融资担保比例提高后，交易型资金如何反应？ ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/01/09-2026/1/22） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 23 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《A H 股市场周度观察（1 月第 2 周）》2026-01-17 2、《从春节到两会，市场轮动的节奏 将如何演绎？》2026-01-17 3、《开年市场新高后或如何演绎？》 2026-01-11 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：机构流出动能阶段性收敛，市场共识重新凝聚。1 月 12 日后机构 资金流出一度加速，但于 20 日后趋于收敛；散户资金对全 A 及创业板的流入在高位 后亦于 14 日起斜率放缓。全 A 与创业板资金加速度在 13 日及 21 日前后出现剧烈波 动，显示存量博弈依然活跃。截至 1 月 22 日，三大指数散户与机构净流入率差额显 著收窄并向零轴收敛，市场进入力量均衡期。 相 ...

根据协议，双方将充分发挥核心优势，构建"科技+服务+生态"的智慧养老合作模式，实现资源互补、 效能最大化。 据悉，作为智慧养老领域标杆企业，中民聚康将输出深耕多年的专业养老服务体系、标准化运营经验及 场景化解决方案，依托"柚爱小新"智能终端等自有核心资源，精准对接长者居家养老、健康管理、精神 慰藉等多元需求。中国移动天津分公司则发挥区域数字化转型主力军优势，以5G、物联网、大数据、 云计算等数字技术为支撑，提供稳定高效的网络服务与丰富的智能终端资源，为智慧养老服务落地提供 技术保障。此次携手旨在打破资源壁垒，让技术与服务深度融合，打造更精准、便捷、有温度的养老服 务体验。 1月16日，中民聚康与中国移动通信集团天津有限公司（以下简称"中国移动天津分公司"）战略合作签 约仪式在中国移动天津分公司圆满举行。 双方以"科技赋能养老，服务温暖民心"为核心，携手开启智慧养老领域深度合作新篇章，为津城长者幸 福晚年注入新动能。 ...

Group 1 - The total margin financing balance in A-shares reached 27,249.13 billion yuan, an increase of 38.90 billion yuan from the previous trading day, accounting for 2.62% of the A-share circulating market value [1] - The margin trading volume on the same day was 2,686.14 billion yuan, which is an increase of 78.01 billion yuan from the previous trading day, representing 9.88% of the total A-share trading volume [1] Group 2 - Among the 31 primary industries, 18 industries experienced net financing inflows, with the electronics industry leading at a net inflow of 1.749 billion yuan [3] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows include telecommunications, non-bank financials, and basic chemicals [3] Group 3 - A total of 53 individual stocks had net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with China Ping An leading at a net inflow of 658 million yuan [3][4] - Other notable stocks with high net financing inflows include Zhongji Xuchuang, Runze Technology, Poly Development, Zhongchao Holdings, Longxin Technology, Xinyi Sheng, Kweichow Moutai, and Wolong Nuclear Materials [3][4]

Core Insights - As of January 22, the total market financing balance reached 2.71 trillion yuan, an increase of 39.72 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - A total of 1,756 stocks received net financing purchases, with 566 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan, and 53 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - China Great Wall topped the net financing purchases with 662 million yuan, followed by China Ping An and Zhongji Xuchuang with 658 million yuan and 559 million yuan respectively [1] Individual Stock Highlights - The average financing balance as a percentage of market capitalization for stocks with significant net purchases is 4.21% [2] - The stock with the highest financing balance relative to its market capitalization is Guokewi, with a financing balance of 3.18 billion yuan, accounting for 9.71% of its market cap [2] - Other notable stocks with high financing balance percentages include Demingli (9.32%), Dongfang Caifu (8.80%), and Weichai Heavy Industry (8.22%) [2] Industry Distribution - The industries with the highest concentration of stocks receiving net financing purchases over 100 million yuan include electronics, national defense and military, and power equipment, with 13, 6, and 4 stocks respectively [1] - In terms of board distribution, 38 stocks on the main board, 10 on the ChiNext board, and 5 on the Sci-Tech Innovation board received significant net purchases [1] Financing Purchase Rankings - The top net financing purchases on January 22 included: - China Great Wall: 661.94 million yuan, with a market cap financing ratio of 4.06% [2] - China Ping An: 657.93 million yuan, with a market cap financing ratio of 4.66% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang: 558.74 million yuan, with a market cap financing ratio of 3.42% [2] - Other significant net purchases included Runze Technology, Poly Development, and Zhongchao Holdings [1]

融资担保比例提高后，交易型资金如何反应？ ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/01/09-2026/1/22） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 23 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《A H 股市场周度观察（1 月第 2 周）》2026-01-17 2、《从春节到两会，市场轮动的节奏 将如何演绎？》2026-01-17 3、《开年市场新高后或如何演绎？》 2026-01-11 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 策略定期报告 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：机构流出动能阶段性收敛，市场共识重新凝聚。1 月 12 日后机构 资金流出一度加速，但于 20 日后趋于收敛；散户资金对全 A 及创业板的流入在高位 后亦于 14 日起斜率放缓。全 A 与创业板资金加速度在 13 日及 21 日前后出现剧烈波 动，显示存量博弈依然活跃。截至 1 月 22 日，三大指数散户与机构净流入率差额显 著收窄并向零轴收敛，市场进入力 ...

Group 1 - In the fourth quarter of last year, a total of 2,977 stocks appeared on the list of heavily held stocks by funds, with 107 stocks having a fund holding ratio exceeding 10% [1] - Among the stocks with a fund holding ratio over 10%, 14 stocks had a holding ratio exceeding 20%, while 93 stocks had a holding ratio between 10% and 20% [1] - The stock with the highest fund holding ratio is Xinyi Technology, held by 1,396 funds, with a total holding of 289 million shares, accounting for 32.67% of its circulating share capital [1] Group 2 - A total of 56 stocks saw an increase in fund holdings in the fourth quarter, with the largest increases in holdings for ShenGong Co., Tianhua New Energy, and Maiwei Co., with increases of 59,020.96%, 15,808.35%, and 959.13% respectively [1] - Conversely, 48 stocks experienced a decrease in fund holdings, with the largest reductions for Nuocheng Jianhua-U, Kaitai Co., and Keda Li, with decreases of 43.91%, 41.04%, and 39.95% respectively [1] - Three new stocks entered the fund holding list, with the highest holding ratios for BaiAo SaiTu, LiTong Technology, and XingTu CeKong at 21.55%, 12.60%, and 10.03% respectively [1] Group 3 - Among stocks with a fund holding ratio over 10%, 42 stocks were held by more than 100 funds, while 29 stocks were held by 50 to 99 funds [2] - The stock with the most fund holders is Ningde Times, held by 2,056 funds with a total holding ratio of 11.63% [2] - The industry distribution of heavily held stocks is primarily concentrated in electronics, biomedicine, and power equipment, with 28, 20, and 11 stocks respectively [2] Group 4 - A total of 21 stocks have announced performance forecasts for 2025, with 16 expecting profit increases, 2 expecting profit decreases, and 2 expecting losses [2] - The stock with the highest expected net profit growth is Baiwei Storage, with an anticipated year-on-year increase of 473.71%, followed by Changxin Bochuang and BaiAo SaiTu with expected increases of 378.70% and 303.57% respectively [2]

今日早参 2026 年 1 月 23 日 张继强 研究所所长、固收首席研究员 座机：13910012450 邮箱：zhangjiqiang@htsc.com 仇文竹 固定收益：三个角度尝试增厚收益 随着基金销售新规落地，近期二永债明显修复。往后看，需求端超调压力缓 解，但股市、通胀、利率供给扰动仍存，一季度债市或延续震荡，但也不乏 交易机会。机构行为存在分化，保险开门红分红险销售亮眼，中小保险有拉 久期需求，银行配置摊余成本法信用债专户或带来中长久期信用债配置需 求。理财面临净值化挑战和分红险分流，春节前谨防取现需求规模回落。债 基短期压力缓解，中期仍面临"收益增厚和持有体验"等挑战。信用债 ETF 是机构发展重点，但年前冲量后近期明显回落，成分券超跌。综上，近期建 议继续票息打底，通过波段、品种、杠杆等增厚收益。基金、理财可继续下 沉挖掘 2 年期以内城投债，关注 5 年期二永债波段机会、4 年中高等级骑乘 机会，保险等可逢调整增配 5 年及以上中高等级信用债。 风险提示：股市走强超预期，刺激经济政策超预期。 研报发布日期：2026-01-22 研究员 张继强 SAC:S0570518110002 SFC: ...

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing narrow consolidation with the three major indices showing slight gains, specifically the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.50%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.01% [2][4] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.69 trillion yuan, an increase of 91 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, indicating a potential short-term consolidation phase after continuous volume increases [7] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Construction Materials (up 4.09%), National Defense and Military Industry (up 3.23%), and Oil and Petrochemicals (up 3.07%) [3][4] - Conversely, the sectors with the poorest performance include Beauty and Personal Care (down 0.76%), Banking (down 0.43%), and Pharmaceutical and Biological (down 0.42%) [3][4] Concept Indices - Among concept indices, the Domestic Aircraft Carrier concept led with a gain of 3.82%, followed by Combustible Ice (up 3.57%) and Large Aircraft (up 3.04%) [3][4] - On the downside, sectors such as Sci-Tech New Stocks and Photoresists saw declines of 1.09% and 0.93%, respectively [3][4] Future Outlook - The report indicates that the A-share market is likely to continue receiving support from multiple favorable factors, including the "14th Five-Year" industrial guidance, overseas liquidity easing, and domestic policy support [7] - The upcoming economic stabilization policies are expected to drive market risk appetite higher, suggesting a potential upward trend as the spring market approaches [7] Government Initiatives - A significant government initiative includes the allocation of 93.6 billion yuan in ultra-long special treasury bonds to support equipment upgrades across various sectors, which is projected to stimulate total investment exceeding 460 billion yuan [6]

Group 1 - Beijing plans to increase computing power resources, aiming for a cumulative capacity of around 200,000 P by 2027 [1] - Since 2025, both Chinese and US tech stocks have performed well, with the computing power sector leading the market [1] - Domestic chip manufacturers are exploring solutions like multi-card clusters to overcome performance limitations of single cards, creating investment opportunities in related components [1] Group 2 - AI computing power is seen as a major growth engine in the communications industry, with a focus on investment opportunities in the computing power supply chain [2] - Major overseas companies like Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon have optimistic capital expenditure guidance for 2026, with expected total capital expenditures of $406.5 billion and $596.4 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting significant year-on-year growth [2] - The proportion of capital expenditure allocated to AI computing power and infrastructure is expected to continue increasing [2]

Core Insights - Latin America has emerged as one of the most fruitful regions for the "Digital Silk Road" cooperation, driven by Chinese digital technology and collaboration concepts [1] - The digital infrastructure initiatives in Latin America, particularly in cloud computing, 5G communication, and smart agriculture, are significantly enhancing regional cooperation and development [2][3] Digital Infrastructure as a Foundation for Cooperation - Huawei's cloud data center in Santiago, Chile, is providing quality cloud services and attracting clients from neighboring countries like Argentina and Peru, reinforcing Chile's position as a digital hub in Latin America [2] - Chile's "Digital Nation Strategy" aims to establish a data hub in the Southern Hemisphere, with Chinese companies playing a crucial role in this transformation [2] - Various countries in Latin America, including Brazil and Mexico, are collaborating with Chinese firms to enhance their digital infrastructure, which is vital for bridging the development gap [3] Empowering Industries and Enhancing Livelihoods - Chinese smart port technology is being implemented in Santos Port, Brazil, improving operational safety and efficiency [4] - The integration of digital technologies in traditional industries, such as agriculture in Brazil and Argentina, is leading to significant improvements in productivity and efficiency [4] Realizing Digital Benefits in Daily Life - Farmers in Puebla, Mexico, are benefiting from the "Digital Rural Project," which has increased their profits by 20% through digital marketing and e-commerce platforms [5] - Cross-border e-commerce is facilitating the flow of goods between China and Latin America, enhancing trade efficiency and creating job opportunities in logistics and customer service [6] Cultivating Digital Talent for Development - The "Future Seeds" program in Peru is fostering digital skills among youth while promoting cultural exchange, exemplifying the educational cooperation between China and Latin America [7] - Initiatives like the China-Latin America Digital Education Alliance are aimed at nurturing a skilled workforce capable of driving digital transformation in the region [7] Expanding Cooperation Across Various Fields - The "Digital Silk Road" is not only about technology transfer but also about building trust and collaboration between China and Latin America, enhancing e-commerce vitality and digital infrastructure coverage [8] - Latin American countries are eager to deepen cooperation with China in digital economy and education, recognizing the potential for sustainable development [8]