Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a "sideways fluctuation with slight strengthening" in the first half of 2026, with core opportunities focusing on mid-cap blue chips, particularly in the cyclical (chemicals, non-ferrous) and manufacturing (new energy, robotics) sectors [2][3][4]. Market Outlook - The market is currently in an adjustment phase following the bull market of 2025, requiring three key tasks: transitioning from old to new driving forces, switching market hotspots to find new breakthrough directions, and redistributing stock chips to form a trading foundation [3]. - The previous bull market was driven by rising expectations rather than improvements in the real economy, indicating a need to return to observing the real economy for new expectations to form [3][4]. Investment Strategy - The focus for investment should be on mid-cap blue chips, which are characterized by moderate risk, solid performance, and potential for growth. Key sectors include cyclical industries (chemicals, non-ferrous) and manufacturing (new energy, robotics) [4][5]. - The market has shown a polarization trend from April 2023 to November 2025, with funds either flowing into low-risk, high-dividend stocks or chasing high-risk, high-growth tech stocks. This trend is beginning to change, indicating a return of risk appetite towards mid-cap blue chips [4][5]. Sector Insights - In the technology sector, while it remains a long-term focus, a short-term correction is necessary due to previous rapid increases in stock prices [6]. - The A-share market's selection strategy has shifted from performance-based to style-based, focusing on factors like EPS, ROE, and growth potential [6]. Economic Context - The macroeconomic environment is expected to show a "front low, back high" trend in GDP growth, estimated between 4.5% and 5.0% for the first half of 2026, with support from consumption, investment, and exports [7]. - The geopolitical landscape, particularly the U.S.-China dynamics, is anticipated to influence market stability and investment flows, with China positioned as a relatively stable market amid global uncertainties [7]. Industry Opportunities - In the AI sector, there is a genuine and sustained demand for domestic AI solutions, with a focus on advanced processing and chip technologies [8]. - The copper market is expected to see continued price increases due to strong demand and supply shortages, while lithium carbonate is projected to remain tight in supply [8][9]. - The new energy sector is focusing on storage, lithium battery materials, nuclear fusion, and solid-state batteries, with significant growth anticipated in storage solutions [8]. - The robotics industry is transitioning to a mid-stage focus, with key components like joint assemblies and dexterous hands being highlighted as important areas for investment [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing interest of domestic and foreign investors in Chinese assets, with expectations for emerging markets to benefit from a "weak dollar environment" and a desire for broader diversification in global investment portfolios [2][3] - Deutsche Bank's Chief Investment Officer for Emerging Markets, Deng Zhijie, predicts that after a valuation recovery in 2025, the Chinese capital market is expected to continue performing positively in 2026, driven by structural opportunities in sectors like new energy, photovoltaics, robotics, automation, and high-end manufacturing [2][3][4] - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a diversified investment portfolio to reduce risk and enhance returns, especially in the context of ongoing global market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties [3][4] Group 2 - In 2025, many investors began to shift their focus from high-valued developed markets to lower-valued emerging markets, with China showing strong performance compared to expectations, while India's market underperformed [4][5] - The article notes that the investment landscape has been significantly influenced by AI and high-tech sectors, which are expected to continue their upward trend into 2026, with a strong belief in the sustainability of AI investments compared to the tech bubble of the early 2000s [5][11] - The article discusses the resilience of emerging markets, emphasizing the need for robust domestic economic policies to support consumption and growth, particularly in countries like India and China [7][8] Group 3 - There is a notable increase in foreign investment interest in Chinese assets, driven by the realization of the volatility associated with concentrated investments in U.S. assets, leading to a desire for diversification [8][9] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests a steady expansion of institutional openness in China, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of the Chinese market for foreign investors through improved access and investment opportunities [9][10] - The article highlights the ongoing importance of gold as a safe-haven asset, with expectations for its price to continue rising due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties and central banks reducing their dollar holdings in favor of gold [10][11] Group 4 - The AI industry and related sectors, as well as the banking sector, are identified as key areas of focus for investors in 2026, with expectations of benefiting from economic growth and supportive fiscal and monetary policies [11][12][13] - The banking sector is anticipated to perform well due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, including higher long-term bond yields and the potential for interest rate cuts, which could support bank profitability [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming court case involving investor Li Zhihua suing Guotou Ruijin Fund and its star fund manager Shi Cheng highlights significant concerns regarding fund management practices and the responsibilities of fund managers in adhering to investment contracts [1][3][12] Group 1: Legal Case and Allegations - The case is centered around a "financial entrusted management contract dispute," which is notable as it includes the fund manager as a co-defendant, a rare occurrence in the industry [3][13] - Key points of contention are expected to focus on whether the suitability obligations were adequately fulfilled and whether the fund manager significantly deviated from the agreed investment style [4][14] - The Guotou Ruijin New Energy Fund, managed by Shi Cheng, is alleged to have strayed from its contractual commitment to invest at least 80% in new energy themes, with current holdings in this area dropping to 5.95% as of Q3 2025 [4][14] Group 2: Performance and Investment Strategy - Shi Cheng's investment strategy has shifted dramatically, moving from a focus on new energy to sectors like AI and robotics, which has raised questions about the appropriateness of this "style drift" [5][16] - Despite the significant shift in investment focus, the fund achieved a return of 72.24% in 2025, contrasting sharply with its previous three years of losses in the new energy sector [4][10] - The performance of the Guotou Ruijin New Energy Mixed A fund has been poor, with returns of -27.89%, -33.39%, and -16.62% from 2022 to 2024 [9][18] Group 3: Industry Implications - The case serves as a warning for the industry regarding the boundaries of fund managers' "diligence and responsibility," particularly in relation to adhering to investment mandates [12][21] - The recent issuance of the "Theme Investment Style Management Guidelines" by the fund industry association aims to curb style drift, making the outcome of this case particularly significant for future compliance standards [12][21] - Guotou Ruijin Fund has shifted its focus towards fixed-income products, with over 85% of its portfolio in this area by 2024, reflecting a broader trend in the industry amid declining performance in equity funds [11][20]

Core Insights - The investment landscape in 2025 has seen significant changes, with Chinese technology leading equity gains and the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in a decade [1][9] - Long-term capital, including insurance funds, is entering the market, enhancing value investment opportunities [1][9] - The trend of index-based investment is rising, with index funds becoming a primary tool for market allocation [1][9] - The complexity of bond investments is increasing, prompting a broader asset allocation strategy [1][9] Policy and Economic Outlook - The 20th National Congress and the Central Economic Work Conference have set a framework for the "14th Five-Year Plan," indicating a proactive fiscal and monetary policy for 2026 [2][10] - The fiscal policy is expected to maintain necessary deficits, while monetary policy will focus on flexibility and efficiency, likely continuing a low-interest-rate environment [2][10] - The equity risk premium (ERP) has decreased from 90% to around 50% since April 2025, indicating that equity assets still have upward potential [2][10] Market Structure and Capital Flow - The capital market's institutional framework has strengthened since 2025, supporting long-term investment policies and enhancing market stability [3][11] - The acceleration of medium to long-term capital inflows is anticipated, fostering a friendly policy environment for the capital market [3][11] Sector-Specific Insights - The technology sector has gained significant attention, with notable events highlighting China's advancements in technology and innovation [4][12] - The AI industry is expected to drive market growth, with a focus on performance and profitability of major tech companies [5][12] - The domestic innovative pharmaceutical sector has seen rapid growth, with 76 new drugs approved in 2025 and record-high licensing deals exceeding $130 billion [5][12] Multi-Asset Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is shifting towards a broader multi-asset approach, utilizing FOF strategies and index investment tools [6][13] - The outlook for global risk assets is positive, with expectations of a "slow bull" market in domestic equities and rising prices for major commodities [6][13] - Index funds are increasingly becoming a vital tool for multi-asset allocation, with a focus on structural opportunities in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [6][14] Future Development Plans - The company aims to advance its three major business strategies: "Global Tech Innovators," "Index Specialists," and "Fixed Income Experts," to establish itself as a multi-asset management expert [7][14]

公开资料显示，京东已持续在AI领域布局，京东JoyAI APP通过前沿的语言、语音、图像、数 字人等大模型技术，结合京东完整的供应链生态落地，成为用户的超级个人助手与生活搭子； 京东JoyInside平台已与40余家头部机器人和AI玩具品牌实现技术对接。 1月8日下午，据《科创板日报》报道， 京东成立"变色龙业务部"，全面承接JoyAI App、 JoyInside、数字人等核心AI产品的打造与商业化。 据新浪科技报道，京东官方对此回应表示，"AI技术商业化加速落地，京东变色龙业务部成 立， 第二批自研AI玩具将于1月中旬全面上线 。" 京东还表示，此次变色龙业务部的成立，是将京东此前沉淀的前沿技术能力，系统性地向产业 端输送的关键举措，也将有助于整合技术、产品、市场与销售资源，提升对市场需求的响应速 度与商业化效率，为AI业务的长期发展注入更强活力。 （声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。） 出品 | 2 1财经客户端 2 1世纪经济报道 编辑丨刘雪莹 联想、英伟达干了件大事 碳酸锂大涨，逼近15万元/吨 全球科技巨头扎堆韩国抢芯，芯片股引爆日韩股市 SFC 21君荐读 ...

智谱(2513.HK)今日首日在港挂牌上市，盘中拉升大涨超10%至128港元，市值升至563亿港元。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Core Insights - The infrastructure required for AI operations is extensive, including power, connectivity, temperature control, advanced AI chips, and specialized data center structures [1][2][4] - Significant investments are being made by major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft to build AI data centers, with projections indicating that AI spending will exceed $2 trillion in 2026 [2][3] - While large tech firms are currently benefiting from AI advancements, there is potential for lesser-known suppliers and service providers to emerge as key players in the AI supercycle [4][6] Investment Opportunities - Companies involved in the construction and supply of AI infrastructure are positioned to capitalize on the ongoing AI boom, as major players are willing to invest heavily in these projects [4][9] - The past year has seen substantial gains for companies like Alphabet and Nvidia, indicating a strong market response to AI developments [5][6] - The AI supercycle is expected to continue beyond 2026, with infrastructure development being a critical factor for future growth [6][11] Market Performance - Major tech companies have seen moderate stock performance recently, with Microsoft up 12%, Amazon up 6%, and Meta up 5% over the past year [7] - Historical context suggests that companies investing heavily in new technologies may not always see immediate returns, as seen during the early internet era [8][9] - The long-term success of companies that effectively support AI infrastructure could lead to significant financial rewards, especially those that create recurring revenue streams [11]

Core Viewpoint - China has implemented new export controls on silver, elevating it to the level of strategic materials like rare earths, which will significantly impact the global silver market and prices [1][4]. Group 1: Export Control Measures - China is now requiring a license for silver exports, with stringent criteria including a minimum annual production of 80 tons for companies and a thorough background check on buyers and their intended use [1][4]. - This move mirrors the 2010 rare earth export licensing system, which increased approval processes and quotas, leading to a significant price surge [3]. Group 2: Global Market Impact - China accounts for 23.4% of global silver trade, exporting approximately one ton of silver for every four tons traded worldwide [4]. - The country possesses 60% to 70% of the global silver refining capacity, making it a critical player in the silver supply chain [4]. - Last year, silver prices surged by 146%, outpacing gold's 60% increase, driven by industrial demand [4]. Group 3: Industrial Demand for Silver - Silver is essential in various industries, including solar energy, electric vehicles, and AI technologies, with significant quantities required for each application [6]. - For instance, a 100 MW solar project requires approximately 2.5 to 3 tons of silver, and the projected production of 30 million electric vehicles in China by 2025 will demand between 1,500 to 3,000 tons of silver annually [6]. Group 4: Strategic Resource Management - The global silver market has been in a supply deficit for five consecutive years, with demand exceeding supply by at least 3,660 tons last year [7]. - Countries like the U.S. and Russia are recognizing silver's strategic importance, with the U.S. including it in its critical minerals list and Russia adding it to its foreign exchange reserves [9][10]. - China's export control on refined silver is part of a broader strategy to secure its technological advancements and enhance its position in global resource management [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the AI sector, particularly the entrepreneurial board AI index, is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in computing hardware and AI applications [1][5][7] - The entrepreneurial board AI index reached a new high, with a cumulative increase of over 114% from January 1, 2025, to January 7, 2026, outperforming other AI-themed indices [3][7] - Key stocks in the AI sector, such as Zhishang Technology and Changxin Bochuang, saw substantial gains, with Zhishang Technology leading with an increase of over 7% [1][5] Group 2 - The upcoming launch of DeepSeek's next-generation flagship system R2 is expected to catalyze further growth in AI applications [7] - Meta's acquisition of Manus for billions is seen as a strategic move to enhance its AI capabilities and accelerate the commercialization of AI technologies [3][7] - The demand for computing power is projected to remain strong, with both domestic and international markets investing heavily in computing infrastructure, benefiting companies involved in optical interconnection solutions [3][7] Group 3 - The entrepreneurial board AI ETF (159363) has shown strong liquidity, with a daily trading volume exceeding 600 million yuan and a recent price increase of 0.79% [1][5] - The ETF is designed to track the entrepreneurial board AI index, which has shown varying annual performance from 2018 to 2025, including a notable increase of 106.35% in 2025 [4][8] - The ETF's portfolio is heavily weighted towards computing hardware, with over 70% allocated to this sector and more than 20% to AI applications, positioning it well to capture AI market trends [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a legal dispute involving Guotou Ruijin Fund and its star fund manager Shi Cheng, focusing on the implications of investment style drift and potential breaches of contract in the context of financial advisory agreements [1][4]. Group 1: Legal Dispute Overview - Guotou Ruijin Fund is facing a lawsuit initiated by investor Li Zhihua over a financial advisory contract dispute, with the court date set for January 13 [1]. - The core issue revolves around whether Shi Cheng's shift in investment strategy constitutes a breach of contract or a legitimate market-driven adjustment [1][5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Performance - Shi Cheng initially gained significant returns by heavily investing in the renewable energy sector from 2020 to 2021, but faced substantial losses as the sector declined in 2022 due to oversupply and price wars [4]. - In response to losses, Shi Cheng shifted his focus to AI and robotics, which has reportedly yielded positive results for the funds under his management [4]. Group 3: Compliance and Contractual Obligations - There are concerns regarding Shi Cheng's adherence to the investment constraints outlined in the fund contracts, particularly regarding the proportion of investments in renewable energy [5][8]. - For instance, the Guotou Ruijin New Energy Mixed Fund was required to invest at least 80% of its non-cash assets in renewable energy-related securities, yet its reported holdings fell significantly below this threshold [5]. Group 4: Additional Controversies - The funds also faced scrutiny for exceeding the stipulated limits on Hong Kong Stock Connect investments, with reported holdings surpassing the 50% cap in several products [7]. - The legal complexities include determining the boundaries of "breach" and "fault," particularly in relation to how investment categories are defined and the impact of market risks on investor losses [8].