业绩高速增长，创新管线持续兑现：—— 奥赛康三季报点评 2024-11-11 创新驱动转型，变革中等待突破：——奥 赛康首次覆盖报告 2024-03-11 | | 买入 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月06日） | 17.7 元 | | 目标价格 | 22.36 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 20.36/9.03 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 92,816/92,815 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 16,428 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 医药生物 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 07 日 | | | 1 周 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现% | -7.14 | -5.25 | 30.24 | 56.36 | | 相对表现% | -8.03 | -3.88 | 31.13 | 52.24 | | 沪深 300% | 0.89 | -1.37 | -0.89 | 4.12 | 奥赛康 002755.SZ 公司研究 | 年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need to adapt investment strategies in response to changing global trade dynamics, focusing on domestic consumption and sectors less affected by international trade tensions [2][24]. Group 1: Non-Export Industries - Non-export industries are characterized by having a complete domestic supply chain, with products or services produced and consumed within the country, making them less directly impacted by tariff changes [5][6]. - Key sectors include finance, real estate, public utilities, and transportation, which are expected to benefit from stable domestic demand despite external pressures [6][7]. Group 2: Domestic Demand-Related Industries - There is significant potential for growth in domestic demand-related industries, such as food and beverage, tourism, agriculture, and pharmaceuticals, driven by government policies aimed at boosting internal consumption [8][10]. - The World Bank reports that in 2023, China's final consumption expenditure accounted for 55.6% of GDP, which is 17.4 percentage points lower than the global average, indicating room for growth [8]. Group 3: Rare Earth and Military Industries - The rare earth sector is crucial for military applications and has a significant strategic advantage, as China controls 49% of global rare earth reserves and 90% of refining capacity, making it a key player in global supply chains [14][16]. - Military strength is seen as essential for protecting economic interests, with the military-industrial complex being a focus for investment [16][17]. Group 4: Self-Sufficiency and Control - The emphasis on self-sufficiency highlights the importance of mastering core technologies across various sectors, particularly in semiconductors, high-end chips, and industrial machinery, to mitigate external dependencies [19][20]. - Recent advancements in domestic technology, such as breakthroughs in semiconductor equipment, underscore the urgency of achieving technological independence [19][20]. Group 5: Artificial Intelligence - Artificial intelligence is identified as a critical area for future competition between major powers, with the potential to transform various industries and drive economic growth [21][23]. - China's advantages in AI include a large internet user base and a strong talent pool, positioning it well for advancements in this field [23].

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) saw a volume increase and closed up 0.82%, marking two consecutive days of gains, with funds increasing by over 95 million yuan for five consecutive days [1] - The Bank ETF leader (512820) ended a three-day decline with a 1.42% increase, with a trading volume exceeding 54 million yuan, a 39% increase compared to the previous period [3] Group 2: Insurance Capital Preferences - In 2022, insurance capital initiated a new wave of "stake acquisitions," with eight insurance companies making a total of 20 acquisitions, predominantly targeting dividend assets, particularly the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China H-shares, which exhibit low valuation and high dividend characteristics [5] - In 2023, insurance giants have made 12 stake acquisitions involving 11 stocks, continuing their preference for banks and Hong Kong dividend assets [5] Group 3: Investment Environment - The insurance capital's demand for equity asset allocation has increased due to new regulations aimed at reducing profit volatility and a shift towards flexible dividend insurance products [7] - Policies are strongly supporting insurance capital and other long-term funds entering the market, with a target for large state-owned insurance companies to invest 30% of new premiums in A-shares starting in 2025 [7] Group 4: Dividend Asset Characteristics - High dividend assets are favored in a low-interest-rate environment, as they provide stable returns and lower volatility compared to growth stocks, making them attractive for insurance capital [7] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have a higher cash dividend ratio of 48.9% compared to A-shares at 41.8%, and the dividend yield of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) is 8.88%, leading the market's mainstream dividend indices [8][9] Group 5: Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector is characterized by high dividends and low valuations, with the Bank ETF leader (512820) showing a dividend yield of 6.71%, the highest among all secondary industry indices [9] - The banking industry is closely tied to macroeconomic growth, and with ongoing policies to stabilize growth, there is potential for improvement in profitability and valuations within the banking sector [10]

发布时间：2025-05-07 大盘指数 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 2000 3000 4000 上证指数 深证成指 1000 2000 3000 5000 6000 7000 8000 中小100 创业板指 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 所有财报季中，一季报业绩最适合采用自下而上视角中"业绩预 期差"策略。以样本个股相对万得全 A 指数获得超额收益的概率为胜 率，2010 年至今一季报业绩超预期个股的胜率均值显著高于其他报告 期。相较之下 A 股市场对年报超预期的反映最为平淡，是 4 个财报季 中业绩超预期胜率最低的。 研究所 分析师:黄子崟 SAC 登记编号:S1340523090002 Email:huangziyin@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《定价权在谁手(1)：庶民的盛宴和春 季躁动下半场》 - 2025.03.18 策略观点 业绩之锚 2：A 股如何定价一季报中的超预期？ ⚫ 投资要点 A 股市场在定价一季报业绩超预期时存在明显行业偏好。对消费 类行业（食品饮料、家用电器、商贸零售）和交易景气逻辑的成长行 业（电子、医药生物、电力设备、国防军工 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, along with a 0.1 percentage point decrease in policy interest rates [1] - Following the announcement, the A-share market experienced a comprehensive rebound, with all three major indices rising, particularly the ChiNext Index, which saw an intraday increase of over 2% [1] - The Guangfa ChiNext ETF (159952), with a management fee rate of only 0.15%, was actively traded, attracting significant capital interest, with net purchases exceeding 15 million units and a total scale surpassing 9.8 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext ETF closely tracks the ChiNext Index, characterized by high growth and elasticity, with the latest price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) at 29.7 times, placing it at a historically low valuation percentile of 9.6% since its inception in 2010 [1] - The top three sectors in the ChiNext Index, focusing on new productivity, are power equipment (31%), pharmaceuticals and biology (14%), and electronics (12%), indicating a significant growth style [1] - For investors without stock accounts, the Guangfa ChiNext ETF can be accessed through its off-market connection funds, which offer low fees and no subscription or redemption fees for certain classes [2]

Group 1 - Major stock indices opened significantly higher on May 7, with financial and real estate sectors leading the gains [1] - The A500 Index ETF (159351) rose by 0.84%, with trading volume quickly surpassing 320 million yuan, and several constituent stocks, including Xingyuan Material and Maiwei Co., saw gains exceeding 6% [1] - The A500 Index ETF closely tracks the CSI A500 Index, which selects 500 stocks representing strong market capitalization across various industries, balancing large-cap stocks while covering core leading assets in A-shares [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, along with a 0.1 percentage point cut in policy interest rates [1] - Huatai Securities expressed optimism for the Chinese stock market, anticipating a systematic decline in risk premiums and highlighting the importance of decreasing risk-free rates and capital market reforms as key drivers for new market entrants [1] Group 3 - Minsheng Securities noted that macroeconomic volatility in 2025 will lead to frequent market style shifts, urging investors to focus on the establishment of long-term mechanisms, including the cultivation of new external and internal demand [2] - The consumption sector, including tourism, dairy, food, and beer, is expected to benefit from the development of domestic demand, while resource products and capital goods will gain from the restructuring of global economic order [2] - Low-valuation financial sectors (banks, insurance) and the coal industry are seen as defensive, with ongoing support for intermediate and capital goods demand from the replenishment of manufacturing in Europe and the U.S. [2]

| 代码 | 简称 | 5月6日涨跌幅 | 融资净买入额 | 最新融资余额 | 占流通市值比例 | 所属行 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （万元） | （万元） | （%） | 业 | | 002475 | 立讯精 | 3.11 | 22762.09 | 366746.67 | 1.59 | 电子 | | | 密 | | | | | | | 300339 | 润和软 | 9.55 | 21202.14 | 329127.09 | 7.49 | 计算机 | | | 件 | | | | | | | 000158 | 常山北 明 | 10.02 | 19869.88 | 129714.39 | 3.29 | 计算机 | | 000977 | 浪潮信 息 | 2.81 | 16598.98 | 435062.27 | 5.66 | 计算机 | | 600839 | 四川长 | 7.05 | 15626.99 | 239086.15 | 4.61 | 家用电 | | | 虹 | | | | | 器 | | 300059 | 东方财 | ...

Group 1: Hong Kong Monetary Authority Actions - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened twice in the market, selling a total of 127.88 billion HKD (approximately 16.50 billion USD) to maintain the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar, following an earlier sale of 605.43 billion HKD (approximately 78.12 billion USD) [1] - HKMA President Yu Weiwen noted that the demand for the Hong Kong dollar is rising, primarily driven by stock-related needs, and there are no signs of abnormal activity in the currency [1] - The HKMA has reduced the duration of its holdings in US Treasury bonds and is diversifying its investments into non-US assets to manage risks [1] Group 2: Financial Market Trends - The US stock market saw declines, with the Dow Jones falling by 389.83 points (0.95%) to 40,829.00 points, and the Nasdaq dropping by 154.58 points (0.87%) to 17,689.66 points [2] - Spot gold prices rose above 3,400 USD for the first time in two weeks, influenced by geopolitical tensions between Pakistan and India [2] - Crude oil futures for June delivery increased by 1.96 USD, closing at 59.09 USD per barrel, marking a rise of 3.43% [2] Group 3: Financial Policy Announcements - The State Council of China will hold a press conference to introduce a package of financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations [3] Group 4: Hong Kong Stock Exchange Initiatives - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Securities and Futures Commission have launched a "Special Line for Science and Technology Enterprises" to facilitate the listing process for technology and biotech companies, allowing them to submit applications confidentially [4] Group 5: Trade Relations and Tariffs - The European Union plans to impose additional tariffs on approximately 1 trillion EUR worth of US goods if ongoing trade negotiations do not yield satisfactory results [5] Group 6: Postal and Delivery Industry Performance - During the "May Day" holiday, China's postal and express delivery industry handled over 4.8 billion packages, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 20%, marking a historical high for the same period [6][7] Group 7: Aviation Industry Insights - During the "May Day" holiday, domestic flight operations exceeded 68,000 flights, with a year-on-year increase of about 3%, while international flights saw a 12% increase [8] Group 8: Cross-Border Travel Statistics - The Gongbei border checkpoint reported a record average daily passenger flow of nearly 380,000 during the "May Day" holiday, with a total of nearly 1.9 million travelers, a year-on-year increase of 21.5% [9] Group 9: Restaurant Industry Performance - Haidilao restaurants experienced high customer traffic during the "May Day" holiday, with some locations achieving a table turnover rate exceeding 12 times [10] Group 10: Corporate Acquisitions - Zhongchuang Innovation plans to invest nearly 1.2 billion RMB to acquire a 22.61% stake in Suao Sensor, indicating strategic expansion in the sensor technology sector [11] Group 11: Robotics Industry Developments - Yujian and others have become shareholders in Zhongke Fifth Epoch, a company involved in the development of intelligent robotics and AI applications [12] Group 12: Hydrogen Energy Sector Expansion - Beijing Tianhai Hydrogen Energy Equipment Co., a subsidiary of Jingcheng Electromechanical, plans to raise capital through equity expansion to enhance market competitiveness [13] Group 13: Pharmaceutical Innovations - Yuanda Pharmaceutical's global innovative product STC3141 has successfully reached clinical endpoints in a Phase II trial for treating sepsis in China, marking significant progress in critical care research [14] Group 14: Obesity Treatment Research - Gilead Sciences will present research results on its obesity candidate drug ASC47 at the European Obesity Congress, highlighting advancements in obesity treatment [15]

(本版专题数据由证券时报中心数据库提供) 内需市场一头连着经济发展，一头连着社会民生，是经济发展的重要依托。 2025年政府工作报告将"大力提振消费、提高投资效益，全方位扩大国内需求"列为今年政府工作十项任 务之首，并围绕"大力提振消费"作出了具体工作部署，提出要"实施提振消费专项行动，制定提升消费 能力、增加优质供给、改善消费环境专项措施，释放多样化、差异化消费潜力，推动消费提质升级"。 今年以来，一系列扩内需促消费政策发力显效，做强国内大循环，进一步释放我国超大规模市场活力。 在一季度实现"开门红"后，多地抓紧部署二季度经济工作重点，明确进一步聚焦提振内需，加快释放政 策效能。 广东明确，大力提振消费需求，深入实施提振消费专项行动，推动消费品以旧换新政策惠及领域进一步 延伸拓展，持续放大撬动效应；适度加大消费补贴和政府采购力度，促进广货国货消费、新型消费、入 境消费、公共消费等，不断挖掘消费增量，激发消费活力。 紧随其后的是达仁堂（600329），滚动市盈率为10.3倍。公司2024年归母净利润为22.3亿元，同比增长 125.94%，拟向全体股东每10股派发现金红利12.80元(含税)。市盈率较低的还有 ...

| 行业名 | 成交量（亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入（亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 称 | 股） | （%） | （%） | （%） | 元） | | 计算机 | 80.08 | 16.11 | 4.54 | 3.65 | 56.72 | | 电子 | 73.37 | 23.97 | 2.68 | 2.64 | 46.98 | | 非银金 融 | 42.19 | 31.55 | 1.02 | 1.38 | 24.29 | | 机械设 备 | 90.99 | 18.74 | 3.40 | 3.04 | 22.76 | | 有色金 属 | 43.08 | 42.69 | 1.97 | 2.57 | 20.75 | | 通信 | 31.97 | 41.66 | 1.85 | 3.59 | 20.12 | | 电力设 备 | 54.55 | 8.54 | 2.26 | 2.16 | 15.08 | | 汽车 | 53.94 | 4.84 | 2.51 | 2.20 | 13.02 | | 传媒 | 41.10 | 1 ...