转自：新华财经 新华财经北京2月13日电（记者翟卓）中国人民银行13日发布数据显示，M2和社会融资规模增速均保持在较高水平，持续为经济回升向好创造适宜的货币 金融环境。 从社融结构看，随着金融市场快速发展、融资渠道日益畅通，债券、股票等直接融资在社会融资结构中的重要性显著上升。2025年，社融规模增量中股票 和债券融资占比已达到47%，比上年提高5个百分点，已超过贷款占比。 从货币创造渠道看，银行投放信贷、增持债券等行为都会派生存款货币，随着直接融资发展，近年来银行债券投资在全部资金运用中的占比明显上升， 2025年末为22%，过去5年、过去10年分别累计提高了4个、9个百分点。 业内人士表示，开年以来，人民银行率先出台了一批货币金融政策，积极助力经济结构转型优化，政策早出台就能早见效，带动信贷总量平稳增长、需求 端显现回暖动能，1月末社融及M2增速均明显高于名义GDP增速，充分体现了适度宽松的货币政策状态，有力支持了年初经济平稳开局。 ——M2同比增长达9% 社融规模创历史同期最高 根据中国人民银行数据，1月末，M2余额347.19万亿元，同比增长9.0%，增速较上月高0.5个百分点，比上年同期高2.0个百 ...

Market Overview - The US dollar has shown a general weakness this week, with the index experiencing significant fluctuations influenced by data-driven factors and changing expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1] - Gold prices have been volatile, initially rising above $5100 per ounce due to a weaker dollar, but later dropping sharply before recovering, influenced by central bank buying and geopolitical factors [1] - Silver also experienced significant price swings, with a notable drop of over $9 in one day [1] Oil Market Dynamics - Oil prices exhibited a pattern of rising and then falling, initially boosted by US warnings regarding the safety of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, but later pressured by unexpected increases in EIA inventory and reduced global demand forecasts [2] - The market is reacting to geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, with OPEC+ reportedly leaning towards increasing production starting in April [2] Stock Market Trends - The US stock market displayed a clear divergence, with technology stocks facing turbulence due to concerns over AI costs, while value stocks and cyclical sectors saw increased investment, pushing blue-chip indices to new highs [2] - Notably, Apple shares experienced a significant drop, resulting in a market capitalization loss exceeding $200 billion [2] Silver Market Insights - The Silver Institute indicates a structural supply shortage expected to last until 2026, with a projected supply gap of 67 million ounces and a 20% increase in investment demand [5] - JPMorgan forecasts an average silver price of $81 per ounce by 2026, with potential peaks in the fourth quarter [5] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Expectations - TD Securities has pushed back its expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts from March to June, while still anticipating three cuts within the year [6] - The labor market's stability may lead the Fed to maintain interest rates for a while, despite inflation showing signs of easing [8] Economic Indicators - The US non-farm payroll report showed strong job growth, with 130,000 new jobs added, the largest increase since April 2025, and an unemployment rate drop to 4.3% [7] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated a month-over-month increase of 0.2%, below expectations, suggesting a potential easing of inflationary pressures [7] Japanese Market Developments - Following the recent elections, the Japanese stock market has surged, with the Nikkei 225 index surpassing 58,000 points, driven by improved economic outlooks and foreign investment [12] - The new government plans to stimulate the economy through tax cuts without increasing debt, aiming for fiscal sustainability [12] Nickel Market Update - Indonesia has drastically cut the production quota for the world's largest nickel mine, reducing it from 42 million tons to 12 million tons, a 71% decrease, which has led to a spike in nickel prices [17] - This move is part of Indonesia's broader strategy to regulate mining output and support domestic processing industries [18] AI Industry Developments - The AI sector is witnessing a surge in product launches, with several companies unveiling advanced models that enhance video generation and reasoning capabilities [19] - Notable releases include ByteDance's AI video model and Alibaba's new multimodal model, indicating a competitive landscape in AI technology [20]

数据显示，1月末，广义货币（M2）余额347.19万亿元，同比增速较上月高0.5个百分点，较上年同期高2个百分点，充分体现了适度宽松的 货币政策状态。 新华社北京2月13日电 题：平稳开局！开年首月社会融资规模增量达7.22万亿元 新华社记者吴雨、任军 金融是国民经济的血脉。2月13日中国人民银行发布的数据显示，开年首月，我国社会融资规模增量达7.22万亿元，创历史同期新高，有力 支持了年初经济平稳开局。 2026年首月，金融成绩单亮点突出：1月末，人民币贷款余额同比增长6.1%，社会融资规模存量同比增长8.2%，广义货币（M2）余额同比增 长9%……一条条上扬曲线折射出我国金融供给总量较为充足，积极破解有效需求不足问题，为经济回升向好营造了适宜的货币金融环境。 这背后是适度宽松的货币政策持续发力。一开年，中国人民银行出台了多项支持实体经济的货币金融政策，既有再贷款工具的完善与创新， 也有年内首次结构性"降息"落地，加力支持民营企业、科技创新、绿色低碳等重点领域。 如何进一步激发有效信贷需求？融资成本是企业和居民关注的重点之一。 记者从中国人民银行了解到，1月份企业新发放贷款（本外币）加权平均利率约为3.2% ...

昨天晚上，也就是当地时间2月12日，我熬夜盯完美股和贵金属盘面，关掉电脑的那一刻，心里只有一个念头：这市场，真的太魔幻了。 不管你是炒美股、买黄金，还是哪怕只存了点银行理财，这段时间关注市场的朋友，估计都被这波大跌惊出了一身冷汗。打开财经群，全是哀嚎：有人说自 己抄底黄金，刚买入就跌了3%，一天亏掉大半年工资；有人重仓美股科技股，一夜之间账户缩水20%，连补仓的勇气都没有；还有人一脸懵圈，明明前几 天还听人说"黄金能涨到6000美元""美股会一直涨"，怎么突然就集体翻车了？ 说实话，我从业十几年，见过不少市场波动，但像2月12日这样，美股和贵金属同步"跳水"，而且跌幅这么狠的场景，也不算常见。更关键的是，这波大跌 不是偶然，背后藏着的逻辑，关系到我们每个人的钱袋子——哪怕你不炒股、不买贵金属，也得弄明白：为什么会跌？这波下跌和我们普通人有什么关系？ 接下来该怎么避坑？ 先给大家捋一捋，当地时间2月12日这一天，到底发生了什么。咱们不玩虚的，所有数据都来自央广网、证券时报、智通财经这些权威媒体，交叉验证过， 绝对真实可信，没有任何谣言和猜测。 先说美股，当地时间2月12日开盘后，美股三大指数就开启了"下跌模式" ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月13日 1 月金融数据解读 居民信贷"破冰" 经济研究·宏观快评 | 证券分析师： | 李智能 | 0755-22940456 | lizn@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980516060001 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 田地 | 0755-81982035 | tiandi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090003 | 事项： 1 月我国新增社融 7.22 万亿元（预期 6.51 万亿元），新增人民币贷款 4.71 万亿元（预期 4.50 万亿元）， M2 同比增长 9.0%（预期 8.4%）。 评论： 证券研究报告 值得关注的是，今年 1 月社融结构与去年同期高度相似，均为总量强劲、票据压降、直接融资活跃的组合。 而去年在超预期的"开门红"之后，后续月份持续走弱，反映出 1 月数据易受银行开门红冲量、政策靠前 发力等非内生因素扰动。因此，尽管当前数据释放积极信号，但单月表现尚不足以确认趋势性拐点，后续 仍需观察 2—3 月数据的可持续性。 展望后续，1 月金融 ...

英国央行首席经济学家Huw Pill周五表示，英国消费者价格通胀正在回落，但放缓速度不及央行官员预 期。 英国央行上周维持关键利率不变，但预测从4月起通胀将接近2%的目标。不过Pill指出，通胀回落很大 程度上是政府压低能源价格的举措所致，而非经济基本面驱动。 Pill称："通胀放缓的进程仍在继续，但速度并不如我们原本希望的那样快。" 在英国央行货币政策委员会近期会议上，Pill比多数同僚更倾向于维持较高的关键利率。他是投票支持 按兵不动的五名委员之一，另有四名委员支持再次降息。 责任编辑：何云 英国央行首席经济学家Huw Pill周五表示，英国消费者价格通胀正在回落，但放缓速度不及央行官员预 期。 在英国央行货币政策委员会近期会议上，Pill比多数同僚更倾向于维持较高的关键利率。他是投票支持 按兵不动的五名委员之一，另有四名委员支持再次降息。 责任编辑：何云 英国央行上周维持关键利率不变，但预测从4月起通胀将接近2%的目标。不过Pill指出，通胀回落很大 程度上是政府压低能源价格的举措所致，而非经济基本面驱动。 Pill称："通胀放缓的进程仍在继续，但速度并不如我们原本希望的那样快。" ...

Core Viewpoint - Meili Tianyuan Medical Health (02373) announced the investment of idle funds into principal-protected financial products from Pudong Development Bank, totaling RMB 80 million [1] Group 1: Investment Details - The company’s non-wholly owned subsidiary, Beijing Beilish, subscribed to a principal-protected financial product from Pudong Development Bank for a total amount of RMB 80 million on February 13, 2026 [1] - Additionally, the company, through Beijing Beilish and Shanghai Meili Tianyuan Medical Health, subscribed to several other principal-protected financial products from Pudong Development Bank, including RMB 70 million on November 21, 2025, RMB 10 million on November 28, 2025, and RMB 80 million on December 30, 2025 [1] - All the aforementioned financial products are still outstanding as of the date of the announcement [1]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月13日 1 月金融数据解读 居民信贷"破冰" 经济研究·宏观快评 | 证券分析师： | 李智能 | 0755-22940456 | lizn@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980516060001 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 田地 | 0755-81982035 | tiandi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090003 | 事项： 1 月我国新增社融 7.22 万亿元（预期 6.51 万亿元），新增人民币贷款 4.71 万亿元（预期 4.50 万亿元）， M2 同比增长 9.0%（预期 8.4%）。 评论： 图1：金融数据分项一览 资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理 结论：1 月金融数据呈现总量强劲、结构分化的特征。新增社融环比多增 5.01 万亿元，高于季节性水平， 绝对金额创历史新高。受去年同期高基数影响，社融同比增速小幅回落至 8.2%。信贷方面，总量同比延 续少增，但结构持续改善。企业端票据融资同比明显多减，短贷与中长贷结构优化；居民端释放积极信号， ...

Group 1: Monetary Supply and Growth Rates - M1 growth rate increased to 4.9% in January 2026, up from 3.8% in December 2025[1] - M2 growth rate rose to 9.0% in January 2026, compared to 8.5% in December 2025[1] - New social financing (社融) reached 7.2 trillion yuan in January 2026, an increase of 165.4 billion yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 8.2%[1] Group 2: Household Deposits and Trends - Household deposit growth rate estimated at 7.18% in January 2026, down from 9.68% in December 2025[1] - The difference between household deposit growth and M2 growth turned negative for the first time in 7.5 years, at -1.82 percentage points[1] - Non-bank deposits showed a rapid increase in the rolling 12-month sum[1] Group 3: Loan and Credit Dynamics - New RMB loans totaled 4.71 trillion yuan in January 2026, a decrease of 420 billion yuan year-on-year, with a growth rate of 6.1%[1] - The decline in loans was primarily driven by a decrease in corporate loans, particularly in medium to long-term loans, which fell by 280 billion yuan[19] - Residential credit showed a slight increase of 128 billion yuan, with short-term loans up by 159.4 billion yuan, while medium to long-term loans decreased by 146.6 billion yuan[19] Group 4: Financing Sources and Trends - Government bond financing increased by 2.83 trillion yuan year-on-year, with a net financing of 9.76 trillion yuan in January 2026[26] - Corporate bond financing rose by 579 billion yuan, driven by technology innovation bonds, which net financed approximately 2.52 trillion yuan[25] - The effective social financing growth rate, excluding government financing, was 5.31%, down from 5.62%[5]

证券日报网讯 2月13日，东方创业发布公告称，公司已取得民生上海分行出具的《贷款承诺函》，同意 提供不超9000万元、期限3年的专项贷款，仅用于回购公司股票。本次回购方案已于2025年11月21日获 股东会批准，拟以集中竞价方式使用5000万至1亿元资金回购A股并注销，期限不超过3个月，价格上限 11.59元/股。公司提醒，贷款承诺不构成回购金额承诺，将视市场情况择机实施并持续披露进展。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...