年 标 图 用 计 3 11月5日 FF 北京,中国大饭店·多功能厅6A ▷ 刘佳昆、王艳君、林逸丹、盛开、 刘越男、訾猛、蔡雯娟、 议程安排 国泰海通证券2026年度策略会 ● 11:30-12:00 农业:宠物赛道长坡厚雪,养殖种植亮点亦多 林逸丹/王艳君-国泰海通证券农林牧渔研究联席首席分析师 *参会请联系您的国泰海通对口销售报名 研究运营组制作 ● 09:00-09:30 食品饮料/美妆：成长为主，供需出清迎拐点 些 猛_国泰海涌证券研究所所长助理, 消费研究组组长, 食品饮料研究&美妆研究首席分析师 ● 09:30-10:00 批零社服:传统消费积极转型,新消费超高景气 刘越男-国泰海通证券批零社服研究首席分析师 ● 10:00-10:30 家电:出海成长,内需等待出清修复 蔡雯娟-国泰海通证券家电研究首席分析师 ● 10:30-11:00 轻工:聚焦成长消费与周期价值 刘佳昆-国泰海通证券造纸轻工研究首席分析师 ● 11:00-11:30 纺服:洞察消费者变迁,挖掘结构性机会 盛 开-国泰海通证券纺织服装研究首席分析师 更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向 ...

Group 1 - The article outlines a comprehensive research framework training program titled "洞察价值，共创未来" (Insight Value, Co-create Future) scheduled for August 18-19 and August 25-26, 2025, focusing on various sectors including macroeconomics, consumption, finance, cycles, medicine, technology, and manufacturing [18][19]. - The training sessions will cover a wide range of topics, with specific time slots allocated for each area of research, such as food and beverage, internet applications, and renewable energy [14][15][16]. - The event will take place at the Guotai Junan Financial Bund Plaza in Shanghai, emphasizing the importance of in-depth analysis across all sectors [18]. Group 2 - The training program is designed to enhance the research capabilities of analysts and is led by various chief analysts specializing in different fields, ensuring a comprehensive approach to industry analysis [8][10]. - Participants will have the opportunity to engage with experts in macroeconomic research, strategy, fixed income, and various sector-specific studies, fostering a collaborative learning environment [14][15][16]. - The program aims to equip analysts with the necessary tools and insights to navigate the complexities of the financial markets and identify potential investment opportunities [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the schedule and topics for the 2025 research framework training organized by Guotai Junan Securities, emphasizing a comprehensive approach across various sectors and inviting participation from interested parties [19]. Group 1: Event Schedule - The training sessions are scheduled for August 18-19 and August 25-26, covering a range of topics from macroeconomic research to sector-specific studies [14][19]. - The first two days focus on total, consumption, and financial sectors, while the latter two days will delve into cyclical, pharmaceutical, technology, and manufacturing sectors [19]. Group 2: Research Topics - The training will include sessions on food and beverage research, retail and service research, textile and apparel research, internet applications, home appliances, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery research [15]. - Additional topics will cover macroeconomic research, strategy research, overseas strategy research, fixed income research, fund evaluation, financial engineering, small and medium-sized enterprises, and new stock research [15][16]. - The second week will feature non-metallic building materials, non-ferrous metals, public utilities, biological medicine, cultural communication, electronics, and various engineering and manufacturing studies [16][17].

Group 1: Food and Beverage - The investment suggestion emphasizes structural differentiation and growth potential, with a focus on new consumption and high growth in consumer goods, while the liquor sector is in a bottoming phase, highlighting its value for allocation [2][3] - The liquor industry is experiencing increased differentiation and rationality, with the industry still seeking a bottom in Q2 2025, and the head companies showing resilience during the off-season [2] - Beer is expected to recover as the peak season approaches, while the beverage sector is in a phase of releasing single product potential [3] Group 2: Cosmetics - The investment recommendation suggests increasing holdings in personal care and beauty sectors, focusing on companies benefiting from product innovation and new channel opportunities [6] - The demand for cosmetics remains stable, with domestic brands gaining market share, particularly in skincare and makeup categories [6] - Trends indicate accelerated product innovation and emotional consumption, with a focus on cost-effective products benefiting from supply-demand dynamics [6] Group 3: Education and Consumer Services - The high school education sector is projected to have a stable demand for the next 7-8 years, supported by policy initiatives aimed at expanding education [12] - Emotional and experiential consumption is accelerating, with traditional demands being met by new supply, particularly in the IP toy sector [12] - The tea and coffee sectors are undergoing product, channel, and technological iterations, indicating structural growth opportunities [12] Group 4: Home Appliances - The home appliance sector is witnessing a recovery led by major brands, with a focus on price competition and market consolidation [17] - New consumption trends are emerging, with high aesthetic product designs and AI integration driving innovation in the sector [17] - Investment suggestions highlight opportunities in both domestic and international markets for leading brands [17] Group 5: Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - The agricultural sector maintains a "buy" rating, with slow growth expected in livestock output and a recovery in the animal health feed sector [29] - The pet food market is experiencing robust growth, driven by domestic brands gaining market competitiveness [29] - The planting sector is expected to see rising grain prices due to reduced import volumes, with core seed varieties becoming increasingly important [30] Group 6: Internet and AI - The investment outlook for the internet sector remains positive, particularly for technology stocks, with a focus on AI-driven growth [34] - The AI narrative is expected to enhance the value of social networks, with a strong emphasis on user engagement and ecosystem development [59] - The evolution of AI capabilities is anticipated to create new demand and enhance the social network's value proposition [59] Group 7: Non-Banking Financials - The non-banking financial sector is undergoing significant transformation, with a focus on wealth management and asset management business models [73] - The recommendation is to favor leading comprehensive brokerages that demonstrate balanced business structures and strong professional capabilities [73] - The insurance sector is expected to see stable growth in new business value, with an emphasis on improving asset allocation [76] Group 8: Banking - The banking sector is projected to face revenue pressure but maintain positive net profit growth, with a stable policy environment supporting sustainable operations [79] - The expectation of increased long-term capital inflow into the banking sector is driven by regulatory changes and market dynamics [80] - Investment strategies suggest focusing on high-growth regional banks and those showing signs of loan recovery [81]