Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the basic chemical industry, indicating a "Buy" rating due to the anticipated demand season and rising prices of key products [1]. Core Insights - The demand season is approaching, leading to price increases for monoammonium phosphate, potassium chloride, urea, and refrigerants. The average operating load for compound fertilizers has increased to 43.17%, up by 9.04% from the previous week, boosting demand for these fertilizers [3][21]. - The prices for key products as of March 2 are as follows: monoammonium phosphate at 3,279 CNY/ton (up 211 CNY), urea at 1,856 CNY/ton (up 2.83%), and potassium chloride at 3,286 CNY/ton (up 11.24%) [3][24]. - Refrigerant prices are also rising, with R142b at 25,000 CNY/ton (up 1,000 CNY), R22 at 34,000 CNY/ton (up 500 CNY), and R134a at 45,000 CNY/ton (up 500 CNY) [4][31]. Summary by Sections (1) Key Chemical Product Price Tracking - Significant price increases were observed in monoammonium phosphate (8.47%), carbon black (8.37%), and potassium chloride (6.16%) during the week [14]. - The average operating load for compound fertilizers has increased, indicating a positive trend in production and demand [21]. (2) Polyurethane: MDI and TDI Price Decline - MDI prices have decreased due to limited purchasing enthusiasm from downstream enterprises, with current prices at 18,300 CNY/ton for polymer MDI and 19,100 CNY/ton for pure MDI [17]. (3) Agricultural Chemicals: Urea and Potassium Chloride Price Increase - Urea prices have risen due to increased demand as northern wheat enters the fertilization period, with current prices at 1,856 CNY/ton [24]. - Potassium chloride supply is tight due to reduced production from major manufacturers, leading to a price increase to 3,286 CNY/ton [24]. (4) Fluorochemicals: Refrigerant Price and Profit Margin Increase - The refrigerant market is experiencing price increases across major products, driven by rising export orders and domestic consumption incentives. The price for R125 is now 44,000 CNY/ton, and for R32, it is 44,500 CNY/ton [29][31].

基础化工 2025 年 03 月 03 日 行业周报 看好/维持 基础化工 化工周报（2/24-3/2）： 需求旺季到来，磷酸一铵、氯化钾、尿素、制冷剂等价格上涨 (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 24/2/28 24/5/11 24/7/23 24/10/4 24/12/16 25/2/27 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<化工周报（2/17-2/23）：春耕临近 推动尿素、氯化钾价格上涨；科技突 破 有 望 拉 动 电 子 材 料 需 求 >>-- 2025-02-24 <<化工周报（2/5-2/9）：库存偏紧推 动氯化钾价格上涨；AI 应用有望拉 动电子材料需求>>--2025-02-10 <<化工周报（1/13-1/19）：三代制冷 剂毛利继续走扩；快速去库推动涤纶 长丝价格上涨>>--2025-01-20 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点行业和产品情况跟踪 磷酸一铵 ...

Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The company achieved a revenue of 8.419 billion yuan in H1 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 738 million yuan, up 7% year-on-year [17][18] - For the second quarter of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.084 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 40% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 52% [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The overall sales volume of compound fertilizers increased by 12.38% year-on-year in H1 2024, with ordinary compound fertilizers up 10.16% and new-type compound fertilizers up 19.45% [18] - The gross margin for H1 2024 was 16.06%, an increase of 1.17 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 8.79%, up 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [18] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - The company’s new-type fertilizer sales revenue reached 2.247 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.94%, accounting for 30.43% of the overall sales volume and 35.41% of the sales revenue of compound fertilizers [18] - The company has established a competitive advantage through an integrated industrial chain, with various production capacities including 9.83 million tons/year of high-concentration phosphate fertilizers [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company is focusing on enhancing its integrated industrial chain advantages and expanding upstream phosphate mine layouts to strengthen its market position [19] - The company aims to achieve net profit growth targets of 30%, 65%, and 100% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating a strong commitment to growth [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed confidence in the recovery of the compound fertilizer industry and the company's ability to restore volume and profit margins [17][19] - The management highlighted the importance of adapting to changes in the real estate market and consumer behavior as key factors influencing future performance [8][19] Other Important Information - The company has implemented a stock incentive plan, with performance targets set to double over three years, indicating a strong commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value [14][15] - The company plans to repurchase 4-8 million shares for the incentive plan, which represents 0.37%-0.75% of the total share capital [14] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: What are the expected profit targets for the next three years? - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.25 billion yuan, 1.5 billion yuan, and 1.67 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [15] Question: How does the company plan to enhance its competitive advantage? - The company plans to enhance its competitive advantage through integrated production capabilities and expanding its phosphate mining operations, which will support its fertilizer production [19]