Market Overview - The market experienced narrow fluctuations with both the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index closing in the green. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.73 trillion, a decrease of 200.2 billion from the previous trading day. Over 4,100 stocks fell in the market [1] Sector Performance - The aquaculture sector saw a collective surge, with stocks like Zhongshui Fishery and Guolian Aquatic reaching their daily limit. Longjiang Securities predicts a significant recovery in China's aquaculture industry by 2025, with major aquatic product prices rebounding to historical highs. For instance, the price of grass carp reached 14 yuan/kg, up 25% from the beginning of the year [2] - The military industry sector was active, with stocks such as Jianglong Shipbuilding and Yaxing Anchor Chain hitting their daily limit. Dongwu Securities anticipates a dual turning point for the defense and military sector in 2025, moving towards high-quality development driven by order fulfillment and performance [2] - The lithium sector became active again, with stocks like Jinyuan Co. and Rongjie Co. hitting their daily limit. The price of lithium carbonate futures rose nearly 5%, breaking the 100,000 yuan/ton mark for the first time since June 2024. Zhongyou Securities believes that China's energy storage industry has established a sustained growth cycle of 3-5 years [3] Individual Stocks - Speculative trading showed slight recovery, with stocks like Zhenai Meijia and Jiumuwang achieving six consecutive limits. However, high-priced stocks continued to decline, with several stocks hitting their daily limit down. There is an expectation for some short-term recovery as market sentiment may rebound after recent declines [6] Key Events and Trends - The flash memory market has seen significant price increases, with the highest increase reaching 38.46%. For example, the price of 1Tb QLC rose by 25% to $12.50 [10] - The cold wave has led to a surge in down feather prices, with the price of duck down increasing from 170,000 yuan to 580,000 yuan per ton. This has resulted in a significant rise in production costs for down jackets [11]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.18% to close at 3946.74 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index remained flat at 13080.09 points. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.97% to 1344.80 points, and the Growth Enterprise Market Index increased by 0.25% to 3076.85 points. Overall, there were 1196 stocks that rose and 4173 that fell, with a total trading volume of 17259 billion yuan, a decrease of 2001 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][10]. Industry Performance - Among the primary industries, non-ferrous metals, petroleum and petrochemicals, national defense and military industry, beauty care, and banking sectors led the gains, with increases of 2.39%, 1.67%, 1.11%, 1.09%, and 0.92% respectively. Conversely, the real estate, media, construction materials, retail, computer, and pharmaceutical sectors experienced declines, with drops of 2.09%, 1.72%, 1.71%, 1.70%, 1.41%, and 1.28% respectively [1][10]. Concept Sector Performance - The concept sectors that performed well today included aquaculture, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, deep-sea technology, lithium mining, gold and jewelry, selected insurance, aircraft carriers, lithium extraction from salt lakes, and industrial metals. These sectors showed significant gains, while sectors like Hainan Free Trade Port, primary real estate companies, and photovoltaic glass faced declines [2][12].

市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 一周市场回顾 （2025.11.10—2025.11.14） A 股市场： 融资融券： 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 2025 年 11 月 19 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.03 — 2025.11.07） 2025.11.14 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.27 — 2025.10.31） 2025.11.03 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.20 — 2025.10.24） 2025.10.27 ◼ 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 0.18%，收于 3990.49 点，深证成指下跌 1.40%，收于 13216.03 点，创业板指下跌 3.01%，收于 3111.51 点。 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别上涨 0.00%、下跌 0.80%、下跌 1.08%，成长风格类板块代表指数中小 1 ...

平安证券指出，俄乌互相打击对方能源设施，美委关系持续紧张，叠加美国经济运行情况、未来降息政策尚存不确定性，短期内油价仍有一定支撑。全市场 唯一跟踪中证全指能源指数的能源ETF广发(159945)值得关注，今日收涨1.58%。 国防军工 有数据显示，2025Q3公募基金国防军工行业持仓市值持续提升，持仓排位中部靠前，但持仓占比接近行业标配，超配比例为近五年新低。东方财富证券指 出，当前，基金配置军工板块意愿低，年底随着十五五规划的临近落地，军工发展方向日趋清晰，配置比例有望触底反弹。 东吴证券建议关注四条主线：1）军贸视角下的主战装备产业链；2）新质战斗力加速形成的先进作战方向；3）军民融合纵深推进下的科技强国抓手型赛 道；4）改革与资产证券化主线。同类产品规模前二的军工ETF龙头(512680)值得关注，该基金已连续5日"吸金"累计达1.39亿元。 Wind数据显示，截至2025年11月19日A股收盘，有色金属、石油石化、国防军工领涨市场，涨幅分别为2.39%、1.67%、1.11%。 有色金属 据民生证券统计，2025年第三季度，公募基金对有色金属板块的持仓比例升至5.69%，环比上季度增加1.43%，达到 ...

证券时报·数据宝统计，截至下午13:58，今日沪指涨0.09%，A股成交量1000.00亿股，成交金额14076.74 亿元，比上一个交易日减少10.91%。个股方面，1088只个股上涨，其中涨停57只，4280只个股下跌， 其中跌停22只。从申万行业来看，石油石化、国防军工、有色金属等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为2.78%、 1.46%、1.27%；综合、房地产、传媒等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为2.73%、1.97%、1.83%。 今日各行业表现（截至下午13:58） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 2.78 | 134.27 | 10.82 | 中曼石油 | 4.37 | | 国防军工 | 1.46 | 558.99 | 17.88 | 江龙船艇 | 20.03 | | 有色金属 | 1.27 | 918.29 | -10.85 | 融捷股份 | 9.70 | | 美容护理 | 1.20 | 62.81 | 48.04 | 科思股份 | 8.12 ...

Market Overview - On November 19, the market experienced a morning surge followed by a decline, with both the Shenzhen Composite Index and Shanghai Composite Index turning negative, while the ChiNext Index briefly rose over 1% [1] - There was a notable divergence in market performance, with small and mid-cap stocks generally declining, and the micro-cap stock index dropping over 2% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.11 trillion, a decrease of 176.7 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The military industry sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Yaxing Anchor Chain and Yaguang Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The banking sector also performed well, with China Bank rising nearly 3% to reach a historical high [1] - The chemical sector saw a midday rally, with companies such as Hengguang Co. and Lanfeng Biochemical also hitting the daily limit [1] - Conversely, high-priced stocks faced significant declines, with Sanmu Group, Victory Shares, and Hainan Haiyao hitting the daily limit down [1] - The coal sector weakened, with Dayou Energy reaching the daily limit down [1] Closing Summary - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Composite Index decreased by 0.32%, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.12% [1] - The sectors with the highest gains included military, insurance, and banking, while the sectors with the largest declines included Hainan, gas, and film and television [1]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military sector has seen a significant surge, with the popular defense military ETF (512810) recovering its half-year line, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The defense military sector experienced a sharp rise, with the ETF (512810) attracting 120 million yuan in the last 10 trading days [1]. - Key stocks such as Aerospace Development have achieved four consecutive gains, reaching a three-year high, while Tianhai Defense saw an increase of over 10% [3]. - The overall sector's net profit for the first three quarters reached 24.453 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.29% compared to 20.849 billion yuan in the same period of 2022 [3]. Group 2: Investment Insights - The defense military ETF (512810) is highlighted as an efficient tool for investing in core assets within the sector, covering themes such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, controllable nuclear fusion, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, and military AI [3]. - The recent geopolitical factors have heightened attention on the defense military sector, suggesting a potential configuration cycle for investments [3].

Market Overview - On November 18, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.81%, with the total margin trading balance reaching 25,027.10 billion yuan, an increase of 2.376 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The margin trading balance in the Shanghai market was 12,723.92 billion yuan, up by 3.128 billion yuan; in the Shenzhen market, it was 12,224.40 billion yuan, down by 750 million yuan; and in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 78.78 billion yuan, down by 226,240 yuan [1] Industry Analysis - Among the industries classified by Shenwan, 15 sectors saw an increase in margin trading balance, with the media sector leading with an increase of 863 million yuan, followed by the computer and electronics sectors with increases of 770 million yuan and 270 million yuan, respectively [1] Stock Performance - A total of 1,810 stocks experienced an increase in margin trading balance, accounting for 48.34% of the total, with 240 stocks seeing an increase of over 5% [1] - The stock with the largest increase in margin trading balance was Zhongcheng Consulting, which had a latest balance of 2.379 million yuan, up by 46.28%, although its stock price fell by 1.77% [1] - Other notable stocks with significant increases in margin trading balance included Aerospace Development and Yubang New Materials, with increases of 42.76% and 32.82%, respectively [1] Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top 20 stocks with the largest increase in margin trading balance, the average price change was an increase of 0.37%, with notable gainers including BlueFocus, Aerospace Development, and Huasheng Tiancheng, which rose by 11.51%, 10.05%, and 9.99%, respectively [2] - Conversely, the largest declines were seen in stocks such as Anda Technology, Danna Biology, and Zhu Laoliu, which fell by 7.86%, 7.29%, and 6.34%, respectively [2] Margin Trading Balance Declines - In contrast, 1,933 stocks saw a decrease in margin trading balance, with 210 stocks experiencing a decline of over 5% [4] - The stock with the largest decrease was Guocheng Mining, with a latest balance of 263.29 million yuan, down by 45.71% compared to the previous trading day [5] - Other stocks with significant declines included Kaida Catalyst and Xue Ren Group, with decreases of 28.45% and 25.71%, respectively [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third Quarter 2025 revenues were $1,922 million, a 12% increase from $1,718 million in the Third Quarter of 2024, with 18% growth for the nine months ended September 30 [4][10] - GAAP gross margin improved to 24.9% in the Third Quarter from 24% in the same quarter last year, while non-GAAP gross margin rose to 25.2% from 24.4% [5][8] - GAAP diluted EPS increased to $2.80 from $1.77 year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS rose to $3.35 from $2.21 [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace segment revenues decreased by 3% year-over-year, primarily due to lower precision-guided munitions sales in Asia-Pacific, offset by increases in Israel and Europe [8] - SIFRAE and CYBER revenues increased by 14% year-over-year, driven by sales in Europe [9] - Land segment revenues surged by 41% in the third quarter, attributed to ammunition and munitions sales in Israel and Europe [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue contributions for the Third Quarter 2025 were as follows: Europe 28%, North America 21%, Asia-Pacific 14%, and Israel 33% [4] - The order backlog as of September 30, 2025, was $25.2 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion from the previous year [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on growth outside of Israel, particularly in Europe, as indicated by a $1.4 billion increase in backlog, with $1.2 billion from international orders [22] - The company is expanding operations in Europe, opening new facilities in Sweden and Germany to enhance local delivery capabilities [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth driven by strong demand for solutions, particularly in Europe and Israel, amidst rising global defense budgets [11] - The recent ceasefire is seen as an opportunity to regroup and focus on international business, which constitutes about 70% of the company's operations [36] Other Important Information - The company declared a dividend of $0.75 per share to be paid on January 5, 2026, reflecting strong cash generation with quarterly free cash flow of $101 million [10] - A significant international contract worth approximately $2.3 billion was signed, marking the largest contract in the company's history [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: How enduring is domestic demand with the ceasefire? - Management noted a $1.4 billion increase in backlog, with growth expected predominantly outside of Israel, especially in Europe [22] Question: What is the outlook for the air and aerospace business? - Management anticipates continued growth in the aerospace segment, driven by international sales and demand for UAVs [25][26] Question: What are the opportunities in directed energy? - Management confirmed strong interest in high-powered laser systems, with potential for significant orders following successful deployments in Israel [28][30] Question: What are the drivers behind the strong margin performance? - The margin expansion is attributed to improved backlog profitability and operational excellence initiatives, including AI utilization [34] Question: How does the company plan to leverage the US DOD's budget expansion? - Management highlighted ongoing success in the US market and plans for further acquisitions and investments to enhance their position [41][42]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Third Quarter 2025 revenues were $1,922 million, a 12% increase from $1,718 million in the Third Quarter of 2024, with 18% growth for the nine months ended September 30 [5][6] - GAAP gross margin for the Third Quarter was 24.9%, up from 24% in the same quarter last year, while non-GAAP gross margin increased to 25.2% from 24.4% [6][8] - GAAP diluted EPS was $2.80 for the Third Quarter of 2025, compared to $1.77 in the Third Quarter of 2024, with non-GAAP diluted EPS rising to $3.35 from $2.21 [8][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace segment revenues decreased by 3% year-over-year, primarily due to a decline in precision-guided munitions sales in Asia-Pacific, partially offset by increased sales in Israel and Europe [8][10] - SIFRAE and CYBER revenues increased by 14% year-over-year, driven by sales of radio systems and command-and-control systems in Europe [9] - Land segment revenues surged by 41% in the third quarter, attributed to ammunition and munitions sales in Israel and Europe [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Europe contributed 28% to total revenues, North America 21%, Asia-Pacific 14%, and Israel 33% [5] - The order backlog as of September 30, 2025, was $25.2 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion from the previous year, with 69% of the backlog from orders outside of Israel [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on R&D investments to secure future growth and maintain its market leadership [6] - Recent contracts include a $2.3 billion international contract and a $1.625 billion contract with a European country, indicating strong demand for advanced defense solutions [13][14] - Expansion in Europe includes new facilities in Sweden and Germany to enhance local delivery capabilities [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth driven by strong demand for solutions, particularly in Europe and Israel, despite potential domestic demand fluctuations [12][23] - The company anticipates growth opportunities in high-powered laser systems and UAVs, with significant interest from international markets [30][31] Other Important Information - Cash flow from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $461 million, significantly higher than $82.5 million in the same period last year [11] - The Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.75 per share to be paid on January 5, 2026 [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: How enduring is domestic demand with the ceasefire? - Management noted an increase of $1.4 billion in backlog, with growth expected predominantly outside of Israel, especially in Europe [23] Question: What is the trajectory for the air and aerospace business? - Management expects continued growth in the aerospace segment, driven by international sales and demand for UAVs [27][28] Question: What are the opportunities in directed energy? - Management confirmed significant interest in high-powered laser systems, with potential for growth in both domestic and international markets [30][31] Question: What are the drivers of margin expansion? - Margin expansion was attributed to improved backlog profitability and operational excellence, including AI utilization and CapEx investments [34][36] Question: How will the company leverage the US DOD's budget expansion? - Management sees the US market as strategic and is exploring acquisition opportunities while expanding operations in border protection applications [42][44]