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南华期货沥青风险管理日报-20250829
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 12:56
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The asphalt market shows no better - than - expected performance during the peak season. In the short term, it mainly follows cost fluctuations. The supply side remains stable, while the demand side is affected by rainfall and capital shortages, with the overall fundamentals weakening month - on - month. In the medium - to - long term, demand is expected to improve as construction conditions get better in autumn, but there will still be a lot of rainfall in stages. The reform of consumption tax in Shandong has not been further expanded, so South China remains the low - price area for asphalt due to crude oil quotas and consumption tax restrictions [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Price and Volatility - The price range forecast for the asphalt main contract in the next month is 3400 - 3750 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 22.30% and a historical percentile of 8.95% over the past three years [1]. - As of August 29, 2025, the Shandong spot price was 3510 yuan/ton (unchanged from the previous day, down 10 yuan/ton from a week ago), the Yangtze River Delta spot price was 3700 yuan/ton (unchanged from the previous day, down 20 yuan/ton from a week ago), the North China spot price was 3650 yuan/ton (down 20 yuan/ton from the previous day, unchanged from a week ago), and the South China spot price was 3500 yuan/ton (unchanged from the previous day, up 20 yuan/ton from a week ago) [7]. 3.2. Risk Management Strategy - For inventory management, when the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about price drops, enterprises with long spot positions can short sell the bu2512 asphalt futures contract at a hedging ratio of 25% in the range of 3650 - 3750 yuan/ton to lock in profits and make up for production costs [1]. - For procurement management, when the regular inventory for procurement is low and enterprises want to purchase according to orders, those with short spot positions can buy the bu2512 asphalt futures contract at a hedging ratio of 50% in the range of 3300 - 3400 yuan/ton to lock in procurement costs in advance [1]. 3.3. Core Contradictions - Supply side: Stable [2]. - Demand side: Affected by rainfall and capital shortages, demand cannot be effectively released, with weak performance during the peak season. However, it is expected to improve in the medium - to - long term as construction conditions get better in autumn [2]. - Cost side: After the meeting between US and Russian leaders and OPEC's production increase, the tight supply expectation of asphalt cost has been alleviated [2]. 3.4. Factors Affecting Prices - Bullish factors: Small pressure on asphalt factory warehouses, seasonal peak demand, low start - up rate with catch - up construction expectations in the South, and strong expectations of over - capacity reduction [6]. - Bearish factors: An increase in the arrival of Ma Rui crude oil, the short - term drag on demand by the rainy season in the South, a slowdown in social inventory destocking and weakening basis, and the potential increase in the start - up rate driven by the consumption tax reform in Shandong [6].
南华油品发运数据周报:亚丁湾油轮发运大增,当周BDTI运价指数涨幅扩大-20250829
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 07:31
Group 1: Report Summary - The BDTI crude oil freight rate index closed at 1043 points on August 28, 2025, up 1.36% week-on-week and 14.48% year-on-year, with the increase widening [2]. - As of the week of August 22, the shipping volume showed a pattern of "three increases and one decrease." The shipping volume from the US increased by 54.34%, Russia by 0.27%, the UAE by 10%, and Saudi Arabia decreased by 14.1% [2]. - As of August 27, the passage volume of crude oil vessels in the Red Sea and Aden Gulf regions increased significantly [2]. - The significant increase in crude oil shipping volume from the US, Russia, and the UAE last week supported the rise of the BDTI freight rate index. The substantial increase in the passage volume of oil tankers in major seas this week indicates a significant month-on-month increase in crude oil shipping volume from the Middle East, supporting the widening increase of the BDTI freight rate index [2]. - An important event to watch is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation [2]. Group 2: BDTI Crude Oil Freight Rate Index Trend - As of August 28, 2025, the BDTI crude oil freight rate index closed at 1043 points, up 1.36% week-on-week and 14.48% year-on-year [2]. - From a seasonal perspective, the freight rate remained stable and increased this week, showing a gap compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. Group 3: Oil Tanker Shipping Distance - In the 32nd week of 2025 (as of August 15), the shipping distances of VLCC, Suezmax, and Aframax tankers all decreased month-on-month, with the VLCC showing the largest decrease. Specifically, the shipping distances of VLCC, Aframax, and Suezmax tankers decreased by 21.47%, 8.04%, and 8.01% respectively month-on-month. Compared with the same period last year, the shipping distances of all three tanker types decreased, with the VLCC showing the largest decrease [4]. Group 4: Oil Tanker Traffic in Red Sea and Aden Gulf - From August 23 - 27, 2025, the total passage volume of oil tankers in the Red Sea increased. The average passage volume of oil tankers in the Red Sea was 798, an increase of 7 compared to the previous week. Among them, the number of crude oil tankers decreased by 4, and the number of refined oil tankers increased by 11. Among the passing crude oil tankers, the number of VLCC decreased by 1, Suezmax by 4, and Aframax by 7 [6]. - The passage volume of oil tankers in the Aden Gulf increased significantly. The passage volume of oil tankers in the Aden Gulf was 117, an increase of 16 compared to the previous week. Among them, the passage volume of crude oil tankers increased by 4, and refined oil tankers by 8. Among the passing crude oil tankers, the number of VLCC increased by 1, Suezmax remained unchanged, and Aframax increased by 12 [6]. Group 5: Oil Tanker Capacity - As of August 22, 2025, 9426 oil tankers were dismantled, an increase of 1 week-on-week and 80 year-on-year; the number of effective vessels was 18331, an increase of 11 week-on-week and 447 year-on-year; the vessel delivery volume was 215, a decrease of 2 week-on-week and an increase of 98 year-on-year; the number of vessel orders was 1332, a decrease of 10 week-on-week and an increase of 108 year-on-year; the number of vessels under construction was 228, an increase of 12 week-on-week and 84 year-on-year [8]. - As of August 23, the port capacity of VLCC and Aframax tankers increased month-on-month, while that of Suezmax tankers decreased. Specifically, the number of docked VLCC tankers was 2381, an increase of 93; the number of docked Aframax tankers was 2846, an increase of 208; the number of docked Suezmax tankers was 2064, a decrease of 57 [8]. Group 6: Crude Oil Shipping Data Tracking - As of August 22, 2025, the crude oil shipping volume from the US, Russia, and the UAE increased month-on-month, while that from Saudi Arabia decreased. Specifically, the weekly US crude oil shipping volume rebounded significantly by 54.34%, Russia's by 0.27%, Saudi Arabia's decreased by 14.1%, and the UAE's rebounded by 10% [10]. - In terms of shipping tanker types for US crude oil, the shipping demand for VLCC increased by 91.79% month-on-month, Aframax by 43.19%, and Suezmax by 15.61% [10]. - For Russian crude oil, the shipping demand for Aframax increased by 17.53% month-on-month, while that for Suezmax decreased by 14.32% [10]. - For Saudi crude oil, the shipping demand for VLCC decreased by 11.87% month-on-month, Aframax decreased significantly by 25.59%, and Suezmax decreased significantly by 50% [10]. - For UAE crude oil, the shipping demand for VLCC increased by 15.65% month-on-month, Aframax increased significantly by 247.58%, and Suezmax decreased by 15.99% [10]. - The total crude oil shipping volume from other countries such as Kuwait, Iraq, Iran, Algeria, and Nigeria increased significantly this week, mainly due to the month-on-month increase in shipping volume from Nigeria, Kuwait, and Iran [28]. Group 7: Crude Oil Arrival - This week, the arrival volume of crude oil in India and the Netherlands increased month-on-month, with the arrival volume in the Netherlands higher than the same period last year. The arrival volume of crude oil in China was lower than the same period last year [29].
中信期货上半年净利润约5.02亿元
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-28 16:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the financial performance of CITIC Securities' subsidiary, CITIC Futures, for the first half of 2025 [1] - As of June 30, 2025, CITIC Futures has a registered capital of 7.6 billion yuan, total assets of approximately 209.335 billion yuan, and net assets of about 14.526 billion yuan [1] - In the first half of 2025, CITIC Futures reported an operating income of approximately 1.832 billion yuan and a net profit of around 502 million yuan [1]
南华干散货运输市场日报-20250828
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-28 10:59
Group 1: Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The BDI shipping market started to pick up this week. The increase in BCI freight index from a decline to a rise, along with the continuous rise of BPI, BSI, and BHSI freight indices, contributed to this trend. The BPI freight index had a weekly increase of over 12% [1]. - The surge in agricultural product shipments, especially from Brazil, led to a significant increase in the demand for Panamax and (large) Handysize vessels. In contrast, the shipments of industrial products such as coal and iron ore showed a slight decline [1]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Summary - The BDI shipping market showed signs of recovery this week. The BCI freight index reversed from a decline to an increase, while the BPI, BSI, and BHSI freight indices continued to rise. The BPI freight index had a weekly increase of over 12% [1]. - Agricultural product shipments, particularly corn, wheat, and soybeans, increased significantly, driving up the demand for Panamax and (large) Handysize vessels. Industrial product shipments, such as coal and iron ore, decreased slightly [1]. 2. Spot Index Review 2.1 BDI Freight Index Analysis - On August 27, all components of the BDI composite freight index and its sub - ship type freight indices increased week - on - week. The BPI freight index had the largest increase, exceeding 12%. Specifically, the BDI composite index closed at 2046 points, up 6.18% week - on - week; the BCI index was at 2989 points, up 4.27%; the BPI index reached 1874 points, up 12.55%; the BSI index was 1447 points, up 4.25%; and the BHSI index was 745 points, up 4.34% [4]. 2.2 FDI Far East Dry Bulk Freight Index - On August 27, most of the FDI composite index and sub - ship type charter rates increased. However, the freight rate of the Australia - Qingdao route in the FDI Capesize vessel charter rate index decreased on a daily basis. The FDI composite freight index closed at 1375.16 points, up 0.43% month - on - month; the FDI charter rate index was at 1706.73 points, up 0.79% [8]. 3. Dry Bulk Shipment Tracking 3.1 Ship Usage Quantity of Shipping Countries on the Day - On August 28, among the major agricultural product shipping countries, Brazil used 59 ships, Russia used 11 ships, Argentina used 16 ships, and Australia used 5 ships. Among the major industrial product shipping countries, Australia used 52 ships, Guinea used 28 ships, Indonesia used 42 ships, Russia used 24 ships, South Africa used 16 ships, Brazil used 9 ships, and the United States used 10 ships [16][17]. 3.2 Shipment Volume and Ship Usage Analysis on the Day - In terms of agricultural product shipments, 29 ships were used for corn, 23 for wheat, 22 for soybeans, 13 for soybean meal, and 11 for sugar. For industrial product shipments, 106 ships were used for coal, 67 for iron ore, and 17 for other dry goods. By ship type, the largest number of Ultra - Panamax ships (49) were required for agricultural product shipments, followed by 19 Ultra - Handysize ships and 20 Handysize ships. For industrial product shipments, the largest number of Capesize ships (77) were needed, followed by 64 Ultra - Panamax ships and 62 Ultra - Handysize ships [18]. 4. Tracking of the Number of Ships at Major Ports - This week, the number of ships at Chinese and Indonesian ports continued to increase, while the number of ships at Australian ports continued to decrease significantly on a weekly basis. Adjusted data showed that from August 1 to August 27, "one port decreased and four ports increased." Except for a decrease of 9 ships at Chinese ports, the number of ships at other ports was expected to increase. The number of ships at six Australian ports increased by 3, at six Indonesian ports by 2, at five Brazilian ports by 8, and at one South African port by 1 [18][19]. 5. Relationship between Freight and Commodity Prices - On August 27, the price of Brazilian soybeans was $38 per ton. On August 28, the near - term shipping quote for Brazilian soybeans was 3975.84 yuan per ton. - On August 26, the latest quote for the BCI C10_14 route freight was $28,068 per day. On August 27, the latest quote for the iron ore arrival price was $119.95 per thousand tons. - On August 26, the latest quote for the BPI P3A_03 route freight was $14,402 per day. On August 27, the latest quote for the thermal coal arrival price was 551.71 yuan per ton. - On August 27, the Handysize vessel freight index was quoted at 727.6 points. On August 29, the quote for 4 - meter medium ACFR radiata pine was $116 per cubic meter [23].
贵金属数据日报-20250828
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-28 04:01
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - On August 27, the main contract of Shanghai gold futures closed up 0.12% to 781.16 yuan/gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures closed down 0.52% to 9,305 yuan/kg [4] - The event of Trump dismissing Fed Governor Cook has further fermented. Political pressure has strengthened the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September, thus supporting precious metal prices. On the other hand, the official implementation of a 50% tariff on India by the US and Trump's tariff remarks have slightly increased market risk aversion. However, Trump's statement that the US has completed trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea, along with strong US core durable goods order data in July, highlighting US economic resilience and providing support for the US dollar index, have limited the upside space for gold prices. In the short term, precious metal prices are still supported. For gold, it is recommended to hold long positions or go long on pullbacks. For silver, it is expected to follow gold in the short term, but with signs of cooling in the stock market and commodities, short - term fluctuations need attention, and the upside height and duration in the medium term should be treated with caution [4] - In the medium - to - long term, due to expectations of Fed rate cuts, continuous global geopolitical uncertainties, intensified large - scale games, and the wave of de - dollarization, along with continued gold purchases by global central banks, the medium - to - long - term center of gravity of gold is likely to continue to move up [4] Summary by Related Catalogs Price Tracking - **Precious Metal Prices**: On August 27, 2025, London gold spot was at $3,376.92/ounce, London silver spot was at $38.43/ounce, COMEX gold was at $3,426.60/ounce, and COMEX silver was at $38.47/ounce. Compared with August 26, the price of London gold remained unchanged, London silver fell 0.7%, COMEX gold rose 0.1%, and COMEX silver fell 0.6%. The prices of domestic gold and silver futures and spot also showed corresponding changes, with AU2510 remaining unchanged, AG2510 falling 0.5%, AU (T + D) remaining unchanged, and AG (T + D) falling 0.6% [3] - **Price Spreads and Ratios**: On August 27, 2025, the gold TD - SHFE active price spread was - 3.14 yuan/gram, the silver TD - SHFE active price spread was - 35 yuan/kg, the gold internal - external price spread (TD - London) was 6.00 yuan/gram, and the silver internal - external price spread (TD - London) was - 582 yuan/kg. Compared with August 26, the price spreads showed different degrees of change, with the gold TD - SHFE active price spread falling 7.6%, the silver TD - SHFE active price spread rising 12.9%, the gold internal - external price spread rising 21.4%, and the silver internal - external price spread falling 4.7%. The SHFE gold - silver main ratio was 83.95, and the COMEX gold - silver main ratio was 89.08, both showing slight increases [3] Position Data - **ETF Holdings**: As of August 26, 2025, the gold ETF - SPDR held 959.92 tons, up 0.15% from August 25. The silver ETF - SLV held 15,274.6947 tons, down 0.09% [3] - **Non - commercial Positions in COMEX**: As of August 19, 2025 (weekly data), the non - commercial long positions in COMEX gold decreased by 4.46%, the non - commercial short positions increased by 6.92%, and the net long positions decreased by 7.36%. For COMEX silver, the non - commercial long positions increased by 2.79%, the non - commercial short positions decreased by 1.96%, and the net long positions increased by 5.15% [3] Inventory Data - On August 27, 2025, the SHFE gold inventory was 37,503 kg, unchanged from August 26. The SHFE silver inventory was 1,165,498 kg, up 3.39% from August 26. The COMEX gold inventory on August 26 was 38,578,730 troy ounces, up 0.04% from August 25, and the COMEX silver inventory on August 26 was 508,778,300 troy ounces, unchanged from August 25 [3] Related Market Data - **Macroeconomic Indicators**: From August 25 to August 27, 2025, the US dollar index fell 0.11%, the 2 - year US Treasury yield fell 3.22%, the 10 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.19%, the VIX fell 0.47%, the NYMEX crude oil price rose 0.41%, and the S&P 500 fell 2.21% [4] Market News and Analysis - Trump announced the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, who refused to resign and will sue. The Fed stated that only "just cause" can remove a governor and will abide by court decisions. The Trump administration is considering exerting greater influence on the 12 regional reserve banks of the Fed [4] - In July, the preliminary monthly change in US durable goods orders was - 2.8%, a second consecutive month of negative growth. However, the preliminary monthly change in core durable goods orders excluding aircraft and non - defense capital goods increased by 1.1%, exceeding expectations and indicating US economic resilience [4] - Trump said that the US has completed trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea, and a 50% tariff on India officially took effect on August 27 [4]
瑞达期货菜籽系产业日报-20250827
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-27 08:57
震荡收低,关注贸易谈判走向。 数据来源第三方,观点仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎! 研究员: 许方莉 期货从业资格号F3073708 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0017638 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 菜籽系产业日报 2025-08-27 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽油(日,元/吨) | 9853 | 32 期货收盘价(活跃合约):菜籽粕(日,元/吨) | 2501 | -25 | | 期货市场 | 菜油月间差(1-5):(日,元/吨) 主力合约持仓量:菜油(日 ...
南华期货锡风险管理日报-20250826
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 03:04
南华期货锡风险管理日报 2025年8月26日 南华有色金属研究团队 肖宇非 投资咨询证号:Z0018441 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 锡价格波动率(日度) | 最新收盘价 | 价格区间预测(月度) | 当前波动率 | 当前波动率历史百分位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 269570 | 245000-263000 | 14.36% | 26.1% | source: 同花顺,南华研究 锡风险管理建议(日度) | 行为导向 | 情景分析 | 现货敞口 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 套保比例 | 建议入场区间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 库存管理 | 产成品库存偏高,担心价格下跌 | 多 | 做空沪锡主力期货合约 | 沪锡主力期货合约 | 卖出 | 75% | 275000附近 | | | | | 卖出看涨期权 | SN2511C275000 | 卖出 | 25% | 波动率合适时 | | 原料管理 | 原料库存较低,担心价格上涨 | 空 | 做多沪锡主力期货合约 ...
南华期货锡风险管理日报-20250825
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 11:42
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - Tin prices rose slightly and then fell recently. Domestic smelter production cuts briefly pushed up tin prices this week, but the impact was limited, and prices returned to the trading range. In the short term, tin prices may remain range - bound. The Fed Chairman's speech at the Global Central Bank Annual Meeting lifted the valuation of the non - ferrous metals sector, and the over - rise may be corrected within the next 1 trading day. Fundamentally, the continuous two - week decline in tin ingot social inventory may provide upward momentum for tin prices. The production start - up of tin solder enterprises on the demand side is okay, and they still have the willingness to take delivery when the price is not higher than 270,000 yuan per ton [3]. - There are both positive and negative factors. Positive factors include the easing of Sino - US tariff policies, the semiconductor sector being in an expansion cycle, and Myanmar's resumption of production falling short of expectations. Negative factors include the recurrence of tariff policies, the inflow of Burmese tin ore into China, and the semiconductor sector's expansion slowing down and gradually moving from the expansion cycle to the contraction cycle [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Tin Price Volatility and Risk Management - The latest closing price of tin is 265,930 yuan, with a monthly price range forecast of 245,000 - 263,000 yuan. The current volatility is 14.36%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility is 26.1% [2]. - For inventory management with high finished - product inventory and concerns about price drops, it is recommended to sell 75% of the Shanghai Tin main futures contract at around 275,000 yuan and sell 25% of the SN2511C275000 call option when the volatility is appropriate. For raw material management with low raw - material inventory and concerns about price increases, it is recommended to buy 50% of the Shanghai Tin main futures contract at around 230,000 yuan and sell 25% of the SN2511P260000 put option when the volatility is appropriate [2]. 3.2 Tin Futures and Spot Data - **Futures Data**: The latest prices of Shanghai Tin main, Shanghai Tin continuous one, and Shanghai Tin continuous three are 265,930 yuan/ton, 266,130 yuan/ton, and 266,510 yuan/ton respectively, with no daily change. The price of LME Tin 3M is 33,845 dollars/ton, up 370 dollars with a daily increase of 1.11%. The Shanghai - London ratio is 7.97, up 0.05 with a daily increase of 0.63% [5]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices of Shanghai Non - ferrous tin ingot, 1 tin premium, 40% tin concentrate, 60% tin concentrate, 60A solder bar, 63A solder bar, and lead - free solder are 266,000 yuan/ton, 400 yuan/ton, 254,000 yuan/ton, 258,000 yuan/ton, 172,750 yuan/ton, 180,250 yuan/ton, and 272,250 yuan/ton respectively. The 1 tin premium increased by 100 yuan/ton with a weekly increase of 33.33%, while other spot prices had no weekly change [11]. 3.3 Tin Import and Processing - The latest tin import profit and loss is - 16,622.23 yuan/ton, up 1,109.34 yuan with a daily decrease of 6.26%. The processing fees for 40% and 60% tin ore are 12,200 yuan/ton and 10,050 yuan/ton respectively, with no daily change [15]. 3.4 Tin Inventory - The latest total tin warehouse receipt quantity on the Shanghai Futures Exchange is 7,053 tons, down 205 tons with a daily decrease of 2.82%. The warehouse receipt quantities in Guangdong and Shanghai are 4,925 tons and 1,267 tons respectively, down 121 tons (- 2.4%) and 84 tons (- 6.22%) respectively. The total LME tin inventory is 1,740 tons, up 25 tons with a daily increase of 1.46% [17].
南华煤焦产业风险管理日报-20250822
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 11:36
Report Overview - Report Name: Nanhua Coal and Coking Industry Risk Management Daily Report - Date: August 22, 2025 - Research Team: Nanhua Research Institute, Black Research Team - Analyst: Zhang Xuan [2] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - This week, the macro sentiment cooled down. The speculative inventory of futures and cash entered in the early stage was partially unwound. Coupled with mine复产, near - month delivery game, and pressure on the apparent demand for finished products, the static fundamental of coking coal weakened marginally, and the spot price increase was weak. Looking forward, the details of the "anti - involution" policy need time to be introduced, and the macro sentiment may fluctuate. The long - term price trend of coking coal is relatively optimistic. It is recommended to buy coking coal 2601 contract on dips. To break through the previous high, a substantial reduction in coking coal supply or an unexpectedly positive policy is needed [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Double - Coking Price Range Forecast - Coking coal price range (monthly): 1060 - 1350, current volatility (20 - day rolling): 32.68%, current volatility historical percentile: 63.87% - Coke price range (monthly): 1600 - 1800, current volatility (20 - day rolling): 25.37%, current volatility historical percentile: 49.13% [2] 3.2 Black Warehouse Receipt Daily Report | Variety | Unit | 2025 - 08 - 22 | 2025 - 08 - 21 | 2025 - 08 - 15 | Day - on - day | Week - on - week | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rebar | Tons | 158633 | 137310 | 120312 | 21323 | 38321 | | Hot - rolled coil | Tons | 32215 | 33992 | 79286 | - 1777 | - 47071 | | Iron ore | Lots | 2000 | 2000 | 3100 | 0 | - 1100 | | Coking coal | Lots | 0 | 800 | 0 | - 800 | 0 | | Coke | Lots | 820 | 820 | 820 | 0 | 0 | | Ferrosilicon | Sheets | 20474 | 20202 | 20916 | 272 | - 442 | | Silicomanganese | Sheets | 70094 | 71820 | 74797 | - 1726 | - 4703 | [2] 3.3 Coal and Coking Futures Price and Basis - Coking coal: Multiple indicators such as warehouse receipt cost, basis, and inter - month spreads are provided, showing different changes compared with the previous day and the previous week [9] - Coke: Similar to coking coal, multiple indicators including warehouse receipt cost, basis, and inter - month spreads are presented with corresponding changes [9] 3.4 Coal and Coking Spot Price - Coking coal: The spot prices of various types of coking coal, such as Anze low - sulfur coking coal, Mongolian coal, and imported coal, are shown, with some prices remaining unchanged and some having slight changes over different time periods [10] - Coke: The spot prices of different types of coke, including quasi - first - grade wet coke and dry coke in different regions, and export prices are provided. The current volatility of coke prices is relatively small, and the profit of coke export remains stable [10] 3.5利多 and 利空 Factors - **Likely Positive Factors** - The expectation of "anti - involution" in coal mines still exists, and the production increase space of mines in the second half of the year may be limited [8] - A safety accident in a mine in Fujian may cause market concerns about strong safety supervision [8] - Before the Fourth Plenary Session of the 10th Central Committee in October, there is room for policy expectation games [8] - **Likely Negative Factors** - The apparent demand for rebar is poor, and there is pressure on the real - end of finished products [8] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange has restricted the position of the main coking coal contract, and the speculation degree of coking coal is expected to decline [8] - The 7 - round price increase of coke has been implemented, and it is more difficult to continue the price increase. The market may anticipate the peak of the price increase in advance [8]
打好国际金融中心“人才牌”,第十四届“沪上金融家”评选启动媒体评审
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-21 12:41
三是创新力强,候选人积极投身培育长期耐心资本、推动金融高水平开放等前沿实践,以实际行动 书写科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金融"五篇大文章"。 本届评选采用自主报名、推举委员会提名,媒体评审、网络投票、专家评审相结合的方式。后续将 综合媒体评审、网络投票与专家评审意见,评出本年度奖项。评选结果将于2025年9月揭晓。 一是覆盖面广,除银行、证券、保险、信托、期货、公募基金、私募基金、交易所、金融租赁等传 统领域外,绿色金融、金融信息等新兴业态代表也积极参与; 二是国际范足,候选人中不乏外籍金融专业人士,或具有丰富境外金融机构工作经验者,在"一带 一路"、自贸区金融服务、跨境金融基础设施建设等领域持续深耕; 8月20日,第十四届"沪上金融家"评选启动媒体评审,来自50家主流媒体和专业媒体的财经记者对 参选人进行了投票。据悉,本届评选设立"上海国际金融中心建设年度人物""沪上金融行业领军人 物""沪上金融行业创新人物"三个奖项,参评者原则上须来自持牌金融机构,全职在上海工作不少于2 年。 强大的金融人才队伍是金融强国应具备的关键核心金融要素之一。2024年新修订的《上海市推进国 际金融中心建设条例》 ...