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“申”挖数据 | 估值水温表
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-12-16 04:26
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the current valuation levels of the A-share market, indicating that the market is in a relatively high valuation zone, with specific attention to the Buffett Indicator and various PE and PB ratios across different indices and sectors [6][24]. Valuation Indicators - The current Buffett Indicator for the A-share market is 87.95%, which is above the safe zone, indicating a relatively high market valuation [6][25]. - Major broad market indices have PE ratios (TTM) exceeding 20%, with specific indices like the Shenzhen Component Index at 15.89, Shanghai Composite Index at 17.09, and ChiNext Index at 22.88, all reflecting high valuation percentiles [7][28]. - The PE valuation percentiles for various indices are notably high, with the ChiNext Index at 95.77% and the Shanghai Composite Index at 91.36%, suggesting caution in investment decisions [7][12]. Sector Valuation Levels - Non-bank financials and food & beverage sectors have PE valuations below the 20% percentile of the past decade, indicating potential investment opportunities [7]. - Sectors such as coal, telecommunications, electronics, and real estate show high PE valuation percentiles, ranging from 81.49% to 98.48%, which may pose investment risks [7][34]. Market Overview - The total market capitalization of listed companies in Shanghai is approximately 422.1 billion yuan, with an average PE ratio of 15.97 [20][21]. - The total market capitalization in Shenzhen is around 633.2 billion yuan, with a PE ratio of 15.89, indicating a similar valuation trend [21][23]. Industry-Specific Valuations - The PE valuation levels for various industries show significant variation, with agriculture at 14.95, basic chemicals at 12.52, and steel at 5.69, indicating differing investment attractiveness across sectors [34]. - The banking sector has a low PE of 4.31, while the non-bank financial sector is at 12.87, suggesting a potential divergence in performance and valuation within the financial industry [34][37]. Conclusion - The article emphasizes the need for careful evaluation of investment opportunities in the current high valuation environment, particularly focusing on sectors with lower PE ratios as potential areas for investment [7][34].
余承东任华为终端公司董事长,孟晚舟卸任董事
财联社· 2025-12-16 04:20
华为终端有限公司成立于2012年11月,法定代表人为魏承敏,注册资本6.06亿人民币,经营范围含开发、生产、销售通信及电子产品、计 算机、卫星电视接收天线、高频头、数字卫星电视接收机及前述产品的配套产品,并提供技术咨询和售后服务等。股东信息显示,该公司由 华为终端(深圳)有限公司全资持股。 | 工商信息 ● | | | | 因 数据纠错 | 心天眼查 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 工商信息 历史工商信息 | | | | 2 工商官网快照, | 미 음법 | | 企业名称 | 华为终端有限公司 | | | | | | | 曾用名 华为终端(东莞)有限公司 | | | | | | 法定代表人 | 魏 魏承敏 饶关联企业 4 | 登记状态 ⑦ 存续 | 天眼评分 ② | 964 | | | | | 成立日期 2012-11-23 | | | | | 统一社会信用代码 ⑦ | 914419000585344943 | 注册资本 ⑦ 60600万人民币 剑 | 实增资本 | 60600万人民币 | | | 工商注册号 | 441900001461999 | 9144 ...
前11月北京规上工业增加值同比增长6.6%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-16 02:50
北京商报讯(记者 和岳)12月16日,北京市统计局官网发布前11月北京经济运行情况,1-11月,全市 规模以上工业增加值按可比价格计算,同比增长6.6%。重点行业中,计算机、通信和其他电子设备制 造业增长22.3%,汽车制造业增长17.1%,电力、热力生产和供应业增长4.9%,医药制造业下降9.0%, 五大装备制造业[1]增长6.3%。规模以上工业战略性新兴产业、高技术制造业增加值分别增长16.5%和 8.4%(二者有交叉),新能源汽车、锂离子电池、风力发电机组、服务机器人产量分别增长1.5倍、1.1 倍、37.0%和21.7%。1-11月,规模以上工业实现销售产值24819.3亿元,增长6.7%;其中,内销产值 22893.1亿元,增长6.7%,出口交货值1926.1亿元,增长6.4%。 ...
北京:1-11月规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.6%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 02:06
北京市统计局发布数据显示,1-11月,全市规模以上工业增加值按可比价格计算,同比增长6.6%。重点 行业中,计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业增长22.3%,汽车制造业增长17.1%,电力、热力生产和 供应业增长4.9%,医药制造业下降9.0%,五大装备制造业增长6.3%。规模以上工业战略性新兴产业、 高技术制造业增加值分别增长16.5%和8.4%(二者有交叉),新能源汽车、锂离子电池、风力发电机 组、服务机器人产量分别增长1.5倍、1.1倍、37.0%和21.7%。1-11月,规模以上工业实现销售产值 24819.3亿元,增长6.7%;其中,内销产值22893.1亿元,增长6.7%,出口交货值1926.1亿元,增长 6.4%。 (文章来源:第一财经) ...
中信建投:结构市能否转向全面牛?关键看资金、估值、风险溢价三大维度突破
智通财经网· 2025-12-15 23:48
Group 1 - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the current bull market from September 2024 has similarities and differences compared to the liquidity bull market from May 2014 to June 2015, particularly in market sentiment metrics [1] - The current bull market's trading volume and turnover rate are similar to the peak levels of the previous bull market, but indicators related to funds, valuation, and risk premium still show a gap [1][24] - A comprehensive sentiment index is constructed from five dimensions: volume, price, funds, valuation, and risk premium, with a total of 12 indicators used to measure market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The comprehensive market sentiment index currently stands at 63.9%, reflecting a decrease of 8.0% from the previous period [2] - The trading volume indicator is at 87.3% and turnover rate at 83.9%, both showing slight decreases [2] - The number of stocks rising on the day is at 28.5%, a significant drop of 60.0%, indicating weaker price sentiment [2] Group 3 - Historical backtesting shows that the sentiment index closely follows stock index trends and has leading characteristics, with the sentiment index peaking before the stock index in both the 2014-2015 and 2024 bull markets [6] - The first bull market's sentiment index peaked at 95.5%, while the current bull market has reached a maximum of 78.7% [17][18] Group 4 - The current bull market's sentiment indicators for volume are at levels comparable to the previous bull market's peak, while indicators for funds, valuation, and risk premium remain below previous highs [19][21][22] - The strong trading volume is attributed to declining yields in the bond market, deposits, and real estate, which have drawn significant capital into the equity market [24] Group 5 - The sentiment indicators suggest that the current bull market is structurally complex, with strong volume metrics but weaker indicators for funds, valuation, and risk premium [23] - The technology sector shows significantly higher sentiment compared to the overall market, indicating a structural shift within the current bull market [32]
市值4700多亿的大牛股,是谁的地盘?东北证券两位首席深夜互怼
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-15 22:29
日前,东北证券研究所TMT组长李玖与计算机首席分析师赵宇阳深夜争执的截图,在业内广泛传播, 两人围绕海光信息(688041,市值4718.41亿元)、国盾量子(688027,市值519.24亿元)等标的的覆盖 权展开交锋。 李玖认为,赵宇阳跨界覆盖了过多电子组的股票,这样既不专业,也会影响其他分析师,要求赵宇阳取 消覆盖一些热门标的。而赵宇阳则不以为然,认为李玖这么做是向他所在的电子组倾斜,作为TMT组 长,他不应该这样没有格局,计算机分析师也有学习其他相关行业的权利。 两人争执不下,从业务边界之争升级到"有你没我,有我没你"的决绝态度,将卖方研究行业长期存在 的"抢标的"问题再次暴露在公众视野中。 为争夺标的覆盖权,两名首席起争执 协会官网信息显示,赵宇阳今年5月加盟东北证券,此前曾任职于西部证券、华西证券等机构。据慧博 智能终端,自今年9月以来,其发布的多篇研报确实覆盖了不少传统计算机领域之外的上市公司,包括 液冷、铜箔、电子布等与电子行业相关的标的,这也成为此次冲突的直接诱因。而李玖作为电子行业首 席及TMT组长,既要维护电子组分析师的利益,又要协调跨领域研究的边界,在资源分配与团队平衡 中陷入两难,最 ...
公募机构12月份调研侧重机械设备、电子等板块
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-15 16:13
在杨德龙看来,科技领域成为公募机构调研的重要方向,反映出机构投资者对科技赛道成长潜力的高度 认可。 个股层面,有26只个股12月份以来受到公募机构10次及以上调研。其中,中科曙光和海光信息是月内获 公募机构关注度最高的上市公司,两家公司均被公募机构调研68次,这两只个股分别属于计算机行业和 电子行业。 调研过程中,行业和公司的基本面情况是机构关注的重要内容。例如,随着国内AI(人工智能)算力 需求持续增长,海光信息下游各行业的需求变化特征受到机构特别关注。海光信息对此回应称,随着近 几年AI技术的爆发式突破,AI产业链与商业化应用进入到了高速发展阶段,各大厂商纷纷下场布局, 引发AI浪潮,对加速卡等硬件的需求也与日俱增。据IDC预测,2025年中国加速服务器出货量将同比增 长56.3%,到2029年中国加速服务器市场规模将超过千亿美元,市场需求旺盛。 业内人士也看好科技领域的投资机会,长城基金高级宏观策略研究员汪立在接受《证券日报》记者采访 时表示:"当下或是布局春季行情的重要窗口。春节前具备产业趋势的大盘成长风格有望占优。" 12月份以来,无论是公募头部机构还是中小机构,均显著加强了针对A股公司的调研。其中 ...
市值4700多亿元的大牛股,是谁的“地盘”?同一家券商,两位首席深夜互怼
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-15 15:41
本文来自微信公众号:每日经济新闻,编辑:许绍航肖芮冬杜恒峰,作者:每经记者 日前,东北证券研究所TMT组长李玖与计算机首席分析师赵宇阳深夜争执的截图,在业内广泛传播,两人围绕 海光信息(688041,市值4718.41亿元) 、 国盾量子(688027,市值519.24亿元)等标的的覆盖权展开交锋。 李玖认为,赵宇阳跨界覆盖了过多电子组的股票,这样既不专业,也会影响其他分析师,要求赵宇阳取消覆盖一些热门标的。而赵宇阳则不以为然,认为 李玖这么做是向他所在的电子组倾斜,作为TMT组长,他不应该这样没有格局,计算机分析师也有学习其他相关行业的权利。 两人争执不下,从业务边界之争升级到"有你没我,有我没你"的决绝态度,将卖方研究行业长期存在的"抢标的"问题再次暴露在公众视野中。 为争夺标的覆盖权,两名首席起争执 这场冲突的导火索源于赵宇阳近期的研报覆盖范围。根据相关微信截图,李玖要求赵宇阳取消对 海光信息 的覆盖,声称该标的应由电子组负责,同时指 出赵宇阳跨界覆盖了GPU、PCB、液冷、铜箔、散热、光学等多个本属电子组的领域。 "已经影响到电子组下面小分析师的蛋糕。"作为TMT组长,李玖认为赵宇阳的"无边界"覆盖导 ...
贝耐特光学科技(苏州)有限公司获“A++轮”融资,金额数千万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 15:03
通过天眼查大数据分析,贝耐特光学科技(苏州)有限公司共对外投资了4家企业,知识产权方面有商 标信息8条,专利信息32条,此外企业还拥有行政许可5个。 12月15日,天眼查融资历程显示,贝耐特光学科技(苏州)有限公司近日获得"A++轮"融资,涉及融资 金额数千万人民币,投资机构为安芯投资。 天眼查信息显示,贝耐特光学科技(苏州)有限公司的股东为:肖峰、苏州光芯聚贤信息科技合伙企业 (有限合伙)、北京中移数字新经济产业基金合伙企业(有限合伙)、昆山乐创咨询管理合伙企业(有 限合伙)、浙江汇芯数智创业投资合伙企业(有限合伙)。 资料显示,贝耐特光学科技(苏州)有限公司法定代表人为肖峰,成立于2016年,位于苏州市,是一家 以从事计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本872.0816万人民币,并已于2025 年完成了A++轮,交易金额数千万人民币。 来源:市场资讯 ...
浙商证券浙商早知道-20251215
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-12-15 14:49
Market Overview - On December 15, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.55%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.63%, the STAR 50 dropped by 2.22%, the CSI 1000 declined by 0.84%, the ChiNext Index fell by 1.77%, and the Hang Seng Index decreased by 1.34% [4] - The best-performing sectors on December 15 were non-bank financials (+1.59%), retail (+1.49%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (+1.24%), steel (+0.91%), and building materials (+0.91%). The worst-performing sectors included electronics (-2.42%), telecommunications (-1.89%), media (-1.63%), machinery and equipment (-1.36%), and computers (-1.27%) [4] - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market on December 15 was 1.7944 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.654 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Insights Bond Market Research - The report emphasizes the importance of the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) communication regarding the central economic work conference, which reflects the central bank's specific thoughts on monetary policy for 2026 [5] - The market is focused on changes in the description of monetary policy from the central economic work conference [5] - The report indicates a more gradual approach to easing monetary policy [5] Strategy Report - The report systematically reviews the calendar effects in the A-share market from 2010 to 2025, analyzing excess returns of major indices around key dates [6] - It highlights that the overall market tends to experience a spring rally at the beginning of the year, cautious trading mid-year, and a warm winter close at year-end [6] - The report identifies that Q4 has the highest win rate and return for the Wande All A Index, with a win rate of 66.7% and a median return of 2.9% [7] Industry Insights Machinery Equipment Sector - The report notes that the demand for satellite applications is expected to surge, with a potential breakthrough in rocket supply [8] - It highlights that China's satellite constellation construction is significantly lagging, entering a peak launch period [8] - Investment opportunities are identified in the rocket sector, driven by explosive demand and a shift towards high-frequency, low-cost commercial operations [8]