| 五、宏观信息 | | | --- | --- | | 中俄举行战略安全磋商，就涉及两国战略安全利益的重大问题全面、深入沟通，达成新的共识，增进了战略互信。双方就涉日本问题进行战略对表，达成高度 | 共识，一致认为要坚定维护用生命和鲜血换来的二战胜利成果，坚决抵制任何为殖民侵略历史翻案的错误言行，坚决反击法西斯主义、日本军国主义卷土重来 | | 的图谋。双方就乌克兰危机深入交换意见。 | | | 日中友好议员联盟、日本经济团体联合会等日本部分组织已向中方传达希望近期访华的意愿。外交部发言人林剑在例行记者会上表示，注意到日本国内有很多 | | | 有识之士对高市早苗错误涉台言论引发的恶劣影响和严重后果深感忧虑。希望日本相关团体在日国内多发挥积极作用。 | | | 国家发改委主任郑栅洁发表署名文章指出，"十五五"规划建议将建设现代化产业体系这一任务摆在12个领域首位，关键是优化提升传统产业，培育壮大新兴 | | | 产业和未来产业，加快新能源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等战略性新兴产业集群发展。 | | | 宏观信息 | 市场监管总局制定出台《市场监督管理信用修复管理办法》，为经营主体重塑信用提供规范统一、高效 ...

第 1 页，共 3 页 板块持仓 (250,000) (200,000) (150,000) (100,000) (50,000) 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Wind农副产品 Wind谷物 Wind化工 Wind能源 Wind煤焦钢矿 Wind有色 Wind商品综合 Wind软商品 Wind油脂油料 Wind贵金属 Wind非金属建材 近五日商品期货板块持仓变动 2025-12-02 2025-12-01 2025-11-28 2025-11-27 2025-11-26 热点资讯 1.国家发改委主任郑栅洁发表署名文章指出，"十五五"规划建议将建设现代化产业体系这一任务摆在12个领域首位，关键是 优化提升传统产业，培育壮大新兴产业和未来产业，加快新能源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等战略性新兴产业集群发展。 2.磷酸铁锂行业正在发生一场集体提价行动，近期多家龙头企业已向客户发出明确的涨价通知。龙蟠科技工作人员称，近期行 业确实有相关涨价的行情，公司正与客户沟通涨价事由。 3.经合组织发布最新经济展望报告，今明两年，预计全球经济增速分别为3.2%和2.9%，与 ...

昨日A股 12月2日，市场全天震荡调整，深成指、创业板指一度双双跌超1%。截至收盘，沪指跌0.42%，深成指 跌0.68%，创业板指跌0.69%。沪深两市成交额1.59万亿，较上一个交易日缩量2805亿。全市场超3700只 个股下跌。 从板块来看，福建板块逆势爆发，食品概念局部走强，商业航天概念表现活跃。下跌方面，电池板块震 荡下跌，航运板块表现较弱。板块方面，福建、食品、医药商业等板块涨幅居前，能源金属、有色金 属、影视院线等板块跌幅居前。 | 名称 | 最新点位 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3897.71 | -16.3(-0.42%) | | 深证指数 | 13056.7 | -90.02(-0.68%) | | 创业板指 | 3071.15 | -21.35 (-0.69%) | | | 日期:12月2日 制图:21投资通 | | 隔夜外盘 纽约股市三大股指12月2日上涨。截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日上涨185.13点，收 于47474.46点，涨幅为0.39%；标准普尔500种股票指数上涨16.74点，收于6829.37点，涨幅为0.25 ...

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments aim to strengthen the construction of data element disciplines and digital talent teams to promote the integration of education, talent, industry, and innovation in the data field [1] - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association has optimized the merger note mechanism to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization and support corporate mergers and acquisitions [2] - Fujian Province has issued measures to promote the orderly development of computing power infrastructure, encouraging the planning of urban computing networks and upgrading submarine cables [3][21] Group 2 - The brain-computer interface sector is experiencing accelerated commercialization driven by policy and technology, with current valuations aligning with emerging growth characteristics [4][22] - Leading lithium iron phosphate companies are raising prices, with one company announcing a processing fee increase of 3000 yuan per ton starting January 1, 2026 [5][23] - New regulations on credit repair have been introduced to facilitate the revival of business entities, expanding the scope of credit repair and shortening processing times [6][24] Group 3 - Shanghai is moving towards regulating the development of offshore bond business in the free trade zone, with new draft regulations under review [7][26] - Fujian Province plans to build a collaborative computing network with a target of exceeding 12 EFLOPS in public computing power by the end of 2027, leading to significant market activity in related stocks [9][27] - Institutions are optimistic about the cross-year market, with 197 stocks included in the December "golden stock" list by brokerages [10][28] Group 4 - The brain-computer interface industry is set to accelerate with multiple conferences scheduled, including a large-scale competition and investment cooperation forum [11][29] - The charging infrastructure sector is witnessing rapid development, with a total of 18.645 million charging facilities in China as of October, marking a 54% year-on-year increase [12][30] - The new national standard for electric bicycles has been implemented, prohibiting the sale of vehicles that do not meet the updated requirements, creating new growth opportunities in the industry [13][31] Group 5 - Public fund institutions have increased their research activities, focusing on hard technology and advanced manufacturing sectors, with over 4200 company visits in November [14][32] - Offshore wind power is transitioning from demonstration to large-scale development, supported by increasing policy backing [15][33] - The scope of real estate investment trusts (REITs) has expanded to include urban renewal facilities, marking a significant milestone in the infrastructure sector [16][34][35] Group 6 - Eight real estate companies reported total sales exceeding 100 billion yuan in the first eleven months, with a notable increase in new housing supply and a positive market outlook [17][36][18]

Core Viewpoint - Recent price increase demands from leading lithium iron phosphate (LFP) companies indicate a shift towards rational pricing in the industry, driven by rising raw material costs and supply-demand imbalances [2][4][5]. Price Adjustments - Leading LFP companies are implementing price increases, with one company announcing a processing fee hike of 3000 yuan/ton (excluding tax) starting January 1, 2026 [2]. - Another company raised its processing fee by the same amount effective November 1, 2025, while existing contracts will maintain original pricing [3]. Raw Material Influence - The price of lithium carbonate, a key raw material for LFP, is currently on the rise, impacting the sales prices of LFP products [3]. - The fluctuation in lithium carbonate prices directly affects the revenue of LFP companies, depending on their ability to pass costs onto downstream customers [3]. Supply-Demand Dynamics - The LFP market is experiencing a tightening supply situation, with effective production capacity utilization exceeding 95% due to surging demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors [4][6]. - Despite high operational rates, there has been a significant supply shortage since September, compounded by an average industry debt ratio of 67% [4][7]. Industry Initiatives - The industry is responding to calls for "anti-involution" measures, aiming to establish a healthier pricing logic based on cost indices to curb destructive price competition [4][5]. - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association has urged LFP companies to avoid pricing below cost to prevent harmful low-price competition [4]. Market Trends - The demand for LFP products is increasing, particularly in the energy storage and power markets, driven by policy support and new market scenarios [6]. - LFP batteries accounted for 81.5% of the power battery installation volume in the first three quarters of this year, reflecting a 62.7% year-on-year growth [6]. Production Capacity Insights - By 2024, domestic LFP production capacity is expected to approach 4.7 million tons, with an actual output of over 2.3 million tons, resulting in a capacity utilization rate of about 50% [7]. - The price of LFP materials has seen a dramatic decline from 173,000 yuan/ton at the end of 2022 to 34,000 yuan/ton by August 2025, marking an 80.2% drop [7]. Future Outlook - The LFP industry faces structural overcapacity, with a potential for accelerated elimination of low-end, outdated production capacities, leading to a competitive landscape favoring high-quality producers [8].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is experiencing a collective price increase, driven by rising raw material costs and expanding market demand, leading to a significant uptick in stock prices of key companies in the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Price Increase Dynamics - Major companies in the LFP sector have issued price increase notifications to clients, with one leading firm announcing a processing fee increase of 3,000 yuan/ton starting January 1, 2026 [1]. - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association has published a cost study indicating that the average cost of LFP for the first nine months of 2025 will range from 15,714.8 yuan/ton to 16,439.3 yuan/ton, urging companies to adhere to this cost as a pricing reference [2]. - Market data shows a clear upward trend in prices, with the price of power-type LFP reaching 39,485 yuan/ton and mid-to-high-end energy storage LFP averaging 37,930 yuan/ton as of December 1, reflecting an increase of 154 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [2]. Group 2: Industry Response and Outlook - Companies are responding positively to the industry's pricing norms, with Wanrun New Energy indicating that adhering to the cost pricing guidelines will improve operational quality and profitability [2]. - Hunan Youneng has highlighted two main reasons for the price increase: a supply-demand imbalance, particularly for new products, and rising raw material costs, with successful negotiations for price increases already underway [2]. - Despite current losses, companies like Longpan Technology remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the LFP industry, citing strong demand growth as a key factor for recovery [3].

2、美联储降息VS日本加息？美国市场遭受冲击波，美债收益率再破4% 1、发改委主任郑栅洁：采取超常规措施，推动重点领域关键核心技术攻关取得突破 重要程度：★★★★★ 国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁在《党建》杂志发布《深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神 以高质量发展新 成效谱写中国式现代化新篇章》署名文章。 文章写道，加快高水平科技自立自强，引领发展新质生产力。加强原始创新和关键核心技术攻关，采取超 常规措施，全链条推动重点领域关键核心技术攻关取得决定性突破。 此外，消费方面，文章提出，要做强国内大循环，畅通国内国际双循环。建设强大国内市场，加快构建新 发展格局。坚持扩大内需这个战略基点，大力提振消费，扩大有效投资，坚决破除阻碍全国统一大市场建 设卡点堵点，促进国内市场和国际市场高效联通，以国内大循环更好牵引国际循环。 重要程度：★★★★ 在市场普遍预期美联储将继续降息之际，来自太平洋对岸的日本央行却意外释放了可能加息的信号，打破 了市场的平静，并推动关键的美国国债收益率重回4%以上，迫使投资者重新评估全球资本流动的风险。 华尔街的担忧在于，日本不断上升的债券收益率可能会吸引资金撤离美国投资，从而引发美国国债收益率 ...

另一家磷酸铁锂龙头企业刚刚进行了一次价格上调。函件显示，自2025年11月1日起，该公司磷酸铁锂产品加工费上涨3000元/吨（未税价）。而对于2025年 11月1日前已签订生效的订单，仍按原合同约定价格执行。 12月2日，上海证券报记者从市场获悉，近期，多家磷酸铁锂龙头企业提出提价诉求。 一家磷酸铁锂龙头企业在近期的价格调整方案中称，自2026年1月1日起，公司全系列铁锂产品加工费在现有基础上，上调3000元（未税价）每吨。后续若市 场或者原材料价格发生重大波动，产品价格再重新进行商议。 磷酸铁锂也是我国的核心优势产业之一。据韩国研究机构SNE Research发布的2025年上半年全球电池关键材料市场统计数据，在全球磷酸铁锂正极材料的装 载量中，排名靠前的供应商均为中国企业，市场份额约95%。 近期，磷酸铁锂不同类型产品价格均呈上涨态势。截至12月1日，长江有色金属网数据显示，动力型磷酸铁锂现货均价攀升至39950元/吨，价格区间在38400 至41500元/吨。储能型磷酸铁锂现货均价同步上涨至36950元/吨，价格区间为35300至38600元/吨。上述两种类型产品单日涨幅均达100元/吨。 最近6个月动 ...

12月2日，上海证券报记者从市场获悉，近期，多家磷酸铁锂龙头企业提出提价诉求。 一家磷酸铁锂龙头企业在近期的价格调整方案中称，自2026年1月1日起，公司全系列铁锂产品加工费在现有基础上，上调3000元（未税价）每吨。后续若 市场或者原材料价格发生重大波动，产品价格再重新进行商议。 另一家磷酸铁锂龙头企业刚刚进行了一次价格上调。函件显示，自2025年11月1日起，该公司磷酸铁锂产品加工费上涨3000元/吨（未税价）。而对于2025 年11月1日前已签订生效的订单，仍按原合同约定价格执行。 除了原材料价格上涨因素之外，近期，磷酸铁锂供需矛盾逐渐加大。 近期，磷酸铁锂不同类型产品价格均呈上涨态势。截至12月1日，长江有色金属网数据显示，动力型磷酸铁锂现货均价攀升至39950元/吨，价格区间在 38400至41500元/吨。储能型磷酸铁锂现货均价同步上涨至36950元/吨，价格区间为35300至38600元/吨。上述两种类型产品单日涨幅均达100元/吨。 最近6个月动力型磷酸铁锂平均价走势（长江综合）来源：Choice 记者采访获悉，如今，磷酸铁锂市场供应紧张，但企业扩产保供难以为继。受益于下游新能源汽车、储能需求 ...

12月2日，上海证券报记者从市场获悉，近期，多家磷酸铁锂龙头企业提出提价诉求。 一家磷酸铁锂龙头企业在近期的价格调整方案中称，自2026年1月1日起，公司全系列铁锂产品加工费在现有基础上，上调3000元（未税价）每吨。后续若 市场或者原材料价格发生重大波动，产品价格再重新进行商议。 记者采访获悉，如今，磷酸铁锂市场供应紧张，但企业扩产保供难以为继。受益于下游新能源汽车、储能需求爆发，目前行业有效产能开工率已提升至 95%以上，头部企业均已达满产。部分头部企业前三季度开工率已超100%，但自9月开始持续严重供应不足。同时，行业平均负债率高达67%，接下来扩 产保供资金压力巨大。 眼下，磷酸铁锂行业正积极响应政府及行业"反内卷"倡议。日前，中国化学与物理电源行业协会明确发出协同行动倡议，呼吁以成本指数为基准重建市场 定价逻辑，遏制"内卷式"恶性竞争。 一位磷酸铁锂行业研究员认为，为响应行业号召，推动行业从"规模竞争"向"质量竞争"跨越，调整价格是践行国家"反内卷"治理政策、顺应行业规范发展 的必要举措。 据中国化学与物理电源行业协会11月18日《磷酸铁锂材料行业成本研究》研讨会发布的数据显示，2025年1-9月磷 ...