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银价狂飙创14年新高!鲍威尔陷“装修门”漩涡,贵金属市场风云突变|大宗风云
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-07-15 13:05
Group 1: Silver Price Surge - International silver prices have seen a significant increase, with London silver reaching $38.24 per ounce and New York silver at $38.55 per ounce as of July 15, marking a year-to-date increase of 35% [2][3] - The surge in silver prices is attributed to rising geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets, particularly following Trump's announcement of tariffs on multiple countries [2][3] - Silver ETFs have outperformed gold ETFs, with an 18% increase in the last three months compared to gold's 4% [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver supply has been unable to meet demand, with a reported supply gap of 5,000 tons last year, as total demand reached 36,700 tons while supply was only 31,700 tons [4][5] - The World Silver Association predicts that this supply shortage will continue, with an expected shortfall of approximately 3,660 tons by 2025 [5] - The industrial demand for silver, particularly in the photovoltaic and new energy sectors, is a key driver of this increasing demand [3][4] Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and the potential for changes in U.S. monetary policy under the Federal Reserve are influencing market dynamics for precious metals [6][8] - The potential replacement of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts, impacting the strength of the U.S. dollar and subsequently benefiting gold and silver prices [8][9] - Market participants are advised to remain cautious regarding short-term price movements, particularly for gold, while considering silver as a favorable investment due to its current performance and market conditions [9][10]
印度“白银狂热”来袭!白银回报率碾压黄金
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-15 06:38
Group 1 - Indian investors are shifting their focus from gold to silver, with silver prices nearing a 14-year high and significantly outperforming gold this year [1][2] - Domestic silver prices in India have reached a historical high of 114,875 INR (1,336 USD) per kilogram, driven by supply shortages and rising investor expectations for further price increases [1][2] - Over the past three months, silver prices in India have increased by 21%, compared to a 5% rise in gold prices, marking a reversal from the previous year when gold surged by 34% and silver only by 23% [2] Group 2 - The demand for silver is being driven by investments in sectors such as solar energy and electric vehicles, which have outpaced silver production [2][4] - Record inflows into silver ETFs in June reached 20.04 billion INR, a significant increase from 8.53 billion INR in May, with total inflows for Q2 amounting to 39.25 billion INR, far exceeding gold ETFs' 23.67 billion INR [2] - The Silver Institute reported a 7% year-on-year increase in retail investment demand for silver in India for the first half of 2025, driven by expectations of rising prices [4] Group 3 - The shift towards silver is attracting a growing number of urban investors, traditionally, silver was favored by budget-conscious rural consumers [3] - The convenience of silver ETFs is appealing to investors, as they avoid the high costs associated with storing and transporting physical silver [3]
港股午评|恒生指数早盘涨0.20% 恒生生物科技指数走高
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 04:06
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.20%, gaining 47 points to close at 24,250 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.41% [1] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a morning trading volume of HKD 144 billion [1] - Notable gainers included Innovent Biologics (up over 5%), BeiGene (up 4.46%), and CSPC Pharmaceutical (up 3.88%) [1] Group 2 - Bilibili-W rose by 4.79% as HSBC expressed optimism about its gaming and advertising business, suggesting potential for increased shareholder returns [1] - Yunfeng Financial surged by 18.18% due to its strategic focus on digital currency and AI [1] - GDS Holdings (up 10.16%) announced the early conclusion of public fundraising for its Southern GDS Data Center REIT [1] Group 3 - Major declines were observed in the property sector, with R&F Properties falling by 5.36% and Sunac China down by 5.75%, as institutions expect continued pressure on the sector's performance [1] - Longpan Technology dropped over 4% due to ongoing challenges in the lithium battery industry, with projected losses of up to CNY 98.3 million for the first half [1] Group 4 - Ganfeng Lithium fell over 5% as the prices of lithium salts and battery products continued to decline, with expected losses exceeding CNY 300 million for the first half [2] - Chenming Paper experienced a drop of over 7% due to a major production base undergoing maintenance, with anticipated losses exceeding CNY 3.5 billion for the first half [3] - Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company also fell over 7%, projecting a net loss of up to CNY 18 million amid pressure on its gas storage and transportation export business [3] - China Silver Group declined over 8% after announcing a discounted placement of shares, aiming to raise HKD 207 million [3]
高地集团:白银在疯涨创下14年新高,现在是上车的时机吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 02:11
未来涨势仍有空间,但"上车"需理性 展望未来,白银价格仍存在进一步上涨的动力,短期来看,地缘政治的不确定性与美联储货币政策的调整节 奏,将成为影响银价波动的核心因素,如果国际局势持续紧张,或美国加息节奏出现转向,白银价格可能进一 步受到提振,中长期来看,新能源尤其是光伏与电动车产业将成为白银需求的主要增长引擎,2025年光伏装 机规模有望再创新高,白银作为核心导电材料,需求增长可期,同时若全球央行继续增加贵金属储备,白银的 金融价值将进一步被放大。 现在是上车白银的好时机吗? 高地集团认为:白银当前正站在一个历史性机遇的窗口,一方面,避险情绪推动贵金属整体上涨;另一方面, 工业需求与供需缺口支撑其中长期上涨逻辑,但是否"现在就上车",仍需结合自身风险承受能力与投资经 验来判断,对于普通投资者来说,与其追逐短期涨幅,不如通过更稳健的方式参与,比如小额分批建仓或购买 与白银相关的基金产品,同时密切关注美联储政策、国际局势变化以及白银的供应状况,将有助于更好地 把握入场时机,市场从不缺机会,但理性和耐心,才是穿越波动的关键。 在近期的国际金融市场中,白银成为耀眼的资产之一继黄金价格不断刷新历史高位之后,白银价格也大 ...
银价涨至近14年高位!现货市场供需失衡加剧,贸易战推升避险需求
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-14 13:31
银价上涨的背后是现货市场供应紧张和借贷成本激增。一个月期银价借贷的隐含年化成本已跳升至6%以上,远高于通常接近零的水平。 美国贸易政策担忧也进一步推高了银价,墨西哥作为最大的银生产国和美国市场的关键供应商,面临高达30%的关税威胁。此外,作为避险资产 和工业用金属,银价受益于地缘政治冲突、贸易紧张局势以及太阳能板等工业需求的推动。 现货市场供需失衡加剧 银价攀升至近十四年高位,投资者在金价接近历史纪录的背景下寻求替代性贵金属投资。 周一,现货白银延续了上周4%的涨势,日内一度上涨1.9%,突破每盎司39美元至近十四年高位,今年以来累计涨35%,超过黄金28%的涨幅。 银价需求目前受益于贸易战威胁,以及黄金价格对许多投资者来说过于昂贵。 墨西哥面临的关税威胁尤其引人关注。据央视新闻,当地时间7月12日,美国总统特朗普宣布自2025年8月1日起,美国将对来自墨西哥和欧盟的输 美产品征收30%的关税。 作为全球最大的银生产国,墨西哥是美国市场的关键供应商。尽管《美墨加协定》暂时将银价排除在关税清单之外,但市场担心这一豁免可能不 会持续。 伦敦现货价格与纽约9月期货合约之间的价差异常宽泛,类似于年初特朗普激进贸易政策 ...
湖南白银:预计上半年净利润同比增长3.23%-46.25%
news flash· 2025-07-14 10:03
湖南白银(002716)公告,预计2025年上半年净利润为6000万元至8500万元,同比增长3.23%至 46.25%。 ...
贵金属板块强势上涨,后续行情与投资价值解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 09:28
再看供需关系,在供给端,全球金矿品位下降,开采难度增加,同时环保限产等政策因素也限制了产能 扩张 。而需求端,除了传统的首饰需求外,工业领域对贵金属的需求不断增长。例如,新能源、半导 体等行业的快速发展,使得白银等贵金属的用量大幅增加 。供需失衡对价格形成有力支撑。 近期,贵金属市场热度非凡,黄金、白银价格持续攀升,相关股票也集体走强,引发投资者广泛关注。 7 月 14 日,国内期市贵金属板块集体飘红,沪金主力合约报 778.30 元 / 克,涨幅 0.66%;沪银主力合 约报 9198.00 元 / 千克,涨幅 2.01% 。当日,贵金属板块指数收盘上涨 2.94%,主力资金净流入 3.6819 亿元 。这一轮贵金属板块的大涨,有着深刻的底层逻辑。 从宏观经济与地缘政治层面来看,全球经济增长面临诸多不确定性,地缘政治冲突时有发生。比如近期 中东地区局势紧张,以色列空袭伊朗引发地缘危机持续发酵 。在这种不稳定的大环境下,投资者避险 情绪急剧升温。黄金、白银等贵金属因其悠久历史所赋予的 "硬通货" 特性,成为资金寻求避险的重要 港湾。当局势动荡时,投资者往往抛售风险资产,转而持有贵金属,推动其价格上涨。 货币政 ...
港股概念追踪|金银比存在修复空间 白银价格突破新高(附概念股)
智通财经网· 2025-07-14 00:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that silver prices are expected to rise significantly, potentially surpassing gold by 2025 due to geopolitical risks, inflation concerns, and positive price expectations [1][2] - The gold-silver ratio has shown a significant decline from the recent peak of over 100, currently returning to 90, with optimistic projections suggesting it could stabilize at 50, leading to silver prices reaching $70 per ounce [1][2] - Historical data shows that during periods of stagflation, silver has outperformed gold, with notable price increases in previous stagflation periods, indicating that silver may continue to be a strong investment alternative [2][3] Group 2 - The market has a significant misunderstanding regarding silver pricing, particularly in the context of stagflation, where silver's investment demand has historically driven price increases despite industrial demand fluctuations [2][3] - The industrial demand for silver, particularly from the photovoltaic sector, is not expected to negatively impact the supply-demand balance, as historical trends show that declines in certain industrial uses have not hindered silver's bull markets [2][3] - Investment demand has been the dominant factor influencing silver's price fluctuations since 2005, overshadowing the impact of industrial and jewelry demand [3] Group 3 - Related Hong Kong stocks in the silver industry include China Silver Group (00815), which may benefit from the anticipated rise in silver prices [4]
涨涨涨!狂飙!创13年来新高!
新华网财经· 2025-07-12 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The surge in silver prices is driven by a combination of heightened investment demand and industrial usage, with significant growth in sales of investment silver products observed this year [2][3][6]. Group 1: Price Movement - As of July 11, silver prices reached a 14-year high, with spot prices rising by 3.77% to over $38 per ounce and COMEX futures increasing by 4.74% to surpass $39 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 32% [1]. - The increase in silver prices is attributed to both safe-haven demand due to geopolitical tensions and rising industrial demand, particularly in the photovoltaic and electric vehicle sectors [6][10]. Group 2: Investment Demand - Sales of investment silver products, such as silver bars and silver ingots, have surged by over 40% year-on-year, indicating a strong consumer interest [3]. - In June, sales of investment silver bars increased by 20% compared to May, with a notable preference for one-kilogram and 500-gram bars among consumers [5]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, with a reported shortfall of 5,000 tons in 2022, a gap that has persisted for five consecutive years [7]. - The World Silver Association projects that the demand for silver will continue to rise, particularly in the automotive sector, where the silver usage in hybrid and electric vehicles is expected to increase by 21% and 71%, respectively, compared to traditional vehicles [6][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Multiple institutions suggest that silver prices have further upward potential due to the ongoing supply-demand imbalance and the financial attributes of silver [9]. - The uncertainty in geopolitical situations and the direction of U.S. monetary policy are identified as key factors influencing silver price fluctuations in the short term [10].
湖南白银涨停,机构龙虎榜净买入2381.74万元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-07-11 09:05
湖南白银今日涨停,全天换手率14.93%,成交额14.11亿元,振幅7.04%。龙虎榜数据显示,机构净买入 2381.74万元,深股通净买入6421.07万元,营业部席位合计净买入3530.91万元。 深交所公开信息显示,当日该股因日涨幅偏离值达9.53%上榜,机构专用席位净买入2381.74万元,深股 通净买入6421.07万元。 融资融券数据显示,该股最新(7月10日)两融余额为4.07亿元,其中,融资余额为4.06亿元,融券余额 为61.87万元。近5日融资余额合计减少3617.89万元,降幅为8.18%,融券余额合计减少17.99万元,降幅 22.52%。(数据宝) 湖南白银7月11日交易公开信息 | 买/ 卖 | 会员营业部名称 | 买入金额(万元) | 卖出金额(万元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 买一 | 深股通专用 | 12800.07 | 6379.00 | | 买二 | 华鑫证券有限责任公司上海云锦路证券营业部 | 3494.04 | 2.95 | | 买三 | 国信证券股份有限公司北京分公司 | 3409.50 | 1746.59 | | 买四 | 机构专 ...