（编辑 袁冠琳） 证券日报网讯 云南铜业11月21日发布公告，在公司回答调研者提问时表示，近年来，公司高度重视矿 山资源接替与资源增储上产，持续加大资金投入开展各矿区地质综合研究、矿山深边部找探矿工作。公 司目前主要拥有的普朗铜矿、大红山铜矿、羊拉铜矿等矿山，主要分布在三江成矿带，具有良好的成矿 地质条件和进一步找矿潜力。2025年上半年，公司开展多项矿产勘查活动、矿山深边部找探矿工作。此 外，公司目前正开展通过发行股份的方式购买云铜集团持有的凉山矿业40%股份，交易完成后，凉山矿 业将成为上市公司的控股子公司，进一步增厚公司资源储量。 ...

核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 宏观经济波动影响下游需求风险、铜矿扩产进度超预期风险、铜冶炼扩产超预期风险 有色、钢铁行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 供给短缺是利好铜价的中期逻辑，积极锚 定资源增储或成行业趋势 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色、钢铁行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 11 月 09 日 看好（维持） | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 黄雨韵 | 执业证书编号：S0860125070019 | | --- | --- | | | huangyuyun@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | ⚫ 铜矿端：建议关注资源储量较大、中期铜矿持续扩产存在增量预期的紫金矿业 (601899，买入)；其他标的：洛阳钼业(603993，未评级)、金诚信(603979，未评 级)。 ⚫ 铜冶炼端相关标的：铜陵有色(000630，未评级)、江西铜业(600362，未评级)。 有 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 32 yuan, based on a 16x PE valuation for 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company's gold production has significantly increased quarter-on-quarter, leading to an optimistic outlook for performance improvement [2][8]. - The forecasted earnings per share for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.44, 2.00, and 2.60 yuan respectively, reflecting a positive adjustment from previous estimates [3]. - The report highlights a stable production cost for gold, with a slight increase in overall costs but a decrease in domestic mining costs [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections show a steady increase from 7,221 million yuan in 2023 to 18,638 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.7% [4][10]. - Operating profit is expected to rise from 1,208 million yuan in 2023 to 7,773 million yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][10]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 804 million yuan in 2023 to 4,934 million yuan in 2027, with a notable increase in profit margins [4][10]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 32.6% in 2023 to 53.4% in 2027, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Chihong Zinc & Germanium Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 10.581 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.67%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 932 million yuan, up 3.27% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 919 million yuan after deducting non-recurring items, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.11% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 2.158 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 34.73% [1] Group 2: Resource Strategy - The company advanced 16 resource exploration projects in the first half of the year, adding 280,000 tons of lead and zinc resources, with total reserves of 1.881 million tons of lead and 3.771 million tons of zinc by the end of the reporting period [2] - The company maintained a leading position in the industry with a stable cost of lead and zinc concentrate production, achieving a six-year consecutive reduction [2] Group 3: Project Development - The construction of the Hulunbuir Chihong Precious Metals Comprehensive Recovery and Smelting Project has been completed, and the lead-zinc smelting efficiency enhancement project has commenced, which will add 100,000 tons per year of lead-zinc smelting capacity upon completion [2] Group 4: Innovation and Sustainability - The company has authorized 106 new patents, including 12 invention patents, and has achieved external licensing of its independent patents for the first time [2] - The company has established four national-level green mines and four national-level green factories, achieving a 100% completion rate for green mines and a 66.67% completion rate for green factories [2] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company aims to focus on high-quality collaborative development across the entire lead-zinc-germanium industry chain, benchmarking against world-class standards, and will continue to deepen its industry chain layout [3] - The company plans to accelerate resource integration and technological upgrades, enhancing its competitiveness through innovation-driven initiatives [3]

Group 1 - The company's 1H25 performance met market expectations, with operating revenue of 5.272 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.64%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.107 billion yuan, up 55.79% year-on-year [1] - In 1H25, the company's gold production decreased to 6.8 tons, a year-on-year decline of 10.56%, while the average gold price increased to 722 yuan per gram, up 38.64% year-on-year [1] - The company anticipates that costs will gradually return to normal levels in the second half of the year, despite a temporary increase in costs due to mining expansion preparations and a decline in ore grades [1] Group 2 - The company has begun its first sales in the rare earth sector, with 1H25 revenues from rare earths at 5.968 million yuan and a net loss of 1.54 million yuan [2] - Future growth is expected as the company enhances gold production and controls costs, with several mining projects in China and overseas progressing as planned [2] - The company has successfully completed its Hong Kong listing, raising funds to accelerate acquisitions and expand resource reserves, which is projected to enhance profit forecasts and valuations [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by rising gold and silver prices, with Q2 net profit reaching a historical high [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.246 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.4% year-on-year [1]. - Q2 2025 saw operating revenue of 4.924 billion yuan, a 32% year-on-year increase and a 14% quarter-on-quarter increase; net profit attributable to shareholders was 902 million yuan, up 57.7% year-on-year and 30% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Commodity Prices Impact - The average domestic gold and silver prices in H1 2025 were 721 yuan per gram and 8166 yuan per kilogram, reflecting year-on-year increases of 38% and 20%, respectively [2]. - In Q2, gold and silver prices increased by 39% and 10% year-on-year, and 15% and 4% quarter-on-quarter, respectively [2]. Production and Sales - In H1 2025, the company produced 3.7 tons of gold, down 11% year-on-year, and sold 4.12 tons, down 7% year-on-year; silver production was 61.8 tons, down 25% year-on-year, while sales increased by 10% year-on-year [3]. - Q2 production of gold was 1.95 tons (down 11% year-on-year, up 10% quarter-on-quarter), while silver production was 40 tons (down 35% year-on-year, up 80% quarter-on-quarter) [3]. Cost and Profitability - The company achieved a gross margin of 29.98% in H1 2025, remaining stable year-on-year [4]. - The unit cost of gold increased slightly to 135 yuan per gram (up 7% year-on-year), while the gross margin for gold was 79.15%, an increase of 7.26 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Resource Expansion - The company is actively expanding its resource base, acquiring a 52.0709% stake in Yunnan Western Mining, which includes exploration rights for gold in a 35.6 square kilometer area [5]. - Significant geological exploration results were reported, with an additional gold metal amount of 3.85 tons discovered [5]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.44 billion yuan, 3.97 billion yuan, and 5.04 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 58.5%, 15.2%, and 27.0%, respectively [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) has shown significant performance growth driven by the resonance of tin and antimony, with promising potential for future resource expansion [1][6]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.787 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 382 million yuan, up 9.49% year-on-year [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.543 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.95% and a year-on-year increase of 26.64%, with a net profit of 228 million yuan, up 48.87% quarter-on-quarter and 7.83% year-on-year [2]. Production Volume - In H1 2025, the company produced approximately 3,273.80 tons of tin concentrate, down 6.18% year-on-year, while sales increased by 41.02% to about 124.34 tons [3]. - Tin ingot production was approximately 6,147.02 tons, up 19.30% year-on-year, with sales of about 5,781.59 tons, an increase of 7.39% [3]. - Zinc concentrate production was about 27,100 tons, down 1.17% year-on-year, with sales of 11,000 tons, down 4.67% [3]. Pricing and Margins - The average price for tin, antimony, zinc, lead, and copper in H1 2025 was 262,100 yuan/ton, 189,000 yuan/ton, 23,100 yuan/ton, 17,000 yuan/ton, and 77,600 yuan/ton, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +2,120 yuan, +8,310 yuan, +90 yuan, -10 yuan, and +270 yuan [4]. - The company's overall gross margin was 36.36%, a decrease of 2.56 percentage points year-on-year, with specific product margins showing varied performance [4]. Resource Expansion Potential - The company has made progress in resource layout, with significant increases in mineral reserves, including a 93.59% increase in lead-zinc resources at the Fozichong mining area [5]. - As of H1 2025, the company holds a total mineral resource of 89.591 million tons, with metal resources including tin, antimony, indium, zinc, lead, silver, and copper totaling 4.4925 million tons [5]. Investment Recommendations - The company is positioned as a leader in tin and antimony, with rich mineral resource reserves and ongoing exploration projects that suggest further resource expansion [6]. - Future net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 984 million yuan, 1.139 billion yuan, and 1.323 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17, 14, and 12 times based on the closing price on August 18, 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - Jin Hui Co., Ltd. has demonstrated robust performance in the non-ferrous metal mining sector, with positive financial results and a commitment to shareholder returns through a cash dividend plan [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 792 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.50% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 253 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.62% [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.00 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), totaling 196 million yuan [1]. Resource Expansion Efforts - The resource expansion initiatives have shown significant progress, particularly in the Dongpo lead-zinc mine exploration project, which has completed approximately 26,000 meters of drilling with a discovery rate exceeding 80% [2]. - A substantial mineral layer has been identified below 600 meters, measuring approximately 1,500 meters in length and 500 meters in width, with an average grade of 6%-8% for lead and zinc [2]. - The company aims to complete the exploration and detailed survey work by 2026, laying a solid resource foundation for future production capacity enhancement [2]. Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations for continued upward trends in metal prices due to macroeconomic stabilization and increased demand in emerging sectors like electric vehicles and 5G communications [3]. - Jin Hui Co., Ltd. plans to focus on safety, efficiency, resource expansion, capacity enhancement, and meticulous management to strengthen its core competitiveness during the industry's recovery [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][22]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in profits in Q2, primarily due to a notable rise in self-produced ore sales. The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.787 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.66%, with a net profit of 382 million yuan, up 9.49% year-on-year [2][10]. - The company is focusing on resource expansion and production capacity enhancement, with several major projects underway, including the increase of ore reserves at the Fozi Mine and the acceleration of mining projects [4][19]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 3,273.80 tons of tin concentrate, a decrease of 6.18% year-on-year, while tin ingot production increased by 19.30% to 6,147.02 tons. Zinc concentrate production was 27,100 tons, down 1.17% year-on-year, and zinc ingot production was 16,500 tons, up 8.47% [2][14]. - The gross profit structure shows that tin ingot business contributed 321 million yuan, accounting for 31.68% of total gross profit, while antimony ingot and lead-antimony concentrate contributed 413 million yuan, accounting for 40.73% [3][14]. Future Outlook - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 5.349 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.5%. The net profit is projected to be 1.001 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 52.2% [5][22]. - The company is one of the few in China focusing on tin and antimony as primary minerals, which positions it well to benefit from price increases in these metals [5][22].

Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - The company reported a significant drop in profit in Q3 2024 compared to Q2 2024, primarily due to a decrease in ore processing volume and lower metal grades [22] - The company aims to achieve a silver and tin production increase after the completion of the second phase of the Silver Mine project, potentially doubling output [15] - In 2025, the company expects to produce approximately 4,000 to 4,500 tons of silver annually from the expanded capacity of the Yubang Mining project [15] Group 2: Exploration and Resource Development - The company has invested 56.54 million yuan in exploration activities in 2024, with significant drilling efforts totaling 19,462.3 meters on the surface and 16,208.29 meters underground [21] - The company is actively exploring the deep mineral resources of the Silver Mine, which shows promising geological conditions for forming porphyry-type deposits [12] - Yubang Mining has completed over 50,000 meters of drilling, yielding positive results, and the company plans to continue its exploration efforts [12] Group 3: Strategic Planning and Market Position - The company has established an international division to advance overseas business, focusing on silver and tin as key resource targets [20] - The company is committed to enhancing its market recognition and shareholder communication to improve its stock performance [4] - The company is exploring financing options, including issuing overseas bonds, to support its international expansion and optimize its capital structure [20] Group 4: Safety and Operational Challenges - The company is addressing safety management issues following recent accidents, emphasizing the need for improved training and risk management [16] - The company maintains a three-month stockpile of surface ore to ensure continuous processing during unexpected shutdowns [21] - The company is currently rectifying operational practices at the Bosheng Mining site following an incident that halted production [21] Group 5: Investor Relations and Communication - The company acknowledges the need for improved transparency and has committed to enhancing its information disclosure practices [18] - The management expresses confidence in transforming the company into a leading listed entity, focusing on shareholder value [15] - The company plans to provide regular updates on exploration results and operational performance to keep investors informed [12]