Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report comprehensively presents the overnight performance of global financial markets, including futures, stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange. It also covers macro - economic news, industry policies, and corporate events, reflecting the complex and volatile nature of the current financial and economic situation. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Market Trends - International oil prices rose strongly, with the US oil main contract up 1.37% at $67.92 per barrel and Brent crude up 1.84% at $69.56 per barrel [2]. - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold up 0.10% at $3346.40 per ounce and COMEX silver down 0.39% at $36.94 per ounce [2]. - London base metals closed down across the board, with LME zinc down 1.51% at $2683.00 per ton, LME tin down 1.31% at $33260.00 per ton, and LME copper down 0.82% at $9784.00 per ton [2]. - Domestic futures main contracts were mixed, with fuel oil up over 1% and asphalt up nearly 1%, while rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, and corn were down nearly 1% [3]. Important Information Macro - Information - The first round of Gaza cease - fire talks in Doha ended without an agreement as the Israeli negotiation team lacked sufficient authorization [6]. - Trump announced a 10% tariff on countries aligning with BRICS' "anti - US policies", and China opposed such tariff wars [6][7]. - As of July 7, 2025, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) rose 6.3% to 2258.04 points [7]. - The EU is making progress in tariff - trade negotiations with the US and aims to reach an agreement by July 9 [7]. - The "Magic Seas" bulk carrier sank in the Red Sea, and the Houthi armed forces claimed responsibility [8]. - The next - possible Fed chair nominee, Wash, advocated for a rate cut and said Trump's tariffs would not cause inflation [10]. - China added 10 billion yuan in central budgetary investment for work - relief projects to promote employment [11]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Goldman Sachs maintained its Q4 2025 Brent crude price forecast at $59 per barrel and 2026 at $56 per barrel, and OPEC + may increase production by 550,000 barrels per day in September [13]. - As of July 7, the MEG port inventory in East China decreased, while the benzene - ethylene port inventory in Jiangsu increased by 12.85% [13]. - The Dalian Commodity Exchange announced the listing benchmark prices for pure benzene futures contracts [13]. Metal Futures - China's central bank increased its gold reserves for the 8th consecutive month in June, reaching 73.9 million ounces [15]. - China's primary aluminum production in June 2025 was 3.6525 million tons, up 2.64% year - on - year and down 2.59% month - on - month [17]. Black - Series Futures - From January to May, China's cumulative coal production was 1.99 billion tons, with May's output hitting a record high [19]. - From June 30 to July 6, global iron ore shipments decreased, while Chinese port arrivals increased [19][20]. - A coal mine in Linfen, Shanxi, resumed production on July 5, but its output was still below normal [19]. - As of July 7, some Tangshan steel enterprises' blast furnaces were under maintenance, affecting iron - water production [20]. Agricultural Product Futures - In June, domestic soybean crushing reached a record high, and it is expected to remain high in July [23]. - As of July 4, domestic feed enterprises' soybean meal inventory days increased for the 8th consecutive week [23]. - As of July 4, cotton commercial inventory decreased, while palm oil and soybean oil inventories increased [23][24]. - As of July 7, the national imported soybean port inventory increased [25]. - India's minister called for a change in palm - oil import policy, and Argentina will export soybean meal to China for the first time [26]. - Pakistan's cotton production dropped sharply, hitting the textile industry [28]. - As of July 3, US soybean, corn, and wheat export inspection volumes were reported [28]. - As of July 5, Brazil's first - crop corn harvest rate was 97.2%, and the second - crop was 27.7% [28]. - As of July 6, the US soybean and corn good - rate were reported [28]. Financial Market Finance - A - shares closed mixed, with power and real - estate stocks rising, and innovation - drug and computing - power stocks falling [30]. - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose, and south - bound funds had significant net inflows [30]. - A - shares will launch specialized and innovative indices on July 21 [32]. - Quantitative trading new rules were implemented, impacting some strategies [32]. - Public funds' position - adjustment demand increased, and "discounted - share" private - placement business heated up [32]. - Jiangsu Runyang plans to complete A - share IPO by the end of 2028, and Lens Technology will list in Hong Kong on July 9 [33]. Industry - Four departments plan to have over 100,000 high - power charging facilities by 2027 [35]. - A new national standard for passenger - car braking systems will be implemented in 2026 [35]. - The first 10 science - innovation bond ETFs were fully subscribed on the first day [36]. - As of July 7, Shenzhen's second - hand housing inventory reached a new high [37]. - Wuhan will strengthen real - estate policies and promote project launches [37]. - China's shipping industry showed improved confidence in Q2 [37]. - From January to May, China's textile industry had mixed performance in output, revenue, and exports [37]. - From January to May, China's coal production hit a record high, while imports decreased [38]. - Global new ship orders decreased by 54% year - to - date, with different performances in various ship types [40]. Overseas - The US Treasury Secretary expects to announce multiple trade agreements soon [41]. - Goldman Sachs believes the Fed may cut rates in September, with a lower terminal - rate forecast [41]. - The EU aims to reach a preliminary trade agreement with the US this week [41]. - The European Central Bank warns of increased financial - stability risks in the eurozone [41]. - Eurozone's July investor confidence and May retail sales data were reported [42]. - Germany's May industrial output showed positive growth [43]. - The UK's June housing price index had mixed performance [44]. International Stocks - US stocks closed down, with Trump's tariff announcements causing market fluctuations, while most Chinese concept stocks rose [46]. - European stocks closed mixed, affected by Trump's tariff policies and corporate news [46]. - The FBI warned of a surge in "pump - and - dump" scams targeting US stock investors [46]. Commodities - International oil prices rose, and Goldman Sachs maintained its Brent crude price forecast [47]. - International precious metal futures closed mixed, supported by economic uncertainties [47]. - London base metals closed down, with traditional metals facing demand pressure [49]. Bonds - Domestic bond yields mostly rose slightly, and the central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations [50]. - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue multiple batches of bonds in July [50]. - US bond yields rose due to Trump's trade policies, and Japanese long - term bonds fell [50][51]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB depreciated against the US dollar, and the US dollar index rose due to Trump's tariff threats [52][54]. Upcoming Events - The China Central Bank has 13.1 billion yuan of reverse - repurchase due at 09:20 [56]. - The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest - rate decision at 12:30 and hold a press conference at 13:30 [56]. - ECB's Nagel will give a speech at 22:00, and the EIA will release its monthly short - term energy outlook at 24:00 [56]. - The 12th World High - Speed Rail Congress will be held from July 8 to 11, and the E - Tang Co., Ltd. will be listed on the STAR Market [56]. - Pure benzene futures and options will be listed on the DCE starting from July 8 [56].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve cannot assume that its benchmark interest rate will not drop to zero again in the future, with a 9% probability of hitting the "zero lower bound" within the next seven years [1] - Current interest rate uncertainty is a significant factor contributing to this risk, with expectations for future rates remaining high compared to the past decade [1] - The analysis is based on interest rate derivatives linked to short-term key rate expectations, such as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate [1] Group 2 - There is a 1% probability that interest rates will return to zero within the next two years, following the Fed's previous rate cuts during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic [2] - Since March 2022, the Fed has raised the federal funds rate target range to 5.25% to 5.5% in response to high inflation, moving significantly away from the zero lower bound [2] - Discussions are ongoing regarding the timing of potential rate cuts and the level of the terminal rate, with recent comments indicating frustration from the President regarding the Fed's current policy stance [2] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs economists now expect the Fed to potentially cut rates in September, three months earlier than previously predicted, due to lower-than-expected impacts from tariff policies and signs of a slowing job market [3] - The likelihood of a rate cut in September is estimated to be slightly above 50%, with expectations for cuts of 25 basis points in September, October, and December [3] - Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for the terminal federal funds rate down to 3% to 3.25%, indicating a shift in expectations while maintaining that the economy could still achieve maximum employment and 2% inflation [3]

Industry News - The State Council Food Safety Committee has issued opinions to promote the establishment of an internal reporting reward mechanism for food safety risks in production and operation units by the end of December 2025 [10] - A mandatory national standard for passenger car brake systems has been officially released, set to take effect on January 1, 2026, which includes new requirements for "single pedal braking" to mitigate operational risks [10] - The National Development and Reform Commission and three other departments have announced plans to strive for over 100,000 high-power charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027, with upgrades in service quality and technology applications [10] - A report from CRIC indicates that the transaction volume of new homes in 30 key cities in the first half of the year remained stable compared to the same period in 2024, while high-end residential transactions priced over 10 million increased by 18.76% year-on-year [11] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has organized a meeting to summarize the implementation of safety policies regarding passengers carrying power banks on flights, noting a significant reduction in the number of abandoned power banks since the policy's implementation [11] - New regulations for quantitative trading have been officially implemented, which are expected to significantly impact high-frequency trading strategies [11] - The textile industry in China has shown growth in major economic indicators such as production, consumption, and exports in the first five months, with industrial added value increasing by 3.4% year-on-year [12] Company News - Industrial Fulian has announced a projected year-on-year increase in net profit of 36.84% to 39.12% for the first half of the year [14] - Changxin Storage, a domestic DRAM memory chip manufacturer, has initiated the listing guidance process with China International Capital Corporation and CITIC Securities as advisory institutions [15] - Huadian Technology announced the signing of significant contracts totaling 5.567 billion yuan [16] - Xianggang Technology has projected a year-on-year increase in net profit of 410% to 478% for the first half of the year [17] - Blue Dai Technology is planning a change in company control, leading to a suspension of its stock [18] - Ruisi Kanda announced that its chairman and general manager, Li Yuejie, along with a board member, are under criminal coercive measures for suspected violations of information disclosure laws [18] - Tianci Materials is planning to issue H-shares and list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [19] - Guojin Securities has stated that its Hong Kong subsidiary is preparing to apply for a virtual asset trading license [20] - Longte Intelligent has announced plans to establish a joint equity investment fund with a professional investment institution, focusing on low-altitude economy and embodied intelligence industry chain [20] - Ruixin Microelectronics expects a year-on-year net profit increase of 185% to 195% for the first half of the year, with ongoing expansion in its AIoT product lines [21] - Chuanjin Nuo anticipates a year-on-year net profit increase of 152% to 182% for the first half of the year [22] - New Asia Electronics has disclosed that during the period of stock fluctuations, directors and senior management have reduced their holdings in the company [22] - Lier Chemical expects a year-on-year net profit increase of 185% to 196% for the first half of the year [23] - Changhong High-Tech plans to acquire 100% equity of Guangxi Changke, leading to a stock suspension [24] - Yinglian Co. anticipates a year-on-year net profit increase of 361% to 461% for the first half of the year [24]

在金融门户、人民币枢纽之外，作为全球企业与商机的汇聚地，香港成为共建"一带一路"倡议的"超级 联系人"。产业上，香港的金融服务业规模庞大、体系高度国际化，集聚了大量的金融专才和会计、法 律等专业服务从业人员；文化上，中外文化交融，拥有多元、开放、包容的城市气质，这让香港既熟悉 国际规则，又了解中国企业的优势与需求。对于内地企业来说，香港庞大的资金池、高效的金融基础设 施以及跨境资金流通渠道，是出海的最佳孵化器之一。企业以香港为基地提升国际化经营水平，将有力 推动对共建"一带一路"倡议的"牵线搭桥、精准对接"。 背靠粤港澳大湾区，香港肩负着金融与科技相互赋能的重大使命。要将大湾区建设成为国际科技创新中 心和新兴产业的重要策源地，香港在基础科研和金融支持两方面都大有可为。香港发达的金融市场及完 善的金融服务，对大湾区众多的高新技术、专精特新和科技型中小企业来说可谓"近水楼台"。跨境融资 渠道进一步拓宽，将为大湾区的人工智能、机器人、低空经济、量子信息等新兴产业发展带来更多的耐 心资本。在金融科技创新方面，大湾区完善的制造业体系也为香港提供了丰富的对接平台和应用场景。 在传统的金融服务之外，香港有机会在与离岸人民币 ...

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of this year, 653 A-share listed companies subscribed to a total of 411.335 billion yuan in financial products, indicating a decrease compared to the same period last year [1] Summary by Category - **Total Investment in Financial Products** - A-share listed companies collectively purchased financial products worth 411.335 billion yuan, which includes reinvestments after maturity [1] - **Breakdown of Financial Products** - Structured deposits: 237.426 billion yuan - Bank wealth management products: 47.845 billion yuan - Securities firm wealth management products: 31.271 billion yuan - Deposit products: 31.13 billion yuan - Reverse repurchase agreements: 24.578 billion yuan - Trust products: 12.534 billion yuan - Notice deposits: 11.678 billion yuan - Time deposits: 8.25 billion yuan - Investment company wealth management products: 4.429 billion yuan - Fund special accounts for purchasing financial products: 2.194 billion yuan [1]

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - In the first half of the year, US equity financing saw a rebound, totaling $95 billion, an increase of $12.7 billion or 15.46% compared to the same period last year [1] - A total of 198 companies went public through IPOs, raising $25.9 billion, which is a 33.72% increase year-over-year [1] - There were 429 refinancing events, a decrease of 17 from the previous year, with a total refinancing amount of $69.1 billion, up 9.83% year-over-year [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The non-bank financial sector led in financing, raising a total of $32.9 billion [1] - The software services sector ranked second with $9.7 billion raised [1] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector came in third, raising $7.5 billion [1] Group 3: IPO Market Distribution - Nasdaq remained the leading market for IPOs with 157 companies listed, raising $17.632 billion, accounting for 68.05% of the total IPO market [1] - The New York Stock Exchange had 29 IPOs, raising $8.179 billion, which is 31.57% of the total [1] - The American Stock Exchange (AMEX) had 12 IPOs, raising $0.098 billion [1] Group 4: Top IPOs - Venture Global, the second-largest LNG producer in the US, was the top IPO fundraiser with $1.75 billion [2] - CoreWeave and SailPoint Parent followed with $1.5 billion and $1.38 billion, respectively [2] - The top ten IPOs raised a total of $9.7 billion, representing 37.62% of the total IPO fundraising [2] Group 5: SPAC Performance - The number of SPAC IPOs significantly increased, with 52 SPACs listed, up 40 from the previous year, raising $9.4 billion, a substantial increase of 338.60% [2] Group 6: Chinese Companies in the US Market - In the first half of the year, 40 Chinese companies went public in the US, raising only $0.9 billion, a decrease of 61.12% year-over-year [3] - Only two companies, Bawang Tea and Ascentage Pharma, raised over $100 million, with amounts of $0.411 billion and $0.126 billion, respectively [3] Group 7: Underwriting Performance - Cantor Fitzgerald led the IPO underwriting with $2.828 billion across 15 deals [3] - JPMorgan Chase followed with $2.234 billion from 13 deals, while Goldman Sachs was third with $2.213 billion from 15 deals [3] - In refinancing, JPMorgan Chase also led with $10.398 billion from 39 deals, followed closely by Goldman Sachs with $9.913 billion from 32 deals [3]

Group 1: Guangdong Quality Products Exhibition - The first Guangdong Quality Products Exhibition will be held from September 12 to 14 in Guangzhou, covering an area of 50,000 square meters with five major themed pavilions: consumer electronics, clothing and cosmetics, toys, food, and home ceramics [1] - The exhibition aims to showcase popular products such as smart home ecosystems and consumer electronics, focusing on "new, unique, special, and excellent" quality goods [1] - This event is expected to enhance domestic consumption, stimulate market vitality, and expand the supply of high-quality products originally aimed at exports [1] Group 2: Shenzhen Warning on Illegal Fundraising - Shenzhen's special task force warns against illegal fundraising activities disguised as stablecoins and other digital assets, highlighting the risks posed by fraudulent organizations [2] - These organizations exploit public ignorance about stablecoins to attract investments through virtual currencies, leading to potential illegal activities such as fraud and money laundering [2] - The warning emphasizes that these virtual currency schemes lack regulatory oversight and risk management mechanisms, making them susceptible to becoming tools for illegal fundraising [2] Group 3: Macao Monetary Supply - Macao's broad money supply showed signs of recovery in May 2025, with currency in circulation and demand deposits increasing by 0.1% and 3.4%, respectively [3] - The narrow money supply (M1) rose by 2.4% compared to the previous month, while quasi-money liabilities increased by 1.1% [3] - The overall broad money supply (M2) increased by 1.2% to 815.7 billion Macao Patacas, indicating improved market liquidity and economic recovery [3][4] Group 4: Hong Kong Investment Promotion - The Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency reported assisting over 1,300 overseas and mainland companies in establishing or expanding their businesses in Hong Kong from January 2023 to mid-2025 [5] - These companies generated over 160 billion Hong Kong dollars in foreign direct investment and created more than 19,000 new jobs in their first year of operation [5] - The agency plans to focus on four strategic industries: financial services and fintech, innovation and technology, supply chain management and logistics, and sustainable development and green economy [5] Group 5: Shenzhen Stock Market Performance - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,435.51 points, down by 0.70% [6] - Notable gainers included Baocaitie, Zhongchuan Hanguang, and Shankai Intelligent, each rising by 20.02% [7] - Major decliners included *ST Zitian, *ST Huike, and Huaru Technology, with declines of 20.02%, 16.46%, and 11.09%, respectively [7]

Group 1 - The stock price of Mobile Finance (MFI) increased by 10.34% on July 7, reaching $5.55 per share, with a trading volume of $643,300 and a total market capitalization of $73.5468 million [1] - As of December 31, 2024, Mobile Finance reported total revenue of HKD 26.0853 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD -20.211 million, a significant year-on-year decrease of 404.89% [1] Group 2 - Mobile Finance International Limited, registered in the British Virgin Islands, primarily operates through its domestic subsidiary, Mobile Finance (m-FINANCE), which has three subsidiaries in Hong Kong [2] - The company specializes in the development and sales of financial trading solutions, serving clients across Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia, and is a member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange (HKGX) [2] - m-FINANCE has nearly 20 years of industry experience, providing brokerage and institutional clients with trading platform solutions for forex, gold, and commodities, including mF trading platform, bridging and plugins, CRM systems, ECN systems, liquidity solutions, and social trading applications [2]

Core Viewpoint - Since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," Jiangxi has implemented nearly 13,000 urban renewal projects with a total investment exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Urban Renewal Projects - Jiangxi has actively promoted the renovation of shantytowns, old urban communities, and the upgrading of municipal infrastructure and public parking facilities [2]. - A total of 5,643 old communities have been renovated, benefiting 1.94 million households, while 450,000 shantytown units have been transformed, allowing approximately 1.25 million people to move into new homes [2]. - The province has also completed the first-level A standard upgrades for all urban sewage treatment plants at the county level and above, achieving a coverage rate of 95.8% for sewage treatment facilities in towns [2]. Group 2: Economic Development Initiatives - Jiangxi has established a credit support mechanism for the protection of traditional villages, encouraging projects with a total proposed loan amount exceeding 7.5 billion yuan [2]. - The province is leveraging its VR industry advantages to create digital platforms for traditional village protection, including online museums and digital archives [2][3]. Group 3: Community Revitalization - By revitalizing idle resources and enhancing infrastructure, Jiangxi has transformed many old streets, factories, and communities into vibrant living and working spaces [3]. - The province has developed 267 traditional villages with unique industries, such as "Brush Village," "Lotus Village," and "Honey Orange Village," with an average annual income of 280,000 yuan for village collectives [3].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency reported that in the first half of this year, it assisted 380 overseas and mainland companies in establishing or expanding their businesses in Hong Kong, representing an 18% year-on-year increase [1] - From January 2023 to June 2025, the agency has assisted 1,301 companies, exceeding the performance target by 15%; the first year direct investment reached HKD 168.4 billion, nearly 1.2 times higher than the target [1] - In the first half of this year, the related companies brought in direct investment of HKD 39.1 billion, a 2% year-on-year increase, and created 8,165 new jobs, a 130% increase compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The "New Capital Investor Immigration Scheme" has received 1,548 applications globally since its launch in March last year, with 1,188 applications approved in principle and 673 formally approved, amounting to over HKD 21 billion in verified investments [1] - The agency's director, Liu Kaixuan, emphasized the focus on enhancing Hong Kong's connection with overseas markets, particularly in traditional markets like Europe, North America, and Northeast Asia, while also exploring emerging markets [1] - Future investment attraction efforts will concentrate on four strategic industries: financial services and fintech, innovation and technology, supply chain management and logistics, and sustainable development and green economy [2]