招商证券此前表示，节后融资余额有望回流，加上两会前风险偏好有望升温，节后A股资金面有望持续充裕。业绩真空期和政策回暖期给了A股接下来一段 时间进行产业趋势投资创造了良好的环境。 ETF方面，今年1月下半月，A股股票型ETF市场规模曾出现一波快速下降，从4万亿元以上回落至3.1万亿元附近。但自2月以来，股票型ETF市场规模变化重 归平稳。截至2月25日，股票型ETF资产规模报3.18万亿元，持续维持平稳态势。 股票型ETF市场近一年来规模变化 新华财经上海2月26日电（林郑宏）节后开市来的数据显示，A股市场呈现明显回暖态势。截至2月25日收盘，沪指本周累计上涨1.6%，深成指上涨2.66%， 创业板指上涨2.41%，三大股指均稳步走高。A股平均股价则上涨1.62%，报30.07元/股，再度站上30元/股整数关口。 在交投方面，节后首个交易日（2月24日，周二），沪深两市成交额即回到2万亿元上方，报2.2万亿元，周三进一步放大至2.46万亿元，均高于节前最后一周 的平均日成交额（约2.09万亿元）。 杠杆资金节后积极入场股票型ETF资产规模维持平稳 交投活跃背后，是杠杆资金的再度入场。数据显示，节后首个交易日，A ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index has shown an upward trend, increasing by 1.22% as of February 26, with leading stocks such as Salt Lake Potash, Bluestar Technology, and Cangge Mining showing significant gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has followed the index's upward movement, achieving three consecutive days of gains and attracting a total of 146 million yuan over the past 12 trading days [1] - Overall, the global stock market has been strong during the Spring Festival, with no major risk events, leading to high market sentiment and the potential for a new upward trend in A-shares post-holiday [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The industry allocation continues to focus on a dual mainline strategy of "technology + resource products," with technology focusing on AI, humanoid robots, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while resource products emphasize precious metals, oil and petrochemicals, and basic chemicals [1] - The petrochemical ETF and its linked funds closely track the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index, driven by both basic chemicals and oil and petrochemicals, while also including high dividend and high growth assets [1] Group 3: Key Stocks - Major weighted stocks in the index include Wanhua Chemical (global leader in MDI), China Petroleum (domestic oil and gas leader), China Petrochemical (domestic refining leader), and Salt Lake Potash (domestic potassium fertilizer leader) [1]

2月26日，A股市场大盘窄幅震荡，油气板块再度冲高！截至10:00，油气ETF汇添富（159309）涨0.87%，冲击三连阳，盘中资金再度涌入，油 气ETF汇添富（159309）获超1300万元净流入，此前已连续3日吸金超1.4亿元！ | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 002353 | 本瑞股份 | 机械设备 | 1.05% | 11.18% | | 2 | 600938 | 中国酒店 | 石油白化 | -1.32% | 9.47% | | 3 | 601872 | 招商轮胎 | 交间运输 | 4.75% | 8.56% | | 4 | 601857 | 中国酒店 | 石油白化 | -0.73% | 8.29% | | 5 | 600028 | 中国石化 | 石油石化 | 0.15% | 8.09% | | 6 | 600026 | 盗賊鼠出 | 交通运输 | 1.99% | 6.05% | | 7 | 600256 | 广汇能源 | 石油石化 | -0.34% | 4.71 ...

【市场复盘】 【机构观点】 西南证券认为，全球视角来看，化工行业已经处于新一轮景气周期的起点。我国化工企业在过去几年从 做大到做强，具备了更为坚实的利润基础和更为可观的利润弹性。展望2026年，美国进入降息通道，经 济出现衰退的风险较小，而我国2026年重点经济工作中将提振内需放在任务首位，政策工具充足，所以 认为2026年化工行业的供需改善有望超预期。 1. 上一交易日，INE主力原油期货收跌1.60元/桶，跌幅0.33%，报488.30元/桶；相关成品油主力期货高 硫燃料油收跌10.00元/吨，跌幅0.34%，报2943.00元/吨；低硫燃料油收跌41.00元/吨，跌幅1.18%，报 3436.00元/吨。 2. 上一交易日，天胶主力合约收涨2.10%，20号胶主力收涨2.34%，上海现货价格上调至16300元/吨附 近，基差持稳。节中外盘胶价上涨叠加原油走高，预计橡胶类品质表现延续偏强震荡，后续关注库存拐 点以及产区动态。 3. 上一交易日，乙二醇主力合约上涨，涨幅0.38%。供应端方面，CCF数据显示，乙二醇装置整体变化 不大，其中几套EO-EG联产装置在春节期间有不同程度的调整。3月份进口预计环比下 ...

Core Conclusions - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-end equipment and new materials that align with national industrial upgrading trends, while monitoring market liquidity and the impact of main board hot spots on the capital flow of the Beijing Stock Exchange [1][5]. Domestic Market Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,147.23, up by 0.72% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14,475.87, up by 1.29% - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4,735.89, up by 0.60% - The Shanghai 180 Index closed at 10,405.99, up by 0.53% - The SME Index closed at 8,787.92, up by 1.12% - The ChiNext Index closed at 3,354.82, up by 1.41% [2]. Industry Review - On February 24, the trading volume of the Beijing Stock Exchange A-shares reached 16.379 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.057 billion yuan from the previous trading day - The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index closed at 1,535.432, up by 0.37%, with a PE_TTM of 64.51 times - The specialized and innovative index closed at 2,566.43, up by 0.36% - Among 294 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, 242 saw their stock prices rise, 4 remained flat, and 48 experienced declines [3]. News Summary - The report highlights a potential price increase in MLCCs, with major manufacturers like Murata and Samsung Electronics considering double-digit price hikes due to rising demand from AI infrastructure investments - The Ministry of Commerce has placed 20 Japanese entities under export control to safeguard national security [4]. Investment Recommendations - The market is currently driven by "resource price increases" and "technology growth," with cyclical sectors like oil, petrochemicals, and precious metals leading the gains - Companies in the phosphorus chemical and industrial metal supply chains on the Beijing Stock Exchange may benefit from price elasticity - The technology sector shows divergence, with AI computing hardware performing well ahead of the NVIDIA GTC conference, while AI applications face challenges post-Spring Festival - The report suggests focusing on high-end equipment and new materials that align with national industrial upgrading, while keeping an eye on market liquidity and the rotation of main board hot spots affecting capital flow to the Beijing Stock Exchange [5].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-26 地产新政出台，沪指冲⾼回落 股指期货：地产新政出台，交易主线散乱。 股指期权：短期波动预期降低，视⻆可转向中期温涨。 国债期货：政策及⻛险偏好扰动，债市下跌。 股指期货方面，地产新政出台，交易主线散乱。周三沪指冲高回落， 上行出现阻力，中小盘股占优。变盘发生在午间，上海发布楼市新政，降 低购房的社保年限门槛，板块出现轮动。结合同时段各行业的走势，周期 板块集中止盈，包含石油石化、化工、煤炭，而地产链的建材、房地产相 对抗跌。其他主线缺乏，小概念轮动为主，如商业航天、有色稀土等受事 件驱动。主线散乱状态下，上方高度或受限，但随着节后A股量能有所恢 复，流动性充裕、商品联动风险消退，两会以前政策看涨期权仍有效，仍 以IM多单配置，等待会期。 股指期权方面，短期波动预期降低，视角可转向中期温涨。昨日标的 市场继续上涨，中小盘相关品种相对涨幅更大，期权市场成交量有小幅上 行，但未回到近期高位，结合各品种隐含波动率普遍进一步下探，可以推 测当前市场交易逻辑逐渐从对冲和博弈转向中期布局，短期波动预期大大 降低。而从持仓 ...

Market Overview - The market opened high and closed strong, with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index both rising over 1% [2][3] - Major indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4147.23, up 0.72%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 14475.87, up 1.29% [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Steel (up 4.69%), Non-ferrous Metals (up 3.48%), and Building Materials (up 2.75%) [2] - Conversely, sectors such as Media (down 1.15%) and Banking (down 0.46%) lagged behind [2] Concept Indices - Concept indices that performed well included Zinc Metals, Titanium Dioxide, and Phosphate Chemicals, with gains of 4.94%, 4.85%, and 4.51% respectively [2][3] - Underperforming concepts included Sora Concept (down 0.91%) and Military Restructuring Concept (down 0.89%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a high-probability window for upward movement post-holiday, supported by macro policies and industry catalysts [4] - The anticipated return of capital from pre-holiday cashing out is expected to provide ongoing momentum for future increases [4] - Key sectors to focus on include Dividends, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Power Equipment [4]

个股层面呈现普涨格局，全天共计4006只个股收涨，涨停股109只；1392只个股收跌，21只个股跌停。 从热门交易个股来看，日成交额超100亿元的个股共计4只。CPO概念股"易中天"组合表现亮眼：中际旭 创收涨4.33%报554元/股，天孚通信收涨12.65%报351.01元/股。此外，润泽科技涨逾13%。 31个申万一级行业中，传媒板块跌幅超过3%，计算机、商贸零售、食品饮料也收跌。 2月24日，A股迎来马年首个交易日，市场呈现"开门红"态势。全天成交额放量至2.22万亿元，超过4000 只个股上涨，市场氛围积极。受访人士指出，A股节后有望延续震荡上行格局，但行情性质与核心驱动 力或将发生切换。 石油等资源股爆发 2月24日，A股高开高走，指数、板块及个股收涨居多，沪指涨0.87%报4117.41点，创业板指涨0.99%报 3308.26点，深证成指涨1.36%。上证50、北证50微红，沪深300涨幅超1%，科创50微跌。 市场交投活跃度提升，成交额较前一交易日增加2193亿元，全天成交达2.22万亿元。值得注意的是，春 节前杠杆资金热度持续降温，截至2月13日，沪深北三市两融余额降至2.59万亿元。 A股 ...

2026 年 02 月 26 日 开源晨会 0226 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 传媒 | -1.155 | | 银行 | -0.456 | | 汽车 | 0.056 | | 家用电器 | 0.130 | | 石油石化 | 0.190 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 钢铁 | 4.694 | | 有色金属 | 3.478 | | 建筑材料 | 2.749 | | 房地产 | 2.533 | | 基础化工 | 2.162 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【固定收益】上清所托管量环比减少，债市整体杠杆率持平——2026 年 1 月债市 托管数据点评-20260225 事件：1 月末，上清所债 ...

春节前大幅离场后，A股节后的资金回流态势已成为市场关注焦点。 杠杆资金单日回流346亿元。 其中，前期累计涨幅较多的电子、电力设备、计算机、有色金属、通信等行业遭受资金明显减仓，融资 资金净卖出金额在33亿元～74亿元之间。 节后首个交易日，杠杆资金的持仓偏好截然相反。节前受到偏爱的行业出现大幅卖出，并流向节前遭到 减仓的行业。 根据Wind数据，2月24日，有26个行业获得杠杆资金回补仓位。电子、计算机、有色金属、电力设备、 通信、国防军工等板块获得融资资金大笔买入，净流入金额均超20亿元。而公用事业、石油石化、建筑 装饰、综合、煤炭5个行业遭到杠杆资金减仓。 这与当日的市场表现并不完全一致。24日，石油石化、煤炭行业领涨，建筑材料和公用事业也表现不 俗；有色金属行业涨幅居前，但计算机行业则处于跌势。25日，有色金属、建筑材料涨幅依旧居前，国 防军工、电子、电力设备行业涨幅超过1%，计算机和通信行业涨幅靠后，均微涨0.2%。 两融资金在春节前大幅净流出后，节后首个交易日大幅回流了346亿元，其中融资资金回流了338.89亿 元。杠杆资金的持仓偏好，春节前后也截然相反，此前大笔净卖出的行业在节后被大笔净买入。 ...