上期筹码集中股回测：68%跑赢沪指 642只股公布截至7月10日最新股东户数，相比上期股东户数下降的有264只，降幅居前的是富特科技、 普路通、国统股份等。 投资者除了在定期报告中获得股东信息数据外，还可以在交易所互动平台上通过提问方式了解部分公司 更及时（每月10日、20日、月末）的股东户数信息。以往3期分别有710家、802家、758家公司在互动平 台透露了股东户数，截至发稿，共有642家公司公布了截至7月10日股东户数。 最新筹码集中股排行榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 最新股东户数 | 较上期增减（%） | 筹码集中以来涨跌（%） | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301607 | 富特科技 | 9703 | -25.89 | -11.00 | 汽车 | | 002769 | 普路通 | 34197 | -23.59 | -10.64 | 交通运输 | | 002205 | 国统股份 | 20593 | -19.44 | -2.78 | 建筑材料 | | 301007 | 德迈仕 | 15500 | -17.55 | -2.39 | 汽车 | | ...

周专题：固态电池蓬勃发展，硅碳负极、高镍正极材料相关标的或受益 ——建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报（7月5日-7月11日） 2025年7月16日 孙伟风，光大建筑建材首席分析师，执业证书编号：S0930516110003 陈奇凡，光大建筑建材分析师，执业证书编号：S0930523050002 证券研究报告 核心观点 请务必参阅正文之后的重要声明 1 周专题：固态电池带动硅碳负极、高镍正极上游材料相关需求。固态电池是锂电池"0-1"新技术进步的终局方向，行情 演绎多由产业技术进展事件催化。2024年初以来，智己L6固态电池装车引发的第一轮行情围绕氧化物半固态电池展开， 应用聚焦在中高端动力电池。24年11月由宁德时代、华为等全固态技术进展催化，围绕硫化物全固态电池展开。2026- 2028年是不同技术路线全固态电池实现量产的关键阶段，其中硫化物路线有望在2026年率先量产。2029年之后，随着 全固态电池降本进行，锂电池产业将进入成熟期的调结构阶段。根据亿欧智库预测，2030年全固态电池市场空间将达到 千亿元规模，固态电池产业规模有望达1800亿元。 本周热点：根据卓创数据，截至周四（2025.7.10）， ...

丨证券研究报告丨 金融工程丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 2025H1 业绩预告中的行业景气线索 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 截至 2025 年 7 月 15 日，A 股上市公司共有 1488 家披露 2025 年上半年度业绩预告。以"正 向披露率/负向披露率"来衡量各行业业绩预告中所蕴含的"景气度"，非银金融、有色金属、 综合、电子、农林牧渔等行业的"业绩预告景气度"较高。从实际的披露率来看，非银金融行 业内正向预告披露率达到 39%，在全部行业中处于最高位置。从"净利润增长率"中位数来看， 综合、钢铁、非银金融、有色金属、农林牧渔等行业排名靠前。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 覃川桃 鲍丰华 SAC：S0490513030001 SAC：S0490521070001 SFC：BUT353 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 2025H1 业绩预告中的行业景气线索 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 截至 2025 年 7 月 15 日，A 股上市公司共有 1488 家披露 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the A-share market and its earnings performance, particularly focusing on the financial sector and real estate industry Core Points and Arguments 1. The profit growth turning from negative to positive in Q1 2025 is attributed to a low base effect rather than internal improvements, as the A-share market has experienced a historically long period of negative profit growth [1][2] 2. The return on equity (ROE) has been on a downward trend, with the current down cycle lasting approximately 7 to 8 quarters, significantly longer than previous cycles, indicating structural pressures on operational capabilities [2][3] 3. The real estate sector has seen a continuous decline in leverage since 2020, with a 3% drop in financial leverage and about a 1% drop in non-financial real estate, which has directly suppressed ROE recovery [3][4] 4. The improvement in profit growth is primarily due to low accumulation effects, enhanced operational performance, and a temporary stabilization of profit data from the longest negative growth cycle [4][5] 5. The Q1 2025 gross profit margin increased by 0.05 percentage points, while net profit margin improved by 0.06 percentage points, driven by reduced operating costs and expenses [4][5] 6. The fixed asset investment in the financial real estate sector remains low, indicating weak corporate confidence and a lack of willingness to expand production [4][6] 7. The positive profit growth in Q1 2025 is not a true inflection point, as structural differentiation exists among industries, with the financial sector contributing 51.4% to the profit growth, followed by the non-ferrous metals sector at 33.4% [5][6] 8. The intrinsic profit growth for A-shares is expected to materialize no earlier than Q3 of the current year, based on the recovery of corporate balance sheets and the leading indicators of long-term loans [6][7] 9. The leading indicators suggest that the recovery of corporate balance sheets and the increase in long-term loans will positively influence industrial enterprise profits by the end of this year or early next year [7][8] 10. The top five performing sectors in Q1 2025 include agriculture, computer technology, steel, construction materials, and non-ferrous metals, with several sectors expected to maintain over 20% growth [8][9] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. Investment strategies should focus on domestic certainty and expected growth amidst global geopolitical risks, with recommendations for sectors such as consumer goods, technology, and stable dividend stocks [9][10] 2. The discussion emphasizes the importance of avoiding excessive exposure to U.S. market risks, suggesting a cautious approach to investment in sectors with high volatility [9][10]

银河策略 · 点评报告 中央城市工作会议利好 A 股市场哪些板块? -2025 年中央城市工作会议内容解读 核心观点: 2025 年 07 月 15 日 分析师 杨超 ☎：010-8092-7696 極: yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码: S0130522030004 周美丽 网: zhoumeili_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525070002 王雪莹 网: wangxueying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S01305250600003 相关研究 2025-06-27, 2025 年大类资产中期投资展望:驭变 谋势 2025-06-22, 2025 年港股中期投资展望: 时移世易, 见机而作 2025-06-21, 2025 年 A 股中期投资展望: 筑基行稳, 重塑鼎新 2025-06-10,稳定币概念股投资展望 2025-05-29，上市公司并购重组迎来哪些新变化? 2025-05-07,关键时间节点的发布会:一揽子金融政 策稳市场稳预期 2025-04-25,4月中央政治局会议解读: ...

城市更新：更新什么？哪些机会？20250715 摘要 城市更新从大规模增量转向存量提质增效，强调保护历史风貌，限制超 高层建筑，总投资规模预计达千亿至万亿级别，为建筑建材行业带来机 遇与挑战，需提升技术标准与绿色环保材料应用。 基础设施建设转向高质量发展，适度超前但不过度超前，重点关注交通、 能源、水利网、算力、信息和物流等领域，城市燃气管线改造等项目预 计 2025 年完成，未来需关注投资效益比。 2024 年存量房重装市场首次超过增量房，展现较强韧性，并与历史文 化街区及消费潜力结合，预计 2025 年二手房和存量房重装比例将逐步 超过 600 亿零售市场的 50%。 工程机械行业 6 月内销量同比增长 6%，淡季不淡，小型挖掘机需求增 加，二手机出口提供缓冲，预计未来三到五年内行业进入复苏周期，稳 态需求或达 20 万台。 现代化城市体系建设强调组团式、网络化发展，轨道交通运输网络是高 效建设方式，京津冀、长三角及成渝双城经济圈可能成为轨道加密及互 联互通的新基建重点。 Q&A 上周市场对会议的预期如何？实际反应又是怎样的？ 上周四五，市场对会议的信息开始发酵，地产、建筑、建材等板块表现不错， 这表明市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 1.9% in June, indicating a moderate recovery in inflation, with a monthly increase of 0.1% unadjusted and 0.2% adjusted for seasonality [1][3]. Inflation Trends - Core inflation, represented by CPI excluding energy, rose by 2.7%, surpassing the overall CPI increase, influenced by the cancellation of consumer carbon pricing in April [3]. - The housing index increased by 2.9% year-on-year, reflecting strong demand in the housing market, which is seen as a hedge against inflation [3]. Sector-Specific Insights - The gasoline prices decreased by 13.4% year-on-year, but the decline was less than the previous month, with geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices [4]. - Food prices rose by 2.8% year-on-year, with fresh vegetable prices declining for the first time since October 2021, indicating a stable market for essential goods [4]. - Durable goods prices increased by 2.7%, with notable price rises in passenger vehicles and furniture, suggesting a recovery in consumer demand [5][6]. Investment Opportunities - Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) focusing on rental markets and commercial properties are expected to provide stable returns due to consistent rental income and asset appreciation potential [3]. - Large food distributors with supply chain advantages and companies specializing in high-value products like organic foods are recommended for investment due to their resilience against price fluctuations [4]. - Companies in the automotive and furniture sectors that can quickly respond to market demands are positioned favorably for growth [5][6]. Regional Economic Activity - CPI increases across all eight provinces in Canada indicate heightened regional economic activity, with potential differentiated investment opportunities based on local industry strengths [6].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of July 15, 2025, a total of 1,489 listed companies in A-shares have disclosed their half-year performance forecasts, with 645 companies expecting positive results, indicating a pre-announcement ratio of 43.32% [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - Among the companies with positive performance forecasts, 33 companies expect a net profit increase of over 1,000% [5][10] - The company with the highest expected net profit increase is Southern Precision, forecasting a net profit of 200 million to 250 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28,647% to 35,784% [6][7] - Huayin Power ranks second with an expected net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3,600% to 4,423% due to increased power generation and reduced fuel costs [8] Group 2: Industry Performance - Notable performance is observed in the basic chemical, machinery, electronics, and pharmaceutical industries, with many companies reporting significant growth [3][10] - In the basic chemical sector, companies like Xianda Co. expect a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2,443.43% to 2,834.73% [11] - The electronics industry is also thriving, with Industrial Fulian projecting a net profit of 11.958 billion to 12.158 billion yuan, a growth of 36.84% to 39.12% driven by AI-related business [11] Group 3: Declining Performance - Among the companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, 613 companies reported a decline in performance, with 42 companies expecting a net profit decrease of over 1,000% [14] - ST Nanzhi is expected to report a net loss of 800 million to 1.1 billion yuan, a decline of 18,396.17% to 25,257.23% compared to the previous year [15][16] - Companies like Seli Medical, which saw a significant stock price increase earlier, are now forecasting a net loss of 55 million to 66 million yuan, a decline of 1,052% to 1,283% [17][18]

Group 1: Central Urban Work Conference Insights - The conference marked a shift in urbanization from rapid growth to stable development, emphasizing quality over quantity in urban expansion[2] - Seven key tasks were outlined, focusing on optimizing urban systems, fostering innovation, enhancing livability, promoting green cities, ensuring safety, cultivating cultural values, and developing smart cities[2][6] Group 2: Impact on A-Share Market - The shift towards stock quality improvement and urban renewal is expected to boost investment in municipal infrastructure, green technology, and smart city initiatives, positively impacting related A-share sectors[17] - From January to July 14, 2025, the real estate sector fell by 2.72%, while the environmental sector rose by 11.54%, indicating a divergence in sector performance[22] - Current price-to-book (PB) ratios for urban renewal-related industries are at historically low levels, suggesting high long-term investment value[22] Group 3: Real Estate Sector Analysis - In the first half of 2025, real estate development investment dropped by 11.2%, with new housing starts down by 20%[27][40] - The market remains under pressure, with a significant decline in both sales area and sales value, reflecting ongoing weak demand[27][35] - The conference's directives aim to reshape the real estate sector towards a model focused on quality and sustainability, potentially benefiting firms with strong operational capabilities[40]

Core Viewpoint - As of July 15, 2025, a total of 1,489 listed companies in A-shares have released their half-year performance forecasts, with 645 companies expecting positive results, indicating a pre-announcement ratio of 43.32% [2] Group 1: Performance Forecasts - 33 companies are expected to see net profit increases exceeding 1,000% in the first half of 2025, with some stocks experiencing significant price surges following their announcements [5][10] - Among the companies with positive growth, Southern Precision is projected to have a net profit of 200 million to 250 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 28,647% to 35,784%, making it the "king of pre-increase" [6][7] - Huayin Power ranks second with a projected net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3,600% to 4,423% due to increased power generation and reduced fuel costs [8] Group 2: Industry Performance - Notable performance is observed in the basic chemical, machinery equipment, electronics, and pharmaceutical industries, with many companies reporting significant growth [3][12] - In the basic chemical sector, companies like Xianda Co. are expected to see net profits of 130 million to 150 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2,443.43% to 2,834.73% [12] - The electronics industry is benefiting from AI-related business growth, with Industrial Fulian forecasting a net profit of 11.958 billion to 12.158 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.84% to 39.12% [12][13] Group 3: Declining Performance - Among the companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, 613 are expected to report declines, with 42 companies anticipating a drop exceeding 1,000% [15] - ST Nanzhi is projected to have a net loss of 800 million to 1.1 billion yuan, a decline of 18,396.17% to 25,257.23% compared to the previous year [16][17] - Companies like Seli Medical, despite a significant stock price increase earlier in the year, are forecasting a net loss of 55 million to 66 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 1,052% to 1,283% [19][20]