Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pig farming industry, recommending continued investment in pig farming despite recent price declines due to supply pressures [1][7][21] - The report highlights a significant drop in pig prices, with the average price for market pigs at 12.67 yuan/kg, down 3.65% week-on-week [7][32][33] - The report indicates ongoing losses in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased pig farming yielding losses of 74.11 yuan/head and 236.57 yuan/head respectively [7][37] Industry Overview - The agricultural sector index has decreased by 1.97% week-on-week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 1.07% [11] - Since January 2, 2025, the agricultural sector has seen a total increase of 16.95%, compared to a 15.63% increase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [12][11] - The report notes that the pig farming sector is currently in a downward cycle, with supply pressures gradually being released [21] Pig Farming Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows has slightly decreased by 0.80% month-on-month in August, indicating a potential reduction in future supply [22][7] - The average weight of market pigs at the time of sale is reported at 128.55 kg [22][8] - The report emphasizes that the current breeding and purchasing sentiment is declining due to stricter environmental regulations and market conditions [17][21] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The average price for white feathered chickens is reported at 6.90 yuan/kg, with a slight increase of 0.29% week-on-week [38][41] - The report notes that the poultry industry is facing uncertainties due to ongoing outbreaks of avian influenza in overseas markets [38][39] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, with significant growth in vaccine approvals and product launches [46] - The report highlights that the industry is seeing a recovery in sales, with some vaccines showing substantial year-on-year growth [46] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have shown slight increases, indicating a potential upward trend in agricultural input costs [50] - The report emphasizes the importance of food security and the need for advancements in agricultural biotechnology [50] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have decreased by 15.5% year-on-year, with a total export value of 834 million yuan in August 2025 [55][56] - Domestic sales of pet food continue to grow, with significant increases reported on e-commerce platforms [57] - The report suggests that companies with strong domestic sales and innovative product offerings are likely to gain market share [59]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing decline in pork prices, with the average price of live pigs at 12.64 CNY/kg, down 3.05% week-on-week, indicating a supply surplus in the market. However, upcoming festivals are expected to boost consumption and potentially stabilize prices [2][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of improving grain yield through advanced agricultural practices and technology, particularly in the context of food security and the promotion of genetically modified crops [1][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is focusing on enhancing grain yields through a comprehensive approach tailored to specific crops and regions. This includes promoting high-performance agricultural machinery and addressing storage issues in different regions [1][12] - Companies like Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these initiatives, along with seed companies such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Swine Farming - The current average price of live pigs is 12.64 CNY/kg, reflecting a significant decrease due to oversupply. A meeting was held to discuss reducing the breeding sow population by approximately 1 million to stabilize prices [2][13] - The report suggests that the swine industry will focus on quality improvement and efficiency, with a gradual elimination of outdated production capacity. Companies like Muyuan Foods and Wen's Foodstuffs are highlighted as key players to watch [2][5][13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2360.47 CNY/ton, down 0.10% week-on-week [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2434.39 CNY/ton, up 0.23% week-on-week [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 4050.42 CNY/ton, up 0.17% week-on-week [38] - Cotton: The average price is 15090.00 CNY/ton, down 0.89% week-on-week [46] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.68 CNY/kg, with no change week-on-week. Vitamin E prices have decreased by 7.84% to 51.70 CNY/kg [52][63]

Core Insights - The report indicates a shift from profit to loss in self-breeding pig farming, driven by ongoing capacity regulation policies [1][7][33] - The overall investment rating for the agricultural sector remains optimistic [1] Group 1: Swine Farming Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows decreased by 0.80% in August compared to July, indicating a slight contraction in supply [19] - The price of market pigs has declined, with the average selling price on September 18 being 13.15 CNY/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.74% [28][29] - Profitability in self-breeding and purchased pig farming has turned negative, with losses of 24.44 CNY/head and 199.31 CNY/head respectively as of September 19 [33][36] Group 2: Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The average price of white feather broilers on September 19 was 6.88 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.99% [34][37] - The profit from white feather broiler farming was negative at -1.56 CNY/bird [34][37] Group 3: Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, with significant growth in vaccine approvals and product launches [43] - The industry is seeing a recovery in sales, with notable increases in the issuance of various vaccines [43] Group 4: Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn as of September 19 were 2430 CNY/ton, 3032 CNY/ton, and 2360 CNY/ton respectively, with corn prices showing a year-to-date increase of 11.2% [47][49] Group 5: Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports in July amounted to 930 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 3.0% [52][53] - Domestic sales of pet food continue to grow, with e-commerce platforms showing an overall growth rate of 8% in August [55][57]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that pig prices are expected to fluctuate weakly in the second half of 2025, with a continued focus on observing the progress of capacity reduction [1] Group 1: Recommendations - The company continues to recommend leading enterprises with strong innovation and dividend capabilities, as well as companies that can achieve incremental growth through mergers and innovations [1] - In the context of sustained post-cycle prosperity, the company continues to recommend leading stocks in the feed sector and high-quality animal health products [1] - The seed industry is recommended for companies with a favorable trend in large product categories and increasing market share [1] - The demand for pet food remains stable, and the company continues to recommend leading food companies [1] Group 2: Growth Sectors - In other growth sectors, the company continues to recommend: 1) leading companies in functional sugars; 2) leading companies in blueberries [1]

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance recovery is slowing down, with mid-cap growth stocks showing outstanding growth. The expansion of the AI trend and manufacturing overseas is expected to drive continued capacity cycle expansion, maintaining a differentiated structure of cyclical growth [1][2]. Group 1: Overall Performance - In H1 2025, the net profit of the entire A-share non-financial sector increased by 1.59% year-on-year, with revenue growth at 0.66%, indicating strong resilience despite rising operating costs leading to a narrowing of gross profit growth [2]. - The performance growth is differentiated across sectors, with the main board, ChiNext, and North Exchange showing a slowdown, while the growth of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board rebounded significantly [2]. - Mid-cap stocks outperformed in growth, while large-cap stocks showed resilience, and small-cap stocks experienced a noticeable decline [2]. Group 2: Sector Performance - The technology growth sector, including optical electronics, semiconductors, and communication equipment, continued to show high prosperity driven by overseas AI investments and domestic substitution demand [3]. - The cyclical sector faced pressure, but precious metals and minor metals still grew rapidly due to rising expectations of overseas interest rate cuts and tight supply [3]. - Essential consumption faced general pressure, but sectors like breeding, feed, and animal health showed significant growth due to capacity reduction and the expansion of the pet economy [3]. Group 3: Capacity Operation - In Q2 2025, traditional cyclical resources and equipment manufacturing industries are experiencing strong capacity decommissioning intentions, while emerging industries and new materials are showing expansion characteristics [4]. - The capacity utilization rate in emerging technology hardware and some consumer industries remains high, with marginal improvements observed [4]. - The capacity cycle is entering an expansion phase, particularly in emerging technology industries, new consumption, and certain cyclical materials [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 559 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.79%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 116 million yuan, up 57.12% year-on-year [4]. - Despite challenges in the pig vaccine segment, significant growth was observed in poultry and pet-related products, with poultry vaccine revenue increasing by 30.01% and pet vaccine revenue rising by 49.65% [5]. - The company has successfully reduced its expense ratio, with total expenses decreasing by 7.97 percentage points year-on-year to 28.89% [5]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.49 yuan, 0.62 yuan, and 0.72 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's performance [6]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 14.63 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 5.1 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a total share capital of 346 million shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 15.2% and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 54.19 [3].

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming industry, with a focus on the potential for value reassessment of pig farming companies [2][5] - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with the overall index up by 2.02% week-on-week, while the pig farming segment has seen a notable increase of 4.39% [11][12] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have slightly declined this week due to sufficient supply and market sentiment being buoyed by government stockpiling efforts [7][16] - The number of breeding sows has shown a slight decrease, with July figures indicating a 0.02% month-on-month decline [20][22] - The average price for market pigs as of August 28 is 13.70 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.51% [30][36] - Profitability in pig farming remains positive for self-bred pigs, with a profit of 32.24 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 148.41 CNY per head [38][41] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The price of white feathered chickens remains stable, with an average price of 7.33 CNY/kg as of August 29 [39][42] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. create uncertainty in the supply of breeding chickens, which may benefit the white feathered chicken industry [39][40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by the recovery in livestock numbers and the introduction of new products [47] - Significant growth in the issuance of veterinary vaccine approvals has been noted, particularly for African swine fever vaccines, which may enhance market interest [47][51] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have decreased slightly, with wheat at 2429 CNY/ton, soybean meal at 3071 CNY/ton, and corn at 2365 CNY/ton as of August 29 [52][53] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, while soybean stocks are also projected to decline [54][56] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have seen a decline, with July figures showing a 3.0% year-on-year decrease, amounting to 930 million CNY [58][60] - Domestic sales in the pet food market continue to grow, with notable increases in sales for brands like Guai Bao and Pei Di [60][61] - The recent Asia Pet Expo showcased over 2600 exhibitors and more than 20000 brands, indicating a robust growth in the pet industry [61][62]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [4] Core Insights - In July, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs reported a stable yet slightly declining breeding sow inventory at 40.42 million heads, with a significant increase in pig slaughtering volume, reaching 31.66 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 5.3% and a year-on-year increase of 30.4% [1][3] - The average price of commodity pigs showed a slight rebound to 14.84 yuan/kg in July, with a month-on-month increase of 1.9% but a year-on-year decrease of 21.6% [1] - The overall profitability of the industry remained marginal, with average profits per head for large-scale farms at 21 yuan and for smallholders at 6 yuan [1] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The agricultural sector outperformed the market, with the agricultural index rising by 2.02% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 0.84% increase [13] - The livestock farming sector saw a rise of 4.39%, while other sectors like animal health and fisheries experienced declines [13] 2. Key Data Tracking - The average price of live pigs was reported at 13.66 yuan/kg, down 0.65% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets was 27.14 yuan/kg, down 2.3% [22] - The average slaughter weight of pigs decreased to 127.83 kg, with a slight decline of 0.15 kg week-on-week [22] 3. Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to enter a long-term profit upcycle, with recommendations for companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [3][68] - The feed and animal health sectors are also highlighted for potential growth, particularly with the recent clinical trials of vaccines [3][68] - The planting chain is recommended for investment due to the upward trend in grain prices, with companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang being noted [3][68] - The pet food sector is experiencing growth, with recommendations for companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. [3][70]

Group 1 - The article discusses various agricultural sectors, including pig farming, pet industry, poultry, animal health, feed, planting, plant extraction, and high-end blueberries, highlighting their current trends and future opportunities [4][5]. - Specific events and discussions are scheduled from September 1 to September 11, focusing on different topics each day, indicating a structured approach to analyzing these sectors [4][5]. - The research emphasizes the emergence of new logic and phases in the pig industry, the rise of domestic brands in the pet sector, and the recovery of poultry prices, suggesting a dynamic market environment [4][5]. Group 2 - The article outlines the importance of understanding market conditions, such as grain price trends and product variety changes in the planting sector, which are crucial for investment decisions [5]. - It also points to the growing trend towards natural health products in plant extraction, indicating a shift in consumer preferences that could present investment opportunities [5]. - The discussions on high-end blueberries suggest innovative methodologies that could reshape market strategies, reflecting a focus on quality and differentiation in agricultural products [5].

Summary of Industry and Company Insights from Conference Call Industry Overview - The animal health industry is experiencing increased competition and pressure on profit margins, with gross margins declining from over 35% in 2020 to less than 31% in 2023 due to intensified price wars and a lack of innovation [1][11] - The market for veterinary pharmaceuticals is facing challenges, including a significant drop in the number of new veterinary drug certificates, with the number of first-class new drug applications decreasing from 5 in 2019 to 2 in 2023 [1][12] - The pet medical market is rapidly growing, projected to reach a market size of 84 billion yuan by 2024, accounting for approximately 30% of the entire pet market, driven by an increase in pet ownership and a younger demographic of pet owners [1][20] Key Points and Arguments - The demand for animal health products is rigid due to the significant risks posed by diseases in livestock farming, despite animal health products only accounting for slightly over 5% of the costs in pig farming [1][9] - Integrated strategy companies are better positioned to survive in a competitive environment, as there is an increasing need for comprehensive solutions and technical services in livestock farming [1][17] - The domestic animal health market is facing international competition, but a trend towards domestic substitution is emerging, with local companies gradually closing the gap with international players [3][24] Financial Insights - The investment outlook for the pig farming sector remains positive, particularly for companies like Muyuan Foods, which has shown strong performance and attractive dividend yields [2] - The revenue of the animal health industry is expected to see significant growth in the pet medical sector, with a compound annual growth rate of nearly 10% from 2018 to 2024 [20][21] Challenges and Risks - The animal health industry is facing challenges such as intensified competition, price wars, and a decline in profitability, with the top 20 pig farming companies expected to account for over 30% of the market by 2024 [10][16] - Small and medium-sized enterprises in the animal health sector are under increasing pressure, with some reporting losses due to the competitive landscape [14] Future Growth Opportunities - Future growth in the animal health industry is anticipated to come from the pet medical field, with domestic companies needing to expand into both economic animals and international markets [5][23] - The market penetration rate for pet healthcare in China remains low compared to mature markets, indicating significant growth potential [24] Noteworthy Companies - Companies such as Reap Bio, Kexin Bio, and Huaiyun Bio are highlighted as having strong competitive positions and potential for growth in the pet medical sector [26] - Reap Bio is noted for its comprehensive product matrix and has shown resilient sales growth, helping to mitigate some industry downturn risks [18] Conclusion - The animal health industry is at a crossroads, with significant challenges and opportunities ahead. Companies that can innovate and adapt to the changing landscape, particularly in the pet medical sector, are likely to thrive in the coming years [25]