2025年5月6日 研究所晨会观点精萃 分析师 贾利军 从业资格证号： F0256916 投资咨询证号: Z0000671 电话: 021-80128600-8632 邮箱：jialj@qh168.com.cn 明道雨 从业资格证号: F03092124 投资咨询证号: Z0018827 电话: 021-80128600-8631 刘慧峰 从业资格证号: F3033924 投资咨询证号: Z0013026 电话: 021-80128600-8621 邮箱：Liuhf@qh168.com.cn 刘兵 从业资格证号: F03091165 投资咨询证号: Z0019876 邮箱: wangyil@qh168.com.cn 多。 投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可[2011]1771号 宏观金融： 美国非农就业数据好于预期，提振全球风险偏好 【宏观】 海外方面，美国公布的一季度 GDP 环比-0.3%，大幅不及预期；但非 农就业数据强劲,表明就业市场尚未受到关税政策的显著影响,而且美国４月 ISM 非制造业 PMI 从 3 月份的 50.8 上升至 4 月的 51.6，经济韧性较强，美联储降息 预期从６月推迟到７月,美元和 ...

今年一季度，河南省GDP同比增长5.9%，较去年同期、去年全年分别加快1.2个、0.8个百分点，工业、 投资、消费等指标增速均快于去年同期、高于全国，顺利实现了"开门红"，扛起了经济大省挑大梁重 任。 值得一提的是，作为经济大省、人口大省，内需是河南的巨大优势，也是更好发挥挑大梁作用的底气所 在。据了解，河南正在制定提振消费专项行动实施方案。那该方案将重点从哪些方面发力？ "我们谋划推出了文旅消费繁荣行动，持续放大'老家河南''行走河南、读懂中国'品牌效应，加力把文旅 热转变为消费热，同时部署实施农村消费促进行动，加快破解消费'最后一公里'难题，全面激活农村消 费市场。"河南省发展改革委党组成员、副主任李新国表示，提振消费既要考虑短期需要，也要考虑长 期趋势，持续打好政策组合拳，有效解决消费可持续增长问题。 不仅如此，该实施方案还将加力扩围消费品以旧换新，推动汽车、家电、家居等产品消费扩量提质，大 力发展托育、养老、家政等服务消费，积极培育数字消费、低空消费等新增长点；坚持以优质供给引领 和创造更多消费新需求，深入实施服务业新供给培育工程，聚焦新零售、新餐饮、新文娱、新社会服务 四大领域，着力打造内容丰富、品 ...

Group 1 - Trina Storage, a subsidiary of Trina Solar, has partnered with US-based FlexGen to deliver a grid-scale battery storage system in Houston, Texas, with a capacity of 371 MWh, utilizing Trina's Elementa King Kong 2 storage solution to enhance system efficiency and reduce cost per kilowatt-hour [1] - The University of Southampton in the UK has opened the world's second electron beam lithography factory, which is the first of its kind outside Japan and the first advanced semiconductor factory in Europe, utilizing high-energy electrons for direct writing of semiconductor circuit patterns [1] - The Zhejiang Songyang Pumped Storage Power Station in China has successfully completed the precision drilling of the country's deepest pumped storage vertical shaft, achieving a directional drilling length of 516 meters with a maximum daily advance of 85.5 meters, demonstrating industry-leading standards in drilling accuracy [1] Group 2 - A Chinese research team has successfully developed a new generation of lunar laser retroreflectors, enabling satellite laser ranging to measure the distance to the moon, marking a significant achievement in space technology [1]

Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett announced his retirement as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, passing the role to Greg Abel by the end of the year, which has garnered global investor attention [1][2] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy can be summarized in four key concepts: circle of competence, contrarian investing, margin of safety, and long-term holding [2] - He emphasizes the importance of understanding one's investment area and being patient, which has become a universal wisdom in the investment community [2] Group 2: Company Achievements - Since taking over in 1965, Berkshire Hathaway's market value has grown from $4.7 million to $1.16 trillion, with over 80 subsidiaries across key sectors [1] - The company's stock price has increased by more than 55,000 times over the past 60 years, achieving an annualized return of 19.9%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.4% [1] Group 3: Legacy and Transition - Greg Abel will inherit not only the CEO position but also a well-honed business philosophy developed over more than half a century [2] - Buffett's teachings highlight the importance of maintaining rationality and patience in a noisy market, which is a valuable lesson for future investors [2]

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 今日优选 美国4月ISM非制造业PMI超预期 特朗普：将在未来两周内宣布对医药产品的关税措施 美国拒绝了日本提出的全面豁免10%的对等关税的要求 以色列总理：新的加沙行动将对加沙的人口进行迁移 市场盘点 潘功胜出席并主持东盟与中日韩财长和央行行长会 周一，美元指数在亚盘、欧盘震荡下跌，后因超预期的ISM非制造业数据提振，美元指数回升至100美元下方，最终收跌0.24%，报99.79。基准的10年期美 债收益率收报4.350%；对货币政策更敏感的两年期美债收益率收报3.8450%。 香港金管局今晨再注资605.43亿港元，三度注资共1166.14亿 国家加大投入支持长远性数据基础设施建设 "五一"假期全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额同比增长6.3% 受美元走软和避险需求推动，现货黄金日内一度涨近100美元，最终收涨2.85%，报3332.85美元/盎司。现货白银最终大涨1.42%，报32.45美元/盎司。 | 05月05日收盘情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The national economy shows a positive start in the first quarter of this year, with significant growth in fixed asset investment and infrastructure investment, indicating a robust economic recovery and development strategy. Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first quarter, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 10,317.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, accelerating by 1.0 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - Infrastructure investment grew by 5.8% year-on-year, which is an acceleration of 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Financing - The China Development Bank has issued 369.1 billion yuan in infrastructure loans in the first quarter, with the proportion of infrastructure loans in total loans steadily increasing [1] - The bank is focusing on supporting key areas such as transportation, energy, water conservancy, smart cities, and smart logistics, facilitating the advancement of 102 major projects outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Group 3: Major Projects - Dalian Jinzhou Bay International Airport, part of the 102 major projects, is being constructed on an artificial island through offshore reclamation, with significant progress made in foundational work [2] - The project is expected to be completed by 2028 and will become the largest offshore airport globally, enhancing the transportation network by connecting sea, land, air, and rail [2] - The South-to-North Water Diversion Middle Line Xiong'an Regulation Reservoir is another major water conservancy project, with tailored financing solutions provided to support its construction [2] Group 4: Future Directions - The China Development Bank plans to strengthen its functional positioning, focusing on its main responsibilities and continuously improving its service and product system covering the entire lifecycle of infrastructure projects [3]

伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司股价在周一承压，投资者正在消化股神巴菲特突然宣布卸任CEO的消息，并设想这家企业在他传奇的60 年管理生涯后将走向何方。 在刚刚过去的周末，94岁的巴菲特在内布拉斯加州奥马哈举行的伯克希尔年度股东大会的最后时刻，向股东们宣布，由负责 非保险业务的副董事长格雷格·阿贝尔接替他出任公司首席执行官。董事会于周日一致投票决定，从2026年1月1日起，任命阿 贝尔为总裁兼CEO，而巴菲特将继续担任董事长。 周一，伯克希尔股价一度跌超6%，此前周五A类股曾创下每股809,350美元的历史收盘新高，B类股在上周五创下了539.80美 元的历史收盘高点。伯克希尔于1996年首次发行B类股，其价格相当于A类股的三十分之一。2010年，B类股进行了50比1的拆 股。 截至周一收盘，伯克希尔收跌5.12%。尽管如此，以周一收盘价计算，伯克希尔的股票今年迄今仍上涨约13%，远超标普500 指数同期下跌近3.6%的表现。 巴菲特宣布卸任CEO，标志着伯克希尔一个史诗般时代的结束。60年前，这家公司还是一家濒临倒闭的新英格兰纺织厂，巴 菲特通过他运营的投资合伙企业接管了它。如今，伯克希尔已经成长为一个市值接近1.2万 ...

Core Insights - Warren Buffett announced that he will hand over the CEO position of Berkshire Hathaway to Greg Abel by the end of the year, drawing global investor attention [1] - Buffett's investment career is marked by a remarkable wealth creation story, with Berkshire Hathaway's market value soaring from $4.7 million in 1965 to $1.16 trillion today, and a stock price increase of over 55,000 times over the past 60 years [1] - The investment philosophy of Buffett emphasizes value investing, focusing on "buying great companies at reasonable prices" and incorporating intangible assets into valuation frameworks [1][2] Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy can be summarized in four key concepts: circle of competence, contrarian investing, margin of safety, and long-term holding [2] - He prefers to invest in areas he understands and maintains a disciplined approach, especially in the face of technological trends like AI, where he admits to not fully understanding the technology [2] - The transition of leadership to Greg Abel signifies the continuation of Buffett's well-honed business philosophy, which emphasizes rationality and patience in investing [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that brokerages are actively recommending stocks for May, with a total of 167 stocks recommended, and Hai Da Group leading with recommendations from five brokerages [1][2] - Hai Da Group is recognized for its comprehensive business coverage in the livestock and aquaculture feed, breeding, and animal health sectors, with short-term benefits expected from the recovery of livestock production capacity and aquaculture market [2][3] - The industrial and information technology sectors are highlighted as having the highest number of recommended stocks, with 34 stocks each, indicating a strong focus on these areas by brokerages [2] Group 2 - Analysts from various brokerages express optimism about the A-share market, predicting a potential upward trend supported by policy measures and reduced short-term market disturbances [4][5] - Specific sectors such as technology and consumer goods are identified as key areas for investment, with recommendations to focus on structural opportunities within these sectors [4][5] - The report outlines four industry directions for investment: technology growth (including AI, robotics, and semiconductors), consumer sectors (such as apparel and food), industries benefiting from cost improvements (like aquaculture and aviation), and sectors with structural opportunities related to exports [5]

在全球投资者的瞩目下，伯克希尔-哈撒韦2025年度股东大会于当地时间5月3日在美国内布拉斯加州奥 马哈落下帷幕。94岁的"股神"沃伦·巴菲特与副董事长格雷格·阿贝尔、保险业务负责人阿吉特·贾恩同 台，围绕保险投资、自动驾驶技术影响、"浮存金"战略等议题展开深度探讨。 就在2025年伯克希尔股东大会进入尾声之时，公司董事长兼CEO沃伦·巴菲特突然宣布，他将提请董事 会批准格雷格·阿贝尔在年底接过CEO的职位。巴菲特同时表示，届时阿贝尔将获得在伯克希尔最终拍 板的权力。 他也曾在今年早些时候公开宣布，他去世后其子霍华德·巴菲特将出任非执行董事长，以维护公司文 化。 巴菲特也不忘做出承诺，称自己"绝无意图"出售伯克希尔股票，直到最终将它们全捐出去。巴菲特强 调："保留每一股的决定是出于经济考量，因为我认为在阿贝尔的管理下，伯克希尔的前景会比在我手 中更好。" 巴菲特在1965年完全收购日渐衰落的纺织企业伯克希尔。在这样摇摇欲坠的地基上，最终打造出享誉全 球的投资巨擘。 谈接任 在股东大会进入最后时刻之际，巴菲特突然发话称："明天伯克希尔将召开董事会，在11位董事中有两 位——我的孩子霍华德和苏茜，已经提前知晓我的提 ...