Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The current iron ore supply and demand are weak. With the terminal demand in the off - season, steel mills' procurement is cautious. In the short term, it will maintain a volatile operation. The strategy is range - bound trading [5][6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Trading Logic - **Supply**: From November 3rd to November 9th, the global iron ore shipping volume was 3069 tons, a decrease of 144.5 tons compared to the previous period. Australian shipments were 1810.8 tons, down 84.3 tons, and Brazilian shipments were 737.8 tons, down 126.3 tons. The arrival volume at 45 Chinese ports was 2741.2 tons, a decrease of 477.2 tons. As of November 7th, the daily output of iron concentrate from 186 domestic mines was 46.87 tons, a decrease of 0.77 tons, and the capacity utilization rate was 59.98%, down 0.98%. The mine concentrate inventory was 79.6 tons, a decrease of 9.95 tons [5] - **Demand**: In the week of November 7th, the daily average pig iron output was 234.22 tons, a decrease of 2.14 tons. After the emergency response to heavy pollution weather was lifted in many places in Hebei, the steel mills' willingness to actively overhaul was weak, and the short - term decline in pig iron output was limited [5] - **Inventory**: The inventory of imported ore continued to increase, the number of ships at the port decreased by 9 to 109. The pressure at the port was transferred to the port, and the steel mills' inventory rebounded from a low level, with the overall inventory increasing slightly [5] - **Basis**: The basis of the 01 and 05 contracts fluctuated slightly [5] - **Profit**: The profitability rate of steel mills declined, and the price of imported ore oscillated in the range of 100 - 105 US dollars per ton [5] Price - The spot price oscillated and declined [7] Mineral Powder Spread - The spread between PB powder and Super Special powder rebounded slightly, and the spread between PB powder and Macfarlane powder oscillated at a low level [13][17] Relative Valuation - The ratio of steel to ore oscillated at a low level, and the ratio of ore to coke declined slightly [28] Supply - Global shipments decreased slightly, and the shipments of non - mainstream mines fluctuated slightly. Australian ore shipped to China and Brazilian ore shipments both decreased slightly. Shipments from FMG decreased, while those from BHP increased slightly. Shipmentsments from The Shipments from RT and VALE increased slightly. The shipping freight index increased slightly, the arrival volume decreased slightly, and the output of domestic iron concentrate decreased slightly [34][38][43][47][52][56][59] Demand - The profit of steel mill blast furnaces increased slightly, the profitability rate of steel mills continued to decline, and the pig iron output continued to decrease [65][71] Inventory - The port throughput changed little, and the port inventory continued to rise. The inventory of Australian ore increased slightly, and the inventory of Brazilian ore was at a high level. The inventory of coarse powder oscillated at a high level, and the inventory of lump ore increased slightly. The steel mills' consumption continued to decline, and the inventory of imported ore oscillated at a low level [78][82][90][98]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all up, with Dow futures rising by 0.45%, S&P 500 futures up by 0.95%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 1.49% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up by 1.96%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 1.01%, France's CAC 40 up by 1.48%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 1.85% [2] - WTI crude oil prices increased by 0.17% to $59.85 per barrel, while Brent crude oil also rose by 0.17% to $63.74 per barrel [2] Government Shutdown and Economic Impact - The US Senate is expected to break the government shutdown, with a proposal to fund multiple departments until the end of the fiscal year and to restore pay for furloughed employees [4] - Historical precedents suggest that once the government reopens, there will be a backlog of economic data releases, potentially impacting market sentiment [4] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and UBS express that while short-term risks exist, strong corporate earnings are expected to support US stock market growth into 2026 [4] Employment Data Insights - The absence of the non-farm payroll report due to the government shutdown leaves uncertainty in employment data, but ADP reported a rebound in private sector employment with an increase of 42,000 jobs in October [5] - The three-month average growth in private sector employment remains at 29,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate at 4.32% [5] Japanese Market Dynamics - Goldman Sachs reports a 30% surge in the Nikkei index, attracting US investors at the fastest rate since the "Abenomics" era, particularly in technology and AI sectors [6] - The influx of US capital reflects strong performance in the Japanese stock market, supported by a 2.5% appreciation of the yen and optimistic government policies [6] Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment - The volatility index for S&P 500 options has risen, indicating increased market pressure and cautious investor behavior following a month of turbulence [7] - The market has experienced significant fluctuations post-earnings reports, highlighting growing vulnerabilities amid a lack of US government economic data [7] Company Earnings Reports - Barrick Mining reported Q3 revenue of $4.15 billion, a 23.1% increase year-over-year, but slightly below expectations; the company raised its dividend by 25% and expanded its buyback program [8] - Beike (BEKE.US) reported a net profit of 747 million yuan, a 36.1% year-over-year decrease, with total transaction volume remaining stable [9] - Pfizer completed the acquisition of Metsera for approximately $10 billion, marking its entry into the weight-loss drug market [10] Technology Sector Trends - TSMC's October revenue growth slowed to 16.9%, the lowest in over a year and a half, indicating potential cooling demand in the AI sector [11] - Concerns over high valuations in the tech sector have led to increased selling pressure, with notable figures warning of an impending market correction [11] Leadership Changes - Diageo appointed Dave Lewis as the new CEO, aiming to revitalize its core spirits business amid challenging market conditions [12]

铁矿石风险管理报告 2025/11/10 周甫翰 （投资咨询证号 Z0020173） 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 铁矿石12合约月度价格预测（11月） | 价格预测区间 | 当前平值期权IV | 历史波动率分位数 | | --- | --- | --- | | 770-826 | 20.05% | 11.3% | source： 南华研究 铁矿石风险管理策略建议（11月） | 行为导向 | 情景分析 | 风险敞口 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 套保比例 | | 建议入场区间 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 库存管理 | 目前有现货，担心未来库存跌价 | 多 | 直接做空铁矿期货锁定利润 | I2512 | 空 | 25% | 820-830 | | | | | 卖看涨期权收权利金 | I2512-C-830 | | 30% | 逢高卖 | | 采购管理 | 未来要采购，担心涨价 | 空 | 直接做多铁矿期货锁定成本 | I2512 | 多 | 30% | 780-790 | | | | | 卖虚值看跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Jinding's stock price has experienced significant fluctuations, with a cumulative deviation of over 20% in closing prices over three consecutive trading days, indicating abnormal trading conditions [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The company's stock price has deviated significantly, leading to a notice regarding abnormal trading conditions [1] - The fluctuation is attributed to discussions in online forums about the company's subsidiary, Sichuan Kaiwu Information Technology Co., Ltd., and its involvement in the space computing concept [1] Group 2: Corporate Actions - The company will hold its 13th meeting of the 10th Board of Directors on January 8, 2025, to review a proposal for transferring part of its equity in a controlling subsidiary [1] - The company plans to transfer its stake in Kaiwu Information to Beijing Xingshan Digital Technology Co., Ltd., resulting in the loss of control over Kaiwu Information and its exclusion from the consolidated financial statements [1] Group 3: Financial Status - As of now, Kaiwu Information has not achieved profitability, focusing on 5G smart mining construction and unmanned system software and hardware services, with no involvement in space computing [1] - The company has invested 4 million yuan in establishing Dingjin Gold Mining (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. for trade business reserves, but has not yet paid the registered capital, and the new entity has not commenced operations [1] - The anticipated impact on the company's business operations for 2025 is expected to be minor [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Jinding (600678) has disclosed that its subsidiary, Sichuan Kaiwu Information Technology Co., Ltd., is not involved in space computing despite market speculation, and its investment in Dingjin Gold Mining (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. is still in the early stages with no significant impact expected on its operations by 2025 [1] Group 1 - Sichuan Jinding has noted unusual stock trading activity and addressed rumors regarding its subsidiary's involvement in space computing [1] - The company confirmed that Sichuan Kaiwu Information Technology has not yet achieved profitability and primarily focuses on 5G smart mining construction and unmanned system software and hardware services [1] - The company has committed to invest 4 million yuan in Dingjin Gold Mining, but has not yet paid the registered capital, and the subsidiary has not commenced any business activities [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market shows a divergence with the main board strengthening while the ChiNext board remains under pressure, with the Shanghai Composite Index successfully reclaiming the 4000-point mark [2] - Market sentiment is fluctuating, with over 3300 stocks closing in the green, and the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2.17 trillion, an increase of 175.4 billion from the previous trading day [3] Economic Indicators - The strong performance of consumer sectors such as food and beverage, liquor, and tourism is attributed to the rebound in October's CPI and core CPI data, signaling a recovery in domestic demand and boosting confidence in economic stabilization [3][4] - The Ministry of Finance has reiterated its commitment to continue implementing special actions to boost consumption, providing policy support to these sectors [4] Policy Outlook - The release of the "14th Five-Year Plan" marks the beginning of a new five-year economic and industrial development framework, which will serve as a foundation for future policies and provide a starting point for the policy tone leading up to 2026 [5][7] - Key areas of focus include industrial structure upgrades, technological self-reliance, and boosting domestic consumption [8][10] Sector Focus - For industrial structure upgrades, attention should be directed towards sectors such as mining, chemicals, machinery, and shipbuilding [11] - In terms of technological self-reliance, sectors like new energy, new materials, low-altitude economy, artificial intelligence, integrated circuits, and industrial mother machines are highlighted [11] - The domestic consumption boost should focus on retail, social services, food and beverage, and certain new consumption areas [11] Market Trends - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and advanced manufacturing sectors are expected to remain the main themes of the bull market [12] - Historical trends indicate that the current market may be in the second phase of a multi-stage rally, with significant potential for growth [14] Investment Opportunities - In the TMT sector, key areas of interest include AI and storage, with AI driving technological innovation and industry transformation, while storage is expected to benefit from sustained demand due to AI [15][16] - In advanced manufacturing, focus areas include humanoid robots, liquid cooling, solid-state batteries, and PCB, with significant developments anticipated in 2026 [17][18] Future Market Dynamics - The market is expected to enter a phase of intense policy expectation, with domestic policies centered around the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, while international policies will be influenced by U.S.-China relations and potential policy shifts from the U.S. midterm elections [21] - Key upcoming events include annual performance forecasts and quarterly reports, which will further validate industry conditions [22]

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Jinding announced that its stock price experienced an abnormal fluctuation, with a cumulative increase of over 20% in closing prices over three consecutive trading days from November 6 to November 10, 2025 [1] Group 1: Stock Price Fluctuation - The company confirmed that there are no undisclosed significant matters apart from the already disclosed information [1] - The stock price increase is attributed to discussions in online forums regarding its subsidiary Sichuan Kaiwu Information Technology Co., Ltd. and its involvement in the space computing concept [1] Group 2: Subsidiary Information - Sichuan Kaiwu Information Technology Co., Ltd. was partially divested on January 8, 2025, and is no longer under the company's control or included in the consolidated financial statements [1] - The main business of Kaiwu Information focuses on 5G smart mining construction and unmanned system software and hardware services, with no involvement in space computing and has not yet achieved profitability [1] Group 3: Other Investments - The company has committed 4 million yuan to establish Dingjin Gold Mining (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. as a trade business reserve, but has not yet paid the registered capital and the company has not commenced actual operations [1] - This investment is not expected to have a significant impact on the company's operations for the year 2025 [1] Group 4: Operational Status - The company's production and operational conditions remain normal, with no significant changes in the internal and external environment [1] - During the period of stock price fluctuation, the board members, executives, and controlling shareholders did not engage in any trading of the company's stock [1]

Core Viewpoint - MSCI announced changes to the MSCI China Index, adding 26 stocks and removing 20, effective after market close on November 24 [1] Group 1: Changes in Index Constituents - Nine new stocks listed in Hong Kong include China Gold International (02099.HK), Zijin Mining International (02259.HK), UBTECH Robotics (09880.HK), Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK), Dongfeng Motor Group (00489.HK), Crystal International (02228.HK), China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK), Rongchang Biopharma (09995.HK), and GF Securities (01776.HK) [1] - Four stocks removed from the index include China Everbright Bank (06818.HK), Beijing Enterprises Water Group (00371.HK), AVIC Trust (00696.HK), and China Resources Pharmaceutical (03320.HK) [1] Group 2: Impact on Stock Weights - The adjustment will affect the free float factors of 19 companies and the number of shares for 142 companies, leading to changes in index weightings [1] - New entrants like China Gold International, Zijin Mining International, UBTECH Robotics, and Ganfeng Lithium will see their weights increase, while Tencent (00700.HK), Alibaba-W (09988.HK), Kuaishou-W (01024.HK), and China Everbright Bank will experience the largest declines in weight [2] Group 3: Predicted Fund Flows - Expected inflows for stocks with increased weights include: - China Gold International (02099.HK): +0.129%, inflow of $187 million - Zijin Mining International (02259.HK): +0.12%, inflow of $173 million - UBTECH Robotics (09880.HK): +0.116%, inflow of $167 million - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK): +0.093%, inflow of $134 million - Dongfeng Motor Group (00489.HK): +0.092%, inflow of $133.6 million [2] - Expected outflows for stocks with decreased weights include: - Tencent (00700.HK): -0.231%, outflow of $334 million - Alibaba-W (09988.HK): -0.137%, outflow of $198 million - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK): -0.061%, outflow of $88.1 million - China Everbright Bank (06818.HK): -0.047%, outflow of $68.1 million [2][3]

新京报讯(记者陈琳)11月10日，市场监管总局发布公告，附加限制性条件批准智利国家铜业公司(以下简 称智利铜业)与智利化工矿业公司(以下简称智利化工)新设合营企业案。 本案涉及进口碳酸锂供应领域的重要整合，智利铜业与智利化工拟通过资产注入的方式形成合营企业， 共同经营智利阿塔卡马盐湖锂矿项目。碳酸锂是锂电池、新能源汽车等产业的关键上游原料，市场监管 总局在审查过程中，充分考虑交易对中国境内进口碳酸锂市场竞争可能产生的影响。 通过附加限制性条件，智利铜业、智利化工及合营企业作出继续履约、公平合理无歧视供应、及时报告 重大供应变化等承诺，有利于碳酸锂产品供应稳定、价格合理，保障下游客户和消费者利益，为我国新 能源产业健康有序发展创造公平竞争环境。 ...

Core Points - The Tokyo stock market rebounded on November 10, with the Nikkei 225 index rising by 1.26% and the Tokyo Stock Exchange index increasing by 0.56% [1] - Investor confidence was boosted by a more favorable global trade environment and the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown [1] - The Nikkei index saw a significant intraday increase, rising nearly 700 points at one point during the trading session [1] Market Performance - The Nikkei index closed up by 635.39 points at 50,911.76 points, while the Tokyo Stock Exchange index rose by 18.57 points to close at 3,317.42 points [1] - Following a notable decline of over 2,100 points in the previous week, investors engaged in bargain-hunting, leading to a small upward opening of the market [1] Sector Analysis - Most of the 33 industry sectors on the Tokyo Stock Exchange experienced gains, with notable increases in the oil and coal products, mining, and metal products sectors [1] - Conversely, eight sectors, including other products, services, and agriculture, saw declines [1]