Investment Rating The provided documents do not contain information about the industry investment rating. Core Views - The A - share market showed a downward adjustment, with high - dividend sectors performing strongly and technology - related industries experiencing pullbacks. The four major stock index futures contracts also declined, and it is recommended to wait and see [2][3][4]. - The central bank's bond - buying scale was lower than expected, and Treasury bond futures are likely to be volatile in the short term. It is advisable to go long on Treasury bonds on dips and consider positive arbitrage strategies [5][6]. - Due to tightened liquidity and a stronger US dollar, precious metals prices dropped. In the medium - to - long - term, precious metals are expected to enter a bull market, but in the short term, they will fluctuate widely [7][8][9]. - The container shipping index (European route) is expected to fluctuate within a certain range, and it is recommended to go long on the December contract on dips [11][12]. - For non - ferrous metals, copper prices are affected by a strong US dollar and are expected to be weak in the short term but supported in the medium - to - long - term by supply - demand contradictions; alumina prices are expected to remain weakly volatile; aluminum prices will fluctuate widely; zinc prices will be volatile and slightly strong in the short term; tin prices will maintain a high - level shock; nickel prices will fluctuate within a range; stainless steel prices will be weakly volatile; and lithium carbonate prices will be weakly adjusted [12][17][20][25][28][32][35][38]. - For black metals, steel prices are expected to test support levels, and the strategy of going long on coking coal and short on hot - rolled coils can be continued; iron ore prices are under pressure; coking coal and coke prices are expected to be bullish in the fourth quarter, and it is recommended to go long on dips [41][44][47][51]. - For agricultural products, meal prices are undergoing high - level adjustments; pig prices are weakly volatile; corn prices are in a low - level shock; and sugar prices are in a bottom - level shock [54][57][59][62]. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: On Tuesday, the A - share market opened lower and weakened. The four major stock index futures contracts all declined. High - dividend sectors were strong, while technology - related industries pulled back. It is recommended to wait and see as the market direction is unclear [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Treasury bond futures mostly closed down. The central bank's bond - buying scale in October was lower than expected, and the bond market may enter a waiting stage. It is advisable to go long on Treasury bonds on dips and consider positive arbitrage strategies [5][6]. Precious Metals - The US government shutdown and potential changes in tariffs have tightened market liquidity, causing the US dollar to strengthen and precious metals prices to drop. In the medium - to - long - term, precious metals are expected to enter a bull market, but in the short term, they will fluctuate widely. Gold and silver prices both declined, with gold closing at $3931 per ounce, down 1.72%, and silver at $47.13 per ounce, down 1.89% [7][8][9]. Container Shipping Index (European Route) - The spot quotes of container shipping vary among different shipping companies. The SCFIS and SCFI indices show different trends. The global container shipping capacity has increased, and the demand in the eurozone and the US shows different performances. The futures price is expected to fluctuate between 1800 - 2000 points, and it is recommended to go long on the December contract on dips [11][12]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The strong US dollar suppresses copper prices. The supply of copper concentrate is tight, and the production of refined copper may decline slightly in November. The demand for copper has strong resilience. Copper prices are expected to be weak in the short term but supported in the medium - to - long - term. The main contract is expected to find support at 84000 and face resistance at 86500 [12][13][16]. - **Alumina**: The alumina market continues to test the support level of 2750. The supply is in an oversupply situation, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to remain weakly volatile, with the main contract ranging from 2750 - 2900 yuan/ton [17][18][19]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price rose strongly recently but then pulled back. The supply may be affected by environmental protection in winter, and the demand is weak. The price is expected to fluctuate widely, with the main contract ranging from 20800 - 21600 yuan/ton [20][21][22]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The spot trading of aluminum alloy is cold at high prices, and the supply of raw materials is tight. The demand shows a mild recovery. The price is expected to maintain a strong - side shock, with the main contract ranging from 20400 - 21000 yuan/ton [23][24]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price is in a high - level shock. The supply is expected to increase with limited amplitude, and the demand is average. The LME has a risk of short - squeeze, and the export window of zinc ingots may open intermittently. The price is expected to be volatile and slightly strong in the short term, with the main contract ranging from 22300 - 23000 [25][27][28]. - **Tin**: The tin price maintains a high - level shock. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the demand shows a structural differentiation. The price is expected to be adjusted on dips, and it is recommended to go long on dips [28][30][31]. - **Nickel**: The nickel price shows a downward trend. The supply is at a high level, and the demand is stable in some sectors but weak in others. The inventory is high overseas and slightly decreasing in China. The price is expected to fluctuate within a range, with the main contract ranging from 118000 - 126000 [32][33][34]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless steel price is weakly volatile. The supply is under pressure, and the demand is insufficient. The social inventory is slowly decreasing. The price is expected to be weakly adjusted, with the main contract ranging from 12500 - 13000 [35][36][37]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The lithium carbonate price is weakly adjusted. The supply shows a slight decrease, and the demand is more optimistic than expected. The trading logic has switched, and the price is expected to be weakly adjusted, with the main contract ranging from 76000 - 82000 [38][39][40]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The steel price is expected to test support levels. The supply of iron elements is loose, and the profit of steel has declined. The inventory of steel is decreasing, but the winter storage pressure of plates is high. It is recommended to continue holding the strategy of going long on coking coal and short on hot - rolled coils [41][42][43]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore price has fallen back. The supply shows a pattern of decreased shipping and increased arrival, and the demand has weakened. The inventory has increased. It is recommended to go short on the 2601 contract on rallies and conduct positive arbitrage between the 1 - 5 contracts [44][45][46]. - **Coking Coal**: The coking coal price is volatile. The supply is expected to increase slightly, and the demand has weakened. The inventory is slightly decreasing. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and conduct the strategy of going long on coking coal and short on coke [47][48][50]. - **Coke**: The coke price is volatile. The third - round price increase of coke has been implemented, and the cost is supported by coking coal. The demand has weakened, and the inventory is slightly increasing. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and conduct the strategy of going long on coking coal and short on coke [51][52][53]. Agricultural Products - **Meals**: The meal price is undergoing high - level adjustments. The domestic soybean meal price has been lowered, and the market is waiting for further details of Sino - US trade. The supply of soybeans and soybean meal in China is high, but the cost support is strong [54][55][56]. - **Pigs**: The pig price is weakly volatile. The market supply is loose, and the secondary fattening enthusiasm has declined. The overall planned slaughter volume in November will slow down, which may boost the pig price to some extent [57][58]. - **Corn**: The corn price is in a low - level shock. The supply pressure exists, and the selling pressure has not been realized. The demand is mainly for rigid needs. In the long - term, the corn market will be in a tight - balance pattern [59][60][61]. - **Sugar**: The sugar price is in a bottom - level shock. The international sugar supply is expected to be in surplus, and the domestic sugar price is under pressure but relatively resistant to decline. The spot market trading is not active [62].

1. Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports are a collection of daily market data on various financial products including stock index futures spreads, precious metals, container shipping, and bond futures. They present the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical percentile rankings, and other relevant information, which can help investors understand the current market conditions and trends of these products. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures Spreads - **IF, IH, IC, IM期现价差**: IF期现价差 is -29.70, down 11.10 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 27.80% and an all - time percentile of 13.60%. Similar data is provided for IH, IC, and IM期现价差 [1]. - **IF, IH, IC, IM跨期价差**: Multiple spread data between different contract months are given for each of these futures types, showing their latest values, daily changes, and historical percentile rankings [1]. - **跨品种比值**: Ratios such as 中证500/沪深300, 中证500/上证50, IF/IH, and IM/IF are presented with their latest values, daily changes, and historical percentile rankings [1]. Bond Futures - **基差 and IRR**: IRR and basis data for different bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) are provided, including their latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical percentile rankings since the contract's listing [4]. - **跨期价差**: Spread data between different contract months for TS, TF, T, and TL bond futures are presented, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings [4]. - **跨品种价差**: Spreads between different bond futures (TS - TF, TS - T, TF - T, etc.) are given with their latest values, changes, and historical percentile rankings [4]. Precious Metals - **期货收盘价**: Domestic (AU2512, AG2512) and foreign (COMEX gold and silver) futures closing prices are presented for November 4th and November 3rd, along with their changes and percentage changes [5]. - **现货价格**: Spot prices of London gold and silver, and Shanghai Gold Exchange T + D products are given for November 4th and November 3rd, with their changes and percentage changes [5]. - **基差**: Basis data for gold and silver (TD - futures, London - COMEX) are provided, including their latest values, changes, and historical 1 - year percentile rankings [5]. - **FRA and Ratios**: Ratios such as COMEX金/银 and 上期所金/银 are presented with their latest values, changes, and percentage changes [5]. - **利率与汇率**: Interest rates (10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS) and exchange rates (US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate) are given with their latest values, changes, and percentage changes [5]. - **库存与持仓**: Inventory and position data for domestic and foreign precious metals are provided, including their latest values, changes, and percentage changes [5]. Container Shipping - **现货报价**: Spot freight rates for Shanghai - Europe routes from different shipping companies (MAERSK, CMA, MSC, etc.) are presented for November 4th and November 3rd, with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **集运指数**: Settlement price indices for European and US - West routes (SCFIS), and Shanghai export container freight indices (SCFI) are given with their changes and percentage changes over different time periods [7]. - **期货价格及基差**: Futures prices of different contracts (EC2602, EC2512, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are presented for November 4th and November 3rd, with their changes and percentage changes [7]. - **基本面数据**: Data on container shipping supply (global container shipping capacity) and foreign - trade - related indicators (port punctuality rate, port calls, monthly export value) are provided, along with overseas economic data (eurozone PMI, EU consumer confidence index, US manufacturing PMI, etc.) [7].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a container shipping morning report released on November 5, 2025, by the energy and chemical team of the research center [2] Group 2: Futures Market Analysis Futures Contracts - EC2512 closed at 1909.9 with a 3.14% increase, EC2602 at 1593.7 with a 0.09% increase, EC2604 at 1190.0 with a 0.47% increase, EC2606 at 1411.0 with a 0.75% increase, EC2608 at 1485.0 with a 0.10% increase, and EC2610 at 1135.0 with a 0.38% decrease [2] Month - to - Month Spreads - EC2512 - 2504 spread was 719.9, up 52.6 from the previous day and 123.7 week - on - week; EC2512 - 2602 spread was 316.2, up 56.7 from the previous day and 112.8 week - on - week; EC2502 - 2604 spread was 403.7, down 4.1 from the previous day and up 10.9 week - on - week [2] Group 3: Spot Market Analysis Spot Indices - SCFI (European Line) on November 3, 2025, was 1208.71 points, down 7.92% from the previous period; CCFI on October 31, 2025, was 1323.81, up 2.37% from the previous period; NCFI on October 31, 2025, was 965.62, up 17.43% from the previous period [2] European Line Spot Quotes - In early November, PA's price dropped to $1700 - 1900, GEMIN to $2100 - 2200, and OA to $2250, with an average of about $2050 (equivalent to 1430 points on the disk) [4] Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategies - The 12 - contract has multiple positive drivers but high valuation, and it is recommended to buy on dips [3] - The 02 - contract's valuation is hard to anchor, and it is expected to follow the 12 - contract in the next month [3] - The 04 - contract is a off - season contract, and it is recommended to sell on rallies considering future supply pressure, off - season factors, and potential resumption of shipping [3] Group 5: News and Events - On October 31, Israel attacked Gaza for the third consecutive night, impacting the cease - fire agreement; on November 2, the Houthi armed forces said they would respond strongly to any Israeli aggression [5] - On November 4, the MSK price increase news and the price increase letters from HPL and MSC drove the main contract to strengthen significantly, and the far - month contracts were slightly driven up by the near - month contracts [2][3] - On November 5, MSC and HPL issued price increase letters for the second half of November, announcing price increases to $3000 and $3100 per FEU respectively [4]

Report Overview - Report Title: "European Line Container Shipping Monthly Report" [1] - Date: November 3, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Research Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The year - end peak season is approaching, market expectations are turning positive. Although actual demand may not support a large price increase, a bottom - up recovery trend is likely to form, and the annual freight rate bottom may have been reached. - The conflict in the Middle East is frequent and repeated, and it is expected to be difficult to resolve within the year. The Red Sea may still be difficult to reopen in the short term. - It is recommended to maintain the idea of buying on dips [8][24] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 10 - Month Market Review - Shipping companies raised quotes for late October and November, and the container shipping index stopped falling and rebounded. The SCFIS, the underlying index of container shipping futures, began to rise in late October after 13 consecutive weeks of decline. - Multiple factors supported the strengthening of futures, especially far - month contracts. In early October, Sino - US frictions escalated, and the cease - fire in Gaza was in turmoil. The EC futures main contract 12 in October fluctuated strongly [11] 3.2 Freight Spot Quotation Situation - Quotes for November and December continue to rise. As the long - term contract season approaches, shipping companies are raising freight rates. For example, Maersk's large - container quotes for the Shanghai - Rotterdam route in the first and second weeks of November are $2380 and $2210 respectively. Mainstream shipping companies' quotes in November are concentrated in the range of $2100 - $2800, while CMA CGM has the highest increase, with November quotes ranging from $2520 - $3546 and December quotes rising to $3752 - $4008. However, the prices may not fully materialize [14] 3.3 Container Shipping Supply - Demand Analysis 3.3.1 Demand Side - China's exports in September exceeded expectations, but the forward - looking indicators in October weakened. In September, China's total foreign exports were $328.57 billion, a year - on - year increase of 8.2%. The decline in exports to the US narrowed significantly, and exports to Africa increased substantially. However, due to the end of the seasonal peak shipping demand and uncertainties in Sino - US tariffs, exports still face risks. In October, the new export order index of PMI dropped significantly by 1.9 percentage points to 45.9% [15] - The eurozone is facing pressure from both weakening exports and domestic demand. Multiple economic indicators in the eurozone have slowed down. In August, the EU's industrial production index decreased month - on - month and year - on - year, and commodity exports slowed down significantly year - on - year. The inflation level in Europe is showing a downward trend, while economic growth is under continuous pressure due to geopolitical conflicts and trade frictions [17] 3.3.2 Supply Side - In terms of potential capacity, since July 2024, global new orders for container ships have increased significantly. The order backlog and completion volume of shipbuilding are significantly higher than the same period in previous years. The order backlog of container ships has continued to grow at a high rate this year, and the growth rate accelerated further in August. - In terms of actual capacity, the capacity in November increased compared with October, with the weekly average capacity increasing to about 290,000 TEU, and it is initially estimated to increase to 310,000 TEU in December. - In the Red Sea, after a brief cease - fire, the conflict between Hamas and Israel has escalated again. It is likely that the Red Sea will continue to be bypassed within the year, and there will be no additional capacity supply pressure [22] 3.4 Outlook for the Future - The year - end peak season is approaching, and the market is more optimistic. Although actual demand may not support a large price increase, the freight rate is likely to bottom out and recover. - The conflict in the Middle East is difficult to resolve within the year, and the Red Sea may remain closed in the short term. It is recommended to maintain the strategy of buying on dips [24]

Report Summary of Futures Market Data 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core View The reports present a comprehensive set of data on various futures markets including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures. These data cover price differences, ratios, yields, exchange rates, inventories, and other relevant indicators, providing investors with a basis for analyzing market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Differences**: The reports detail the price differences between futures and spot prices, as well as across different contract months for IF, IH, IC, and IM stock index futures. For example, the IF period - spot price difference is -9.27, and the H period - spot price difference is 3.65 [1]. - **Historical Percentiles**: Each price difference is accompanied by its historical percentile over the past year and the entire futures - listing period, helping investors understand the relative position of the current price difference [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 300, IC/IF, and others are provided, with their changes and historical percentiles [1]. Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: Information on the implied repo rate (IRR) and basis for different bond futures contracts (TS, TF, T, TL) is given, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - **Cross - Period and Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF) are presented, including their values, changes, and historical percentiles [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Price and Spread**: The reports include domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, and ratios of gold and silver. For instance, the AU2512 contract closed at 921.92 yuan/gram, and the COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 4077.20 dollars [3]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories**: Data on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, the US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate, and inventories of precious metals in different exchanges are provided [3]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies (MAERSK, CMA, MSC, etc.) are presented, along with their changes and percentage changes [4]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes such as SCFIS (European and US West routes) and Shanghai export container freight indexes (SCFI) are given, showing their growth rates [4]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different contracts (EC2602, EC2512, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are reported, along with their changes [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: Information on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (quasi - punctuality rate, berthing situation), monthly export balance, and overseas economic indicators (eurozone PMI, EU consumer confidence index, etc.) is provided [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The current valuation of the December contract is moderately high. With multiple price increase announcements and long - term contract signings from November to December as positive drivers, it is recommended to adopt a "buy - on - dips" strategy, waiting for next week or continue to trade based on the PA price cut/MSK's flat opening [3]. - The February contract's valuation is difficult to anchor, with high uncertainty. It is expected to follow the December contract's trend in the next month [3]. - The April contract is for the off - season. It will fluctuate within a narrow range under the current peak - season logic and face greater supply pressure next year. A "sell - on - rallies" strategy is recommended [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Data - For EC2512, the closing price was 1804.0, down 2.16%, with a basis of - 491.3, trading volume of 59519, and an open interest of 31365, an increase of 1259 [2]. - For EC2602, the closing price was 1553.6, down 1.86%, with a basis of - 240.9, trading volume of 11387, and an open interest of 18455, an increase of 2222 [2]. - For EC2604, the closing price was 1161.1, down 1.26%, with a basis of 151.6, trading volume of 4119, and an open interest of 14910, an increase of 450 [2]. - For EC2606, the closing price was 1379.6, down 1.69%, with a basis of - 66.9, trading volume of 366, and an open interest of 1521, an increase of 110 [2]. - For EC2608, the closing price was 1471.1, down 1.10%, with a basis of - 158.4, trading volume of 226, and an open interest of 1352, an increase of 23 [2]. - For EC2610, the closing price was 1132.0, down 0.04%, with a basis of 180.7, trading volume of 442, and an open interest of 1280, an increase of 218 [2]. Month - spread Data - The EC2512 - 2504 month - spread was 642.9, down 25.0 day - on - day and up 21.6 week - on - week [2]. - The EC2512 - 2602 month - spread was 250.4, down 10.4 day - on - day and up 39.3 week - on - week [2]. - The EC2502 - 2604 month - spread was 392.5, down 14.6 day - on - day and down 17.7 week - on - week [2]. Spot Index Data - The SCFIS (European Line) index on October 27, 2025, was 1312.71, up 15.11% from the previous period [2]. - The SCFI (European Line) on October 31, 2025, was 1344 dollars/TEU, up 8.82% from the previous period [2]. - The CCFI on October 31, 2025, was 1323.81, up 2.37% from the previous period [2]. - The NCFI on October 31, 2025, was 965.62, up 17.43% from the previous period [2]. Fundamental Analysis - In terms of fundamentals, in week 49, there was one additional sail - canceling, and two ships postponed departure. The average weekly capacity in November and December is 290,000 and 336,000 TEU respectively. After considering all TBN as sail - canceling, it is 286,000 and 313,000 TEU. The capacity in week 45/46/47/48 of November was 310,000/250,000/277,000/325,000 TEU respectively, with greater pressure in the second half of November [2]. - In the first half of November, OA and MSK had no pressure in receiving goods, while the PA alliance was short of goods and led the price cut [2]. Recent European Line Quotation - Downstream customers are finalizing the cabin bookings for early November (week 45). In the first half of November, the PA alliance cut prices the most, to 1700 - 1900 US dollars, GEMIN to 2100 - 2200 US dollars, and OA to 2250 US dollars, with an average of about 2050 US dollars (equivalent to 1430 points on the futures market) [4]. Related News - On October 31, Israel attacked Gaza for the third consecutive night, impacting the cease - fire agreement. The cease - fire agreement mediated by the US has been in effect for three weeks, but issues such as Hamas' disarmament and Israel's withdrawal schedule from Gaza remain unsolved [5]. - On November 1, Qatar warned that Gaza might fall into a "neither war nor peace" situation, calling on the international community to intervene [5]. - On November 3, the Houthi armed forces stated that they would strongly respond to any Israeli aggression [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The Wednesday market fluctuated and slightly declined. In the first half of November, OA and MSK had no pressure in receiving goods, while the PA alliance was short of goods, leading to price cuts. In the second half of November, due to the previous congestion at European ports, 4 ships might cause the overall fundamentals to be tight in November. The market has a neutral expectation that the freight rate in November may reach 2000 - 2200 US dollars (1400 - 1540 points). It is necessary to observe whether shipping companies will take actions such as blank sailings or re - allocation. Also, observe whether shipping companies will announce price increases for the second half of the month [2]. - Currently, the valuation of the 12 contract is moderately high. Driven by multiple factors such as upcoming price increase announcements and long - term contract signings from November to December, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of buying on dips (waiting for a possible market decline in the second half of November). The valuation of the 02 contract is difficult to determine, with high uncertainty, and it is expected to follow the trend of the 12 contract in the next month. The 04 contract is for the off - season, and it is recommended to adopt a strategy of shorting on rallies under the greater supply pressure next year [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Information - **Contract Prices and Changes**: The closing prices of EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, and EC2610 contracts on the previous day were 1843.8, 1583.0, 1175.9, 1403.3, 1487.5, and 1132.5 respectively, with changes of - 1.45%, - 1.43%, - 1.59%, - 1.38%, - 2.22%, and - 0.63% [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of EC2512, EC2602, EC2604, EC2606, EC2608, and EC2610 contracts on the previous day were 17598, 4555, 1891, 96, 119, and 388 respectively. The open interests were 30114, 16233, 14460, 1411, 1324, and 1062 respectively, with changes of - 17, 348, 0, 1, 24, and 150 [2]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: The month - to - month spreads of EC2512 - 2504, EC2512 - 2602, and EC2502 - 2604 were 667.9, 260.8, and 407.1 respectively, with changes of - 8.7, - 4.2, and - 4.5 compared to the previous day [2]. Index Information - **SCHIS**: The latest value on October 27, 2025, was 1312.71 points, with a month - on - month increase of 15.11% and a year - on - year increase of 8.82% [2]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: On October 24, 2025, it was 1246 US dollars/TEU, compared to 1145 in the previous period and 1068 two periods ago [2]. - **CCFI (European Line)**: On October 24, 2025, it was 1293.12 points, with a month - on - month increase of 1.99% and a decrease of 1.49% in the previous period [2]. - **NCFI**: On October 24, 2025, it was 822.3 points, with a month - on - month increase of 2.38% and a 14.96% increase in the previous period [2]. Recent European Line Quotation Information - **Week 44 Quotations**: The offline quotations of PA, GEMINI, and OA were 1400, 1600, and 1800 US dollars respectively [4]. - **November Price Increase Announcements**: Shipping companies announced price increases mostly in the range of 2500 - 2700 US dollars, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the futures market. MSK opened at 2350 US dollars, in line with expectations, and then shipping companies reduced the price to 1800 - 2300 US dollars, with a central range of 2000 - 2100 US dollars [4]. Shipping Company Price Adjustment Information - **Wednesday**: MSK reduced the price to 2200 US dollars and announced a long - term contract peak - season surcharge of 300 US dollars/FEU. YML reduced the price of a single route to 1850 US dollars [8]. - **Thursday**: ONE reduced the price to 1900 US dollars, HMM to 1800 US dollars. OOCL reduced the price of a single route to 2100 US dollars, and the rest were in the range of 2200 - 2300 US dollars [8]. News - On October 30, the US Senate passed a resolution to terminate President Trump's global comprehensive tariff policy with 51 votes in favor and 47 against [6]. - On October 30, the Israeli military said it had carried out air strikes on Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon. The Lebanese president ordered the military to respond to Israeli incursions [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The provided content does not mention any industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Financial Derivatives**: The market is influenced by various factors such as Sino - US relations, central bank policies, and economic data. For example, Sino - US leaders' meetings affect market sentiment, and central bank monetary policies impact interest rates and asset prices [2][4]. - **Precious Metals**: After the Fed's interest rate decision and statements, precious metals are under short - term pressure, but there are long - term bullish factors [7][9]. - **Shipping Index (European Line)**: The container shipping market shows a mixed situation with increasing capacity and different demand indicators in different regions. The futures market is expected to be volatile [12][13]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Different non - ferrous metals have different supply - demand situations and price trends. For example, copper has long - term supply - demand contradictions supporting price increases, while aluminum is in a tight - balance situation [13][18][23]. - **Black Metals**: The steel and iron ore markets are affected by supply, demand, and inventory factors. The coal and coke markets are also influenced by production, consumption, and policy factors [44][47][50]. - **Agricultural Products**: Different agricultural products have different market trends. For example, soybean meal has cost support, while the pig price is in a volatile state [56][59]. 3. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: On Wednesday, the main indexes opened higher and rose with increased trading volume. The four major stock index futures contracts also rose, and the basis spread of the main contracts was repaired. The Sino - US leaders' meeting and relevant policies affected market sentiment. It is recommended to try to sell put options at the support level or construct a bullish call spread [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Most treasury bond futures closed higher, and the yield of most major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market declined. The short - end bonds were supported by the expectation of the central bank's bond - buying restart, while the long - term bonds were suppressed. It is recommended to go long on dips and pay attention to the positive arbitrage strategy [5][6]. Precious Metals - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 BP as expected and announced the end of the balance - sheet reduction. The precious metals market was affected by the Fed's statements and economic data. Gold prices fell after rising, and silver prices rose slightly. In the short term, precious metals are under pressure, but there are long - term bullish factors [7][9]. Container Shipping Index (European Line) - As of October 30, the freight quotes for Shanghai - Europe routes varied among different shipping companies. The container shipping index showed an upward trend. The global container capacity increased, and the demand indicators in different regions were different. The futures market is expected to be volatile, and it is recommended to go long on dips for the December contract [12][13]. Non - ferrous Metals Copper - The spot price of copper decreased slightly, and the trading was light. The Fed cut interest rates, and the market focused on the Sino - US leaders' meeting. The supply of copper ore was tight, and the production of refined copper was expected to decline in October. The demand for copper had strong resilience. It is recommended to pay attention to the support at 87000 [13][14][18]. Alumina - The spot price of alumina was stable with a slight decline in some regions. The supply was abundant, and the demand was weak. The inventory increased. The price is expected to be under pressure in the short term, and the main contract is expected to oscillate between 2750 - 2950 [18][19][20]. Aluminum - The spot price of aluminum increased slightly. The supply was affected by the proportion of molten aluminum, and the demand was structurally different. The inventory increased slightly. The price is expected to be in a high - level oscillation, and the main contract is expected to operate between 20800 - 21400 [21][22][23]. Aluminum Alloy - The spot price of aluminum alloy was stable. The supply was affected by raw materials and policies, and the demand was in a mild recovery. The inventory decreased. The price is expected to be in a strong - side oscillation, and the main contract is expected to operate between 20200 - 20800 [23][24][25]. Zinc - The spot price of zinc increased slightly. The supply was expected to be limited in the future due to the decline in processing fees and by - product prices. The demand was stable, and the inventory decreased. The price is expected to be in an oscillation, and the main contract is expected to operate between 21800 - 22800 [26][27][28]. Tin - The spot price of tin increased slightly. The supply of tin ore was tight, and the demand was weak. The inventory situation was mixed. Due to the hawkish remarks on the December interest - rate cut, the short - term price may decline. It is recommended to buy on dips [29][30][33]. Nickel - The spot price of nickel decreased slightly. The production of refined nickel was high, and the demand in different sectors was different. The inventory increased. The price is expected to be in an interval oscillation, and the main contract is expected to operate between 118000 - 126000 [33][34][35]. Stainless Steel - The spot price of stainless steel was stable. The raw material cost support was weakening, the supply was expected to increase, and the demand was not significantly boosted. The inventory decreased slowly. The price is expected to be in a weak - side oscillation, and the main contract is expected to operate between 12500 - 13000 [37][38][39]. Lithium Carbonate - The spot price of lithium carbonate increased. The supply was increasing, and the demand was optimistic. The inventory was decreasing. The price is expected to be strong in the short term, and attention should be paid to the resistance levels at 83,000 and 85,000 [40][41][43]. Black Metals Steel - The spot price of steel increased, and the basis spread weakened. The cost and profit situation was complex, the supply was affected by production reduction and increase, and the demand was affected by domestic and foreign factors. The inventory decreased. It is recommended to hold long positions and pay attention to the previous high pressure [44][45][46]. Iron Ore - The spot and futures prices of iron ore increased. The supply situation was mixed with increasing global shipments and decreasing arrivals at ports. The demand was affected by steel production and profit. The inventory increased. It is recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract and conduct 1 - 5 positive arbitrage [47][48][49]. Coking Coal - The futures price of coking coal rose strongly. The spot price was strong, and the downstream had replenishment demand. The supply was affected by domestic production reduction and import situations. The demand was affected by iron and steel production. The inventory increased slightly. It is recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract, with a reference interval of 1200 - 1350, and conduct long - coking coal and short - coke arbitrage [50][52][55]. Coke - The futures price of coke rose strongly. The spot price had a third - round price increase. The supply was affected by coking coal prices and production reduction. The demand was affected by steel production. The inventory decreased slightly. It is recommended to go long on dips for the 2601 contract, with a reference interval of 1700 - 1850, and conduct long - coking coal and short - coke arbitrage [53][54][55]. Agricultural Products Meal Products - The spot price of soybean meal was mixed, and the trading volume decreased. The supply and demand situation was affected by Sino - US relations, Brazilian soybean exports, and domestic inventory. The cost of domestic soybean imports was supported, and the trend of domestic soybean meal was expected to be strong [56][57][58]. Live Pigs - The spot price of live pigs was stable with a slight increase. The profit of pig farming improved, and the average weight of pigs decreased. The second - round fattening enthusiasm slowed down, and the price was expected to be volatile. It is recommended to wait and see for the reverse spread arbitrage [59][60]. Corn - The spot price of corn was mixed. The inventory situation in ports showed different trends for different grains. The supply pressure was still there, and the price was expected to be in a weak - side oscillation [61].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - Overall, macro - sentiment has improved, which has re - boosted market risk appetite. The release of a loose - money signal has strengthened the expectation of a rise in bond futures, while the weakening of risk aversion has increased the decline of precious metals. Different commodity sectors show various trends based on their respective fundamentals and market factors [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: With the improvement of macro - sentiment, all stock index futures have risen. For trading, it is advisable to try to lightly sell put options at the support level or construct a bull call spread [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The expectation of loose money has strengthened, and bond futures are expected to rise, though short - term fluctuations may occur due to multiple factors. Trading strategies include buying on dips and considering positive arbitrage strategies [3]. - **Precious Metals**: The risk aversion has subsided. Gold has stronger upward - driving forces, and it is recommended to buy at low levels below $4000. Silver may face pressure if gold falls after a short - term correction [3]. - **Container Freight Index (European Line)**: The main EC contract is oscillating in the short term, and it is recommended to buy on dips for the December contract [3]. Black Sector - **Steel**: The apparent demand has recovered, and steel prices have strengthened following coal prices. Attention should be paid to the previous high pressure for long positions, and the arbitrage of long coking coal and short hot - rolled coil can be held [3]. - **Iron Ore**: Shipment and arrival have declined, port inventory has increased, and iron ore has rebounded steadily. Trading strategies include buying on dips and relevant arbitrage operations [3]. - **Coking Coal**: The price of origin coal is strong, and downstream replenishment demand has recovered. It is recommended to buy coking coal on dips and conduct relevant arbitrage [3]. - **Coke**: The first - round price increase was implemented before the festival, and the second - round increase has been officially implemented with expectations of further increases. Buy on dips and conduct relevant arbitrage [3]. Non - ferrous Sector - **Copper**: Sino - US preliminary consensus has led to a new high in copper prices. Attention should be paid to the support near 86,000 [3]. - **Alumina**: Although the spot trading is active, the short - term surplus situation is difficult to change, with the main contract operating in the range of 2,750 - 2,950 [3]. - **Aluminum**: The market is running strongly, and the spot discount has widened. The main contract range is 20,800 - 21,400 [3]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The inventory has shown an inflection point, and the market is following the upward trend of aluminum prices. The main contract range is 20,200 - 20,800 [3]. - **Zinc**: The squeeze of LME zinc and macro - benefits have led to a slight increase in zinc prices. The main contract range is 21,800 - 22,800 [3]. - **Tin**: Supported by strong fundamentals, tin prices are rising. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Nickel**: The market is oscillating, and the fundamentals are weak during the policy window period. The main contract range is 120,000 - 128,000 [3]. - **Stainless Steel**: The market is mainly oscillating, and the cost support is weak. The main contract range is 12,500 - 13,000 [3]. Energy and Chemical Sector - **Crude Oil**: The progress of the Sino - US trade agreement has alleviated market concerns about demand, and the short - term oil price is in a range. It is not advisable to chase high in the short term [3]. - **Urea**: The daily output is expected to increase gradually, and the supply is sufficient. The short - term improvement of the market is limited [3]. - **PX and PTA**: The cost center has risen, but the rebound space is limited under weak expectations. Attention should be paid to the pressure levels for long positions and relevant arbitrage operations [3]. - **Short - fiber**: The inventory pressure is not large, and the short - term support is strong. The trading strategy is similar to that of PTA [3]. - **Bottle Chip**: The supply - demand pattern of bottle chips remains loose, and the processing fee is expected to decline in the short term [3]. - **Ethanol**: The short - term supply has slightly decreased, but the long - term supply - demand structure is weak. Relevant trading strategies include selling out - of - the - money call options and conducting reverse arbitrage [3]. - **Caustic Soda**: The spot trading is okay, and the price is stable. It is recommended to be short in the short term [3]. - **PVC**: The downstream purchasing enthusiasm is low, and the market is oscillating. It is recommended to stop loss on short positions [3]. - **Pure Benzene**: The supply - demand is relatively loose, and the price drive is limited. It will follow the oscillations of styrene and oil prices in the short term [3]. - **Styrene**: The supply - demand expectation is weak, and the price may be under pressure. It is recommended to be short on the rebound of the December contract [3]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The cost support is weakening, but the supply is tightening. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **LLDPE**: The cost has risen sharply, and the trading has improved. Attention should be paid to the inventory - reduction inflection point [3]. - **PP**: The price has risen sharply, the basis has weakened slightly, and the trading is good. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Methanol**: The price is stable, and the trading is okay. Attention should be paid to the positive arbitrage opportunity of the March - May spread [3]. Agricultural Sector - **Meal**: The warming of Sino - US relations provides cost support for near - month soybeans. It is recommended to go long on the 2026 January contract [3]. - **Pig**: Secondary fattening has increased the difficulty of slaughterhouses' procurement, boosting pig prices. It is recommended to exit the March - July reverse arbitrage and wait and see [3]. - **Corn**: The supply pressure remains, and the market is oscillating weakly. Attention should be paid to the support near 2,100 [3]. - **Oil**: The market focuses on Sino - US negotiations, and the domestic soybean oil fundamentals are bearish. The main palm oil contract may test the support of 9,000 yuan [3]. - **Sugar**: The overseas supply is loose, and the overall trend is bearish, oscillating at the bottom near 5,400 [3]. - **Cotton**: The cost of new cotton is gradually solidified, and the market is oscillating in the range of 13,200 - 13,600 [3]. - **Egg**: The spot price has risen, and it is a rebound from an oversold situation. Attention should be paid to the inter - month reverse arbitrage opportunity [3]. - **Apple**: The apple trading in the eastern region is active, and the price of high - quality goods has increased significantly. The main contract may break through and stabilize above 9,000 points [3]. - **Jujube**: The market sentiment is weak, and the market is oscillating downward. Attention should be paid to the support in the range of 10,000 - 10,300 [3]. - **Soda Ash**: The market is strongly affected by large - factory production cuts. It is recommended to wait and see and look for short - selling opportunities on rebounds [3]. Special Commodity Sector - **Glass**: The trading volume has increased, and it is necessary to pay attention to the follow - up of the spot market. It is recommended to stop loss on previous short positions and monitor the spot market [3]. - **Rubber**: The raw material price has continued to rebound, and the rubber price has continued to rise. It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The main contract has changed, and the market is mainly oscillating. The price range is 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [3]. New Energy Sector - **Polysilicon**: The main contract has changed, and positive news has stimulated the market to rise. The price is oscillating at a high level [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The market remains strong, and the strong demand is gradually being realized. The main contract reference range is 80,000 - 84,000 yuan [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report analyzes the market conditions of various financial and commodity futures, including financial derivatives (financial futures, precious metals), shipping indices, and multiple commodity futures (non - ferrous metals, black metals, agricultural products, energy chemicals, etc.). It provides insights into market trends, influencing factors, and offers corresponding operation suggestions based on the analysis of each sector. Summary by Directory Financial Derivatives Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: The macro sentiment improved, and stock indices rose across the board. A - shares opened higher and increased in volume. The four major stock index futures rose with the index, and the basis premium narrowed. The market was boosted by domestic economic data and Sino - US trade talks. It is recommended to try light - selling put options at support levels or construct bullish call spreads [2][3][4]. - **Treasury Futures**: The expectation of loose monetary policy strengthened, and the futures were expected to rise. Although the futures closed down, the speech at the Financial Street Forum released a signal of loose money. It is expected that the futures will open higher, and it is recommended to go long on dips and pay attention to the cash - and - carry arbitrage strategy [5][6][7]. Precious Metals - **Gold and Silver**: The risk - aversion sentiment subsided, and the market awaited the Fed's decision. The prices of gold and silver fell. In the short term, the market may be volatile, but in the long term, precious metals are expected to have a bull market. It is recommended to buy gold at low prices below $4000 [8][9]. Shipping Index - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: The futures market was volatile and declined, mainly affected by the reduction of quotations by MSC. However, the SCFIS European line index continued to rise, so a cautious bullish attitude is maintained. It is recommended to go long on the December contract on dips [12][13]. Commodity Futures Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Sino - US reached a preliminary consensus, and copper prices reached a new high. The macro environment and supply - demand fundamentals supported the price increase. It is recommended to focus on the support at around 86,000 yuan [13][14][17]. - **Alumina**: The spot trading activity increased, but the short - term oversupply situation was difficult to change. The supply was abundant, while the demand was weak. It is expected that the price will be under pressure, and the main contract will fluctuate between 2,750 - 2,950 yuan [17][18][19]. - **Aluminum**: The price was strong, and the spot discount widened. The macro environment was mixed, and the fundamentals were in a tight balance. It is expected that the price will remain in a strong and volatile range of 20,800 - 21,400 yuan [20][21]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The price followed aluminum and was volatile and strong. The cost support was obvious, and the supply - demand was in a tight balance. It is recommended that the main contract operate in the range of 20,300 - 20,900 yuan [22][23]. - **Zinc**: The price rose slightly due to the squeeze on LME zinc and macro - level benefits. The supply was loose but the subsequent increase might be limited, and the demand was stable. It is expected to be in a range of 21,800 - 22,800 yuan [24][25][27]. - **Tin**: Supported by strong fundamentals, the price was strong. The supply was tight, and the demand was weak. It is recommended to wait and see, and the price is expected to be in a wide - range fluctuation [27][29][30]. - **Nickel**: The price was volatile, and the fundamentals were weak during the policy window period. The production was high, the demand was average, and the inventory was increasing. It is expected to fluctuate in the range of 120,000 - 128,000 yuan [30][31][32]. - **Stainless Steel**: The price was mainly volatile, and the fundamentals were weak. The raw material cost support was weakening, the supply was increasing, and the demand was not significantly boosted. It is expected to operate in the range of 12,500 - 13,000 yuan [34][35][36]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The price was strong, and the strong demand was gradually realized. The supply - demand gap was expanding in the peak season. It is expected to run strongly, and the main contract is recommended to operate in the range of 80,000 - 84,000 yuan [37][38][41]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The apparent demand for steel recovered, and the price rose with coking coal. The cost was supported, the supply was affected by environmental protection, the demand was expected to be supported by policies, and the inventory decreased. It is recommended to hold long positions and pay attention to the previous high pressure [42][43][44]. - **Iron Ore**: The price rebounded. The supply and demand situation was complex, with the decline in arrivals and the increase in inventory. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and engage in the 1 - 5 positive spread arbitrage [45][46]. - **Coking Coal**: The price of coking coal was strong, and the downstream replenishment demand recovered. The supply decreased, and the demand had replenishment needs. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on the short - term and engage in the long - coking - coal and short - coke arbitrage [47][48][49]. - **Coke**: The second - round price increase was proposed. The cost was supported, the supply decreased, the demand was weak, and the inventory was moderately reduced. It is recommended to go long on the 2601 contract on dips and engage in the long - coking - coal and short - coke arbitrage [50][51][52]. Agricultural Products - **Meal Products**: Sino - US relations improved, and near - month soybeans had cost support. The price of domestic soybean meal decreased slightly, and the cost of imported soybeans was supported. It is expected that the domestic soybean meal will be on a strong trend [53][54][55]. - **Pigs**: The secondary fattening boosted the price of pigs. The spot price rose, and the market demand improved. However, there will be an increase in the number of pigs to be slaughtered in November and December. It is recommended to exit the arbitrage position and re - enter after the spot price stabilizes [56][57]. - **Corn**: The supply pressure remained, and the price was weak and volatile. The supply was abundant, the demand was mainly for rigid needs, and the price was affected by the selling rhythm of farmers and policy support [58][59].