Market Overview - On November 12, the U.S. stock market exhibited a rare divergence, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising nearly 400 points to reach a new high, while the Nasdaq index experienced a significant drop [1] - The S&P 500 index remained flat during this trading session [1] Dow Jones Performance - The strength of the Dow was attributed to gains in major financial stocks such as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and American Express, all of which reached new highs [6] - Other contributing stocks included UnitedHealth, IBM, and Nike, which also showed strong performance [6] Nasdaq and Technology Sector - The technology sector faced pressure, with notable declines in stocks like Nvidia and Oracle, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations following recent surges [11][12] - AMD's stock surged nearly 10% after CEO Lisa Su addressed concerns regarding high investments in technology, stating that increased spending on computing power would accelerate innovation [10][11] Economic Context - Historical data suggests that resolutions to government shutdowns typically support stock market performance, with the S&P 500 index showing average gains of 1.2% and 2.9% in the month and three months following budget agreements, respectively [9] - Analysts expect that the potential reopening of the government will restore the release of key economic data, which could influence future Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [8] Future Outlook - AMD anticipates a revenue growth rate of 35% annually over the next three to five years, driven by demand for AI chips [11] - UBS Wealth Management forecasts that the S&P 500 index could reach 7,300 points by June 2026, suggesting continued upward potential for U.S. equities [9]

Group 1 - The 2025 6G Development Conference will be held in Beijing on November 13-14 [1] - The Baidu World 2025 Conference has taken place [2] - The EIA has released its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report [2] - The IEA has published its monthly Oil Market Report [3] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings, Bilibili, and JD.com have released their earnings reports [4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 48,254.82, up 0.68%, marking a new historical high [5] - The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 0.26% to 23,406.46, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.06% to 6,850.92 [5] - Nvidia shares increased by 0.3%, while major tech stocks like Apple, Google, Amazon, Tesla, Meta, and Oracle saw declines [5] - The financial sector showed strength, with Goldman Sachs up 3.5%, Citigroup up 2.0%, and JPMorgan Chase up 1.5% [6] - AMD shares surged by 9.0% following strong long-term financial guidance [6] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 1.46%, with notable declines in Alibaba, Baidu, and JD.com [6] Group 3 - International oil prices dropped significantly, with WTI crude oil down 4.18% to $58.49 per barrel and Brent crude down 3.76% to $62.71 per barrel [6] - International gold prices rose, with COMEX gold futures up 2.38% to $4,204.40 per ounce and silver futures up 5.36% to $53.33 per ounce [6] Group 4 - The People's Bank of China held a meeting to discuss the spirit of the 20th National Congress, emphasizing the importance of a robust central bank system for high-quality financial development [7] - The National Energy Administration released guidelines to promote the integrated development of renewable energy, aiming for significant improvements by 2030 [7] Group 5 - The value of A-shares held by foreign investors has increased from over 3 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to over 3.5 trillion yuan currently [8] - The State Post Bureau reported that from October 21 to November 11, express delivery companies collected 13.938 billion packages, with a daily average of 634 million, marking a 17.8% increase [8] Group 6 - Alibaba's first self-developed flagship dual-display AI glasses are set to be released on November 27 [9] - Haibo Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement with CATL [9] - Shengtun Mining plans to invest 1.423 billion yuan in its wholly-owned subsidiary [9] - Century Huatong intends to repurchase 500 million to 1 billion yuan of its shares [9] - Zhejiang Transportation Science and Technology won a project worth 11.103 billion yuan [9] Group 7 - Zhongyuan Securities suggests that the A-share market is at a critical turning point, with cyclical and technology sectors expected to alternate in performance [10]

国际油价跳水逾4%。 *三大股指分化，纳指跌近0.3%。 *中长期美债收益率回落，基准10年期美债跌至4.06%； *国际金价收复4200美元关口。 周三美股涨跌互现，科技股继续承压，市场预期众议院将投票结束美国历史上持续时间最长的联邦政府 停摆。截至收盘，道指涨326.86点，涨幅0.68%，报48254.82点，再创历史新高，纳斯达克综合指数下 跌0.26%，收于23406.46点，标普500指数收涨0.06%，报6850.92点。 明星科技股分化，英伟达涨0.3%，苹果跌0.6%，谷歌跌1.4%，亚马逊跌1.9%，特斯拉跌2.0%，Meta跌 2.8%，甲骨文跌3.8%。 金融板块发力上攻，高盛涨3.5%，花旗涨2.0%，摩根大通涨1.5%，美银涨0.9%。 个股方面，超威半导体AMD涨9.0%。此前，这家芯片制造商公布了长期财务指引，其中包括强劲的营 收和利润增长预期。 美国白宫当天宣布，受停摆影响，10月消费者价格指数CPI和非农就业报告可能不再公布。 这场持续42天的政府停摆已对美国经济造成压力，并导致美联储和交易员面临经济数据缺口，迫使他们 只能依赖民间经济指标。周二发布的ADP（美国自动数据处 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.68%, continuing to set new closing highs, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.26% and the S&P 500 increased by 0.06% [2] Sector Performance - Bank stocks saw significant gains, with Goldman Sachs up over 3%, Morgan Stanley up over 2%, JPMorgan Chase up over 1%, and Bank of America up 0.9%, all reaching historical highs [3] - Gold stocks strengthened, with Hecla Mining and Harmony Gold both rising over 5% [3] - Oil and gas stocks declined, with ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips, and Chevron all dropping over 1% [3] - Large tech stocks had mixed results, with Netflix, Micron Technology, and Qualcomm rising over 1%, while Oracle fell over 3% and Tesla dropped over 2% [3] Company Highlights - AMD shares surged by 9% following optimistic AI market forecasts from CEO Lisa Su, who projected that the total addressable market for AI data centers will exceed $1 trillion by 2030, up from approximately $200 billion this year, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 40% [5] - Cisco reported an adjusted EPS of $1 for Q1, exceeding market expectations of $0.98, and raised its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to $4.08-$4.14 from a previous estimate of $4-$4.06, leading to a post-market increase of over 7% [5] Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures rose by $97.30, a 2.36% increase, closing at $4213.6 per ounce [8] - Spot silver increased by 4.26%, priced at $53.4078 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose by 5.19%, closing at $53.380 per ounce [9] Currency and Oil Market - The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.05%, closing at 99.495 [7] - International oil prices fell on November 12, with WTI crude oil futures down by $2.55, closing at $58.49 per barrel, a decline of 4.18%, and Brent crude oil futures down by $2.45, closing at $62.71 per barrel, a drop of 3.76% [7]

最近华尔街最热闹的戏码，莫过于美联储内部的"鹰鸽大战"。Nick Timiraos那篇分析我反复看了三遍，越看越觉得有意思——这 帮西装革履的经济学家们吵得面红耳赤的样子，像极了我们散户在营业部争论明天大盘走势。 但你可别以为这只是大洋彼岸的闹剧。鲍威尔那句"12月降息绝非板上钉钉"说出口的瞬间，我手机里的量化系统就捕捉到了北向 资金的异常波动。这让我想起2018年那场"贸易战恐慌"，当时多少人被情绪左右，却忽略了数据揭示的真相。 说来讽刺，现在上证指数站上4000点，营业部里反而安静得出奇。那些曾经高谈阔论的老股民突然集体失声，这现象本身就值得 玩味。 我观察到的第一个陷阱：追逐热门股的魔咒。就像追星族非要去挤最火的演唱会，结果发现偶像假唱。今年二季度的创新药、三 季度的芯片股，表面光鲜亮丽，内里鱼龙混杂。我的量化系统显示，同一板块内个股表现差异能达到惊人的300%。 橙色柱体是我跟踪了18年的"机构库存"数据。注意看橙色框区域：机构资金持续活跃却压制股价，这就像赌场里荷官反复洗牌却 不发牌，必然有猫腻。果然一周后该股突然启动30%涨幅。 第二个陷阱更隐蔽：高频交易的幻觉。总有人觉得每天赚1%，一年就能翻十 ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market exhibited a rare divergence, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising nearly 400 points to reach a new high, while the Nasdaq index experienced a significant drop [3][4] - The strong performance of the Dow was attributed to gains in major financial stocks such as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and American Express, all of which reached new highs [3][4] Key Stock Performances - Notable stock performances included: - UnitedHealth: $341.82 (+4.39%) - Goldman Sachs: $834.95 (+3.04%) - IBM: $320.68 (+2.22%) - Caterpillar: $578.94 (+1.94%) - JPMorgan Chase: $321.27 (+1.79%) - American Express: $376.56 (+1.73%) - Nike: $64.05 (+1.42%) [4] Economic Context - Historical data suggests that resolutions to U.S. government shutdowns have typically led to increases in the S&P 500 index and most of its sectors [5] - Analysts indicate that the real challenge lies in the delayed release of key economic data due to the government shutdown, which complicates economic outlook assessments for investors and the Federal Reserve [6] Future Projections - UBS Wealth Management anticipates that the S&P 500 index could reach 7,300 by June 2026, suggesting that investors should increase exposure to sectors such as AI innovations, energy, and longevity themes [7] - AMD's CEO, Lisa Su, stated that the company expects revenue to grow at an annual rate of 35% over the next three to five years, driven by demand for AI chips [8] Technology Sector Dynamics - Despite AMD's strong performance, other tech stocks faced pressure, with Nvidia and Oracle experiencing declines of approximately 3% and 3.08%, respectively [9] - Concerns regarding potential overvaluation in the tech sector have been raised, particularly following significant price increases in recent months [8][9]

【导读】道琼斯指数创新高，AMD暴涨 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今晚的美股，出现了罕见的一幕，冰火两重天！道琼斯指数大涨并创下新高，而科技股代表的纳斯达克指数则跳水下跌，一起看看发 生了什么事情。 美股分化 11月12日晚间，美股三大指数走势分化，道指大涨近400点创下新高，纳斯达克指数跳水下跌，标普500指数持平。 | 納則と元5元目指数(NASDAQ.IAIC) | | | | 川三山 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 23360.45 -107.85 -0.46% | | | 交易中 11-12 10:57:23 美东时间 | 34.53 万球友关注 | | 最高: 23564.09 | 今开:23563.84 | 52周最高: 24019.99 | 量比: 1.29 | | | 最低: 23330.11 | 昨收:23468.30 | 52周最低: 14784.03 | 振幅: 1.00% | | | 成交量: 28.81亿股 | | | | | | 分时 五日 日K 周K 月K 季K 年K 120分 60分 30分 15分 5分 1分 | | | 区间统计 ...

美股芯片股大涨。 当地时间11月12日，美股三大指数集体高开，随后走势分化。截至发稿，道指涨0.93%，标普500指数 涨0.17%，纳指跌0.15%。 芯片股普遍走强，费城半导体指数一度涨超2%。 具体个股中，超威半导体一度涨近10%，公司预计未来三至五年整体营收将以约35%的年均速度增长； AI芯片业务年增速或达80%。在当地时间周二（11月11日）举行的投资者日期间，超威半导体CEO Lisa Su预期，AI芯片市场到2030年将达到1万亿美元，公司也将争取提高市场份额。首席财务官Jean Hu表 示，在未来三至五年内，预期公司整体业务每年增长35%，但数据中心业务每年增长60%。届时，公司 的每股收益将上升至20美元，目前分析师预估的2025财年EPS（每股收益）为2.68美元。 同时，Lisa Su周三（11月12日）在接受媒体采访时，回应了市场对科技巨头支出高企的担忧，并表示加 大计算领域投资将加快创新步伐。"我不认为这是一场豪赌。" 她说，"我认为这是一场正确的赌 注。"Lisa Su表示，过去12个月里，随着技术进入 "拐点"，企业能够看到相关支出的回报，超威半导体 的众多超大规模数据中心客户 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market saw a significant rise in semiconductor stocks, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increasing by over 2%, driven by strong performance expectations from companies like AMD and GlobalFoundries [1][2][4]. Semiconductor Industry - AMD's stock surged nearly 10% after the company projected an annual revenue growth rate of approximately 35% over the next three to five years, with AI chip business growth potentially reaching 80% [2][4]. - AMD's CEO, Lisa Su, anticipates the AI chip market will reach $1 trillion by 2030, and the company aims to increase its market share [2][4]. - GlobalFoundries experienced a brief increase of nearly 7% but later saw a decline. The company reported Q3 revenue of $1.69 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 2.9%, exceeding expectations by $10 million [4]. - GlobalFoundries' CEO, Tim Breen, highlighted strong performance in automotive, communication infrastructure, and data center markets, achieving significant year-over-year growth [4]. Other Companies in the Semiconductor Sector - Microchip Technology rose over 3%, and ON Semiconductor increased by over 2%, while other companies like Marvell Technology, Texas Instruments, and Qualcomm saw gains of over 1% [6]. - The overall performance of the semiconductor sector reflects a positive sentiment in the market, particularly in relation to AI and data center investments [4][6]. Financial Sector - Financial stocks performed strongly, with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup all rising over 3%, while Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase increased by over 2% [7]. Technology Giants - Among the major tech companies, only NVIDIA saw a slight increase of 0.19%, while others like Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Tesla, Meta, and Alphabet experienced declines [8]. Chinese Stocks - Chinese stocks showed weak performance, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index dropping over 1.6%, and specific companies like Tencent Music and Daqo New Energy seeing significant declines [9].

美股芯片股大涨。 当地时间11月12日，美股三大指数集体高开，随后走势分化。截至发稿，道指涨0.93%，标普500指数涨 0.17%，纳指跌0.15%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DJI | 道琼斯工业平均 | 48373.30 | 445.34 | 0.93% | | IXIC | 纳斯达克指数 | 23432.20 | -36.10 | -0.15% | | SPX | 标普500 | 6858.00 | 11.39 | 0.17% | 芯片股普遍走强，费城半导体指数一度涨超2%。 具体个股中，超威半导体一度涨近10%，公司预计未来三至五年整体营收将以约35%的年均速度增长；AI芯片 业务年增速或达80%。在当地时间周二（11月11日）举行的投资者日期间，超威半导体CEO Lisa Su预期，AI 芯片市场到2030年将达到1万亿美元，公司也将争取提高市场份额。首席财务官Jean Hu表示，在未来三至五年 内，预期公司整体业务每年增长35%，但数据中心业务每年增长60%。届时，公司的每股收益将上升至20美 元 ...