reforms [9] Group 3: Future of the Dollar and Global Currency Dynamics - The dollar is expected to maintain its dominant position for the next 10 to 20 years, but its supremacy may be challenged due to U.S. fiscal imbalances and concerns over investment safety [10] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal policy and the safety of U.S. debt could weaken the dollar's status in the global economy [10][11] Group 4: WTO Reform and Global Trade Rules - There is a pressing need for WTO rule updates to address new global challenges such as climate change and health crises, as current rules do not adequately reflect these issues [8][9] - The cooperation of major economies, including the U.S., China, and the EU, is essential for establishing a new, acceptable rule system within the WTO [9][12]

该官员预计美国将在当天就进一步延长做出决定。他补充说： "我们将在7月8日之前尽最大努力争取延长谈判期限。" 韩国寻求美国关税暂停期延长，以继续贸易谈判 这位官员透露，在上周的会谈中，美国主要提出了与韩国非关税壁垒相关的问题。由于韩美两国已签署 自由贸易协定，韩国对美国进口商品几乎实行零关税。 周一，据媒体援引一位韩国高级贸易官员表示，韩国将寻求延长美国90天的关税暂停期。由于韩美两国 间的贸易谈判可能无法在下周的最后期限前完成，韩国希望获得更多时间。 此前据新华社，韩国总统李在明6日7日曾与美国总统特朗普通话，谈及韩美关系、经贸磋商等话题。 媒体报道称，韩国新一届政府已于上周与美国举行了首次高级别贸易会谈。此外，自两国在4月底同意 制定一项贸易方案，以期在美国90天关暂停期结束前降低关税以来，双方已进行了三轮工作层面的技术 讨论。 这位官员在一次吹风会上表示： "看来有些国家将在7月8日前达成协议，有些国家可能会获得延期以继续谈判，而另一些国 家则将决定是否在关税生效的情况下继续谈判。" 有媒体援引一位曾参与谈判的韩国政府高层人士表示： "（美方要求）每一步都必须由新一届总统办公室及核心决策层拍板后才能推动 ...

Group 1 - The current trading price of London silver is above $35.39, with a recent high of $36.06 and a low of $35.39, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The new South Korean Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo is advocating for a "mutually beneficial" trade agreement with the U.S. during his visit to Washington, emphasizing the need for cooperation beyond tariff issues [3] - The silver price has shown a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, suggesting potential testing of lower prices, but a weekly close above $36.00 could provide strong support [3] Group 2 - To regain an upward trend, silver bulls need to reclaim the peak of $36.83 from June 26, with the next targets being $37.00 and the yearly peak of $37.31 [4] - If silver prices fall below $36.50, a test of the $36.00 support level is expected, with further declines targeting the daily low of $35.68 from June 24 and the latest cycle low of $35.29 [4]

特朗普及其顾问在7月9日前的表态让投资者人心惶惶，他们对哪些国家接近达成协议、哪些进展不顺的 暗示模糊不清。这一结果将影响特朗普贸易议程的未来——作为其2024年竞选核心议题之一，此事对全 球经济及美国与盟友、对手的关系都至关重要。即便相关度极高，政府是否会严守截止日期或延长谈判 时间仍未可知。 贝森特上周五表示，约20个未在周三国会前达成协议的国家可继续谈判，但若被认定"真诚协商"，关税 税率可维持10%，否则恢复至4月2日的较高水平。 智通财经APP获悉，距离唐纳德·特朗普总统重启国别关税仅剩10天，白宫似乎难以兑现其在三个月谈 判窗口期内达成全面全球贸易改革的承诺。特朗普高级顾问本周透露，预计将在7月9日截止日前与多达 12个美国主要贸易伙伴达成协议。但从特朗普任内仅有的另外两项协议(与中国和英国)来看，这些协议 可能并非解决核心问题的全面协定，而是仅涉及有限议题、将许多细节留待后续谈判的框架性文件。 杜克大学法学院国际贸易专家蒂姆·迈耶(Tim Meyer)指出："预计白宫将宣布若干被称为'贸易协议'的框 架，但这些协议不符合任何人对'贸易协议'的常规理解。"美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott B ...

Group 1 - Financial institutions are increasing policy support and innovating financial service models to assist foreign trade enterprises in securing orders, expanding markets, and stabilizing customer relationships, thereby providing strong support for stable growth in foreign trade [2] - The Export-Import Bank of China’s Xiamen branch issued a foreign currency shipbuilding prepayment guarantee for Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd., helping the company secure orders for two bulk carriers over 200,000 tons, highlighting the importance of quick guarantee issuance in winning international orders [2] - Several banks, including the Export-Import Bank and Bank of China, have launched special plans to enhance service quality for foreign trade enterprises, focusing on increasing credit input, optimizing resource allocation, and improving service efficiency [2] Group 2 - The Export-Import Bank of China has introduced a special work plan to strengthen financial support in the foreign trade sector, aiming to promote stable growth in foreign trade by leveraging its advantages in overseas markets [3] - The bank plans to support manufacturing enterprises in their high-quality "going out" strategy and will continue to enhance financial support for key areas and weak links in foreign trade, addressing the challenges faced by foreign trade enterprises [3] - In the first five months of this year, the Export-Import Bank has issued loans totaling 460 billion yuan in the foreign trade sector and has issued 47 billion yuan in themed financial bonds related to foreign trade [3] Group 3 - The Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China emphasized the need for further reforms in trade foreign exchange business management and the implementation of high-level open pilot projects to support trade innovation and development [4] - Financial management departments are encouraged to enhance service proactivity and accelerate product service innovation to meet the diverse needs of foreign trade enterprises, ensuring safe foreign exchange collection and reducing financing and transaction costs [4] - Structural monetary policy tools can provide banks with low-cost funds, increasing their motivation to engage in trade financing activities, thereby supporting stable growth in foreign trade [4]